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Inside the Ring
By Bill Gertz
May 18, 2007
Green estimate
Pentagon officials are questioning Congress' wisdom in ordering the U.S. intelligence community to conduct analysis of national security threats posed by environmental issues during a time of war.
"For a country at war I find this expedient pandering of the first order," one official said of what's being disparagingly called the Green Estimate.
Gathering intelligence and producing analysis on how humans are trashing the planet is likely to reflect the general liberal bias within the intelligence community. The result is expected to be a harsh assessment of how the industrialized nations, particularly the United States and Europe, are to blame.
"Let's all be honest about the biggest polluter and most careless custodian of mother Earth, the PRC," the defense official said of China, where seven of the 10 largest rivers are "dead" from pollution.
Will U.S. intelligence agencies, which have been deficient in intelligence reporting on China's military buildup, report accurately on Beijing's pollution and contribution to greenhouse gases and global warming?
Don't count on it, the officials said. Liberal environmentalists in Congress and the private sector will probably make sure that the intelligence reports on global warming avoid criticizing the communist regime in Beijing, which recently announced that economic modernization still trumps any concerns over Chinese pollution.
A provision of the fiscal 2008 intelligence authorization bill calls for the director of national intelligence to produce a "national intelligence estimate" on global climate change within nine months.
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