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Subject: Country of Rumlen: You're in Charge
colganc    2/28/2007 7:51:39 AM
Apologies in advance if this is the wrong board for this as I'm not sure exactly where to put this. I've been reading Strategypage for a while now and it seems like everyone has their favorite kit. That piece of kit could be a specific destroyer, jet fighter, etc or a whole type (multi-role fighter) of kit. More often than not the kit is taken out of its designated doctrine and systems and then put on a pedestal that it will single handedly wipe any enemy off the planet. That won't work here. You are a the leader/executive of a country. You have neighbors readying for war. You have no armed forces. What do you do? What kit would you assemble into a system and doctrine? How would you assemble them into that system and doctrine? What changes of law would you make to build your army? How do you defend your country in the short and long term? etc.



Country:
Rumlen

Geography:
An island
~50 miles across
~1,800 square miles
Two old dormant volcanoes
Two lakes fed by numerous streams.
There are two rivers fed by the lakes and each empties into a bay. One in the east and one in the west. The western bay is dredged and capable of "Suezmax" sized ships. The eastern bay is limited to "Panamax" sized ships.

Population:
4 million people
~50% male
~50% female
Three major cities.
~20% able for military service
There are two ethnicities. One is descended from indigenous people and the other from colonists who came hundreds of years ago. There are only slight tensions between the two. Visually both ethnicities look the same.

Government:
Rumlen is a Republic. The head (or executive) of goverment is the Consul and is directly elected. One legislative body of 50 members elected from 50 districts. Judges are elected by the legislative body.

Defense:
There are currently no armed forces. "Defense" is handled by a "Coast Guard" that operates smaller barely ocean going vessels.

Education:
All education is privately run. Many schools exist and even a few universities.

Transportation:
Multi lane highways connect all three major cities. There are no railroads. The only international airport is near the capital with a 3500m runway. Two other smaller airports are at the other two major cities each has about a 2300m runway. Two ports are located at each bay.

Electricity:
One nuclear power plant provides most of the power to Rumlen. If needed it has the capacity to power all of Rumlen. A secondary Oil based power plant exists mostly as an "emergency backup" to the nuclear plant. The oil plant can only provide ~30% of the needed electricity for normal operation in Rumlen.

Economy:
Rumlen is a central trading hub roughly equidistant (~2,000 miles) from three major world powers in the middle of the ocean. A half way point for fiber optic communication systems and a supplier of oil. It is also a popular tourist destination. All major trade is handled by Rumlen companies.

Economic System:
A "Free market" system. Everything is privately held and ran.

Local Food Source:
Sea food and fruits

Industry:
Oil (including two refineries), Tourism, Sea food, Electronics. The oil comes from multiple offshore rigs. Tourists come for the beaches, tropical jungle, and famous sea food. The electronics industry consists of basic semiconductor fabrication and software programming companies. Dry docks to service the oil tankers and cargo ships exist in both bays.

Major Exports:
Oil, Sea Food, Fruits, Diamonds

Major Imports:
Metals, Wood

GDP:
$100 Billion USD
Estimated growth for the next 30 years is 4%.




Scenario:
Two of the major powers (Poplot and Smerter) "near" Rumlen are preparing for war. Both see Rumlen as an excellent staging area for attacks on either country's homeland. The third power (Betwix) is trying to stay out of the conflict and wants to continue trade with Rumlen.

Poplot has a high population (500 million), but is at a technology disadvantage to Smerter and Betwix. Smerter has a technology advantage (USA levels), but population disadvantage to Smerter and Betwix. Betwix is between the other two in population and technology. All three have about equal GDP. All three have substantial militaries and it goes without saying they could crush poor Rumlen.

In addition to the major powers there are two countries (Islend and Rainen) similar in size, but less well off looking at Rumlen as a possible oppurtunity for more resources. They are nearby (~500 miles). Both technologically inferior to Rumlen, similar in population, but with relatively large armies and navies, and don't mind going to war.

That is all Rumlen knows about the situation.

Addendum:
Any US, UK, Aust, Canada, Israel, Japenese, etc designed and built equipment is owned by "Smerter". Any Russian, Chinese, Indian, Middle Eastern (minus Israel), etc designed and built equipment is owned by "Poplot". Any EU (minus UK) or African designed and built equipment is owned by "Betwix". Nuclear weapons don't exist.
 
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Armchair Private    Squished   3/9/2007 6:04:22 PM
Rumlen is about to be Squished then....
 
...But as a patriotic Rumlenian I'll put my boots on and say:
 
You don't specify any particular cultural linkages with the other three main players so I'll assume this aspect is neutral, in that case Rumlen doesn't have the population to sustain a viable low capability but high quantity military so quality it is...
 
Start sucking up to Smerter, offer them basing rights in the event (but not before) of war. 
 
Set Defense procurement at 8% of GDP - high for peace time but you're starting from zero.
 
My rough calculations suggest that 8% of $100bn is $8bn in year one.
 
Rumlen doesn't have the population to invade anyone other than Ooopay (small island nation, population consisting solely of 1 romance starved geriatric parrot) so defense is the name of the game. The feeling you want to give any potential adversary can best be described as: "Hmmm, one tough, small nut...."
 
Rumlen is about the same size as Trinidad, I'd argue that if a decent sized invasion force manages to land succesfully then you've already lost, so emphasis on air and sea power to keep those unshaven foreigners from stealing all our Diamonds.
 
Naval $4.55bn:
 
Someone may have a better handle on this than me but I beleive that a Collins SSG will cost you around $500m. At that price I'll have six. $3bn down. Collins can fit up to 22 Harpoons or Mk48s and is said to be quite quiet...
 
3 Formidable class stealthy multi role frigates, 27knts, Aster 15, towed sonar, torpedos, 76mm gun and Harpoon.  Also equipped with 3 EH101 HM Mk1 which can carry 4 sting ray, or 6 sea skua, or depth charges. 45 in the back too. Totaling around $1.55bn.
 
Air $2.6bn:
 
Range is less important as your defensive. Stealth too expensive. Bang for your buck? F16 Block 60 please with APG 80 and Aim 9x....... But. You've got only one runway, Gripen has been built to fly off un prepared surfaces and a cheap way of increasing your resilience is to spend 6 shillings building your road network to double as runway. Super Gripen (h*tp://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showthread.php?t=57677) at $100m each? 24 belong to Rumlen. Along with 2 AWACS at $100m each.
 
Land $ remainder:
 
IFVs yes, for their mobility, MBTs yes, Challenger or Merkava for their superior static protection, artillery yes, S400 SAM, infantry in the 50,000 range... Lots of MANPADs.
 
Overall:
 
Distributed logistics, OTH radar longer term.
 
Only way to invade is to gain air superiority, to do that someones gonna need aircraft carriers, which aren't gonna enjoy your SSGs.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Yimmy       3/9/2007 6:38:40 PM
I like these type of threads, although I can never find the effort to give the answer they deserve.
 
I would like to point out though, that an army is an institution.  As in, it is not something which can be bought over night.  Training, doctrine and procedure takes an awful long time to develope.
 
With such a nation, with no trained military personel, I would consider my only option to be to turn to Eastern European, Russian, Iranian and Chinese companies, and buy in large quantities:
 
Kalashnikov Automatic rifles
PK general purpose machine guns
12.7mm heavy machine guns.
RPG-7 rocket launchers and suitable munitions.
82mm mortars.
SA-?? Strella manpads.
Land mines.
 
I would do my best to organise the militia along Commonwealth army lines.
 
As I have a small coast guard of reasonably trained personel, I would purchase the best "Boghammer" type fast attack boats I could lay my hands on, and equipe them with hopfully a system akin to the SS-N-25 anti-ship missiles India uses.
 
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Yimmy       3/9/2007 6:39:46 PM
I forgot to add, I would also gain as many "foreign advisors" as I could afford.  Be they simply to train my own militia, or better yet fully trained personel who bring their own artillery et al.
 
 
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Armchair Private       3/9/2007 6:50:53 PM

I like these type of threads, although I can never find the effort to give the answer they deserve.

 

I would like to point out though, that an army is an institution.  As in, it is not something which can be bought over night.  Training, doctrine and procedure takes an awful long time to develope.

 

With such a nation, with no trained military personel, I would consider my only option to be to turn to Eastern European, Russian, Iranian and Chinese companies, and buy in large quantities:

 

Kalashnikov Automatic rifles

PK general purpose machine guns

12.7mm heavy machine guns.

RPG-7 rocket launchers and suitable munitions.

82mm mortars.

SA-?? Strella manpads.

Land mines.

 

I would do my best to organise the militia along Commonwealth army lines.

 

As I have a small coast guard of reasonably trained personel, I would purchase the best "Boghammer" type fast attack boats I could lay my hands on, and equipe them with hopfully a system akin to the SS-N-25 anti-ship missiles India uses.


"organise the militia along Commonwealth army lines."
Do you think that the fact such a force is likely to be solely defensive in nature could or should influence its structure?
 
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colganc       3/19/2007 2:53:49 AM

I would like to point out though, that an army is an institution.  As in, it is not something which can be bought over night.  Training, doctrine and procedure takes an awful long time to develope.
Ooops.  I didn't really provide information for that part.  I think its safe to assume based on their education and organization level that they can handle some of the more advanced equipment, but perhaps not use them intelligently.

 
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colganc       3/19/2007 3:04:36 AM

Range is less important as your defensive. Stealth too expensive. Bang for your buck? F16 Block 60 please with APG 80 and Aim 9x....... But. You've got only one runway, Gripen has been built to fly off un prepared surfaces and a cheap way of increasing your resilience is to spend 6 shillings building your road network to double as runway. Super Gripen (h*tp://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showthread.php?t=57677) at $100m each? 24 belong to Rumlen. Along with 2 AWACS at $100m each.

Are Gripen's or F-16's cleared for any anti-shipping weapon?
 
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