Prediction Market Details

	News As History - September 7, 2008
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StrategyPage's Prediction Market

"Many minds make quick work of uncertainty."

Event:	China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008
Expires:	12/31/2008
Created:	12/23/2007
Pro Futures:	5	Value:	217
Con Futures:	1300	Value:	1

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SimpleOldJarHead 1/9/2008 6:45:47 PM

Even the most optimistic estimates say 2010...

And they might as well paint a great big bullseye on the flight deck. I would guess its life expectancy in a conflict with the US or one of our allies would be about 15 seconds.

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Softwar 1/25/2008 3:16:37 PM

It will take at least a decade for the PLAN to deploy an operational carrier. The Viagra will become a floating hotel or theme park. Even then - the PLAN is likely to toast its own warship with a single bad landing or handling incident.

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