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On Point

The Petraeus-Crocker Testimony


by Austin Bay
September 12, 2007

"Are we fixed yet?"

House Armed Services Committee Chairman Ike Skelton's question -- asked after Gen. David Petraeus' microphone failed to work -- is something of a metaphor both for Washington and Baghdad.

That microphone failure at the start of Petraeus' dramatic congressional testimony is an ironic reminder.

If it can go wrong, it will. Murphy's Law affects everything, but Gen. Murphy rules warfare. War is the effort where everything goes wrong, and the winner's art is to ultimately be less wrong than the loser. France's Georges Clemenceau provided a more elegant rendering: War is a series of catastrophes that results in a victory. It's why perseverance and will are the traits of victors. Murphy's Law also rules well-prepared and long-anticipated congressional testimony.

But from now on, every mid-level Iraqi ministry official is going to grin when a U.S. diplomat or reporter asks him how his reconstruction and maintenance operations are going. The sharp-tongued deputy will say, "Our parliament's microphones work."

And given the often-bitter congressional critique of the Iraqi government's various failures and faults, the wisecrack is well-deserved.

With their testimony, Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker are trying to get it fixed -- help repair and prepare America's politics.

In an article published by The Weekly Standard on July 25, 2005, I wrote: "Al-Qaida's jihadists plotted a multigenerational war. That means we must fight a multi-administration war, which means bridging the whipsaw of the U.S. political cycle. ... The Bush administration has not prepared the nation for that -- at least not in any focused manner. And that omission constitutes negligence. However, Bush critics who advocate withdrawal are even more negligent, for withdrawal without ensuring Iraqi stability is a self-inflicted defeat leading to extremely dire consequences. "

With the Petraeus-Crocker testimony, the Bush administration has finally begun to build that political bridge, albeit in an awkward, belated manner. The administration's Democratic opponents deserve no credit, however. These contemporary practitioners of the paranoid style in American politics have chosen angry theatrics and smear over common sense.

The next six to 12 months will determine if Petraeus and Crocker succeeded. If they do succeed, it will benefit both the Iraqi and American people, and ultimately benefit everyone on the planet who wants a more peaceful and prosperous 21st century.

In the near-term, the Petraeus-Crocker testimony produced two definite political losers: MoveOn.org and Iran. During her initial statement, Rep. Illena Ros-Lehtinen called attention to MoveOn's paid political smear published in The New York Times. The full-page ad featured a picture of Gen. Petraeus and dubbed him "General Betray Us."

The ad is, of course, puerile politics, the ill-considered offspring of MoveOn's Internet rants and the hard left's "new McCarthyism." Remember, the hard lefties rile at Ann Coulter-style attacks that call them traitors, but in their world it's business-as-usual to slur a professional soldier.

MoveOn's ad backfired -- and it was very much part of the testimony. Iran was the international loser. Petraeus' and Crocker's detailed discussion of Iranian malfeasance in Iraq was damning. Petraeus included the following in his prepared remarks: "We have also targeted Shia militia extremists, capturing a number of senior leaders and fighters, as well as the deputy commander of Lebanese Hezbollah Department 2800, the organization created to support the training, arming, funding and, in some cases, direction of the militia extremists by the Iranian Republican Guard Corps' Quds Force. These elements have assassinated and kidnapped Iraqi governmental leaders, killed and wounded our soldiers with advanced explosive devices provided by Iran, and indiscriminately rocketed civilians in the International Zone and elsewhere. It is increasingly apparent to both Coalition and Iraqi leaders that Iran ... seeks to ... fight a proxy war against the Iraqi state and coalition forces in Iraq."

When asked -- rather snottily -- by Rep. Tom Lantos if the United States would pursue diplomacy with Iran, Crocker replied that he had met with the Iranians and "the conclusion I came away with after a couple of rounds was that the Iranians were only interested in the appearance of discussion, of being seen at the table with the U.S. instead of actually doing serious business."

MoveOn.org will call Crocker a liar, but history will prove the ambassador gave us the unvarnished truth.

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DBLWYO    Broaden the Apeture   9/12/2007 11:46:30 AM
Austin - excellent, short, pithy and insightful as usual. Thanks for that summary. I'll pass by too much snideness regarding the MSM. As you continue to poke at this you might pursue your line of logic by pointing to the role and value of cultural understandings in peace-keeping and nation-building. For example the recent front-page WSJ article on the critical role that tribal knowledge has played in the suprising shift in Anbar ( To Understand Sheiks in Iraq, Marines Ask 'Mac' ). An equally interesting and relevant article is one by Walter Russell Mead on the historical role of values and religion in the rise of the West ( http://www.the-american-interest.com/ai2/article.cfm?Id=324&MId=15 ). Taken all together this would imply increased cultural training and skills development, a deeper investigation of what it means to build democracies, serious investments in and commitment to Unified Action and, last but most, the development of instruments of national policy dedicated to nation-building rather than leaving it to the DoD by default.
Dave Livingston
 
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Salamantis    Something the Testimony Missed   9/14/2007 8:46:08 AM
The Petraeus and Crocker testimony emphasized the meeting of the five top Iraqi political leaders, and their agreement to pursue benchmark legislation.  However, it did NOT mention the Cairo, Egypt meeting of six of the top Iraqi religious leaders, both Sunni and Shiite, and including both the senior Sunni cleric and Ayatollah Sistani's chief of staff, as well as Saddam Hussein's former personal Imam.  At that meeting, they agreed to "end terrorist violence, and to disband militia activity in order to build a civilized country and work within the framework of law."  They agreed to work towards the issuance of an unprecedented Sunni-Shiite fatwa against both violence and armed militias in Iraq.  Sistani has also invited the leading Sunni Imams to personally meet with him in Najaf, also an unprecedented step.
 
When the Iraqi goverment and the country's indigenous religions begin pulling in the same reconciliatory direction, it greatly increases the chances of favorable results.  One wonders, even marvels, at the oversight that omitted such an important event from the testimony.
 
The story of the Cairo meeting can be read here:
 
 
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