| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.61 |
Con
Win | Kim Jung Il Succession | World | 11/11/2009 | 12.05 | 1.09 | 160 CON | 174.48 |
Con
Win | A party to the Democratic partys nomination process files a law suit seeking to modifie or block the modification of the rules. | US | 11/1/2009 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 210 CON | 412.11 |
Con
Win | Leon Panetta resigns as the head of the CIA. | US | 11/1/2009 | 12.13 | 1.09 | 210 CON | 228.87 |
Con
Win | Sino-US Flare-up | China | 10/30/2009 | 17.13 | 1.06 | 328 CON | 348.33 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Un is designated the heir apparent, and Kim Jong Il moves out of the seat of power. The transfer of power proceeds smoothly, and without any internal strife or external pressure. | China | 10/21/2009 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 110 CON | 120.91 |
Con
Win | Before the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 597.00 | 1.00 | 120 CON | 120.20 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by soldiers of the British Army while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 10.26 | 1.11 | 220 CON | 243.76 |
Con
Win | Israeli-Iranian Conflict | Middle East | 9/12/2009 | 10.85 | 1.10 | 220 CON | 242.35 |
Con
Win | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 120 CON | 154.24 |
Con
Win | An unclaimed firebombing of an ACORN office within the next three months will be vehemently blamed on "right wing extremsism" withoutsuppritng evidence...to incite violence against the right. | US | 9/1/2009 | 6.06 | 1.20 | 120 CON | 143.72 |
Pro
Lose | The swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people. | World | 8/28/2009 | 2.48 | 1.68 | 10 CON | 16.76 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| China | 8/23/2009 | 14.40 | 1.07 | 120 CON | 128.96 |
Con
Win | The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy. | US | 8/3/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians. | General | 7/30/2009 | 20.91 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.02 |
Con
Win | Obama visits Gaza. | US | 7/20/2009 | 439.00 | 1.00 | 40 CON | 40.09 |
Con
Lose | Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" Government | China | 7/1/2009 | 28.16 | 1.04 | 10 PRO | 281.60 |
Con
Win | Roland Burris resigns his recently appointed Senate seat. | US | 6/30/2009 | 2.15 | 1.87 | 10 CON | 18.72 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies. | General | 6/30/2009 | 5.21 | 1.24 | 60 CON | 74.24 |
Con
Win | A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised. | Terrorism | 6/30/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Lose | After six months, President Obama still will not have filled his Cabinet (Dept Secretaries, NSA, WH CoS). | US | 6/21/2009 | 2.14 | 1.88 | 40 PRO | 85.54 |
Con
Win | A major terrorist attack on US soil within 180 days of Obama Inauguration | Terrorism | 6/20/2009 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 10 CON | 16.67 |
Con
Win | Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. | Middle East | 6/9/2009 | 6.40 | 1.19 | 200 CON | 237.07 |
Pro
Win | US cuts DDG-1000 in new budget | US | 6/2/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | US cuts F-35 in new budget | US | 5/31/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | US cuts F-22 Raptor in new budget | US | 5/31/2009 | 1.08 | 13.44 | 10 CON | 134.40 |
Con
Win | Pakistan Collapses. | Middle East | 5/31/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Obama nominates Hillary Clinton to fill the Souter vacancy. | US | 5/26/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | EFV will be declared vital to national security and remain a viable program | US | 5/4/2009 | 11.25 | 1.10 | 105 CON | 115.24 |
Con
Win | President Obama normalizes relations with Cuba. | US | 5/2/2009 | 4.27 | 1.31 | 100 CON | 130.57 |
Con
Lose | Japan shoots down the North Korean missile launch. | China | 4/5/2009 | 10.90 | 1.10 | 5 PRO | 54.50 |
Con
Lose | A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel. | Terrorism | 4/1/2009 | 31.36 | 1.03 | 55 PRO | 1,725.00 |
Con
Win | US will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009. | US | 3/31/2009 | 49.50 | 1.02 | 230 CON | 234.74 |
Pro
Win | Israel election Feb. 10.
Likud wins and forms goverment. | Middle East | 3/27/2009 | 1.08 | 13.22 | 30 PRO | 32.45 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30 CON | 30.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30 CON | 30.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 30 CON | 95.40 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30 CON | 30.00 |
Con
Win | Russia places nuclear tipped missiles in Kaliningrad. The next presidents first crisis will be a move against NATO. | US | 3/21/2009 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 30 CON | 35.47 |
Pro
Lose | The next presidents first crisis will be the flight of investment capital in reaction to an anticipated explosion in taxes and regulation. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.44 | 3.29 | 10 CON | 32.90 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 30 CON | 36.64 |
Con
Lose | Thye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel. | US | 3/21/2009 | 9.26 | 1.12 | 30 PRO | 277.88 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 12.04 | 1.09 | 30 CON | 32.72 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia. | US | 3/21/2009 | 8.50 | 1.13 | 30 CON | 34.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops. | US | 3/21/2009 | 14.42 | 1.07 | 30 CON | 32.24 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a war between India and Pakistan as a result of the terrorist attacks in Mumbai. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30 CON | 30.00 |
Pro
Win | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 100 PRO | 122.92 |
Con
Win | One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist. | US | 3/1/2009 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 165 CON | 192.00 |
Pro
Win | Benjamin Netanyahu elected next Israeli Prime Minister | Middle East | 2/23/2009 | 1.35 | 3.84 | 110 PRO | 148.79 |
Con
Win | US will attack territories under Pakistans administration before end of Jan 2009 | Terrorism | 2/1/2009 | 4.20 | 1.31 | 200 CON | 262.50 |
Con
Win | It will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died. | China | 2/1/2009 | 16.14 | 1.07 | 220 CON | 234.53 |
Con
Win | The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel. | Middle East | 2/1/2009 | 20.75 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.51 |
Con
Win | Caroline Kennedy will be appointed to replace Hillary Clinton as senator for New York | US | 1/23/2009 | 1.40 | 3.53 | 30 CON | 105.86 |
Con
Win | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 50 CON | 88.70 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 50 CON | 64.63 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.43 |
Con
Win | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 50 CON | 67.96 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.09 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 58.00 |
Con
Win | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.65 |
Con
Lose | Osama bin Laden will be killed by the end of 2008 | Terrorism | 1/1/2009 | 157.20 | 1.01 | 5 PRO | 786.00 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 55.82 |
Con
Win | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.23 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/1/2009 | 1.20 | 5.92 | 5 PRO | 6.02 |
Con
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000 | US | 1/1/2009 | 862.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.06 |
Con
Win | Venezuelan and/or Ecuadorian troops will engage in direct combat with Colombian forces. | World | 1/1/2009 | 6.14 | 1.19 | 50 CON | 59.74 |
Con
Win | China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 206.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.49 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 50 CON | 56.79 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 10 CON | 12.50 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 50 CON | 67.29 |
Con
Win | Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. | US | 12/19/2008 | 142.86 | 1.01 | 40 CON | 40.28 |
Con
Win | Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries. | Middle East | 12/15/2008 | 3.03 | 1.49 | 200 CON | 298.64 |
Con
Win | Boeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus. | US | 12/9/2008 | 3.77 | 1.36 | 200 CON | 272.33 |
Con
Win | The United States and Iraq fail to reach a security agreement that authorizes the US to maintain its troops in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/28/2008 | 4.01 | 1.33 | 5 CON | 6.66 |
Con
Lose | Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count. | US | 11/8/2008 | 2.48 | 1.67 | 10 PRO | 24.84 |
Pro
Lose | California will pass Prop 8 defining marriage as being between a man and a woman. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.74 | 2.35 | 5 CON | 11.77 |
Con
Win | Republicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 5 CON | 13.93 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 5 CON | 5.15 |
Con
Lose | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 100 PRO | 262.72 |
Con
Lose | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 10 PRO | 13.79 |
Con
Lose | Rep. John Murtha loses his seat to challenger Bill Russell. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.00 | 430.00 | 5 PRO | 5.01 |
Pro
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 10 PRO | 10.70 |
Con
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 5 CON | 7.62 |
Con
Win | October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October. | Middle East | 11/2/2008 | 5.81 | 1.21 | 170 CON | 205.35 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 250 CON | 253.93 |
Con
Win | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 10 CON | 12.11 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 10 CON | 12.87 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination). | US | 10/15/2008 | 51.75 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.20 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 414 CON | 448.51 |
Pro
Lose | The S & P 500 will be below 1000 | US | 10/7/2008 | 44.18 | 1.02 | 200 CON | 204.63 |
Con
Win | Sarah Palin drops out as McCains runnning mate. | US | 10/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Sarah Palin resigns as McCains VP candidate. | US | 10/5/2008 | 5.62 | 1.22 | 340 CON | 413.67 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs winn 100 or more games during the regular season. | Sports | 9/27/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 5 CON | 5.25 |
Con
Win | Joe Biden withdraws as Obamas running mate | US | 9/27/2008 | 39.60 | 1.03 | 220 CON | 225.70 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Governor Sanford as his VP running mate. | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Charlie Crist will be the republican VP nominee. | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Bobby Jindal will be the Republican VP nominee. | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.36 | 1.73 | 5 PRO | 11.82 |
Con
Win | Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate? | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.89 | 1.53 | 30 CON | 45.91 |
Con
Win | McCain picks Lindsey Graham as his VP. | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Governor Pawlenty as his VP running mate. | US | 9/5/2008 | 4.93 | 1.25 | 10 CON | 12.54 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Mitt Romney as his VP running mate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 123 CON | 286.71 |
Con
Lose | Riots break out at the 2008 Democratic Convention | US | 9/2/2008 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 20 PRO | 60.00 |
Con
Win | Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. | US | 9/1/2008 | 7.81 | 1.15 | 4 CON | 4.59 |
Con
Lose | Pollution mars Bejing Olympic games | China | 8/31/2008 | 1.11 | 9.77 | 10 PRO | 11.14 |
Con
Lose | Obama will choose Al Gore as his running mate. | US | 8/31/2008 | 31.85 | 1.03 | 10 PRO | 318.47 |
Con
Win | The 2008 Democratic Presidential ticket will be either Obama / Clinton or Clinton / Obama | US | 8/31/2008 | 183.00 | 1.01 | 30 CON | 30.16 |
Pro
Lose | Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for President | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 20 CON | 79.97 |
Con
Win | Senator Obama selects Bill Richardson as his VP running mate. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.19 | 6.37 | 5 CON | 31.84 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 73 CON | 75.77 |
Con
Win | Senator Obama selects Tom Daschle as his VP running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 5.56 | 1.22 | 10 CON | 12.19 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 30 CON | 41.29 |
Pro
Lose | The US Congress will either overturn the USAF tanker in its entirely or they will force the USAF to split the award between Northrop and Boeing. | US | 7/17/2008 | 1.21 | 5.70 | 20 CON | 114.04 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 20 CON | 22.22 |
Con
Win | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 150 CON | 161.61 |
Pro
Lose | The Democratic National Committee announces their 2008 candidate for the President of the United States of America before Fathers Day, June 15th. | US | 6/8/2008 | 1.52 | 2.93 | 50 CON | 146.43 |
Con
Win | Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war. | Middle East | 6/5/2008 | 3.94 | 1.34 | 30 CON | 40.22 |
Con
Win | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 50 CON | 69.60 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies | World | 6/3/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 110 CON | 145.05 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 71 CON | 79.69 |
Con
Win | Bear Stearns fails to find a buyer, and ceases to exist as a going business. | US | 4/15/2008 | 53.00 | 1.02 | 30 CON | 30.58 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 70 CON | 79.24 |
Con
Win | Simba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in March | World | 3/30/2008 | 62.10 | 1.02 | 130 CON | 132.13 |
