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Subject: Syria is busy, UNDOF blind
sofa    3/6/2007 10:31:29 AM
Syria has spent the past few months constructing and moving infrastructure to its southern border that could be used to launch a war against Israel, senior defense officials have told The Jerusalem Post. According to the officials, the Syrian military - while restricted in the number of troops it is allowed to deploy along the border - has moved military infrastructure, including fuel depots, closer to the frontier. The Syrians have also built structures in the area that could serve as weapons stores and military bases. "There is no doubt that something out of the ordinary is taking place on the Syrian side of the border," a high-ranking official said. The IDF and Syria raised their levels of alert along the Golan Heights during the second Lebanon war last summer. The IDF has noted a reinforcement of forces on the Syrian side but the meaning of the move is unclear. Some security officials believe Syria is preparing to initiate a war. Others believe that President Bashar Assad is concerned that Syria will be attacked by Israel as Lebanon was last summer, and that the beefing-up of forces is a defensive measure. The commander of the United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF), deployed in Israel and Syria and responsible for maintaining the cease-fire between the two countries, told the Post in an interview that he had not noticed any military changes on the ground. from: "http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1171894553128&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull" http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1171894553128&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull ---- Carl in Jerusalem at Israel Matzav is going out on a limb ? he says the new war will begin soon, only this time he thinks it will skip the proxy and go straight to the patron. He?s predicting an imminent war between Israel and Syria. Carl bases his prognosis on recent stories about the movement of Syrian arms and personnel, and the shipment of advanced weaponry from Russia to Syria. According to an article in the Jerusalem Post, Syria has recently massed troops and equipment on the border between Israel and Syria, increasing their presence there to levels not seen for many years. Haaretz and Jerusalem Post have reported on the flow of advanced weaponry to Syria from Russia. Diplomatic attempts to get the Russians to scale back their arms sales to Syria have been brushed aside ? the Russians are always ready to sell, and in Boy Assad they have found a buyer. - - - - - - - - - - The Syrians reportedly were impressed with the success that Hizbullah had using the latest Russian-made anti-tank missiles. Even the best Israeli tank armor was vulnerable to Hizbullah?s missile attacks. The Chinless Ophthalmologist in Damascus has put the new missiles onto his must-have list, and they and other Russian armaments are flowing into Syria. Here?s the bottom line from Carl: I?ve already gone out on a limb and said that I believe that there will be another war in the north by late spring or early summer. I?ll go further: May 24. That?s the day after the Shavuoth holiday here. I believe war will happen on the northern front no later than May 24. You heard it here first. from: "http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2007/03/war-between-israel-and-syria.html" http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2007/03/war-between-israel-and-syria.html
 
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Ezekiel       3/6/2007 10:45:39 AM
when i read the above quote i just think thank the heavens that Israel has the Golan Heights. That strategic land of Israel ensures advantages in any conflict with Syria. b/c of lebanon debacle the arabs think they smell blood, and they circling the wagons. Israel in the meantime is preparing for this confrontation....
 
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Shirrush    Not that soon.   3/7/2007 1:51:03 PM
Syria got Iranian money to purchase Russian weapons: S-300 PMU, SS-X-26 Iskander, and Su-30.
These will not be delivered instantly, and the Syrian armed forces cannot be expected to absorb these systems in less than a few years.
Unless the Russians are going to man these weapons as they did in the Seventies, Syria will remain too weak to have any chance of a successful military option.
On the other hand, the chinless ophtalmologist is under heavy pressure because of the international inquiry on the Hariri murder, and he might indeed do something really, really stupid.
In such a case, Israel is not as weak as it looks today, at least not from a purely military point of view.
Syrian long-range rocket artillery and WMD's are going to kill many of us. I hope we will not be as touchy-feely with these Alawite thugs as we were with the Shi'ia scumbags last summer.

 
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sofa    Sooner, not later. War of attrition to continue.   3/10/2007 6:25:22 PM
Who/Why release this info to the public?
Storm clouds gathering.
Iran needs distraction.
 
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Syria deploys thousands of rockets on Israel border: sources

by Ron Bousso Fri Mar 9, 4:50 AM ET

JERUSALEM (AFP) -     Syria has positioned on its border with  Israel thousands of medium and long-range rockets capable of striking major towns across northern Israel, military and government sources told AFP.

This deployment, coupled with other recent reports of Syrian troop mobilisation, is seen in Israel as an indication that Damascus may be preparing for future "low intensity warfare," they said.

The report comes only two weeks after Israel held war games on the occupied Golan Heights, captured from Syria in 1967, in a bid to learn the lessons of last summer's conflict in neighbouring south Lebanon.

The Syrian army accelerated its deployment of medium and long-range rockets in the wake of the Lebanon war, during which the Hezbollah militia fired moe than 4,000 rockets against northern Israel.

"We have noticed that in recent months Syria has deployed hundreds, possibly thousands, of medium and long-range rockets along the border (with Israel)," one military source said.

"Many of the rockets are hidden in underground chambers and in camouflaged silos, which make them very difficult to locate," the source said.

Three of the sources were from the military and two from the government, and they all spoke to AFP on condition of anonymity. They said Syria has built a system of fortified underground tunnels along its border with Israel.

Most of the rockets deployed are 220 millimetre, with a range of 70 kilometres (43 miles), and 302 millimetre rockets capable of striking targets at a distance of more than 100 kilometres (56 miles).

The latter would be well within range of the main population centres in northern Israel such as Tiberias and Kiryat Shmona.

These long-range rockets could also reach Israel's third largest city of Haifa and its industrial zone, which is home to several essential industries, including oil refineries and a deep-water port.

It is also believed that Syria has deployed several FROG rocket launchers, with a a 550-kilogram (1,200-pound) warhead and 70-kilometre range, in areas between the border and the capital Damascus, 40 kilometres (25 miles) away.

According to the sources, such a massive deployment of well entrenched rockets poses "a real strategic threat" to Israel.

While Syria concentrates most of its long-range surface-to-surface missile arsenal in the north of the country, its decision to deploy rockets so close to the border may indicate that Syria is mulling an attack on Israel, experts say.

"Syrian President Bashar al-Assad realised after the Lebanon war that Israel was not as strong as it seems and that it could be threatened by simple means rather than an advanced army," the director of the Begin-Saadat Centre for Strategic Studies, Ephraim Inbar, told AFP.

Inbar, as well as the military sources, believe that "Assad could be preparing for low intensity war, a type of war of attrition with Israel, where Syria fires several rockets against Israel without provoking full-fledged war."

"Israel has absolute superiority in several fields in warfare," a senior government official said, referring mainly to Israel's advanced air force and "smart" weapons.

"So Syria is investing in fields where it can have an edge. It has invested in recent years in anti-aircraft weapons, rockets, missiles and bunkers. The war in Lebanon proved to the Syrians they were right to do so."

Israel's military intelligence chief, Major General Amod Yadlin, told the government's annual intelligence assessment that while Syria was beefing up its military, war between the two neighbouring countries was unlikely in 2007.

"Syria is continuing its military build-up and preparing for war," he told the cabinet.

"The chances of a full-scale war initiated by Syria are low, but the chances of Syria reacting m

 
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YelliChink       3/10/2007 6:54:32 PM
http://vwt.d2g.com:8081/dirty-harry-2-795959.jpg" width=350 border=0>
 
Sometimes I think Israel should be back to Dirty Harry diplomacy:
 
"DO YA FEEL LUCKY? DO YA PUNK?"
 
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