Military History | How To Make War | Wars Around the World Rules of Use How to Behave on an Internet Forum
Israel Discussion Board
   Return to Topic Page
Subject: The Arab Truth About The Palestinian Problem
SYSOP    5/6/2015 6:23:36 AM
 
Quote    Reply

Show Only Poster Name and Title     Newest to Oldest
Spiky    Egypt   5/6/2015 8:59:39 AM
Key phrase.......... "Egypt also needs all the friends it can get. That?s because the security forces are still needed to deal with Islamic terrorists and POLITICAL OPPOSITION that is allied with some of the terror groups. This makes Egypt a more cooperative ally of Israel, who share an Islamic terrorist threat in Gaza.".......... In the long-run, Egypt's main threat is and will be the internal opposition to the current, more secularly oriented, government now run by Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. For now, the dormant but restless internal problems are just as dangerous as the external (Libya, Yemen, Sudan, Gaza) problems. And then you have Iran. I'm sure Iran's spy network would have eventually tried to join forces with the political opposition to try to destabilize Egypt, something Iran is good at, as their record clearly shows in the Middle East.
 
Quote    Reply

trenchsol       5/6/2015 3:14:49 PM
If I remember correctly, Morsi has reached out to Iran while he was in power. Main opposition in Egypt are those loyal to Morsi, indeed. Morsi is yet to be tried for espionage in favor of Iran, among other things.
 
 
Quote    Reply

Spiky    Egypt   5/6/2015 6:08:18 PM
Yeah, Morsi overreached too quickly and too zealously, and now has found himself and friends in jail. Besides the military, I'm sure that Israel and Coptic Christians (approx. 10% Egypt population) are glad he and his Sharia zealous posse are no longer calling the shots. Still, Egypt is divided between different Muslim groups politically and the state's situation is fragile. This is one reason the military in Egypt has no love for terrorists that could threaten their new hold on government: civil war is actually not a ludicrous possibility in the land of pyramids.
 
Quote    Reply

trenchsol       5/6/2015 7:58:22 PM
I was trying to say that Iranian spy network is likely recruited from opposition ranks. They don't need to join forces, they are the same force, I believe.
 
 
Quote    Reply

Nate Dog    Don't think so spike   5/6/2015 8:33:57 PM
I dont think egypt is that close to a civil war.
Nor was Morsi's tenure ever really anything more than a temporary speed hump..
The military in egypt, well, it is egypt.
The military, by default its various generals and marshals, own near 90% of all sectors of the egyptian economy, both private and public. Nearly every egyptian draws a wage that originated in the military coffers at some stage.
Civil war implies that the opposition can get somewhat near peer capabilities and that's simply not the case. It's a matter of choosing how hard to stomp on the opposition. Do it too hard and you alienate a large part of the populace, and scare off foreign tourists (life blood of egypt). Do it too softly, and the insurgents can cause too much harm and actually hurt tourism through terror.
It's simply Egypt figuring out the fine line of how much stomping to do. As to Egypt not committing to foreign adventurism in either Lybia or Yemen, that's just good governance, look like you're doing a lot while doing very little. Popular at home for showing egyptian might! yet also popular when soldiers go home to their mothers not in body bags... El Sisi is proving a savvy politician, hardly surprising, most of egypts generals are.
 
 
 
 
Quote    Reply

Spiky    Nate, Good Points   5/6/2015 9:07:00 PM
Didn't say Egypt was "close" to civil war, but the possibility is there. Actually, a top Egyptian leader mentioned and (among other Egyptians from different walks of life) admitted to the possibility of civil war. I'm trying to remember his name.......... oh yeah, El Sisi said it.
 
Quote    Reply



 Latest
 News 		  Most
 Read 		  Most
 Commented		  Hot
 Topics