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StrategyPage's Prediction Market

"Many minds make quick work of uncertainty."

Event:	Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries.
Expires:	12/15/2008
Created:	07/02/2005
Pro Futures:	1091	Value:	1
Con Futures:	800	Value:	2

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Guruzilla RE:Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab coun 7/3/2005 3:26:03 PM

a.) does Pakistan count? b.) how serious an attempt, since a few are working on it all the time...

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Mike Moscoe RE:Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab coun 7/8/2005 4:42:46 PM

I agree that this thread is way to vague to be of any real use. There are guys and gals in just about every major Arab country that get up every morning and say to themselves ... What can I do today to overthrow this %&*# government. There needs to be a threashold established or this one is a met the day it was posted. Very poor standard to work with. Mike Moscoe

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CJH RE:Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab coun 7/8/2005 8:29:31 PM

Unfortunately, I don't have a clear idea as to your criticism. What is a "threashold"? If you mean any specific act such as an assasination, all I can say is that the end is more the point than the means of which there would be more than one. The key idea is that there will be a credible attempt to overthrow an Arab government by Islamic radicals.

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CJH RE:Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab coun 7/8/2005 8:33:07 PM

Pakistan is Baluchis, Pashtus, etc. Jordan and Saudi are Arab. The idea is that there will be more than just working on it, there will be violence and there will be people arrested and executed.

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