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Subject: Quebecois a nation?
HoundOfHello    11/28/2006 7:21:53 PM
What's this I'm hearing about the Quebecois declaring themselves a nation and the Canadian PM endorsing this idea?

link

I'm a bit confused as to what is going on. Is this a move towards secession, or more of the same old stuff from Quebec?

-HoH
 
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Ehran       11/29/2006 2:49:37 PM
it's part of the ongoing and neverending quibbling about the francophone identity.  actually harper and the main opposition parties pulled a bit of a fast one on the pq.  they had a resolution that essentially said nothing with any kind of legal weight to it to undercut an upcoming pq motion.  this has now essentially blown up in the gov't face with the pq gleefully fanning the flames.
basically a long time back the british should have absorbed the french when they took canada and while it would have been stressful at the time they would certainly have saved us a vast amount of hassling since.
quebec wants all the shiny bits of being independant without any of the costs or inconveniences of actually being inconvenient.  should a federal gov't ever grow a set and actually explain to the people of quebec the actual costs and consequences of real independance i expect you would see a vast quiet on the entire subject appear very quickly.
 
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HoundOfHello       11/29/2006 4:34:48 PM
Out of curiosity, if Quebec did indeed secede and the government let them go peacefully, what would be the situation there particularly with regard to the economy? How much does Quebec contribute to Canadian GDP? What would be its primary imports/exports? Would its economy be mainly supported by tourist dollars or would it have an edge in the manufacture of a particularly valuable good/service? Would it prosper, stagnate, or worsen? Who would be its primary trading partner? How would it get its goods out (as I recall, there are very few sea-ports in Quebec)?

-HoH

 
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Ehran       11/30/2006 5:32:41 PM
if quebec did become an independant country i expect their economy would shrivel pretty fast and pretty hard.  it's hard to see how they could survive as they would not be part of the free trade agreement nor the autopact.  a fairly hefty portion of their existing industry would be forced to relocate outside the new country to survive.  the rest of canada isn't going to take quebec leaving very well at all and i really doubt their going to buy anything coming out of quebec.  i know i certainly would have to think long and hard about buying anything made in quebec.  as things stand quebec would virtually instantly take a major hit from the federal gov't of canada no longer pumping money into quebec ventures.  the sudden jolt of assuming 20-25% of the canadian national debt would in fairly short order obliterate their gov't budget plus all the assorted costs of being an independant country would put additional stress on. 

i think you would wind up with quebec being an economic basket case in fairly short order.  it's not going to wind up as haiti north but it's not going to be pretty and it's not gonna look anything like what the pq promised the people of quebec.

 
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Nanheyangrouchuan       12/1/2006 12:23:01 AM
Quebec would follow the pattern of so many eastern european countries who broke away and immediately filled out UN welfare forms to construct their small town/agrarian economies.
 
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Ehran       12/1/2006 3:09:07 PM
i have yet to meet a quebec francophone resident who has any understanding of just how completely screwed quebec would be if they separated from canada.  the idea that they wouldn't be able to take the entire province out doesn't register with them.  the cree and innuit in the north of the province want nothing to do with separation at all.  the idea that the gov't of canada will stop pumping in billions of dollars a year in preferential gov't contracts and would likely stop employing large numbers of quebec residents in the federal service is again a total surprise.

these poor buggers are so incredibly poorly served by both sides in this debate it's hard to comprehend how people can be so ill informed about something so potentially important to their future.

 
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Nanheyangrouchuan       12/1/2006 3:38:50 PM
I wonder if the Quebecois have considered the resistance they might get from those tribes.  Native tribes won't be taking any crap from Anglos anymore, some tribes in the US get out guns, dynamite and morters when there is a dispute over cigarrette taxes with the state.
 
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Ehran       12/2/2006 9:04:44 PM
quebec is pretty much not populated away from the st lawrence river valley and much of the existing province was added to "lower canada" after the formation of canada. there is also the open question of quebec being divisible and the federal gov't response to the indians and innuit asking not to be included in the separation.
it would just devolve into an utterly godawful mess right quickly.

 
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verdunjp    To my Canadian friend   12/4/2006 5:19:01 PM
The Quebec reality is far from what you are saying. I will come back to the forum to expain it but for now, I must go.  By the way, were do you (Ehran) come from?
 
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Ehran       12/4/2006 6:57:13 PM
i'm from manitoba originally and lived on the west coast these last 20 odd years.
 
i'd be interested to find out what i'm so far wrong about. 
 
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Ehran       12/4/2006 7:18:27 PM
link
 
the population of quebec is concentrated along the st lawrence with only one river valley showing up as being significantly populated on the north shore any distance inland.  there is a single pocket along the ontario border that has a fair populace but most of the province is the shield and that's essentially unpopulated lands.
 
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Yimmy       12/4/2006 9:22:40 PM
Ehran, why do you assume that they would take on some of Canadas national debt (fair enough), but not maintain their share of the free trade agreement (not fair)?
 
 
 
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Ehran       12/5/2006 1:48:12 PM
the free trade agreement for example is between canada the us and mexico now.  i do not think quebec would automatically be a part of that nor any other agreements or treaties that canada was party to.  they may well join nafta after their separation but they would have to do so as the nation of quebec.  they would also no longer be part of the auto pact which i think would in short order put paid to there being any cars made in quebec anymore.  i expect that any attempts to join nafta would result in a thorough screwing by us trade negotiators and there is no chance the americans would ever let quebec into the autopact.
 
the people of quebec have been systematically lied to by the pq about the glories of independance lite while the federal gov't has stood around with their thumb up their butt for fear of offending the liberal party's supporters in quebec. 
 
you talk to a quebec resident and start asking the "well what about" questions and it's quite an eyeopening experience for them.
 
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verdunjp    From a bugger   12/6/2006 8:38:56 PM
I estimate that the motion recognizing Quebec as a nation does not have any legal consequence. It is however highly symbolic and very important for the people of Quebec. I even estimate that it will slow down the souverainist movement in Quebec. It is interesting to note here that the United Kingdom has adopt the same strategy with Wales 

This said, as opposed to what Ehran claims, the territory of Quebec is not divisible. The international law recognizes only the secession of territory having already well defined borders. Quebec has definite borders. The minorities which live there do not have any. There is thus extremely to bet that Quebec would keep the integrality of its territory in the event of secession.  

I also inform you that the minorities living in Quebec are the best treated in Canada. They have their schools, their hospitals, etc. The Canadian civil servant for the official languages of Canada already mentioned this several time. As for the autochtones, they have signed several agreements with Quebec in economic matter and takes part for a long time in the development of the natural richnesses of Quebec. I thus do not see which would be the advantage of the autochtones to put at back Quebec. It also should not be forgotten that the autochtones of Quebec are only approximately 50000 on a total population of 7000000. It is also interesting to note that at the time of the last summit of the people autochtones of Quebec which took place in September 2006, the government of Canada was strongly criticized for her inaction whereas the government of Quebec was greeted for the efforts which it makes towards the autochtones.  

Concerning the Québec economy, it depends especially on the United States and very little of the remainder of Canada. Economic reprisals coming from Canada following a secession of Quebec would have very little impact thus. The remainder of Canada and in particular Ontario do not may find it beneficial besides to play this play because several of their goods are sold in Quebec. I think for example of all the cars of Ontario which are sold in Quebec or of all the Ontarian trade which pass through the St-Laurent River. In addition, all the Québécer experts in taxation (separatists and federalists) agree for saying that there exists in Canada an unfavourable tax imbalance unfavorable for Quebec. Then Ehran, stop saying that people of Quebec are buggers. They do nothing but assert equity. Also note that all the separatist leaders have affirmed that sovereign Quebec would pay its share of the Canadian debt. Will Canada give 25% of their goods paid by Quebecer?

Concerning the free trade agreement, it should be known that Quebec has of it signatory like all the other Canadian provinces. That rises from the principles of international law.

Concerning the "car pact", you should know that this pact favours only Ontario because it is only in this place that cars are built. I would even say that this pact is unfavorable for Canadian because they are in the obligation to buy cars from Ontario which are much more expensive than those available in the USA.

 I would finally like to ask Ehran what would be Canada without the Québec and its French tradition?
 
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AlbanyRifles    Here is a question for you   12/7/2006 8:58:14 AM
Okay, so Quebec becomes a separate nation.  What becomes of the Maritimes?  They will be cut off from the rest of Canada.  Can they stay attached?  Do they become part of the US?  Their own country? 
 
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verdunjp       12/7/2006 1:07:35 PM
The Maritimes can continue to be part of Canada. You don't need to be adjacent to a country to be part of it. Take the example of Hawaï which belonging to USA or all former french or british colonies that were belonging to France or GB. There is a big gap beetween them.   
 
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