| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | Terrorists will kill more than 20,000 American civilians by April 2013. | Terrorism | 4/15/2013 | 4.78 | 1.26 | 1155 CON | 1,460.55 |
Con
Win | Lebanon devolves into civil war as a result of the conflict in Syria. | Middle East | 4/15/2013 | 19.60 | 1.05 | 930 CON | 980.00 |
Con
Win | Ahmedinajad gets removed from his position in Iran, either voluntarily (he is forced from the position, but lives) or involuntarily (he is assasinated). | Middle East | 4/15/2013 | 7.40 | 1.16 | 210 CON | 242.81 |
Con
Win | The next Pope chosen will be an American. | World | 3/13/2013 | 31.00 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.33 |
Con
Win | The next Pope chosen will be from Africa. | World | 3/13/2013 | 2.61 | 1.62 | 120 CON | 194.38 |
Con
Lose | The next Pope chosen will be from Asia. | World | 3/13/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | The next Pope chosen will be from South America. | World | 3/13/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Israel launches an attack on Gaza that includes ground forces. | Middle East | 3/7/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Italy leaves the Euro. | Europe | 2/13/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | The 49ers beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/13/2013 | 1.07 | 16.00 | 15 PRO | 16.00 |
Con
Win | Naval Clash in the South China Seas between China and another country. | China | 2/13/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2 CON | 2.00 |
Pro
Win | John Kerry is the next Secretary of State. | US | 1/30/2013 | 1.06 | 17.00 | 15 PRO | 15.94 |
Con
Win | John Kerry becomes Secretary of Defense. | US | 1/30/2013 | 31.00 | 1.03 | 30 CON | 31.00 |
Con
Win | Nuclear device detonated in an American population center. | US | 1/26/2013 | 27.03 | 1.04 | 920 CON | 955.35 |
Pro
Win | Regardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office. | General | 1/26/2013 | 1.01 | 88.73 | 10 PRO | 10.11 |
Con
Win | Iran exerts dominance over Iraq, before end of Obama 1st term. | Iraq | 1/26/2013 | 8.76 | 1.13 | 1685 CON | 1,902.18 |
Con
Win | Obama and Congressional leaders announce the US will join with the EU under a common government | US | 1/26/2013 | 18.32 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.58 |
Pro
Win | Chuck Hagel gets nominated as Secretary of Defense. | US | 1/13/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 PRO | 5.00 |
Con
Win | India and Pakistan sign a security and cooperation agreement ending 60+ years of mutual hostility. | World | 1/1/2013 | 5.05 | 1.25 | 1499 CON | 1,869.31 |
Con
Lose | Worst gasoline shortages since WWII with prompt calls in Congress to nationalize oil companies. | US | 1/1/2013 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 20 PRO | 96.86 |
Con
Win | Man made global warming disaster prophets will reverse direction in the face of record cold. Afterwards, they will warn that "greenhouse gases" cause ice ages. | General | 1/1/2013 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 20 CON | 26.43 |
Con
Win | US Congress with the President will outlaw ownership of gold by individuals in the US | US | 1/1/2013 | 30.09 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.34 |
Con
Win | Federal government rescues New York Times from bankruptcy. | US | 1/1/2013 | 77.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.13 |
Con
Win | US will remove its military from Afghanistan under pressure from the Afghan government. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 64.18 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Con
Win | Afghan government will pressure the US to remove its military presence from Afghan soil. | General | 1/1/2013 | 7.28 | 1.16 | 1150 CON | 1,333.20 |
Con
Win | President Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs. | US | 1/1/2013 | 824.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Win | US to experience Weimar style hyperinflation before the end of 2012. | US | 1/1/2013 | 8.36 | 1.14 | 10 CON | 11.36 |
Con
Win | Germany leaves the Euro. | Europe | 1/1/2013 | 5.28 | 1.23 | 1768 CON | 2,181.44 |
Con
Win | Class action lawsuit opens up the NFL to lesbian and transgender players. | US | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Mostly conservative Websites become blocked. Government declares cyber attack emergency. Situation remains unresolved and unclear. | US | 1/1/2013 | 11.33 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 10.97 |
Con
Win | Joint force including participation of Israel, Jordan and Saudi Arabia carry out air strike on Iran. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 34.05 | 1.03 | 170 CON | 175.14 |
Con
Win | Iran becomes a military dictatorship under the IRGC. No civilian rule. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 3.86 | 1.35 | 321 CON | 433.16 |
Con
Win | gold will fall below $1400 by 12/31/12 | General | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Gold will fall below $1400 per oz by 12/31/12 | Europe | 1/1/2013 | 63.20 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Con
Win | The Syrian civil war expands to include Iraq. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.00 |
Con
Win | Spain exits the Euro. | Europe | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Chen Guangcheng becomes the figurehead for domestic unrest in China, causing massive economic damage by the end of the year.
| China | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Gold hits $2,000 an ounce. | General | 1/1/2013 | 19.31 | 1.05 | 6 CON | 6.33 |
Con
Win | Greece and Turkey go to war over Cyprus. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | China attacks India by 2013. | China | 1/1/2013 | 27.50 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.38 |
Con
Win | Obama will be the last US president elected under the constitution of 1789 (completed 1787). | US | 1/1/2013 | 20.10 | 1.05 | 21 CON | 22.10 |
Con
Win | Congress passes law mandating purchase of savings bonds through employer witholding above and beyong that for taxes. | US | 1/1/2013 | 5.91 | 1.20 | 1930 CON | 2,323.08 |
Pro
Win | End of World fails to materialize | World | 12/21/2012 | 1.11 | 9.98 | 10 PRO | 11.11 |
Con
Win | National health Plan causes quality of care to severely drop in the US | US | 12/13/2012 | 3.75 | 1.36 | 150 CON | 204.55 |
Con
Lose | SECDEF Panetta remains SECDEF for Romney (al a "Gates"). | US | 11/16/2012 | 1.21 | 5.70 | 40 PRO | 48.51 |
Pro
Lose | Obama re-elected | US | 11/8/2012 | 2.14 | 1.88 | 10 CON | 18.77 |
Con
Lose | Republicans gain control of the Senate in the 2012 election. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.31 | 4.27 | 145 PRO | 189.31 |
Con
Lose | Obama will be a one term president. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.79 | 2.26 | 10 PRO | 17.92 |
Con
Win | Democrats regain control of the House of Representatives in the 2012 election. | US | 11/8/2012 | 7.63 | 1.15 | 110 CON | 126.58 |
Con
Win | Karzai is assassinated in coop. A tacit US complicity come to light after the fact. | Middle East | 11/8/2012 | 8.92 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.26 |
Con
Win | Todd Akin defeats Claire McCaskill for the Missouri senate seat. | US | 11/8/2012 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 75 CON | 122.81 |
Pro
Lose | Elizabeth Warren defeats Scott Brown for the Mass. Senate seat. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 38 CON | 149.76 |
Con
Lose | George Allen defeats Tim Kaine for the VA senate seat. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.08 | 13.20 | 10 PRO | 10.82 |
Con
Lose | Allan West wins re-election for his congressional seat. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.02 | 62.00 | 10 PRO | 10.16 |
Con
Win | The US presidential election ends in an electoral vote tie of 269-269 (its actually mathematically possible). | US | 11/8/2012 | 6.50 | 1.18 | 40 CON | 47.27 |
Con
Win | The upcoming elections this November are suspended. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | The Republicans increase their number of seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.07 | 16.00 | 10 CON | 160.00 |
Con
Win | Prior to the 2012 general election, documents will be provided proving that Pres. Obama is not a natural born citizen of the US. | US | 11/5/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Voters overiding concern in 2012 will be national security. | US | 11/5/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 14 CON | 14.00 |
Con
Win | Obama visits Israel before the 2012 election. | US | 11/4/2012 | 22.50 | 1.05 | 180 CON | 188.37 |
Con
Win | Tea Party Sunders, costs GOP next Presidential Election. | US | 11/4/2012 | 8.98 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.27 |
Con
Win | October surprise: massive rioting based on either race or unions in support of Obama in an attempt to sway or suspend the elections. | US | 11/4/2012 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 5 CON | 15.00 |
Con
Win | In an effort to shore up his re-election prospects, Obama orders US military action against Iran to take out their nuclear capabilities. | US | 11/4/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Turkey invades Syria. | Middle East | 10/16/2012 | 511.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.02 |
Con
Win | The UN takes military action in support of Turkey against Syria for the attack on the Turkish jet. | Middle East | 10/1/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40 CON | 40.00 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee becomes the Republican VP candidate. | US | 8/11/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Sarah Palin is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Jeb Bush is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012 | 6.50 | 1.18 | 10 CON | 11.82 |
Con
Win | Rob Portman (US SEN., OH) becomes the Republican VP candidate. | US | 8/11/2012 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.00 |
Con
Win | Allen West becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Rick Santorum becomes the Republican VP Nominee. | US | 8/11/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Rick Perry becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Win | NASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will successfully land on Mars in operational condition by the end of 2012. | Sci/Tech | 8/7/2012 | 1.24 | 5.10 | 80 PRO | 99.49 |
Con
Win | Hizballah takes over the Lebanese government. | Middle East | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Stephen Chu resigns or gets fired as the head of the DOE as a result of the Solyndra scandal. | US | 6/30/2012 | 216.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.02 |
Con
Win | The Euro ceases to exist as a currency. | General | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Animal rights or Ecological terrorists kill at least 1 civilian in the continental United States, whether as collateral damage, or as part of deliberately lethal terror attacks. | Terrorism | 6/30/2012 | 11.48 | 1.10 | 1095 CON | 1,199.50 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State in order to head the World Bank. | US | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Greece leaves the Euro, and goes back to the drachma. | Europe | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Majority of Liberal Supreme Court Justices will vote to completely overturn ObamaCare in an effort to boost federal, state and local Democratic election results November, 2012. | US | 6/28/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Pro
Win | The Miami Heat win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 6/28/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 118 PRO | 118.00 |
Con
Win | The Supreme Court severs and overturns the mandate, but keeps the rest of the legislation known as "Obamacare" intact. | US | 6/28/2012 | 10.27 | 1.11 | 1010 CON | 1,118.92 |
Con
Lose | The Supreme Court overturns "Obamacare" in its entirety. | US | 6/28/2012 | 1.22 | 5.45 | 170 PRO | 208.20 |
Con
Win | Rick Santorum is the Republican nominee. | US | 6/10/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Pro
Win | Scott Walker wins the recall election as Wisconsins Governor. | US | 6/6/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Military action against Iran. The coalition will be led by the US. This will not include an ground forces, unless Iran counterattacks into one of the neighboring countries. | Middle East | 6/5/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4 CON | 4.00 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich becomes the Republican nominee. | US | 5/31/2012 | 42.71 | 1.02 | 227 CON | 232.44 |
Con
Win | The Republican partys caucus/primary system fails to produce a clear nominee, and the Republicans have a brokered convention. | US | 5/31/2012 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 5 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The NY Rangers win the Stanley Cup. | Sports | 5/26/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The L.A. Lakers win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 5/22/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Blackhawks win the Stanley Cup. | Sports | 4/24/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Phil Mickelson wins the Masters. | Sports | 4/13/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6 CON | 6.00 |
Con
Win | Rory McIlroy wins the Masters. | Sports | 4/8/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6 CON | 6.00 |
Con
Win | Tiger Woods wins the Masters. | Sports | 4/8/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The "Arab Spring" comes to Russia, and Putin Falls. | Russia | 4/4/2012 | 18.00 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.59 |
Con
Win | At least one member of the Arab League attacks Syria militarily. | Middle East | 3/31/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2 CON | 2.00 |
Con
Lose | Greece defaults. | Europe | 3/31/2012 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 100 PRO | 149.96 |
Con
Win | Syria unleashes terror attacks, either by itself or through its proxies, against the Arabian countries (Jordan, Saudi Arabia, etc.) in the Arab League that have called for the boycott. | Middle East | 3/31/2012 | 21.55 | 1.05 | 5 CON | 5.24 |
Con
Win | War between Turkey and Israel. | Middle East | 3/31/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Obama has now said that the SEALs made the decision to kill Bin Laden. Obama throws the SEALs under the bus, and charges are brought against them. | US | 3/31/2012 | 1.28 | 4.57 | 72 CON | 329.11 |
Con
Win | The revolution in Syria succeeds in overthrowing Assad and the ruling leadership. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 57 CON | 67.40 |
Con
Win | Terrorists detonate either a nuclear device or a "dirty bomb" in Russia. | Russia | 3/2/2012 | 4.22 | 1.31 | 57 CON | 74.71 |
Con
Win | Obama decides not to run for a second term. | US | 3/2/2012 | 111.25 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.05 |
Con
Win | War on the Korean Peninsula. | China | 3/2/2012 | 14.65 | 1.07 | 20 CON | 21.47 |
Con
Win | Massive rioting in North Korea leades to civil disorder. | China | 3/2/2012 | 14.55 | 1.07 | 1 CON | 1.07 |
Con
Win | The Muslim Brotherhood takes over the Egyptian government, and marginalizes the army. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 7.03 | 1.17 | 48 CON | 55.96 |
Con
Win | Egypt and Israel go to war. Either side may be the aggressor. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 23.90 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.44 |
Con
Win | Obama is easily re-elected over republican Newt Gingrich and independent Charles Crist in 3-way race. | US | 2/19/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Pro
Win | The Giants beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/6/2012 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2 PRO | 4.00 |
Con
Win | An act of politically motivated act of terrorism perpetrated by a homegrown lone wolf in the US occurs. | Terrorism | 2/2/2012 | 1.13 | 8.50 | 4 CON | 34.00 |
Con
Win | Janet Napolitano loses her job as a result of Operation Fast and Furious. | US | 2/2/2012 | 4.18 | 1.31 | 77 CON | 101.18 |
Con
Win | Eric Holder resigns as a result of the ATF "gun walker" scandal. | US | 2/2/2012 | 8.40 | 1.14 | 44 CON | 49.95 |
Con
Win | Janet Napolitano resigns for reasons that have nothing to do with gunwalker or any other issue. | US | 2/2/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Lose | Khalid Sheik Mohammed does not stand trial or go before a military tribunal during the remainder of Obamas presidency. | US | 1/25/2012 | 1.17 | 6.95 | 126 PRO | 147.19 |
Con
Win | There is an assassination attempt on Sarah Palin. | US | 1/22/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Apocalypse will come. | World | 1/22/2012 | 10.45 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.06 |
Con
Win | Rick Perry becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/19/2012 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 10 CON | 12.22 |
Con
Win | EURCHF to go back to 1.50 | Europe | 1/13/2012 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 61 CON | 103.96 |
Con
Win | Herman Cain becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/9/2012 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 10 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Michelle Bachmann becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/4/2012 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 20 CON | 34.08 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012 | 10.20 | 1.11 | 45 CON | 49.89 |
Con
Win | Rick Perry wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Pro
Win | Mitt Romney wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 PRO | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Hugo Chavez dies. | General | 1/2/2012 | 51.00 | 1.02 | 5 CON | 5.10 |
Pro
Win | NASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will be successfully launched and on its way to Mars by the end of 2011. | Sci/Tech | 1/2/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 PRO | 20.00 |
Con
Win | Americans assisting forces opposing the LRA accused of suborning human rights abuses before end of 2011. | World | 1/1/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4 CON | 4.00 |
Con
Win | Tim Geithner resigns. | US | 1/1/2012 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 155 CON | 197.27 |
Con
Win | Samantha Powers leaves her post as special adviser to Obama, voluntarily or non-voluntarily. | US | 1/1/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The state of California experiences what would be called "sovereign default," but what the rest of us refer to as bankruptcy. | US | 1/1/2012 | 7.50 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.54 |
Con
Win | The Kim family gets deposed, and is replaced by a military junta. | China | 1/1/2012 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 58 CON | 67.12 |
Con
Win | The recently passed legislation, popularly know as "Obamacare," gets repealed. | US | 1/1/2012 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 86 CON | 107.99 |
Con
Win | The United States and Iran achieve a diplomatic break-through, and resume relations. | Middle East | 1/1/2012 | 4.52 | 1.28 | 105 CON | 134.80 |
Con
Win | President Obama gets removed from office by Congress invoking the 25th Amendment. | US | 1/1/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Vatican calls for a new crusade against extreme Muslim groups | Terrorism | 1/1/2012 | 33.55 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.31 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies. | World | 1/1/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Open revolt in China. | China | 1/1/2012 | 78.60 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.13 |
Con
Win | NPR gets defunded. | General | 1/1/2012 | 26.67 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.39 |
Con
Win | The fued between Ahmedinejad and Khamenei comes to a head, and Khamenei (or his loyalists) have Ahmedinejad removed in one form or another (ousted from his office, killed, exiled). | Middle East | 1/1/2012 | 4.29 | 1.30 | 120 CON | 156.43 |
Con
Win | The founder of wikileaks, Julian Assange, gets assassinated. | General | 1/1/2012 | 5.11 | 1.24 | 237 CON | 294.71 |
Con
Win | Israeli Strike Leads to War | Middle East | 12/31/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Obama voluntarily resigns from office before his term expires. | US | 12/31/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | War Between India and Pakistan | World | 12/31/2011 | 7.38 | 1.16 | 130 CON | 150.39 |
Con
Win | Valerie Jarrett leaves the White House in one way or another (resigns, retires, gets fired). | US | 12/31/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | At some point during the year The House of Representatives approval rating will be higher than Obamas. | US | 12/31/2011 | 17.66 | 1.06 | 10 PRO | 176.57 |
Con
Win | detroit files for bankruptcy in 2011 | US | 12/31/2011 | 10.35 | 1.11 | 27 CON | 29.89 |
Con
Win | The price of gold will hit or exceed $2,000 an ounce. | General | 12/30/2011 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 142 CON | 293.01 |
Pro
Lose | Bill Daley is forced out or resigns as Obamas Chief of Staff. | US | 12/8/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Civil War in Greece. | Europe | 12/3/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Military coup detat in Turkey. | Europe | 11/15/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11 CON | 11.00 |
Con
Win | Palestine gets statehood from the UN. | Middle East | 11/1/2011 | 8.95 | 1.13 | 159 CON | 179.00 |
Con
Win | Armed conflict between Turkey and Syria. | Middle East | 10/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Greece defaults. | General | 10/1/2011 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 5 CON | 5.56 |
Con
Win | Italy defaults. | Europe | 10/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 13 CON | 13.00 |
Con
Win | The President and the Republicans fail to reach a compromise on the debt ceiling, and no deal is made by midnight on 8/2/11. | US | 8/3/2011 | 7.00 | 1.17 | 10 CON | 11.67 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State. | US | 7/1/2011 | 59.00 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.17 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Nam (the eldest son) gets assasinated. | China | 6/30/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The government of Iran gets overthrown. | Middle East | 6/30/2011 | 1,177.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Win | Obama gets impeached.. | US | 6/30/2011 | 9.29 | 1.12 | 11 CON | 12.33 |
Con
Win | Turkey leaves, or is kicked out of, NATO. | Middle East | 6/1/2011 | 136.42 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.07 |
Con
Win | Mitch Daniels becomes the Republican nominee for President in the 2012 election. | US | 5/22/2011 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 10 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | The next terror attack in the US after Times Square will be initially blamed on either "right wingers" or tea partiers, by a mayor or higher level politician, long before the facts become clear. | Terrorism | 5/11/2011 | 109.40 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.09 |
Con
Win | The UN Commission formally accuses HizbAllah of the assasination of Rafik Hariri. | Middle East | 3/31/2011 | 27.52 | 1.04 | 13 CON | 13.49 |
Con
Win | Chavez, in an attempt to shore up his Bolivarian revolutionary credentials, invades Curacao. | General | 3/31/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6 CON | 6.00 |
Pro
Lose | Gas prices hit $5.00 a gallon by Labor Day. | US | 3/5/2011 | 4.29 | 1.30 | 15 CON | 19.57 |
Con
Win | Palestinian complaints about possible resumption of construction in Jerusalem lead to dissolution of peace talks, irrelevant of whether the construction was actually restarting. | Middle East | 2/23/2011 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.00 |
Con
Win | Russia will invade former soviet countries | Russia | 2/8/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The Pittsburgh Steelers win the Super Bowl. | US | 2/7/2011 | 30.00 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.69 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns to challenge Obama for the Democratic nomination. | US | 1/31/2011 | 24.77 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.42 |
Con
Win | In Afghanistan, Karzai Attempts to Negotiate a Separate Peace Without the US. | Middle East | 1/31/2011 | 5.18 | 1.24 | 140 CON | 173.48 |
Con
Win | Large battle between two blue water navies. | World | 1/30/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Nancy Pelosi resigns from the House. | US | 1/25/2011 | 111.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.09 |
Con
Win | War breaks out in Middle East and Israels first attack strategy is Syria. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 7.29 | 1.16 | 25 CON | 28.97 |
Con
Win | Iran announces they have the bomb. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 266.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.02 |
Con
Win | War in Korea. | China | 1/2/2011 | 90.10 | 1.01 | 11 CON | 11.12 |
Con
Win | Israel launches an air strike against Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 34.88 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.59 |
Con
Win | Iraq will become a weak Federal Republic with a strong Kurdish area, a Shi'a area under Iranian domination and a Sunni area that is in chaos. | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 45 CON | 81.42 |
Con
Win | Gas hits $6.00 per gallon. | US | 1/1/2011 | 83.20 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.06 |
Con
Win | Obamas policies towards Israel cause the current government to collapse, and a government more to Obamas liking to take its place. | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 10.66 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.04 |
Con
Win | Queen Elizabeth turns over most of her official duties to her eldest grandson, HRH Prince William. | Europe | 1/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Obama administration indicts senior elected official for authorizing torture. | US | 1/1/2011 | 23.29 | 1.04 | 1594 CON | 1,665.51 |
Con
Win | Obama makes diplomatic accomodation with Taliban allowing the US to disengage in Afghanistan without immediate loss of face. | US | 1/1/2011 | 26.97 | 1.04 | 20 CON | 20.77 |
Con
Win | usa will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike. | Terrorism | 1/1/2011 | 22.59 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.46 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheive a diplomatic brake through before end 2010 | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 7.60 | 1.15 | 40 CON | 46.06 |
Con
Win | Civil disorder in Russia. | Russia | 1/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella. | China | 1/1/2011 | 1,474.00 | 1.00 | 18 CON | 18.01 |
Con
Win | The head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists. | China | 12/31/2010 | 4.04 | 1.33 | 13 CON | 17.28 |
Con
Win | Obama Will Seek To Organize The National Community Down To the Grass Roots Level | US | 12/31/2010 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 30 CON | 51.25 |
Con
Win | USAF and NASA jointly develop the first ever Fighter jet working on non-gasoline fuels. | US | 12/31/2010 | 3.12 | 1.47 | 20 CON | 29.45 |
Con
Win | US to experience Weimar-style hyperinflation before end of 2012 | US | 12/31/2010 | 137.00 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.15 |
Pro
Lose | The FCC classifies broadband networks as common carriers under Title 2 of the Communications Act, giving the government control over pricing and access. | US | 12/31/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | President Hillary Clinton will order U.S. military forces NOT to intervene when Communist China attacks Taiwan in 2010. | China | 12/31/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | Unemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010. | US | 12/31/2010 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 20 CON | 24.44 |
Con
Win | Flight of major advertisers takes Rush Limbaugh off the air in all but a few markets. | US | 12/31/2010 | 12.20 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.89 |
Con
Win | Falkland Islands revisited | World | 12/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | President Obamas strategic arms reduction treaty will not be ratified by the Senate | US | 12/22/2010 | 1.56 | 2.78 | 40 PRO | 62.47 |
Pro
Lose | US casuaties in Afghanistan in 2010 will increase more than 50% from 2009 casualties | US | 12/13/2010 | 12.00 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.91 |
Pro
Lose | A Federal judge in Virginia is about to rule on the constitutionality of Obamacare. He will rule that the Obama Health Care Legislation is unconstitutional. | US | 12/13/2010 | 2.86 | 1.54 | 10 CON | 15.37 |
Con
Win | Iran military will be disabled by World super powers | Middle East | 12/1/2010 | 18.10 | 1.06 | 30 CON | 31.75 |
Con
Win | Christine ODonnell beats Coons for the Delaware senate seat in a major upset. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 24 CON | 24.00 |
Con
Lose | Barbara Boxer is defeated in her re-election bid. | US | 11/3/2010 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 20 PRO | 100.00 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least 4 seats in the Senate in the 2010 mid-term elections. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.27 | 4.70 | 120 PRO | 152.41 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least 30 seats in the House in the 2010 mid-term elections | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.82 | 2.23 | 120 PRO | 217.93 |
Pro
Lose | Roland Burris will not run for re-election. A republican wins his seat in 2010. | US | 11/3/2010 | 66.00 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.15 |
Con
Win | Republicans hold at least 50 seats in the Senate after the 2010 mid-terms. | US | 11/3/2010 | 18.62 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.57 |
Pro
Win | Nikki Haley gets elected as the Governor of South Carolina. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | The Republicans take back the House of Representatives in the 2010 mid-terms. | US | 11/3/2010 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 5 CON | 9.67 |
Con
Win | The Texas Rangers win the World Series. | Sports | 11/2/2010 | 24.00 | 1.04 | 23 CON | 24.00 |
Con
Win | The 2010 mid-term US Elections are cancelled. | US | 11/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 12 CON | 12.00 |
Con
Win | Russian Incursion into Eastern Europe | Russia | 10/30/2010 | 64.60 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Pro
Win | Rahm Emmanuel leaves his position as White House Chief of Staff to run for Mayor of Chicago. | US | 10/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Chavez gets thrown out of office in Venezuela. | World | 9/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | Sino-Japanese Asian Defense Sphere Incident | China | 9/24/2010 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 190 CON | 327.09 |
Con
Win | One or more civilians will be shot dead by uniformed officers (police/military) of an EU state other than the UK while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2010 | 26.80 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.39 |
Con
Win | War in the middle east between Israel and at least one (or more) of the usual suspects (Iran, Syria, Hizballah, etc.). Either side may be the instigator. | Middle East | 9/2/2010 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.00 |
Pro
Win | McCain defeats Hayworth in the Republican primary. | US | 8/25/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Roland Burris will not run for re-election. Another Democrate wins his seat in 2010. | US | 8/4/2010 | 1.31 | 4.19 | 510 PRO | 669.85 |
Con
Win | North Korean nuke test. | China | 8/1/2010 | 48.00 | 1.02 | 5 CON | 5.11 |
Con
Win | Israeli-Iranian Airspace Incident | Middle East | 7/31/2010 | 26.07 | 1.04 | 19 CON | 19.76 |
Pro
Win | Spain defeats the Netherlands on the World Cup. | Sports | 7/11/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 60 PRO | 60.00 |
Pro
Win | Health care reform passed by November 2, 2010 | US | 7/6/2010 | 1.02 | 67.50 | 10 PRO | 10.15 |
Pro
Win | After thorough investigation, links between the Times Square bomber and the Pakistani Taliban (TTP), are confirmed. | Terrorism | 7/6/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Israel allows, or fails to physically stop, at least one ISM or related groups ship from running the Gaza blockade before the end of this month, deliberately or not. | Middle East | 7/1/2010 | 44.33 | 1.02 | 125 CON | 127.88 |
Con
Win | Civil disorder in North Korea. | China | 6/30/2010 | 10.69 | 1.10 | 776 CON | 856.10 |
Con
Win | Rahm Emmanuel resigns as White House Chief of Staff to run for Mayor of Chicago. | US | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2 CON | 2.00 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong-Un (the youngest son) gets formally introduced as the successor to Kim Jong-Il. | China | 6/30/2010 | 9.07 | 1.12 | 565 CON | 635.04 |
Con
Lose | The Dow Jones Industrials will still be above 10,000 by June 30, 2010. | US | 6/30/2010 | 2.05 | 1.95 | 190 PRO | 389.22 |
Con
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average closes below 8000 by June 30,2010. | US | 6/30/2010 | 158.40 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.06 |
Con
Win | Gold price exceeds $1500 per troy ounce by June 30, 2010.
| General | 6/30/2010 | 42.60 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.24 |
Con
Win | North Korea implodes, and there is civil disorder. The Kim family is deposed, and the North is administered by the either the UN, the PRC, or an Asian coalition. | China | 6/30/2010 | 1,937.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Win | Carole Browner gets fired as a result of Climategate. | US | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Eric Holder resigns as AG. | US | 6/30/2010 | 11.91 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 109.17 |
Con
Win | Rahm Emmanuel resigns as WH Chief of Staff to run for Burris seat in the US Senate. | US | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | War between Venezuela and Colombia. | World | 6/30/2010 | 42.50 | 1.02 | 30 CON | 30.72 |
Con
Win | Keith Olbermann loses his job at MSNBC. | General | 6/30/2010 | 28.50 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.36 |
Con
Lose | The trial of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed is moved out of NY. | Terrorism | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3 PRO | 3.00 |
Con
Win | Rahm Emmanuel resigns or gets fired as White House Chief of Staff. | US | 6/30/2010 | 18.14 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 52.92 |
Con
Win | Russia attacks (with military forces) the Ukraine. | Russia | 6/30/2010 | 566.50 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.02 |
Con
Win | UN intervention necessary in Thailand | World | 6/15/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Win | Carly Fiorina is the Republican candidate for the US Senate. | US | 6/9/2010 | 1.01 | 137.00 | 10 PRO | 10.07 |
Con
Win | Ground intervention in Somalia | Terrorism | 6/6/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.00 |
Con
Win | One or more UK government ministers will invoke the Civil Contingencies Act on or before Thursday 3 June 2010
| Europe | 6/3/2010 | 11.71 | 1.09 | 810 CON | 885.63 |
Con
Win | The Taliban seize control of Pakistan in a coup detat (with inside help). | Middle East | 6/1/2010 | 269.20 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.04 |
Con
Win | United States Airport screening adopts profiling tactics to increase passenger safety. | Terrorism | 6/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Foreign Assistance in USA Gulf Oil Spill | US | 5/31/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Pro
Win | Times Square Bomber, American quickly captured. | Terrorism | 5/4/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6 PRO | 6.00 |
Con
Win | Obama proposes a surtax on natural gas, both in order to taise revenue and to help the green energy industry. | US | 5/2/2010 | 308.50 | 1.00 | 2510 CON | 2,518.16 |
Con
Win | Chris Dodd gets indicted for the Countrywide Mortgage Scandal | US | 5/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | North Korea will invade South Korea in order to focus the peoples attention on something other than their current problems such as hunger and as a last ditch effort for KIM to hold on to power | China | 5/1/2010 | 10.82 | 1.10 | 713 CON | 785.59 |
Con
Win | Former Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska files suit against the Public Integrety Division of the Department Justice. | US | 4/1/2010 | 5,000.00 | 1.00 | 4988 CON | 4,989.00 |
Con
Win | David Patterson resigns as Governor of NY. | US | 3/31/2010 | 1,301.00 | 1.00 | 1200 CON | 1,200.92 |
Con
Lose | A Mumbai style attack targeting US citizens occurs or is attempted. | Terrorism | 3/1/2010 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 100 PRO | 296.43 |
Con
Win | Janet Napolitano resigns or gets fired as a result of the recent terrorism incidents. | US | 3/1/2010 | 911.00 | 1.00 | 200 CON | 200.22 |
Con
Lose | Within the next 6 months, Israel will make a major incursion into the Gaza strip, involving missile attacks and ground troops, that lasts over 72 hours. | Middle East | 2/11/2010 | 8.47 | 1.13 | 101 PRO | 855.65 |
Pro
Win | Who Dat? Who Dat? Who Dat Dere Gonna Beat Dem Saints!?. The New Orleans Saints win the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/7/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 200 PRO | 200.00 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear weapon that it can launch against Israel by the end of 2010
| Middle East | 2/2/2010 | 18.25 | 1.06 | 14 CON | 14.81 |
Con
Win | Palestinian Power Shift. Hezballah is left as the dominant faction due to infighting between Hamas and Fatah, and lack of trust by the Palestinians between the two factions. | Middle East | 1/31/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 19 CON | 19.00 |
Pro
Win | The Saints beat the Vikings in the NFC Championship game next Sunday. | Sports | 1/25/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3 PRO | 3.00 |
Con
Win | The next US President will launch an investigation of the 43rd presidents handling of the war in Iraq within 1 year of being sworn in. | US | 1/21/2010 | 8.46 | 1.13 | 2788 CON | 3,161.71 |
Con
Win | Caroline Kennedy will run for Hillarys Senate seat the attainment of which being a necessary preliminary to raising money for a presidential campaign. | US | 1/21/2010 | 17.45 | 1.06 | 528 CON | 560.10 |
Con
Win | After one year, President Obama''s appointments will have fewer women and minorities than did President Bush''s at one year of his first term. | US | 1/21/2010 | 1.52 | 2.92 | 100 CON | 291.67 |
Pro
Lose | Scott Brown defeats Martha Coakley in the Massachussetts special election to fill Ted Kennedys seat. | US | 1/20/2010 | 1.55 | 2.81 | 116 CON | 326.00 |
Pro
Win | The Dallas Cowboys break their streak, and win a play-off game with Wade Phillips as coach.. | Sports | 1/10/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 PRO | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Senator Dodd loses his 2010 re-election bid, and a Republican takes his seat. | US | 1/6/2010 | 43.50 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.24 |
Con
Win | Us Treasury Secretary Geithner resigns. | US | 1/2/2010 | 4.87 | 1.26 | 357 CON | 449.33 |
Con
Win | The NY Times files for bankruptcy under either chapter 11 or chapter 7. | US | 1/2/2010 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 260 CON | 469.68 |
Con
Win | The Syrian government is unable to maintain control over the various factions. There is a revolt, and the ruling Assad family gets overthrown. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 26.40 | 1.04 | 20 CON | 20.79 |
Con
Win | China is unable to maintain its rate of economic growth, and slides into recession. This causes massive riots, and a state of civil disorder that results in another "Tianamen Square" massacre. | China | 1/2/2010 | 5.13 | 1.24 | 200 CON | 248.45 |
Con
Win | Formation of a Arab Gulf Treaty Organization. Any two or more of the following Iraq, Kuwate, Barain, Qutar, UAE treaty with the United States to suport each others defence. Formal name may varie. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 17.00 | 1.06 | 20 CON | 21.25 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2009.
| Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 3.68 | 1.37 | 863 CON | 1,185.35 |
Con
Win | Pakistan descends into civil disorder. Their army is deployed to crush the uprising. | World | 1/2/2010 | 12.60 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.86 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government is unable to maintin control, and the people revoly and overthrow the mullahs. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 11.09 | 1.10 | 20 CON | 21.98 |
Con
Win | As a result of the financial crisis, Russia loses it internally, and descends into civil disorder. | Russia | 1/2/2010 | 7.16 | 1.16 | 100 CON | 116.24 |
Con
Win | War Between Israel and Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 15.90 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.68 |
Con
Win | After the State dinner fiasco, Desiree Rogers goes under the bus. | US | 1/2/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State. | US | 1/2/2010 | 63.10 | 1.02 | 11 CON | 11.18 |
Con
Win | Nancy Pelosi is no longer Speaker of the House. | US | 1/2/2010 | 4.57 | 1.28 | 511 CON | 654.14 |
Con
Win | Gordon Brown is no longer Prime Minister. A Tory becomes the new English PM. | Europe | 1/2/2010 | 2.78 | 1.56 | 442 CON | 690.63 |
Con
Win | The Dow closes below 6,000. | US | 1/1/2010 | 3.21 | 1.45 | 290 CON | 421.51 |
Con
Win | The Dow closes above 11,000. | US | 1/1/2010 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 400 CON | 473.67 |
Con
Lose | Obama administration indicts former DoJ attornies for providing legal memos justifying torture. | US | 1/1/2010 | 15.50 | 1.07 | 10 PRO | 155.00 |
Con
Win | Obama administration indicts CIA and/or military interrogators for acts of torture. | US | 1/1/2010 | 15.50 | 1.07 | 120 CON | 128.28 |
Con
Lose | By the end of 2009, the Large Hadron Collider will have failed to detect neutralinos, gravitons, or the Higgs Boson | Sci/Tech | 1/1/2010 | 1.29 | 4.40 | 120 PRO | 155.33 |
Con
Win | The US will threaten to take Cuba to the UN security council, and start a propaganda campaign calling for war against Cuba, before 2010. | US | 1/1/2010 | 25.25 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.41 |
Con
Win | Initiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US. | General | 1/1/2010 | 9.71 | 1.11 | 900 CON | 1,003.34 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon (A-bomb or H-bomb) will be used in anger somwhere in the world before midnight Dec. 31 2009. Dirty bombs don't count. | World | 1/1/2010 | 8.75 | 1.13 | 470 CON | 530.63 |
Con
Win | President Barak Obama will launch a peacekeeping operation into Somalia | World | 1/1/2010 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 666 CON | 777.58 |
Con
Lose | Before the end of the year, one or more UK government ministers will invoke the Civil Contingencies Act. (Ends Dec 31 2009)
| Europe | 1/1/2010 | 8.82 | 1.13 | 10 PRO | 88.18 |
Con
Win | Afghan government collapses. | World | 1/1/2010 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.47 |
Con
Win | In the US, the draft will be re-instated before the end of 2009 | US | 1/1/2010 | 46.83 | 1.02 | 21 CON | 21.46 |
Con
Win | Obama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees. | China | 1/1/2010 | 100.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.10 |
Con
Win | The Indianapolis Colts go undefeated in the regular season. | Sports | 12/27/2009 | 1.30 | 4.33 | 50 CON | 216.67 |
Pro
Lose | There will be an al qaeda-style terrorist attack within the first 18 months of the new presidents term. | Terrorism | 12/26/2009 | 1.47 | 3.15 | 10 CON | 31.48 |
Con
Win | New Orleans Saints go undefeated. | Sports | 12/20/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | Price of Gold goes above $1200/ troy ounce | General | 12/1/2009 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 150 CON | 261.18 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Il dies. | China | 12/1/2009 | 59.28 | 1.02 | 1515 CON | 1,541.00 |
Con
Lose | More US soldiers for Afghanistan | US | 11/29/2009 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 40 PRO | 91.90 |
Con
Win | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.31 |
Con
Win | Kim Jung Il Succession | World | 11/11/2009 | 12.05 | 1.09 | 981 CON | 1,069.78 |
Pro
Win | The Yankees win the World Series. | Sports | 11/5/2009 | 1.12 | 9.38 | 309 PRO | 345.87 |
Pro
Win | The Republican Candidate defeats the Democratic candidate in the Virginia Gubernatorial election. | US | 11/4/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 PRO | 20.00 |
Pro
Win | Hoffman defeats Scozzafava in the NY 23 race. | US | 11/4/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | The Republican candidate (Harmer) defeats the Democratic candidate (the Lieutenant Governor) for Ellen Tauschers seat in the California District 10 special election. | US | 11/4/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.00 |
Con
Win | A party to the Democratic partys nomination process files a law suit seeking to modifie or block the modification of the rules. | US | 11/1/2009 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 297 CON | 582.85 |
Con
Win | Leon Panetta resigns as the head of the CIA. | US | 11/1/2009 | 12.13 | 1.09 | 710 CON | 773.79 |
Con
Win | Sino-US Flare-up | China | 10/30/2009 | 17.13 | 1.06 | 30 CON | 31.86 |
Pro
Win | The Yankees win the AL Pennant. | Sports | 10/26/2009 | 1.02 | 52.00 | 25 PRO | 25.49 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Un is designated the heir apparent, and Kim Jong Il moves out of the seat of power. The transfer of power proceeds smoothly, and without any internal strife or external pressure. | China | 10/21/2009 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 550 CON | 604.57 |
Con
Win | Before the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 597.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.02 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by soldiers of the British Army while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 10.26 | 1.11 | 516 CON | 571.72 |
Con
Win | $4.00/gal or above gas prices in US by labor day, 2009. | US | 9/3/2009 | 176.60 | 1.01 | 40 CON | 40.23 |
Con
Win | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 200 CON | 257.07 |
Con
Win | An unclaimed firebombing of an ACORN office within the next three months will be vehemently blamed on "right wing extremsism" withoutsuppritng evidence...to incite violence against the right. | US | 9/1/2009 | 6.06 | 1.20 | 36 CON | 43.12 |
Pro
Lose | The swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people. | World | 8/28/2009 | 2.48 | 1.68 | 20 CON | 33.51 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| China | 8/23/2009 | 14.40 | 1.07 | 19 CON | 20.42 |
Con
Win | The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy. | US | 8/3/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians. | General | 7/30/2009 | 20.91 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.50 |
Con
Win | Obama visits Gaza. | US | 7/20/2009 | 439.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.11 |
Con
Win | A major provocation by North Korea against South Korea. This may be an attack at sea at the northern limit line, an attack at the dmz, or another type of attack that stops short of an all out war. | China | 7/7/2009 | 13.07 | 1.08 | 8 CON | 8.66 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" Government | China | 7/1/2009 | 28.16 | 1.04 | 44 CON | 45.62 |
Con
Lose | Fidel Castro dies. | General | 6/30/2009 | 5.21 | 1.24 | 100 PRO | 521.46 |
Con
Win | A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised. | Terrorism | 6/30/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 19 CON | 19.00 |
Con
Win | Coup detat in Thailand | World | 6/30/2009 | 10.16 | 1.11 | 40 CON | 44.37 |
Con
Win | The UN commission announces that Hezballah was responsible for killing Hariri, not Syria. This sparks another civil war in Lebanon. | Middle East | 6/24/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | A major terrorist attack on US soil within 180 days of Obama Inauguration | Terrorism | 6/20/2009 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 10 CON | 16.67 |
Con
Win | Ahmedinejad fails to win the upcoming election in Iran. Mousavi (the principal opponent) gets enough votes to win, or at least force a run-off. | Middle East | 6/15/2009 | 115.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.09 |
Con
Win | Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. | Middle East | 6/9/2009 | 6.40 | 1.19 | 40 CON | 47.41 |
Pro
Win | US cuts F-22 Raptor in new budget | US | 5/31/2009 | 1.08 | 13.44 | 210 PRO | 226.88 |
Con
Win | Pakistan Collapses. | Middle East | 5/31/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 29 CON | 29.00 |
Con
Win | Obama appoints Deval Patrick to the Supreme Court replacing Souter. | US | 5/26/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Obama nominates Hillary Clinton to fill the Souter vacancy. | US | 5/26/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Pro
Lose | Norks explodes a bigger nuc. | World | 5/25/2009 | 1.35 | 3.86 | 10 CON | 38.57 |
Pro
Lose | Man Utd win 2008-09 Prem | Sports | 5/16/2009 | 1.02 | 48.10 | 60 CON | 2,885.75 |
Con
Lose | EFV will be declared vital to national security and remain a viable program | US | 5/4/2009 | 11.25 | 1.10 | 20 PRO | 225.00 |
Con
Win | President Obama normalizes relations with Cuba. | US | 5/2/2009 | 4.27 | 1.31 | 750 CON | 979.29 |
Con
Win | Japan shoots down the North Korean missile launch. | China | 4/5/2009 | 10.90 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.01 |
Con
Win | A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel. | Terrorism | 4/1/2009 | 31.36 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.66 |
Con
Win | US will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009. | US | 3/31/2009 | 49.50 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.21 |
Pro
Win | Israel election Feb. 10.
Likud wins and forms goverment. | Middle East | 3/27/2009 | 1.08 | 13.22 | 20 PRO | 21.64 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 20 CON | 63.60 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | Russia places nuclear tipped missiles in Kaliningrad. The next presidents first crisis will be a move against NATO. | US | 3/21/2009 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 24 CON | 28.38 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 10 CON | 12.21 |
Con
Win | Thye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel. | US | 3/21/2009 | 9.26 | 1.12 | 11 CON | 12.33 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 12.04 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.91 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia. | US | 3/21/2009 | 8.50 | 1.13 | 20 CON | 22.67 |
Con
Lose | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops. | US | 3/21/2009 | 14.42 | 1.07 | 12 PRO | 173.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a war between India and Pakistan as a result of the terrorist attacks in Mumbai. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30 CON | 30.00 |
Pro
Win | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 10 PRO | 12.29 |
Con
Win | One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist. | US | 3/1/2009 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 58.18 |
Pro
Win | Benjamin Netanyahu elected next Israeli Prime Minister | Middle East | 2/23/2009 | 1.35 | 3.84 | 120 PRO | 162.32 |
Con
Win | Chavez loses his proposed referendum. | World | 2/16/2009 | 1.62 | 2.63 | 160 CON | 420.00 |
Pro
Win | AFC team wins the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/1/2009 | 5.55 | 1.22 | 100 PRO | 555.45 |
Con
Win | US will attack territories under Pakistans administration before end of Jan 2009 | Terrorism | 2/1/2009 | 4.20 | 1.31 | 10 CON | 13.13 |
Con
Win | It will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died. | China | 2/1/2009 | 16.14 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.66 |
Con
Lose | Caroline Kennedy will be selected to fill the balance of Hillary Clintons term in the US Senate. | US | 1/23/2009 | 14.47 | 1.07 | 30 PRO | 434.00 |
Con
Win | Caroline Kennedy will be appointed to replace Hillary Clinton as senator for New York | US | 1/23/2009 | 1.40 | 3.53 | 20 CON | 70.57 |
Con
Win | George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president. | US | 1/20/2009 | 5.46 | 1.22 | 170 CON | 208.09 |
Con
Win | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 33 CON | 58.54 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 30 CON | 38.78 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 20 CON | 24.17 |
Con
Win | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 20 CON | 27.18 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 40 CON | 41.68 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 20 CON | 23.20 |
Con
Win | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 30 CON | 36.39 |
Con
Win | Osama bin Laden will be killed by the end of 2008 | Terrorism | 1/1/2009 | 157.20 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.13 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 20 CON | 22.33 |
Con
Win | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.05 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/1/2009 | 1.20 | 5.92 | 20 PRO | 24.07 |
Con
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000 | US | 1/1/2009 | 862.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.02 |
Con
Win | Venezuelan and/or Ecuadorian troops will engage in direct combat with Colombian forces. | World | 1/1/2009 | 6.14 | 1.19 | 10 CON | 11.95 |
Con
Win | China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 206.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.10 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 14 CON | 15.90 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney does not finish 2nd term. | US | 1/1/2009 | 4.87 | 1.26 | 130 CON | 163.60 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 10 CON | 12.50 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 50 CON | 67.29 |
Con
Win | Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. | US | 12/19/2008 | 142.86 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.07 |
Con
Win | Boeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus. | US | 12/9/2008 | 3.77 | 1.36 | 284 CON | 386.71 |
Con
Win | The United States and Iraq fail to reach a security agreement that authorizes the US to maintain its troops in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/28/2008 | 4.01 | 1.33 | 37 CON | 49.29 |
Con
Win | Sen. Ted Stevens(R) AK loses his bid for reelection. | US | 11/8/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count. | US | 11/8/2008 | 2.48 | 1.67 | 40 CON | 66.95 |
Pro
Win | California will pass Prop 8 defining marriage as being between a man and a woman. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.74 | 2.35 | 20 PRO | 34.76 |
Con
Win | Republicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 10 CON | 27.86 |
Con
Win | Democrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.29 | 4.50 | 10 CON | 45.02 |
Con
Win | The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.85 | 2.18 | 20 CON | 43.55 |
Con
Lose | Al Franken defeats Norm Coleman for the MN Senate seat in 2008.. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.26 | 4.90 | 10 PRO | 12.56 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.58 |
Con
Lose | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 20 PRO | 52.54 |
Con
Win | Barrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate. | US | 11/4/2008 | 31.33 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.33 |
Pro
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 20 CON | 304.80 |
Con
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state. | US | 11/3/2008 | 10.02 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.11 |
Con
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 10 CON | 15.24 |
Con
Win | October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October. | Middle East | 11/2/2008 | 5.81 | 1.21 | 120 CON | 144.95 |
Con
Lose | Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement | US | 11/2/2008 | 2.97 | 1.51 | 20 PRO | 59.47 |
Con
Win | The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President. | US | 11/1/2008 | 7.66 | 1.15 | 87 CON | 100.07 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Con
Win | The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008 | US | 10/31/2008 | 103.50 | 1.01 | 2 CON | 2.02 |
Con
Win | Tampa Bay beats Philadelphia in the World Series | Sports | 10/29/2008 | 16.00 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.67 |
Con
Win | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 20 CON | 24.21 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination). | US | 10/15/2008 | 51.75 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.20 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 15 CON | 16.25 |
Pro
Lose | The S & P 500 will be below 1000 | US | 10/7/2008 | 44.18 | 1.02 | 20 CON | 20.46 |
Con
Win | Sarah Palin drops out as McCains runnning mate. | US | 10/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | This is the year! After last winning the World Series in 1908, the Chicago Cubs win the world Series in 2008 | Sports | 10/5/2008 | 111.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.09 |
Con
Win | Sarah Palin resigns as McCains VP candidate. | US | 10/5/2008 | 5.62 | 1.22 | 10 CON | 12.17 |
Pro
Lose | Will history repeat itself? Last year, the NY Mets had a 7 game lead with 17 left to play. This year, they lead by 3 1/2 games with 17 left to play. Will the Mets choke again? | Sports | 9/27/2008 | 121.00 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.17 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs winn 100 or more games during the regular season. | Sports | 9/27/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 20 CON | 21.01 |
Pro
Win | New England Patriots will NOT go undefeated in the regular season in 2008. | Sports | 9/21/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 PRO | 20.00 |
Con
Win | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.12 |
Con
Win | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 100 CON | 148.41 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.26 |
Con
Win | Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the Republican presidental nominee for the 2008 presidential election. | US | 9/9/2008 | 50.19 | 1.02 | 20 CON | 20.41 |
Con
Win | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 200 CON | 230.41 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Governor Sanford as his VP running mate. | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 30 CON | 36.40 |
Con
Win | Charlie Crist will be the republican VP nominee. | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11 CON | 11.00 |
Con
Win | Bobby Jindal will be the Republican VP nominee. | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.36 | 1.73 | 10 CON | 17.33 |
Con
Win | Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate? | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.89 | 1.53 | 10 CON | 15.30 |
Con
Win | McCain picks Lindsey Graham as his VP. | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Mitt Romney as his VP running mate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 10 CON | 23.31 |
Con
Win | Riots break out at the 2008 Democratic Convention | US | 9/2/2008 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 10 CON | 15.00 |
Con
Win | Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. | US | 9/1/2008 | 7.81 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.47 |
Con
Win | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 100 CON | 102.38 |
Pro
Win | The Republicans will delay their convention because of Hurricane Gustav. | US | 9/1/2008 | 1.37 | 3.72 | 20 PRO | 27.35 |
Con
Win | Joe Biden will makes at least one verbal gaff during the DNCC in Denver. | US | 9/1/2008 | 1.06 | 17.67 | 10 CON | 176.67 |
Con
Win | Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination. | US | 8/31/2008 | 11.55 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 109.48 |
Con
Win | Governor Bill Richardson will be nominated for President by the Democratic party | US | 8/31/2008 | 13.90 | 1.08 | 14 CON | 15.09 |
Con
Lose | Pollution mars Bejing Olympic games | China | 8/31/2008 | 1.11 | 9.77 | 40 PRO | 44.56 |
Con
Win | Democrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race. | US | 8/31/2008 | 25.59 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.41 |
Con
Win | Obama will choose Al Gore as his running mate. | US | 8/31/2008 | 31.85 | 1.03 | 1 CON | 1.03 |
Con
Win | The 2008 Democratic Presidential ticket will be either Obama / Clinton or Clinton / Obama | US | 8/31/2008 | 183.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.05 |
Pro
Win | Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for President | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 100 PRO | 133.35 |
Con
Win | Obama picks Christine Todd Whitman for his VP slot. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 20 CON | 20.76 |
Con
Win | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 40 CON | 44.55 |
Con
Win | Sen. Obama will hint at, or designate, a woman running mate to secure his nomination by the democratic party | US | 8/15/2008 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 200 CON | 216.08 |
Con
Win | Senator Obama selects Tom Daschle as his VP running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2 CON | 2.00 |
Con
Win | NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 5.56 | 1.22 | 20 CON | 24.39 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 100 CON | 137.63 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 20 CON | 22.22 |
Con
Win | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.55 |
Pro
Lose | The Democratic National Committee announces their 2008 candidate for the President of the United States of America before Fathers Day, June 15th. | US | 6/8/2008 | 1.52 | 2.93 | 20 CON | 58.57 |
Con
Win | Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war. | Middle East | 6/5/2008 | 3.94 | 1.34 | 100 CON | 134.07 |
Con
Lose | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 90 PRO | 319.60 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies | World | 6/3/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 600 CON | 791.16 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 51 CON | 61.87 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 210 CON | 235.70 |
Con
Win | Bear Stearns fails to find a buyer, and ceases to exist as a going business. | US | 4/15/2008 | 53.00 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.19 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 5.88 | 1.20 | 20 CON | 24.09 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 20 CON | 22.64 |
Con
Win | Simba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in March | World | 3/30/2008 | 62.10 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Pro
Win | City of Vallejo CA. will avoid filing bankruptcy. | US | 3/15/2008 | 1.01 | 86.80 | 400 PRO | 404.66 |
Pro
Win | Boeing will have firm orders for at least 650 787 Dreamliners (all models) before the delivery of the first aircraft in May 2008. | Sci/Tech | 3/8/2008 | 1.01 | 79.00 | 190 PRO | 192.44 |
Con
Lose | The New England patriots win the Super Bowl and complete a perfect 19-0 season. | Sports | 2/3/2008 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 20 PRO | 51.31 |
Pro
Win | Before the next election in Russia, there will be at least one significant incident of violence or intimidation directed against a prominent person or group opposing Putin & those with him. | Russia | 2/3/2008 | 1.10 | 10.83 | 20 PRO | 22.04 |
Con
Win | Gen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. Nomination | US | 1/24/2008 | 479.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.04 |
Con
Win | San Diego Chargers will go to the 2007 Season Super Bowl. | US | 1/24/2008 | 1,044.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Pro
Win | Gov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse. | US | 1/14/2008 | 1.03 | 30.40 | 20 PRO | 20.68 |
Con
Win | Indianapolis Colts play in the 2007 season Super Bowl. | US | 1/14/2008 | 42.70 | 1.02 | 19 CON | 19.46 |
Con
Win | Legal challenge to use of Airbus A380 in US. | Sci/Tech | 1/13/2008 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 20 CON | 32.84 |
Pro
Lose | Georgian election disputes result in violence that either jails or injures more than 100 protestors. | World | 1/13/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | NASA will retire a Space Shuttle Orbiter by the end of 2007. | Sci/Tech | 1/12/2008 | 6.04 | 1.20 | 90 CON | 107.86 |
Con
Win | Airbus SAS will not sell more than 140 A350 XWB aircraft by December 31, 2007. | General | 1/12/2008 | 2.29 | 1.78 | 80 CON | 142.05 |
Con
Win | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 20 CON | 23.46 |
Pro
Lose | The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | Middle East | 1/11/2008 | 1.53 | 2.87 | 150 CON | 431.22 |
Pro
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006 | US | 1/11/2008 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 100 PRO | 168.95 |
Con
Win | Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire Primary | General | 1/11/2008 | 13.65 | 1.08 | 30 CON | 32.37 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/11/2008 | 1.00 | 1,002.00 | 50 PRO | 50.05 |
Pro
Win | Boeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007. | General | 1/11/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 PRO | 50.00 |
Pro
Win | The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | China | 1/11/2008 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 30 PRO | 46.24 |
Pro
Win | Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic Caucus | US | 1/10/2008 | 1.32 | 4.10 | 20 PRO | 26.45 |
Con
Win | Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. | World | 1/8/2008 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.06 |
Con
Win | Governor Doyle of Wisconsin will be indicted. | US | 1/8/2008 | 7.51 | 1.15 | 30 CON | 34.61 |
Pro
Win | Windows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating System | Sci/Tech | 1/8/2008 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 55 PRO | 90.09 |
Con
Lose | Not a single mile of federally financed hard-fence (not virtual) will be built on the Mexican border in 2007. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.26 | 4.87 | 110 PRO | 138.45 |
Con
Win | American will station the majority of its troops in the Kurdish North of Iraq and all ow the Shi'a and Sunnis fight it out. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 20 CON | 23.79 |
Pro
Lose | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 40 CON | 77.69 |
Con
Win | An administration official, US House representative or US Senator will publicly advocate restoring Saddam to power in Iraq in order to end what they will call chaos. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 14.31 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.50 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/8/2008 | 14.41 | 1.07 | 59 CON | 63.40 |
Con
Win | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 112.86 |
Con
Win | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.33 |
Pro
Lose | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 30 CON | 196.95 |
Con
Win | Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 13.40 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.61 |
Con
Win | The S&P will be over 1600 by the last day of this year. | US | 1/8/2008 | 353.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.06 |
Con
Win | The S&P 500 will be 1350 or lower on December 31, 2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 8.64 | 1.13 | 205 CON | 231.85 |
Con
Win | Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 1,471.50 | 1.00 | 80 CON | 80.05 |
Con
Win | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 20 CON | 25.45 |
Con
Win | Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 60 CON | 79.10 |
Con
Win | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.39 |
Con
Win | America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 190 CON | 244.95 |
Con
Lose | Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count. | US | 1/8/2008 | 6.69 | 1.18 | 100 PRO | 668.91 |
Con
Win | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 50 CON | 59.21 |
Con
Win | After winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms. | US | 1/8/2008 | 23.50 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.44 |
Con
Win | Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration. | US | 1/8/2008 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 50 CON | 78.99 |
Con
Win | Russia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran. | Middle East | 12/16/2007 | 9.01 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.25 |
Con
Win | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 80 CON | 113.09 |
Con
Win | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season. | US | 12/4/2007 | 2.60 | 1.63 | 30 CON | 48.79 |
Con
Lose | US fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUS | Russia | 12/4/2007 | 8.04 | 1.14 | 20 PRO | 160.77 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.08 |
Con
Win | Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees. | US | 11/29/2007 | 9.49 | 1.12 | 200 CON | 223.56 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World Series | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 73.77 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.27 |
Con
Win | The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft. | US | 11/29/2007 | 6.15 | 1.19 | 320 CON | 382.15 |
Con
Lose | Republicans React To Election. Giuliani In and Dobson Out. | US | 11/29/2007 | 1.04 | 23.50 | 10 PRO | 10.44 |
Con
Win | Bush Will Select A Successor And Replace Cheney With That Successor. | US | 11/29/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | Bush Will Conduct a White House Makeover. Conservatives Purged. Cheney And At Least Rice Will Be Gone To Purchase Peace With Democrats. | US | 11/29/2007 | 61.82 | 1.02 | 20 CON | 20.33 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 5 CON | 5.73 |
Con
Win | Al Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 282.75 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.07 |
Con
Win | Weapons of mass destruction ie. Chemical bio.
or atomic will be found by end of 2007 in Iraq.
however the Government will try to suppress this Info under NATIONAL SECURITIES ACT. | Iraq | 11/29/2007 | 101.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.50 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will will the National League Pennant | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 152.50 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.07 |
Con
Lose | The Milwaukee Brewers will win the National League Central Division. | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 10 PRO | 47.91 |
Con
Win | The Colorado Rockies win the World Series. | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 3.71 | 1.37 | 400 CON | 547.37 |
Con
Lose | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish over .500 | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 1.03 | 40.50 | 10 PRO | 10.25 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.04 |
Con
Win | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 32 CON | 32.98 |
Con
Win | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 20 CON | 21.24 |
Con
Win | Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle East | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 256.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.20 |
Con
Win | Civilian war deaths in Lebanon will exceed civil war deaths in Israel by at least a 10:1 ratio at 2006 year end (BBC news and Red Cross figures to be used in case of dispute). | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 1.18 | 6.55 | 20 CON | 131.00 |
Con
Win | John Bolton keeps his post as US Ambassabor to the United Nations. | US | 8/6/2007 | 15.95 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.67 |
Con
Win | The Dallas Mavericks will win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 7.76 | 1.15 | 20 CON | 22.96 |
Pro
Lose | The coup led by Fijian military commander Frank Bainimarama will succeed. | World | 8/6/2007 | 1.11 | 9.71 | 20 CON | 194.15 |
Con
Win | Segolene Royal will be elected President of France. | Europe | 8/6/2007 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 20 CON | 25.21 |
Con
Win | U.S. military will deploy Arabic language translation computer. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 23.06 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 104.53 |
Pro
Lose | WTI Crude Oil will be trading at or between $55.00-$60.00 (USD) a barrel by 01/31/07. | World | 8/6/2007 | 3.48 | 1.40 | 20 CON | 28.08 |
Con
Win | Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007 | World | 8/6/2007 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 20 CON | 23.27 |
Con
Win | India will attack millitant outfits in pakistan occupied kashmir, thereby beginning the World War 3 by 01-03-07 | Terrorism | 8/6/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Win | Apple's iphone will be a runaway hit ALL across NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE and will be SOLD OUT IN NO TIME.. | General | 8/6/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Sectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 334.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.06 |
Con
Win | Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 76.24 | 1.01 | 40 CON | 40.53 |
Con
Win | NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 218.96 | 1.00 | 150 CON | 150.69 |
Con
Win | year, 2007 NYC, will be attacked again by terrorist! | Terrorism | 8/6/2007 | 38.57 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.66 |
Con
Win | Ford Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 100 CON | 231.41 |
Con
Lose | The 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07. | World | 8/6/2007 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 100 PRO | 238.63 |
Con
Win | Syria and Iran invade Iraq and set up insurgent puppet regime.
| Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 82.07 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.25 |
Con
Win | Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 9.79 | 1.11 | 20 CON | 22.28 |
Con
Win | Israel will withdraw for more settelments after the Gaza disengagment plan | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 139 CON | 152.90 |
Con
Lose | UPS will cancel its A380F order leaving Airbus without any customers for the A380. | General | 8/6/2007 | 5.57 | 1.22 | 20 PRO | 111.48 |
Con
Win | Bears win '07 Superbowl. | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 1.16 | 7.38 | 20 CON | 147.52 |
Con
Win | Seahawks will win the 07 Superbowl | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 36.93 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.56 |
Con
Win | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 20 CON | 22.12 |
Con
Win | Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In Exile | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 13.25 | 1.08 | 40 CON | 43.26 |
Con
Lose | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 20 PRO | 58.80 |
Pro
Win | Hugo Chavez will be re-elected president of Venezuela on December 3rd | World | 1/18/2007 | 1.33 | 4.03 | 10 PRO | 13.31 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.24 |
Pro
Win | Former Sandinista leader Daniel Ortega will win the November presidential election in Nicaragua. | World | 1/18/2007 | 1.00 | 2,032.00 | 20 PRO | 20.01 |
Pro
Win | Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.08 | 13.02 | 30 PRO | 32.50 |
Con
Win | Taiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with China | China | 1/18/2007 | 7.13 | 1.16 | 20 CON | 23.27 |
Con
Win | expansion of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)by at least 1 additional member | China | 1/18/2007 | 4.71 | 1.27 | 30 CON | 38.08 |
Con
Win | Walid Jumblat is assasinated in Lebanon, sparking hostilities between pro Syrian and anti Syrian forces in Beirut, Israel uses this to invade Lebanon.
| Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 53.86 | 1.02 | 20 CON | 20.38 |
Con
Win | Finland applies for NATO membership. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 41.76 | 1.02 | 5 CON | 5.12 |
Con
Win | Israel will still be fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon in December, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 10 CON | 29.08 |
Pro
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2006 year above 11,000 | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.14 | 8.37 | 30 PRO | 34.07 |
Pro
Win | Israel's incursion into Gaza will not stop the Qassam rocket attacks | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 3.02 | 1.50 | 20 PRO | 60.37 |
Con
Lose | Illinois will approve public funding for stem cell research. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.81 | 2.24 | 100 PRO | 180.65 |
Con
Win | Malaysia the victim of a large-scale Islamic fundamentalist movement resulting in the overthrow of the current government. | World | 1/18/2007 | 9.54 | 1.12 | 54 CON | 60.32 |
Con
Win | Ehud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli
Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 3.45 | 1.41 | 80 CON | 112.71 |
Con
Win | Israel will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran, on the Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel will not be hidden it will be open war fare. Iran will counter with direct attacks on Israel. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2 CON | 2.00 |
Con
Win | The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 5.36 | 1.23 | 40 CON | 49.18 |
Con
Win | US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 20 CON | 27.43 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack two souther or western or midwestern American Cities simultaneously | China | 1/18/2007 | 263.90 | 1.00 | 60 CON | 60.23 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will stage an attack in Washington D.C. against the White House Pentagon or Capitol Building before the end of the year | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 285.52 | 1.00 | 40 CON | 40.14 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.06 | 19.14 | 100 PRO | 105.51 |
Con
Win | A civil war will break-out in Serbia over the political status of Kosovo. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 9.57 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.17 |
Con
Win | After Bush leaves office, Blair will follow him, and amid Democratic backlash to indict Bush appointees, another US terror attack will take place on the scale of 9-11 or the UK train attacks. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 76.50 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.26 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 60 CON | 64.61 |
Con
Win | US Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil War | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 9.08 | 1.12 | 5 CON | 5.62 |
Con
Win | Successful or not, there will be an attempt to carry out an attack on American citizens from Canadian soil. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 5.22 | 1.24 | 60 CON | 74.20 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 9.11 | 1.12 | 20 CON | 22.47 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro will be out of power by end of 2006. | World | 1/18/2007 | 4.32 | 1.30 | 2 CON | 2.60 |
Con
Win | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 2 CON | 2.12 |
Con
Win | The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 42.67 | 1.02 | 100 CON | 102.40 |
Con
Win | William Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations. | World | 1/18/2007 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 70 CON | 80.29 |
Con
Win | The US begins construction of an Isreali style fence along the Mexican-US border. | US | 1/18/2007 | 5.12 | 1.24 | 5 CON | 6.21 |
Con
Win | One or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel. | Sci/Tech | 1/18/2007 | 7.83 | 1.15 | 5 CON | 5.73 |
Con
Win | 1st Terrorist Nuke Will Be Of Pakistani Origin -designed or built there, or uses Pakistani fissionables. Can be a "dirty" device if it uses a chain reaction, or be captured w/o going off. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 4.28 | 1.30 | 5 CON | 6.52 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Iraq. | US | 1/18/2007 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 5 CON | 5.21 |
Con
Win | Saddam WMD found before 12/31/06 | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 79.00 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.26 |
Con
Lose | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006.
| World | 1/18/2007 | 6.12 | 1.20 | 40 PRO | 244.65 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World Series | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 499.67 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.10 |
Con
Win | Prince Fielder and Russ Branyan become the first two teammates to hit 60 home runs in a season. | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 26.90 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 51.93 |
Con
Lose | Demotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections. | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.03 | 1.97 | 25 PRO | 50.74 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan. | World | 1/18/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.50 |
Con
Win | Iran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from Lebanon | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 121.33 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.17 |
Con
Win | Castro dead. | World | 1/18/2007 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 20 CON | 35.33 |
Pro
Win | EU Constitution not ratified by the 25 member states. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 1.15 | 7.76 | 50 PRO | 57.40 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran before the November 7th election as "October Surprise". | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.04 |
Con
Win | Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 20 CON | 47.41 |
Con
Win | Rove's October Surprise - Scenario 1: Permanent tax cuts. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Jihadis attempt to assassinate Pope Benedict during his upcoming visit to Turkey | Terrorism | 12/30/2006 | 6.18 | 1.19 | 20 CON | 23.86 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda assasinates President
Bush.
| Terrorism | 12/30/2006 | 69.80 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.29 |
Con
Win | Internal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention. | World | 12/30/2006 | 9.19 | 1.12 | 20 CON | 22.44 |
Con
Win | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 100 CON | 152.40 |
Con
Win | A prominent Democratic Party politician (current or former: Senator, Representative, Cabinet Officer, or Governor) will be accused of financially benefiting from the U.N. Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 12.62 | 1.09 | 70 CON | 76.03 |
Con
Win | Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 22.01 | 1.05 | 25 CON | 26.19 |
Con
Win | United Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 11.81 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 109.25 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 50 PRO | 124.48 |
Con
Win | Interting of aircraft fuel tanks will be recognised by JAA/FAA as mandatory before end of 2006. To be installed in a/c capable of such modifications in a phased manner over several years. | Sci/Tech | 12/30/2006 | 2.18 | 1.85 | 50 CON | 92.40 |
Con
Win | A major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 2.95 | 1.51 | 20 CON | 30.25 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 50 PRO | 90.87 |
Con
Win | At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 13.14 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.65 |
Con
Win | A Hurricane hits the Iberian Peninsula during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 14.35 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.75 |
Con
Win | Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed. | US | 12/30/2006 | 8.55 | 1.13 | 20 CON | 22.65 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 21 CON | 23.10 |
Con
Win | Military conflict erupts between India and Pakistan. | World | 12/30/2006 | 9.21 | 1.12 | 30 CON | 33.65 |
Con
Lose | NY Attorney General Elliot Spitzer elected governor of New York state | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.14 | 8.20 | 20 PRO | 22.78 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will NOT run for a second term in the U.S. Senate representing NY State. | US | 12/30/2006 | 30.18 | 1.03 | 245 CON | 253.40 |
Con
Win | XM8 uses caseless ammo | US | 12/30/2006 | 153.91 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.65 |
Con
Win | Tainted MLB Records Will Be Tossed | Sports | 12/30/2006 | 17.19 | 1.06 | 25 CON | 26.54 |
Con
Win | The UN Security Council will impose new sanctions against the Iranian government in response to Iran's threat to resume its uranium enrichment programme.
| Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 17.95 | 1.06 | 21 CON | 22.24 |
Con
Win | Assad regime in Syria falls | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 19.39 | 1.05 | 20 CON | 21.09 |
Pro
Win | At least one house in Congress will change majority party in the Nov. election. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.44 | 3.30 | 80 PRO | 114.83 |
Con
Win | Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles | China | 12/30/2006 | 97.08 | 1.01 | 30 CON | 30.31 |
Con
Win | The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 67.77 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.30 |
Con
Win | Democrat Bill Nelson will NOT be re-elected to the U.S. Senate representing Florida. | US | 12/30/2006 | 14.52 | 1.07 | 20 CON | 21.48 |
Con
Win | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 80 CON | 167.64 |
Con
Win | Hamid Karzai will be overthrown in a coup or assassinated. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 10.94 | 1.10 | 20 CON | 22.01 |
Con
Lose | The Coup attempt in Thailand will fail | World | 10/21/2006 | 78.10 | 1.01 | 20 PRO | 1,562.00 |
Pro
Win | The current cease-fire in Uganda (between Uganda's government and the LRA rebels (Lord's Resistance Army) will be extended by both parties beyond the original September 12, 2006 agreement. | World | 10/21/2006 | 1.12 | 9.37 | 10 PRO | 11.20 |
Con
Win | Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars. | World | 10/21/2006 | 34.48 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.60 |
Con
Win | President Chen in Taiwan will be overthrown by the people and force to resign | China | 10/21/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | UN troop strength in Lebanon will reach 15,000 by the end of September. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 150.81 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.13 |
Con
Win | The International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine. | Sci/Tech | 10/21/2006 | 5.93 | 1.20 | 20 CON | 24.06 |
Con
Win | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 20 CON | 23.24 |
Con
Lose | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 100 PRO | 264.32 |
Con
Lose | I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation. | US | 10/21/2006 | 1.16 | 7.32 | 80 PRO | 92.66 |
Con
Win | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.08 |
Con
Win | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.15 |
Con
Win | Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, will be found/discovered in the Iranian embassy in Lebanon. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 468.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.04 |
Con
Win | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.24 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.06 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 300 CON | 311.05 |
Con
Win | Israel will retake a large portion of the Gaza Strip | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 14.83 | 1.07 | 36 CON | 38.60 |
Con
Win | 22nd of August, Iranian Attack on Isreal | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 8.94 | 1.13 | 120 CON | 135.11 |
Con
Win | Israel will succeed in detstroying Hezballahs mobile missiles | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 71.55 | 1.01 | 120 CON | 121.70 |
Con
Win | Kazahkstan government becomes offical (even if temporary) a pro-communist regime takes power. | World | 7/14/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 140 CON | 140.00 |
Con
Win | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 60 CON | 63.30 |
Pro
Lose | North Korea will launch its Taepodong-2 missle in defiance of the Inernational community. | World | 7/14/2006 | 2.22 | 1.82 | 20 CON | 36.33 |
Con
Win | Montenegro declares independence of Serbia by July 13, 2006. | Europe | 7/14/2006 | 3.23 | 1.45 | 50 CON | 72.40 |
Con
Win | Gold Reaches highest value in recorded history. When Iran announces their non-compliance with demands to stop enriching uranium.
| World | 6/1/2006 | 8.17 | 1.14 | 277 CON | 315.65 |
Con
Win | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 103.50 |
Con
Win | Chinese government abandons communism, turns to capitalist economy, but retains government leaders and most aspects of govt and laws stay the same (lack of human rights, etc.) | China | 6/1/2006 | 15.43 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.47 |
Con
Win | The United States will attack and destroy Iranian nuclear facilities by the end of April 2006. | Middle East | 6/1/2006 | 29.82 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 103.47 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.73 |
Con
Win | Morgan Stanley Dean Witter will no longer be an independent entity, either through a merger, acquisition, or sale. | General | 4/13/2006 | 34.00 | 1.03 | 111 CON | 114.36 |
Con
Lose | EU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China. | China | 4/13/2006 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 30 PRO | 330.00 |
Con
Win | Muslims somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-muslims or destroy a non-muslim place of worship, between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006. | World | 4/10/2006 | 1.59 | 2.68 | 100 CON | 268.18 |
Con
Win | The next Space Shuttle launch will occur in March 2006. | Sci/Tech | 4/10/2006 | 64.81 | 1.02 | 100 CON | 101.57 |
Con
Win | Bashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region.
| Middle East | 4/10/2006 | 20.93 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.51 |
Con
Win | Colin Powell to become UN Secretry General | World | 4/10/2006 | 142.93 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.35 |
Con
Win | Christians somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-christians or destroy a non-christian place of worship between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006. | World | 3/12/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.00 |
Con
Lose | The Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety. | US | 3/12/2006 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 20 PRO | 110.37 |
Pro
Win | Samuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 30 PRO | 45.84 |
Con
Win | Ariel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 15.42 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.94 |
Con
Win | A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 100.60 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.20 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.00 |
Con
Win | Fundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006 | 8.78 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 112.85 |
Con
Lose | Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East. | US | 3/12/2006 | 4.33 | 1.30 | 100 PRO | 432.59 |
Con
Lose | Turkey formally accepted into European Union. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 5.10 | 1.24 | 50 PRO | 254.95 |
Con
Win | Independent Palestinian state created. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 12.76 | 1.09 | 65 CON | 70.53 |
Con
Win | Zarqawi will be captured with help from Al-Zwahiri | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 901.50 | 1.00 | 180 CON | 180.20 |
Con
Win | Iran stops/restricts oil export and causes significant rise in crude oil prices. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 228.67 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.22 |
Con
Lose | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 10 PRO | 74.68 |
Con
Win | The Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.74 | 1.11 | 30 CON | 33.43 |
Pro
Win | Karl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.57 | 2.76 | 28 PRO | 43.92 |
Con
Win | Democrats & EU leaders call for Bush to resign over the Katrina tragedy. France renews UN talks on Kyoto. Whitehouse expedites NATO troop recall for redeployment to Katrina-hit disaster areas. | US | 1/24/2006 | 175.80 | 1.01 | 30 CON | 30.17 |
Con
Win | There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.14 | 1.12 | 40 CON | 44.91 |
Con
Win | Islamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 16.26 | 1.07 | 20 CON | 21.31 |
Con
Win | Asian Bird Flu is Red Chinese biowar WMD. | China | 1/24/2006 | 145.90 | 1.01 | 60 CON | 60.41 |
Pro
Lose | The price of a barrel of oil will top $70 USD. | World | 1/24/2006 | 1.95 | 2.06 | 55 CON | 113.08 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 50 CON | 62.50 |
Con
Win | Saddam Hussein is featured in a Cheetos or Doritos commercial. | Iraq | 1/24/2006 | 38.13 | 1.03 | 30 CON | 30.81 |
Con
Win | A communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself). | World | 1/24/2006 | 35.42 | 1.03 | 65 CON | 66.89 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close below 8,500 at least once by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 128.50 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.39 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 100 PRO | 109.86 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/24/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 20 CON | 24.01 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.21 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.01 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 20 CON | 22.20 |
Con
Win | Major vote fraud allegations in the Washington and Wisconsin 2004 elections finally produce effective reforms.
| US | 1/24/2006 | 11.57 | 1.09 | 60 CON | 65.68 |
Con
Win | JPMorgan/Chase will acquire Merrill Lynch in a Stock Swap to create the United States largest financial services firm | US | 1/24/2006 | 31.77 | 1.03 | 150 CON | 154.88 |
Con
Win | By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves. | US | 1/24/2006 | 9.83 | 1.11 | 30 CON | 33.40 |
Con
Win | A terrorist group files suit against the United States of America or an American defense company. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 8.87 | 1.13 | 40 CON | 45.08 |
Con
Win | Terrorists take the United States to court. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 4.35 | 1.30 | 20 CON | 25.97 |
Con
Win | Irreconcilable impasse on Ukraine elections results in East Ukraine vs West Ukraine split. | Europe | 1/24/2006 | 33.39 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.77 |
Con
Lose | Iran and Russia actually finalize and sign spent-fuel return and recycling protocol for Bushehr nuclear reactor. Russia actually completes delivery of fuel assemblies to reactor. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 5.89 | 1.20 | 20 PRO | 117.83 |
Con
Win | United States implements conscription. | US | 1/24/2006 | 24.90 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.09 |
Con
Win | Islamic terrorists will successfully smuggle WMD into the U.S. via Mexico. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 18.43 | 1.06 | 180 CON | 190.32 |
Con
Win | North Korea and Iran will form an alliance and try to nuke Israel. | World | 1/24/2006 | 175.08 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.57 |
Con
Win | Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration Objections | US | 1/24/2006 | 8.25 | 1.14 | 70 CON | 79.66 |
Con
Lose | Donald Rumsfeld will not be the US Secretary of Defense at the end of 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 25 PRO | 51.81 |
Con
Win | Saddam escapes imprisonment, bargains his way out, is released, or is busted out by sympathizers. | Iraq | 1/24/2006 | 16.85 | 1.06 | 20 CON | 21.26 |
Con
Win | A Chinese taikonaut (astronaut) is lost in a fatal accident during a space mission. | China | 1/24/2006 | 6.71 | 1.18 | 63 CON | 74.03 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.86 | 1.08 | 40 CON | 43.37 |
Con
Win | North Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material. | World | 1/24/2006 | 8.60 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.58 |
Con
Win | Next use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle. | Terroism | 1/24/2006 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 57.86 |
Con
Lose | US Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months. | US | 12/10/2005 | 1.30 | 4.28 | 20 PRO | 26.09 |
Pro
Win | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season. | US | 12/10/2005 | 1.97 | 2.03 | 60 PRO | 118.11 |
Con
Win | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 29 CON | 31.35 |
Con
Win | Crude oil will be above $70 a barrel on Nov 1, 2005. | World | 11/10/2005 | 4.88 | 1.26 | 30 CON | 37.73 |
Con
Win | President George Bush's disapproval ratings on the war in Iraq will increase to at least 75%. | General | 11/10/2005 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 30 CON | 33.86 |
Pro
Win | There will be a 2005-6 NHL season starting in October. | Sports | 11/10/2005 | 1.05 | 22.78 | 10 PRO | 10.46 |
Con
Lose | The Iraqi constitution, when put to a vote in October, will be rejected by the voters of 3 or more provinces and not go into effect. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 8.43 | 1.13 | 10 PRO | 84.34 |
Con
Win | Chicago Cubs win the World Series | Sports | 11/10/2005 | 91.51 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.10 |
Con
Lose | The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 26.73 | 1.04 | 10 PRO | 267.27 |
Con
Lose | John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 11/10/2005 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 20 PRO | 40.07 |
Con
Win | Runaway Bride marries (anybody) | Sports | 11/10/2005 | 4.03 | 1.33 | 40 CON | 53.19 |
Con
Win | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 20 CON | 21.00 |
Con
Lose | Iraq Al Qaeda leader Zarqawi is killed or captured prior to the January election. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 1.89 | 2.12 | 25 PRO | 47.26 |
Con
Win | American Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time. | US | 11/10/2005 | 6.13 | 1.20 | 10 CON | 11.95 |
Con
Win | Renminbi/US4 exchange rate
Exchange rate for the Chinese Renminbi/ Yuan
Vis a vis the US $ will be below 7.800 Renminbi per 1 US $ , On or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005 | 3.18 | 1.46 | 20 CON | 29.16 |
Con
Win | Exchange rate will fall below 7.80 Chinese Renminbi (Yuan) per dollar on or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005 | 6.85 | 1.17 | 20 CON | 23.42 |
Con
Win | Nationals Collapse | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 8.15 | 1.14 | 10 CON | 11.40 |
Con
Win | Regime change in Syria | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 17.30 | 1.06 | 25 CON | 26.53 |
Con
Win | Insurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignation | Iraq | 10/7/2005 | 104.82 | 1.01 | 156 CON | 157.50 |
Pro
Lose | The NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference. | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 2.16 | 1.86 | 20 CON | 37.20 |
Pro
Win | Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General | World | 10/7/2005 | 1.03 | 34.26 | 30 PRO | 30.90 |
Con
Win | US announces plans to privatize Fannie Mae | US | 10/7/2005 | 33.07 | 1.03 | 30 CON | 30.94 |
Con
Win | Terrorist group enters the US through either Canada or Mexico, and successfully conduct dirty bomb or nuclear attack on American soil. | Terrorism | 10/7/2005 | 5.27 | 1.23 | 50 CON | 61.71 |
Con
Win | Within one year, hard evidence is found that Osama bin Laden is alive and is running Al Qaeda from Pakistan. Due to "diplomatic" reasons, U.S. Armed Forces will be unable to act on this information. | Terrorism | 10/7/2005 | 5.74 | 1.21 | 30 CON | 36.33 |
Con
Win | Russel Crowe settles out of court with Estrada with a payment over $5 million dollars | General | 9/22/2005 | 1.31 | 4.18 | 20 CON | 83.64 |
Con
Win | Haliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. | US | 9/22/2005 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 76 CON | 129.71 |
Con
Win | Malaysian Central Bank will break the US Dollar / Malaysian Ringgett peg (currently at 3.80) before China devalues the Yuan or by June 1st, 2005 | World | 9/22/2005 | 17.68 | 1.06 | 15 CON | 15.90 |
Con
Lose | Self styled head of al-Qaeda in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is captured or killed by coalition-led forces by 1st Sept. 2005.
| Iraq | 9/22/2005 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 20 PRO | 34.63 |
Con
Lose | Hardliner Lionel Mtshali takes leadership of the Inkatha Freedom Party after the General conference July 2005. | World | 9/22/2005 | 1.55 | 2.82 | 13 PRO | 20.16 |
Con
Win | Multiple, simultaneous shootdowns of commercial aircraft by terrorists. | Terrorism | 9/22/2005 | 8.91 | 1.13 | 30 CON | 33.79 |
Con
Lose | The EU will lift the arms embargo against China, despite Administration protests. | Europe | 9/22/2005 | 1.60 | 2.68 | 50 PRO | 79.76 |
Con
Win | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 20 CON | 25.79 |
Con
Win | A Category 5 hurricane will make landfall in Florida. | US | 9/22/2005 | 16.49 | 1.06 | 39 CON | 41.52 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 40 PRO | 191.44 |
Con
Win | US Marine general makes politically insensitive public remark before any general officer of the other US armed services | US | 9/22/2005 | 8.16 | 1.14 | 70 CON | 79.78 |
Pro
Win | Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. | Middle East | 9/22/2005 | 1.27 | 4.64 | 50 PRO | 63.73 |
Con
Win | Popular American documentary film maker murdered | US | 9/22/2005 | 62.55 | 1.02 | 30 CON | 30.49 |
Pro
Win | The death toll from Katrina will exceed 300 as determined two weeks from now. | US | 9/14/2005 | 1.08 | 14.26 | 10 PRO | 10.75 |
Pro
Win | Space Shuttle Discovery, currently on mission STS-114 MCC, will land safely in August. | Sci/Tech | 8/23/2005 | 1.00 | 217.10 | 10 PRO | 10.05 |
Con
Win | Iraqi Constitution will be approved by Aug 22 | Iraq | 8/23/2005 | 2.80 | 1.55 | 20 CON | 31.10 |
Pro
Win | The Iraqi convention will not meet its deadline of August 15 to finish Iraq's new constitution. | Iraq | 8/23/2005 | 1.70 | 2.42 | 10 PRO | 17.04 |
Con
Lose | Chief Justice Rehnquist will announce his retire before August 15. | US | 8/23/2005 | 3.75 | 1.36 | 20 PRO | 75.00 |
Con
Win | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.72 |
Con
Win | US will challenge Venezuela to allow access to its country to investigate disappearance of woman from Aruba. | World | 8/10/2005 | 103.76 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.10 |
Con
Lose | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 20 PRO | 76.40 |
Con
Lose | President Bush will nominate Alex Kozinski (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, appointed by Ronald Reagan) to replace the retiring Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 8/10/2005 | 16.41 | 1.06 | 10 PRO | 164.12 |
Pro
Win | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st. | Sci/Tech | 8/10/2005 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 50 PRO | 74.91 |
Con
Win | Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority Leader | US | 8/10/2005 | 14.23 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 53.78 |
Con
Lose | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 50 PRO | 65.45 |
Con
Win | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 8/10/2005 | 2.38 | 1.72 | 30 CON | 51.73 |
Con
Win | As a result of the Iraqi Oil-for-Food corruption investigations, Kofi Anan will resign as Sectretary-General of the United Nations. | Iraq | 8/10/2005 | 2.44 | 1.70 | 50 CON | 84.82 |
Con
Win | Libya is found to have secretly hidden WMD from inspectors, despite its promises. | Terrorism | 8/10/2005 | 15.17 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.71 |
Con
Lose | Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks. | US | 7/6/2005 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 20 PRO | 94.78 |
Con
Win | Sharon's government will be toppled and plans to withdraw from Gaza Strip will be scuttled. | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 11.50 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 54.76 |
Con
Win | Osama bin Laden caught or killed | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 35.66 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.58 |
Con
Win | The U.S. will conduct aerial eradication of Afghan poppy fields during the 2005 growing season. | World | 7/6/2005 | 9.97 | 1.11 | 47 CON | 52.24 |
Con
Lose | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 4th. | Sci/Tech | 7/6/2005 | 1.47 | 3.12 | 50 PRO | 73.58 |
Con
Win | US invades Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 19.70 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.35 |
Con
Win | US invades Iran | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 36.84 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.40 |
Con
Win | U.S launches airstrikes on targets in Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 3.25 | 1.45 | 50 CON | 72.27 |
Con
Lose | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 7/6/2005 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 10 PRO | 24.13 |
Con
Win | Major Anthrax attack on the U.S. If delivered through the mail, will shut down the Postal Service for at least weeks, and cripple it for at least months. | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 11.84 | 1.09 | 20 CON | 21.85 |
Pro
Win | Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. | World | 6/10/2005 | 1.06 | 18.58 | 50 PRO | 52.84 |
Con
Win | US forces in Iraq decline to under 60,000. | Middle East | 6/10/2005 | 4.72 | 1.27 | 50 CON | 63.43 |
Con
Win | A medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005 | 24.89 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.19 |
Con
Win | England win the Six nations with a Grandslam. | Sports | 5/31/2005 | 12.81 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.23 |
Con
Win | Aerial Chemical or Biological attack on Israel via Syria / Lebanon | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 26.89 | 1.04 | 57 CON | 59.20 |
Pro
Lose | In May 5 British general election anti-war rebel MP George Galloway (Respect Coalition) will defeat Labour candidate Oona King in the Bethnal Green and Bow constituency. | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 2.47 | 1.68 | 230 CON | 386.12 |
Pro
Win | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 70 PRO | 72.33 |
Con
Win | Robert Mugabe is re-elected President of Zimbabwe with 80% of the vote. | World | 5/11/2005 | 3.01 | 1.50 | 20 CON | 29.95 |
Con
Win | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 30 CON | 30.89 |
Con
Win | US sends large-scale stabilization force to Darfur after presidential election. | World | 5/11/2005 | 16.05 | 1.07 | 75 CON | 79.98 |
Con
Win | Kurd vs. Sunni vs. Shiite civil war explodes in Iraq. US troops caught in middle. | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 2.84 | 1.54 | 100 CON | 154.34 |
Pro
Win | The Vatican will have to appoint a new Pope. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.22 | 5.51 | 25 PRO | 30.54 |
Con
Win | The Next Pope Will Be From Latin America | General | 4/19/2005 | 3.16 | 1.46 | 30 CON | 43.88 |
Con
Win | The next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union). | General | 4/19/2005 | 13.47 | 1.08 | 30 CON | 32.41 |
Con
Win | The next Pope will NOT be a European. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 20 CON | 56.82 |
Con
Win | Next Pope will take the name Pius XIII. | General | 4/19/2005 | 11.50 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 54.76 |
Pro
Lose | Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger is chosen to replace John Paul II as Pope | General | 4/19/2005 | 4.05 | 1.33 | 30 CON | 39.84 |
Con
Win | A civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligence | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 14.49 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.74 |
Con
Win | US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination. | Iraq | 4/17/2005 | 84.33 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.60 |
Con
Lose | US bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons. | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 11.44 | 1.10 | 25 PRO | 286.09 |
Pro
Win | The Montreal Expos do NOT move to Washington D.C. in 2005. | Sports | 4/17/2005 | 6.99 | 1.17 | 20 PRO | 139.89 |
Con
Win | China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent. | China | 4/17/2005 | 11.11 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 109.90 |
Con
Win | Israel evicts/drives out nearly all Palestinians from Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank. | World | 4/17/2005 | 113.24 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.45 |
Con
Win | Iran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment. | World | 3/15/2005 | 123.93 | 1.01 | 199 CON | 200.62 |
Pro
Win | The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be cancelled. | Sports | 2/20/2005 | 1.05 | 20.28 | 22 PRO | 23.14 |
Con
Lose | The U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program. | Middle East | 2/20/2005 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 25 PRO | 157.07 |
Pro
Win | New England Patriots win the Superbowl | Sports | 2/6/2005 | 1.11 | 10.18 | 50 PRO | 55.45 |
Con
Lose | The interem government due to govern Iraq between July 1 and elections next year does not last until elections, but resigns or is thrown out | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 12.32 | 1.09 | 200 PRO | 2,463.55 |
Con
Lose | December 2004 COMEX gold settles at/above $436.50. | World | 1/30/2005 | 1.09 | 11.55 | 45 PRO | 49.27 |
Con
Win | US Cancels F-22 fighter. | US | 1/30/2005 | 6.92 | 1.17 | 25 CON | 29.23 |
Con
Win | Ukraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich will use his military and police to violently suppress the Opposition protesters against his re-election. | General | 1/30/2005 | 9.24 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.14 |
Pro
Win | Death toll from Asia tsunami and related diseases exceeds 200,000. | World | 1/20/2005 | 1.19 | 6.18 | 100 PRO | 119.30 |
Pro
Win | Mahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005. | Middle East | 1/10/2005 | 1.04 | 26.72 | 100 PRO | 103.89 |
Pro
Win | While the reelection of George W Bush will prompt predictions of liberals and other leftists leaving America, no such exodus (at least not a statistically significant one) will actually take place. | US | 1/4/2005 | 1.03 | 34.95 | 50 PRO | 51.47 |
Con
Win | Saddam is tried and executed before the end of the year. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 50 CON | 62.49 |
Pro
Win | There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year. | US | 1/4/2005 | 1.15 | 7.58 | 20 PRO | 23.04 |
Pro
Win | The Federal Reserve will raise the Fed Funds rate at the December 14 meeting. | US | 12/30/2004 | 1.08 | 14.14 | 25 PRO | 26.90 |
Con
Win | With final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. | US | 12/22/2004 | 145.06 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.35 |
Con
Win | Another hurricane (Category 1 or higher) will strike Florida this hurricane season. | US | 12/6/2004 | 44.04 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.16 |
Con
Win | French Government publicly apologises to world for pocketing Saddams cash in exchange for votes at UN | Iraq | 12/6/2004 | 104.08 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.24 |
Con
Lose | Arafat "officially" declared dead by PLO. | Middle East | 11/9/2004 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 50 PRO | 103.96 |
Pro
Lose | Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary. | US | 11/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.37 | 20 CON | 27.31 |
Con
Win | John Kerry elected President. | US | 11/3/2004 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 50 CON | 81.87 |
Pro
Win | President Bush is reelected and receives more than 50% of the Popular vote. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 50 PRO | 84.59 |
Con
Win | The investigators of the CBS National Guard memo scandal make their report public before the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004 | 7.05 | 1.17 | 25 CON | 29.13 |
Con
Win | In a move reminiscent of the 2002 New Jersey senate campaign, the democratic national committee replaces John Kerry with another candidate. | US | 11/3/2004 | 52.20 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.49 |
Con
Lose | Forged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.) | US | 11/3/2004 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 50 PRO | 203.74 |
Con
Win | Yankees sweep the Red Sox | Sports | 10/20/2004 | 3.44 | 1.41 | 25 CON | 35.26 |
Pro
Win | The X-Prize is won, an attempt to privately launch a shuttle twice within 14 days. | Sci/Tech | 10/4/2004 | 1.43 | 3.34 | 100 PRO | 142.69 |
Pro
Lose | Disclplinary action (of any sort)for the Abu Ghraib incident will be faced by an officer with rank of Brig. General or higher. | US | 9/16/2004 | 1.38 | 3.65 | 100 CON | 365.09 |
Con
Lose | Dick Cheney announces that he will not seek the Vice-Presidency in 2004. | US | 9/3/2004 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 50 PRO | 159.52 |
Con
Lose | Terrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games. | Terrorism | 8/30/2004 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 50 PRO | 102.22 |
Con
Win | Bill Richardson will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004 | 16.84 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.16 |
Con
Win | 9/11 commission explicitly blames Bush | US | 7/23/2004 | 14.74 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.64 |
