| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.61 |
Con
Win | Kim Jung Il Succession | World | 11/11/2009 | 12.05 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 109.05 |
Con
Win | A party to the Democratic partys nomination process files a law suit seeking to modifie or block the modification of the rules. | US | 11/1/2009 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 100 CON | 196.24 |
Con
Win | Sino-US Flare-up | China | 10/30/2009 | 17.13 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 106.20 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Un is designated the heir apparent, and Kim Jong Il moves out of the seat of power. The transfer of power proceeds smoothly, and without any internal strife or external pressure. | China | 10/21/2009 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 20 CON | 21.98 |
Con
Win | Before the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 597.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.17 |
Con
Win | Israeli-Iranian Conflict | Middle East | 9/12/2009 | 10.85 | 1.10 | 200 CON | 220.31 |
Con
Win | $4.00/gal or above gas prices in US by labor day, 2009. | US | 9/3/2009 | 176.60 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.57 |
Con
Win | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 200 CON | 257.07 |
Con
Win | An unclaimed firebombing of an ACORN office within the next three months will be vehemently blamed on "right wing extremsism" withoutsuppritng evidence...to incite violence against the right. | US | 9/1/2009 | 6.06 | 1.20 | 200 CON | 239.53 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| China | 8/23/2009 | 14.40 | 1.07 | 200 CON | 214.93 |
Con
Win | Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians. | General | 7/30/2009 | 20.91 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 210.05 |
Con
Win | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 100 CON | 217.20 |
Con
Win | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 300 CON | 532.18 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 200 CON | 258.52 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 300 CON | 362.56 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.09 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 100 CON | 116.00 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 200 CON | 250.00 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 200 CON | 269.18 |
Con
Lose | Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries. | Middle East | 12/15/2008 | 3.03 | 1.49 | 200 PRO | 605.50 |
Pro
Lose | California will pass Prop 8 defining marriage as being between a man and a woman. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.74 | 2.35 | 100 CON | 235.48 |
Con
Lose | Republicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 100 PRO | 156.00 |
Con
Lose | Democrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.29 | 4.50 | 500 PRO | 642.76 |
Con
Lose | The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.85 | 2.18 | 100 PRO | 184.94 |
Con
Lose | Al Franken defeats Norm Coleman for the MN Senate seat in 2008.. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.26 | 4.90 | 100 PRO | 125.63 |
Con
Win | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 100 CON | 161.45 |
Pro
Win | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 100 PRO | 166.47 |
Pro
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 100 PRO | 107.02 |
Con
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 200 CON | 304.75 |
Con
Win | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.07 |
Con
Win | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.12 |
Con
Win | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 100 CON | 148.41 |
Con
Win | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 100 CON | 115.21 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.67 |
Con
Win | Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate? | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.89 | 1.53 | 100 CON | 153.04 |
Con
Win | Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. | US | 9/1/2008 | 7.81 | 1.15 | 100 CON | 114.69 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 103.79 |
Con
Win | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.14 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 111.11 |
Con
Win | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 107.74 |
Con
Win | Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war. | Middle East | 6/5/2008 | 3.94 | 1.34 | 171 CON | 229.26 |
Con
Win | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 100 CON | 139.20 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.31 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.24 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 113.21 |
Con
Win | Donald Rumsfeld will stay in his post at least for the remainder of the Bush Adm. | US | 1/24/2008 | 2.23 | 1.81 | 10 CON | 18.11 |
Con
Win | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 474 CON | 555.98 |
Pro
Win | The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | Middle East | 1/11/2008 | 1.53 | 2.87 | 255 PRO | 391.01 |
Pro
Win | Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.10 | 10.89 | 100 PRO | 110.11 |
Pro
Lose | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 350 CON | 679.75 |
Con
Win | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 110 CON | 124.15 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch Israel | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.98 | 1.51 | 200 CON | 301.07 |
Con
Win | Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 150 CON | 197.75 |
Con
Win | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 104.77 |
Con
Win | America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 200 CON | 257.84 |
Con
Win | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 200 CON | 236.84 |
Con
Win | Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.70 | 1.59 | 20 CON | 31.75 |
Con
Win | Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration. | US | 1/8/2008 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 10 CON | 15.80 |
Con
Win | Russia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran. | Middle East | 12/16/2007 | 9.01 | 1.12 | 200 CON | 224.96 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.77 |
Con
Win | Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees. | US | 11/29/2007 | 9.49 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 111.78 |
Con
Win | The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft. | US | 11/29/2007 | 6.15 | 1.19 | 100 CON | 119.42 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 300 CON | 343.65 |
Con
Win | Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007 | World | 8/6/2007 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 200 CON | 232.72 |
Con
Win | Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes. | World | 8/6/2007 | 3.26 | 1.44 | 10 CON | 14.43 |
Con
Win | Osama Bin Laden killed, body produced. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 5.20 | 1.24 | 200 CON | 247.65 |
Con
Win | Ford Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 100 CON | 231.41 |
Con
Win | General Motors will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 10 CON | 17.49 |
Con
Win | The 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07. | World | 8/6/2007 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 33 CON | 56.81 |
Con
Lose | Israel will withdraw for more settelments after the Gaza disengagment plan | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 100 PRO | 1,100.00 |
Con
Win | Bears win '07 Superbowl. | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 1.16 | 7.38 | 100 CON | 737.58 |
Con
Win | Seahawks will win the 07 Superbowl | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 36.93 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.78 |
Con
Win | Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In Exile | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 13.25 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.16 |
Con
Win | Ehud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli
Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 3.45 | 1.41 | 200 CON | 281.78 |
Con
Win | Israel will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran on the Iranian nuclear facilities.Iran will counter with terrorist attacks and open attacks on Israel and the Gulf States. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 107.69 |
Con
Lose | The US begins construction of an Isreali style fence along the Mexican-US border. | US | 1/18/2007 | 5.12 | 1.24 | 10 PRO | 51.18 |
Con
Win | Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.78 | 2.27 | 100 CON | 227.50 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran before the November 7th election as "October Surprise". | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 200 CON | 216.07 |
Con
Lose | Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 50 PRO | 86.49 |
Con
Win | A major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 2.95 | 1.51 | 100 CON | 151.23 |
Con
Win | At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 13.14 | 1.08 | 180 CON | 194.83 |
Con
Win | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 10 CON | 12.00 |
Con
Win | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 100 CON | 209.55 |
Pro
Lose | The current cease-fire in Uganda (between Uganda's government and the LRA rebels (Lord's Resistance Army) will be extended by both parties beyond the original September 12, 2006 agreement. | World | 10/21/2006 | 1.12 | 9.37 | 20 CON | 187.33 |
Con
Win | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 600 CON | 697.11 |
Con
Win | U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to Cypres | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 100 CON | 125.61 |
