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November 22, 2009
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2Evil4U's Past Predictions
Last 30 DaysLast 90 DaysOverall
Wins00126
Losses0012
Winnings0.000.00(4.78)
ResultEvent
Category
Settled DatePro ValueCon ValueFutures OwnedValue
Con
Win
After winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms.US1/8/200823.501.0420 CON20.89
Con
Win
China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent.China4/17/200511.111.1020 CON21.98
Con
Win
Iran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment.World3/15/2005123.931.0120 CON20.16
Con
Win
EU ends the Ukraine election dispute.Russia1/30/20051.001.0020 CON20.00
Pro
Win
Mahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005.Middle East1/10/20051.0426.7220 PRO20.78
Con
Win
Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year.World1/4/20058.101.1420 CON22.82
Con
Win
EU launches sanctions on the Ukraine govt over the continuing electoral standoff there. EU refrains from referring the issue to the United Nations.Europe1/4/200523.421.0420 CON20.89
Con
Win
Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year.World1/4/20056.861.1720 CON23.41
Con
Win
US - North Korean Military Incident in the Sea of JapanGeneral1/4/20059.231.1220 CON22.43
Con
Win
Syrians withdraw 1/2 of troops from Lebanon, emphasis on troops in the northern part of the country but leave significant troop concentrations near BeirutMiddle East1/4/20059.431.1220 CON22.37
Pro
Win
While the reelection of George W Bush will prompt predictions of liberals and other leftists leaving America, no such exodus (at least not a statistically significant one) will actually take place. US1/4/20051.0334.9520 PRO20.59
Con
Win
In the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection.US1/4/20056.561.1820 CON23.60
Pro
Win
A Mid Major, either Boise State, Fresno State, Louisville or Utah will rise to #6 and receive a BCS bowl bid.Sports1/4/20051.1010.5350 PRO55.25
Con
Win
If George Bush wins the election he will dramatically increase the military presence in Iraq in an effort to bring the war to a conclusion.Iraq1/4/200513.801.0820 CON21.56
Con
Win
Military aircraft shot down deliberately by US in air to air combat before 1/1/2005Sci/Tech1/4/200514.431.0720 CON21.49
Con
Win
Nuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year.Terrorism1/4/20055.841.2120 CON24.13
Con
Win
Saddam is tried and executed before the end of the year.Iraq1/4/20055.001.2520 CON25.00
Con
Win
Russian Peacekeeping Troops Enter Iraq.Iraq1/4/200513.211.0820 CON21.64
Con
Win
Supreme Court Justice William Rehnquist will resign before Januay 1, 2005.US1/4/20054.151.3220 CON26.36
Pro
Win
There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year.US1/4/20051.157.5820 PRO23.04
Con
Win
Hijacking of oil supertanker ship, then sailed into major US port and blown up causing environmental disaster.Terrorism1/4/200535.401.0350 CON51.45
Con
Win
National elections in IraqIraq1/4/20052.761.57100 CON156.98
Con
Win
Breakaway republic from IndonesiaWorld1/4/200545.891.0220 CON20.45
Con
Win
U.S. combat troops sent to Columbia to fight narco-terrorists.US1/4/200528.761.0420 CON20.72
Con
Lose
Major Islamic terrorist attack attempted in Australia in the fortnight immediately before the Federal Election.Terrorism1/4/20057.441.1650 PRO372.11
Con
Win
UN imposes trade sanctions on Iran for failure to cooperate with IAE Comission.Middle East1/4/20056.891.1720 CON23.40
Con
Win
Islamic radicals stage revolution in Pakistan and take over government.World1/4/200515.991.0720 CON21.33
Con
Win
Terririst attack in Finland.Terrorism1/4/200520.081.0510 CON10.52
Con
Win
Chechnya granted independence by Russia.Russia1/4/2005186.811.0120 CON20.11
Con
Win
Fidel Castro dies, prompting a revolution in Cuba.World1/4/20059.421.1220 CON22.38
Pro
Win
The Federal Reserve will raise the Fed Funds rate at the December 14 meeting.US12/30/20041.0814.1420 PRO21.52
Con
Win
Italy will be attacked by Al Masry brigades and will leave Iraq.Terrorism12/30/200498.591.0125 CON25.26
Con
Win
Before December 13, Media Reports of Massive Election Fraud Causes Suspension of December 13 Electoral College Vote or a massive change in electoral vote.US12/22/200420.421.0520 CON21.03
Con
Win
With final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. US12/22/2004145.061.0150 CON50.35
Con
Win
Scott Peterson will NOT receive the death penalty for murdering his wife and unborn child.US12/22/20049.341.1220 CON22.40
Con
Win
Another hurricane (Category 1 or higher) will strike Florida this hurricane season.US12/6/200444.041.0220 CON20.46
Con
Win
Turkey will be accepted into the EUWorld12/6/200410.271.1120 CON22.16
Pro
Win
US and Iraqi government forces will claim victory in Fallujah without capturing/killing Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Iraq12/6/20041.0173.6120 PRO20.28
Con
Win
French Government publicly apologises to world for pocketing Saddams cash in exchange for votes at UNIraq12/6/2004104.081.0150 CON50.49
Con
Win
The AUC demobilization collapses, leading to a tacit alliance between the AUC and the Colombian government against FARC.World12/6/200414.991.0720 CON21.43
Con
Win
Dan Rather is found to be the source of the CBS-promoted anti-Bush CYA documents.US11/7/2004628.001.0020 CON20.03
Pro
Lose
Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary.US11/3/20043.741.3720 CON27.31
Con
Win
National League Team wins 2004 World Series.Sports11/3/20045.161.2420 CON24.81
Con
Win
Taiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring.China11/3/20045.021.2520 CON24.98
Con
Lose
National Missile Defense site in Alaska goes operational before the US presidential election.US11/3/20041.632.6020 PRO32.53
Con
Win
Anaheim Angels win World Series!Sports11/3/2004332.001.0020 CON20.06
Con
Win
Los Angeles Dodgers win World Series!Sports11/3/2004510.001.0020 CON20.04
Con
Win
Republicans pick up at least 5 seats in the US senate from the November 2nd, 2004 elections.US11/3/20045.661.2120 CON24.29
Pro
Lose
U.S. presidential election: The difference in the electoral vote totals of the Republican and Democratic candidates will be within 40 (for example, 289 to 249).US11/3/20042.041.9620 CON39.28
Pro
Win
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will hit $53 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004.World11/3/20041.0425.1720 PRO20.83
Con
Win
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will drop to $47 or less per barrel by November 2, 2004.World11/3/20044.781.2620 CON25.29
Pro
Win
George W. Bush is re-elected. US11/3/20041.383.6620 PRO27.52
Pro
Win
Whoever wins Florida wins the electionUS11/3/20041.0911.6140 PRO43.77
Con
Lose
Kerry revealed before Election Day to been given an Other-than-Honorable or Dishonorable Discharge from the U.S. military during the Vietnam WarUS11/3/20044.751.2720 PRO94.99
Con
Win
In response to an al Qaeda catastrophic act of terrorism on the US homeland, President George Bush will nuke bin Laden's suspected location (the border of Afghanistan/Pakistan).US11/3/20045.721.2120 CON24.23
Con
Win
John Kerry wins the Presidential election.US11/3/20044.451.2920 CON25.80
Con
Win
The percentage difference between Bush and Kerry in the Florida vote count will be less than 1%.US11/3/20044.371.3020 CON25.93
Con
Win
John Kerry elected President.US11/3/20042.571.6420 CON32.75
Pro
Win
President Bush wins reelection.US11/3/20041.343.9420 PRO26.81
Con
Win
Osama Bin laden will be caught before the US Presidential Elections.US11/3/20045.661.2120 CON24.29
Con
Win
Will Bush win a plurality of votes, but lose in the electoral college (e.g. inverse of 2000)?US11/3/200414.011.0820 CON21.54
Con
Win
John Kerry wins more than 60% of the popular vote for president on November 2.US11/3/20045.001.2510 CON12.50
Pro
Win
President Bush is reelected and receives more than 50% of the Popular vote.US11/3/20041.692.4550 PRO84.59
Pro
Win
Republicans maintain control of Senate.US11/3/20041.1110.0320 PRO22.21
Con
Win
The investigators of the CBS National Guard memo scandal make their report public before the Presidential election.US11/3/20047.051.1720 CON23.30
Con
Win
Homeland Security (FBI, CIA, Etc.) will announce they successfully foiled a terrorist attempt to disrupt the U.S. Presidential Election within one week of the Election.Terrorism11/3/20043.381.4220 CON28.40
Con
Win
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004.US11/3/20048.221.1420 CON22.77
Con
Win
George Bush will be assassinated before election.Terrorism11/3/200443.471.0220 CON20.47
Con
Win
In a move reminiscent of the 2002 New Jersey senate campaign, the democratic national committee replaces John Kerry with another candidate.US11/3/200452.201.0220 CON20.39
Con
Win
Catastrophic seismic event occurs on the West coast by election day.US11/3/200410.431.1120 CON22.12
Con
Win
Hostage takers in Iraq will issue a demand to US voters that seek an electoral outcome, vis-a-vis the US Presidential Elections.Terrorism11/3/20044.111.3220 CON26.43
Con
Win
High ranking white house official indicted for revealing id of covert CIA agent Valery Plame before elections.US11/3/200422.771.0520 CON20.92
Con
Lose
Kerry gets new campaign manager.US11/3/20042.461.6920 PRO49.15
Con
Win
Osama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections.Terrorism11/3/20045.391.2320 CON24.56
Con
Win
A major Terrorist attack somewhere in the Midwest in October results in mass casualties and leads Bush to indefinately postpone the 2004 Presidential Election and declares Martial Law Terrorism11/3/20044.141.3220 CON26.37
Con
Win
Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq.Iraq11/3/200412.481.0920 CON21.74
Con
Win
PLO and PA Chairman Yassir Arafat dies.Middle East11/3/200415.461.0720 CON21.38
Con
Win
Al Qaeda will conduct multiple simultaneous attacks using powdered anthrax in Washington D.C. and New York, shortly before the US Presidencial elections.US11/3/200426.551.0420 CON20.78
Con
Win
Al-Qaida will attempt several mass casualty attacks in the USA to influence the election.Terrorism11/3/20044.631.2820 CON25.52
Con
Win
Yasser Arafat killed in an IDF attack.Middle East11/3/20046.301.1950 CON59.44
Con
Lose
Responsibility for the Abhu Ghraib incident will be charged to an officer with rank lower than Lt. Colonel.US11/3/20042.351.7450 PRO117.55
Pro
Lose
Boston Red Sox win the World SeriesSports10/28/20043.211.4520 CON29.07
Pro
Win
Hamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan.World10/28/20041.0336.9720 PRO20.56
Con
Win
The Minnesota Twins win the 2004 American League Championship Series.Sports10/18/20043.221.4520 CON29.03
Con
Win
Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections.Terrorism10/9/200417.851.0620 CON21.19
Con
Win
Rash of wildfires throughout the Rocky Mountain region is connected to an Al'Qaeda or subsidiary; includes discovery/nullification of unexploded incendiary devices.Terrorism10/9/200410.411.1120 CON22.13
Con
Win
A Canadian Team Wins the X-Prize.Sci/Tech10/6/200425.121.0450 CON52.07
Pro
Win
The X-Prize is won, an attempt to privately launch a shuttle twice within 14 days.Sci/Tech10/4/20041.433.3450 PRO71.35
Con
Win
The U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home. Iraq10/3/200430.151.0310 CON10.34
Con
Win
North Korea is caught proliferating nuclear materials.World10/3/200410.231.1120 CON22.17
Con
Win
For his role in the National Guard memo scandal, Dan Rather resigns or is fired as anchor of the CBS Evening News by the 1st of October.US10/1/200424.371.0420 CON20.86
Con
Win
The Milwaukee Brewers finish above .500.Sports10/1/200444.021.0220 CON20.46
Con
Win
Tony Blair resigns as UK Prime Minister.Europe10/1/200449.081.02100 CON102.08
Con
Win
Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. Terrorism10/1/20046.971.1750 CON58.38
Con
Win
Congress overrides the Army's decision to cancel the Comanche.US10/1/200424.631.0450 CON52.12
Con
Win
North Korea attacks South Korea.World10/1/2004148.311.0120 CON20.14
Con
Win
Gen. Pervez Musharraf will be overthrown by Islamists in Pakistan.World10/1/200415.381.0720 CON21.39
Pro
Lose
Disclplinary action (of any sort)for the Abu Ghraib incident will be faced by an officer with rank of Brig. General or higher.US9/16/20041.383.6550 CON182.55
Con
Win
Bush campaign files lawsuit for collusion between Kerry campaign and MoveOn.org.US9/15/2004207.471.0020 CON20.10
Con
Win
Imam Ali shrine complex is raided succesfully, but major damage occurs to the shrine; thus, sparking a mass Shia upraising.Iraq9/15/200491.361.0120 CON20.22
Con
Win
Transport Bomb Attack Occurs--"The US Department of Homeland Security has warned that bombs hidden in luggage could be used to attack buses and railways in big US cities this summer." (BBC)Terrorism9/15/20049.431.1220 CON22.37
Con
Win
WMD attack against London. Terrorism9/7/20048.391.1420 CON22.71
Pro
Win
300 people arrested during Republican National Convention.US9/4/20041.138.7520 PRO22.58
Pro
Win
Bush's approval rating 50+% after RNC.US9/4/20041.294.4020 PRO25.88
Con
Win
Russian authorities diffuse "school hostage crisis" without civlian casualtiesTerrorism9/3/200416.251.0720 CON21.31
Con
Lose
Dick Cheney announces that he will not seek the Vice-Presidency in 2004.US9/3/20043.191.46100 PRO319.04
Con
Win
Terrorist attack somewhere in the United States on September 2nd the day President Bush gives his speech at the RNC.Terrorism9/2/20045.651.2220 CON24.31
Con
Win
Peace efforts in Najaf fail and the Imam Ali shrine complex is raided to evict Muqtada al Sadr and his army.Iraq9/1/20044.071.3370 CON92.79
Con
Win
oil closes above $50.00World9/1/20046.091.2020 CON23.93
Pro
Win
Iran is found to be actively supporting sabotage and/or terrorism within Iraq.Iraq8/30/20041.0813.48100 PRO108.01
Con
Win
Terrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games.Terrorism8/30/20042.041.9650 CON97.87
Con
Win
President Bush will attend the Olympics in Greece.US8/28/200419.311.0520 CON21.09
Con
Win
An explosion severely damages the Imam Ali shrine. Iraq8/27/200410.701.1020 CON22.06
Con
Win
Will the italian government be forced to retreat troops from Iraq by the fall of 2004?Iraq8/15/20048.881.1320 CON22.54
Pro
Lose
Major Chenchen attack in RussiaRussia8/1/20041.772.3050 CON115.05
Con
Win
Tom Vilsack will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/20042.881.5350 CON76.57
Con
Win
Bob Graham will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee.US7/25/20044.951.2510 CON12.53
Con
Win
Hillary Clinton will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee.US7/25/20045.441.2360 CON73.52
Con
Win
Bill Richardson will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/200416.841.0650 CON53.16
Con
Win
Wesley Clark will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/20045.471.2210 CON12.24
Pro
Win
John Edwards will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee.US7/25/20041.522.9310 PRO15.19
Con
Win
John McCain will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/20041.001.0010 CON10.00
Con
Win
Evan Bayh will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/200417.601.0610 CON10.60
Con
Win
Richard Gephardt will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/20042.441.7060 CON101.74
Con
Win
Chuck Hagel will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee.US7/25/2004106.501.0110 CON10.09
Con
Win
9/11 commission explicitly blames BushUS7/23/200414.741.0750 CON53.64
Con
Win
Successful Al'Qaeda strike in France.Terrorism7/14/20046.051.2050 CON59.89
Con
Win
As a result of the Abu Ghraib scandal, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld resigns.US6/30/200426.561.04100 CON103.91
Con
Win
Major terrorist attack on Montreal public rail system prior to 06/28/04 Canadian General elections. Terrorism6/29/200459.461.02100 CON101.71
Con
Win
Hillary announced as a Vice-Presidential running mate in 2004 election.US6/1/200411.481.1050 CON54.77
Con
Win
Civil war erupts in Iraq. Shiites, Sunnites, Kurds attack Coalitian Forces and increasingly also each other.Iraq6/1/20046.351.1950 CON59.34
Con
Lose
US opens the strategic oil reserves to ease fuel prices.US6/1/20047.681.15200 PRO1,536.12
Con
Win
Spain decides not to appear like they are intimidated by al Qaeda and keep their troops in Iraq.Terrorism6/1/20046.381.1975 CON88.94
Con
Win
Terrorist attack in Finland.Terrorism6/1/200488.401.0150 CON50.57
Con
Win
Highly sophisticated trojan virus program unleashed on the internet, more devastating than ever seen, variants plague internet for months. Sci/Tech5/1/20048.961.1350 CON56.28
Con
Win
USA led troops attacks the city of Najaf in Iraq and kill or arrest Al-Sadr. Iraq4/24/200461.001.0250 CON50.83
Con
Win
Hamas stages a terror attack against Americans in revenge for their leaders being killed by the Israelis. Terrorism4/22/200425.081.04100 CON104.15
Con
Win
Major Hamas attack against Israeli civilians, killing at least a hundred people. Terrorism4/22/200414.551.0775 CON80.54
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