| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Lose | A Monthly Average Of US Dollar Inflation Will Exceed A 16% Annualized Rate For Some Month Before Years End 2012. | US | 1/1/2013 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 616 PRO | 1,628.04 |
Con
Win | Class action lawsuit opens up the NFL to lesbian and transgender players. | US | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 200 CON | 200.00 |
Pro
Win | GM will still be owned by the Federal Government at the end of the Obama Presidency | US | 11/4/2012 | 1.59 | 2.69 | 100 PRO | 159.21 |
Con
Lose | Apocalypse will come. | World | 1/22/2012 | 10.45 | 1.11 | 100 PRO | 1,045.00 |
Con
Lose | Sarah Palin will run for president in 2012. | US | 10/5/2011 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 50 PRO | 101.21 |
Con
Win | Afghan campaign will dramatically improve for ISAF once herion trade disrupted significantly | Middle East | 9/1/2011 | 2.11 | 1.90 | 100 CON | 189.84 |
Con
Lose | Obama gets impeached.. | US | 6/30/2011 | 9.29 | 1.12 | 1 PRO | 9.29 |
Con
Win | War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella. | China | 1/1/2011 | 1,474.00 | 1.00 | 2 CON | 2.00 |
Con
Lose | Unemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010. | US | 12/31/2010 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 500 PRO | 2,750.00 |
Con
Win | A Republican wins one of the two NY US Senate seats. | US | 11/3/2010 | 6.10 | 1.20 | 51 CON | 61.00 |
Pro
Win | Health care reform passed by November 2, 2010 | US | 7/6/2010 | 1.02 | 67.50 | 103 PRO | 104.55 |
Con
Lose | Eric Holder resigns as AG. | US | 6/30/2010 | 11.91 | 1.09 | 2 PRO | 23.82 |
Con
Win | Russia attacks (with military forces) the Ukraine. | Russia | 6/30/2010 | 566.50 | 1.00 | 13 CON | 13.02 |
Con
Win | Chris Dodd gets indicted for the Countrywide Mortgage Scandal | US | 5/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.00 |
Con
Lose | China is unable to maintain its rate of economic growth, and slides into recession. This causes massive riots, and a state of civil disorder that results in another "Tianamen Square" massacre. | China | 1/2/2010 | 5.13 | 1.24 | 500 PRO | 2,564.10 |
Con
Win | War Between Israel and Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 15.90 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.71 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State. | US | 1/2/2010 | 63.10 | 1.02 | 410 CON | 416.60 |
Con
Win | Obama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees. | China | 1/1/2010 | 100.00 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 505.05 |
Con
Lose | More US soldiers for Afghanistan | US | 11/29/2009 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 3 PRO | 6.89 |
Con
Win | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 503.07 |
Pro
Win | The Yankees win the World Series. | Sports | 11/5/2009 | 1.12 | 9.38 | 100 PRO | 111.93 |
Pro
Win | Hoffman defeats Scozzafava in the NY 23 race. | US | 11/4/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2 PRO | 2.00 |
Con
Lose | Leon Panetta resigns as the head of the CIA. | US | 11/1/2009 | 12.13 | 1.09 | 100 PRO | 1,213.04 |
Pro
Win | The Yankees win the AL Pennant. | Sports | 10/26/2009 | 1.02 | 52.00 | 26 PRO | 26.51 |
Con
Win | The LA Dodgers win the NL Pennant, and represent the NL in the World Series. | Sports | 10/22/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6 CON | 6.00 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Un is designated the heir apparent, and Kim Jong Il moves out of the seat of power. The transfer of power proceeds smoothly, and without any internal strife or external pressure. | China | 10/21/2009 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 500 CON | 549.61 |
Con
Win | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 500 CON | 642.67 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| China | 8/23/2009 | 14.40 | 1.07 | 500 CON | 537.31 |
Con
Win | A major provocation by North Korea against South Korea. This may be an attack at sea at the northern limit line, an attack at the dmz, or another type of attack that stops short of an all out war. | China | 7/7/2009 | 13.07 | 1.08 | 500 CON | 541.42 |
Con
Win | Democrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race. | US | 8/31/2008 | 25.59 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.41 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.32 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 1000 CON | 1,145.48 |
Con
Win | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 1935 CON | 2,054.89 |
Con
Win | Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes. | World | 8/6/2007 | 3.26 | 1.44 | 500 CON | 721.44 |
Con
Lose | Osama Bin Laden killed, body produced. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 5.20 | 1.24 | 500 PRO | 2,598.51 |
Con
Win | The 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07. | World | 8/6/2007 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 100 CON | 172.14 |
Con
Lose | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 10 PRO | 836.00 |
Con
Win | Illinois will approve public funding for stem cell research. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.81 | 2.24 | 100 CON | 223.99 |
Con
Win | The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 5.36 | 1.23 | 235 CON | 288.96 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 500 CON | 538.43 |
Con
Win | Demotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections. | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.03 | 1.97 | 10 CON | 19.71 |
Pro
Win | EU Constitution not ratified by the 25 member states. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 1.15 | 7.76 | 500 PRO | 573.99 |
Con
Win | Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 529 CON | 1,253.89 |
Con
Lose | Jihadis attempt to assassinate Pope Benedict during his upcoming visit to Turkey | Terrorism | 12/30/2006 | 6.18 | 1.19 | 10 PRO | 61.76 |
Con
Win | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 20 CON | 24.01 |
Con
Win | The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 67.77 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 507.49 |
Con
Win | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 50 CON | 104.77 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 500 CON | 530.63 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 500 CON | 518.42 |
Pro
Lose | North Korea will launch its Taepodong-2 missle in defiance of the Inernational community. | World | 7/14/2006 | 2.22 | 1.82 | 50 CON | 90.82 |
Con
Win | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 500 CON | 517.52 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 500 CON | 557.31 |
Con
Lose | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 2 PRO | 36.44 |
Con
Win | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 500 CON | 568.05 |
Con
Win | Bashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region.
| Middle East | 4/10/2006 | 20.93 | 1.05 | 500 CON | 525.09 |
Con
Win | Colin Powell to become UN Secretry General | World | 4/10/2006 | 142.93 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 503.52 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 500 CON | 540.04 |
Con
Win | [Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s]. | US | 1/24/2006 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 100 CON | 137.15 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 500 CON | 625.00 |
Con
Lose | Michael Jackson will not be found guilty of child molestation by January 1, 2006. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.25 | 5.03 | 20 PRO | 24.97 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.21 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.49 |
Con
Win | Islamic terrorists will successfully smuggle WMD into the U.S. via Mexico. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 18.43 | 1.06 | 700 CON | 740.15 |
Con
Win | North Korea and Iran will form an alliance and try to nuke Israel. | World | 1/24/2006 | 175.08 | 1.01 | 269 CON | 270.55 |
Con
Win | Saddam escapes imprisonment, bargains his way out, is released, or is busted out by sympathizers. | Iraq | 1/24/2006 | 16.85 | 1.06 | 650 CON | 691.02 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi constitution, when put to a vote in October, will be rejected by the voters of 3 or more provinces and not go into effect. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 8.43 | 1.13 | 200 CON | 226.90 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 26.73 | 1.04 | 200 CON | 207.77 |
Con
Win | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 490 CON | 514.50 |
Con
Win | Regime change in Syria | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 17.30 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.07 |
Pro
Win | Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General | World | 10/7/2005 | 1.03 | 34.26 | 110 PRO | 113.31 |
Con
Win | US announces plans to privatize Fannie Mae | US | 10/7/2005 | 33.07 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 103.12 |
Con
Lose | Haliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. | US | 9/22/2005 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 100 PRO | 241.50 |
Con
Win | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 200 CON | 257.87 |
Con
Win | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 400 CON | 505.65 |
Con
Win | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 200 CON | 202.86 |
Pro
Lose | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st. | Sci/Tech | 8/10/2005 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 122 CON | 366.86 |
Con
Win | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 10 CON | 42.37 |
Con
Win | Conservative mullah elected president in Iran | World | 8/10/2005 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 60 CON | 117.44 |
Con
Win | Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks. | US | 7/6/2005 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 80 CON | 101.40 |
Con
Lose | Osama bin Laden caught or killed | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 35.66 | 1.03 | 10 PRO | 356.64 |
Con
Win | The U.S. will conduct aerial eradication of Afghan poppy fields during the 2005 growing season. | World | 7/6/2005 | 9.97 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 111.15 |
Con
Win | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 4th. | Sci/Tech | 7/6/2005 | 1.47 | 3.12 | 50 CON | 156.03 |
Con
Win | North Korea sets off a nuclear weapon | World | 7/6/2005 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 100 CON | 139.35 |
Con
Win | US invades Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 19.70 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.53 |
Con
Win | US invades Iran | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 36.84 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.28 |
Con
Win | Major Anthrax attack on the U.S. If delivered through the mail, will shut down the Postal Service for at least weeks, and cripple it for at least months. | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 11.84 | 1.09 | 110 CON | 120.15 |
Con
Win | Reunification of Korea by the ROK, defined as ROK boarder guards/troops on the Yalu following the collapse of North Korea. | World | 7/6/2005 | 8.63 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.31 |
Con
Win | Pentagon announces that XSS-11 microsat will be explicitly tested to fill ASAT role | Sci/Tech | 6/10/2005 | 33.56 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 103.07 |
Con
Win | Airstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 10.43 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.61 |
Con
Win | A medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005 | 24.89 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.42 |
Con
Lose | Syrian troops withdraw completely from Lebanon | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 2.21 | 1.83 | 10 PRO | 22.11 |
Pro
Lose | In May 5 British general election anti-war rebel MP George Galloway (Respect Coalition) will defeat Labour candidate Oona King in the Bethnal Green and Bow constituency. | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 2.47 | 1.68 | 3 CON | 5.04 |
Pro
Lose | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 2 CON | 62.09 |
Con
Lose | Robert Mugabe is re-elected President of Zimbabwe with 80% of the vote. | World | 5/11/2005 | 3.01 | 1.50 | 10 PRO | 30.11 |
Con
Win | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 410 CON | 422.16 |
Con
Win | The Next Pope Will Be From Latin America | General | 4/19/2005 | 3.16 | 1.46 | 58 CON | 84.84 |
Con
Lose | The next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union). | General | 4/19/2005 | 13.47 | 1.08 | 10 PRO | 134.67 |
Con
Lose | The next Pope will NOT be a European. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 100 PRO | 154.32 |
Pro
Lose | Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger is chosen to replace John Paul II as Pope | General | 4/19/2005 | 4.05 | 1.33 | 10 CON | 13.28 |
