|Lets assume that East Timor stayed under Portugese rule after 1975 and therefore we were unable to negotiate a 50/50 settlement over the Timor Gap gas reserves like we did with Indonesia, prior to the renegotiation with East Timor this century. What would happen if one of the countries decided to develop the gas reserves without a treaty?
1. Would there be armed conflict or would it be dealt with diplomatically?
2. How would an armed conflict play out?
3. How would different players the international community react?
4. What would the likely resolution be?