| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 503.07 |
Con
Win | A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised. | Terrorism | 6/30/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.00 |
Con
Lose | The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 50 PRO | 72.94 |
Pro
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be the flight of investment capital in reaction to an anticipated explosion in taxes and regulation. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.44 | 3.29 | 100 PRO | 143.66 |
Con
Win | One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist. | US | 3/1/2009 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 100 CON | 116.37 |
Con
Win | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 100 CON | 217.20 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 150 CON | 156.28 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 200 CON | 232.00 |
Con
Win | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.23 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/1/2009 | 1.20 | 5.92 | 50 PRO | 60.17 |
Con
Win | Venezuelan and/or Ecuadorian troops will engage in direct combat with Colombian forces. | World | 1/1/2009 | 6.14 | 1.19 | 20 CON | 23.89 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 160 CON | 181.72 |
Con
Win | Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. | US | 12/19/2008 | 142.86 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.70 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.45 |
Con
Lose | McCain will be elected president of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.79 | 2.27 | 250 PRO | 447.60 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 128.70 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.34 |
Pro
Lose | The S & P 500 will be below 1000 | US | 10/7/2008 | 44.18 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.16 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.07 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.30 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Mitt Romney as his VP running mate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 20 CON | 46.62 |
Con
Win | The 2008 Democratic Presidential ticket will be either Obama / Clinton or Clinton / Obama | US | 8/31/2008 | 183.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.27 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 600 CON | 666.67 |
Con
Win | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 600 CON | 646.42 |
Pro
Lose | The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | Middle East | 1/11/2008 | 1.53 | 2.87 | 50 CON | 143.74 |
Con
Win | American will station the majority of its troops in the Kurdish North of Iraq and all ow the Shi'a and Sunnis fight it out. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 200 CON | 237.91 |
Pro
Win | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 50 PRO | 103.07 |
Con
Lose | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 100 PRO | 877.39 |
Con
Win | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 30 CON | 30.98 |
Con
Win | Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 1,471.50 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.03 |
Con
Lose | America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 100 PRO | 445.79 |
Con
Lose | Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count. | US | 1/8/2008 | 6.69 | 1.18 | 200 PRO | 1,337.82 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.39 |
Con
Win | Al Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 282.75 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.35 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.40 |
Con
Win | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.53 |
Con
Win | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.10 |
Con
Win | Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle East | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 256.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.39 |
Con
Win | India will attack millitant outfits in pakistan occupied kashmir, thereby beginning the World War 3 by 01-03-07 | Terrorism | 8/6/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 250 CON | 250.00 |
Con
Win | NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 218.96 | 1.00 | 200 CON | 200.92 |
Con
Lose | The 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07. | World | 8/6/2007 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 150 PRO | 357.94 |
Con
Win | Syria and Iran invade Iraq and set up insurgent puppet regime.
| Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 82.07 | 1.01 | 200 CON | 202.47 |
Con
Win | Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 9.79 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.69 |
Con
Win | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 200 CON | 221.24 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.61 |
Con
Win | The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 5.36 | 1.23 | 200 CON | 245.92 |
Con
Lose | US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 200 PRO | 738.29 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack two souther or western or midwestern American Cities simultaneously | China | 1/18/2007 | 263.90 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.38 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will stage an attack in Washington D.C. against the White House Pentagon or Capitol Building before the end of the year | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 285.52 | 1.00 | 200 CON | 200.70 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.06 | 19.14 | 200 PRO | 211.03 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 200 CON | 215.37 |
Con
Win | Al qaeda will stage a major attack against an American City, resulting in at least 500 people killed or injured. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 150 CON | 350.44 |
Con
Win | Iran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from Lebanon | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 121.33 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.17 |
Pro
Win | EU Constitution not ratified by the 25 member states. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 1.15 | 7.76 | 100 PRO | 114.80 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran before the November 7th election as "October Surprise". | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.04 |
Con
Win | Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 22.01 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 209.52 |
Con
Win | Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles | China | 12/30/2006 | 97.08 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.04 |
Con
Win | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 100 CON | 209.55 |
Con
Win | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 300 CON | 348.55 |
Con
Lose | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 200 PRO | 528.63 |
Con
Win | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.29 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 200 CON | 207.37 |
Con
Win | 22nd of August, Iranian Attack on Isreal | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 8.94 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 112.60 |
Con
Win | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 200 CON | 211.02 |
Con
Win | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 103.50 |
Con
Win | The United States will attack and destroy Iranian nuclear facilities by the end of April 2006. | Middle East | 6/1/2006 | 29.82 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 103.47 |
Con
Win | Christians somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-christians or destroy a non-christian place of worship between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006. | World | 3/12/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 200 CON | 200.00 |
Con
Win | US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 3.11 | 1.47 | 20 CON | 29.48 |
Con
Win | The U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program. | Middle East | 2/20/2005 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 20 CON | 23.79 |
Con
Win | The interem government due to govern Iraq between July 1 and elections next year does not last until elections, but resigns or is thrown out | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 12.32 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 108.84 |
Con
Win | In the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection. | US | 1/4/2005 | 6.56 | 1.18 | 20 CON | 23.60 |
Con
Win | Nuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 5.84 | 1.21 | 25 CON | 30.17 |
Con
Win | Russian Peacekeeping Troops Enter Iraq. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 13.21 | 1.08 | 40 CON | 43.28 |
Con
Lose | National elections in Iraq | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 2.76 | 1.57 | 50 PRO | 137.75 |
Con
Win | Someone dies because of political violence during the American presidential election campaign. | US | 11/7/2004 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 25 CON | 30.01 |
Con
Win | Hostage takers in Iraq will issue a demand to US voters that seek an electoral outcome, vis-a-vis the US Presidential Elections. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 50 CON | 66.08 |
Con
Win | AlQaeda will attempt a major attack on US soil within a week of the US elections, in order to influence electoral outcome, as well as to grab headlines | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 2.81 | 1.55 | 150 CON | 232.85 |
Con
Win | Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/3/2004 | 12.48 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 108.71 |
Con
Win | The U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home.
| Iraq | 10/3/2004 | 30.15 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.86 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair resigns as UK Prime Minister. | Europe | 10/1/2004 | 49.08 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.21 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. | Terrorism | 10/1/2004 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 200 CON | 233.51 |
Con
Win | Rather admits two documents forged and apologizes on TV. | US | 9/16/2004 | 6.87 | 1.17 | 100 CON | 117.05 |
Con
Win | Imam Ali shrine complex is raided succesfully, but major damage occurs to the shrine; thus, sparking a mass Shia upraising. | Iraq | 9/15/2004 | 91.36 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.22 |
Con
Win | Russian authorities diffuse "school hostage crisis" without civlian casualties | Terrorism | 9/3/2004 | 16.25 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.56 |
