| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | Kim Jung Il Succession | World | 11/11/2009 | 12.05 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.26 |
Con
Win | Before the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 597.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.04 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by soldiers of the British Army while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| Europe | 9/22/2009 | 10.26 | 1.11 | 30 CON | 33.24 |
Con
Win | Israeli-Iranian Conflict | Middle East | 9/12/2009 | 10.85 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 110.16 |
Con
Win | $4.00/gal or above gas prices in US by labor day, 2009. | US | 9/3/2009 | 176.60 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.03 |
Con
Win | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 50 CON | 64.27 |
Pro
Lose | The swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people. | World | 8/28/2009 | 2.48 | 1.68 | 45 CON | 75.41 |
Con
Win | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| China | 8/23/2009 | 14.40 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.73 |
Con
Win | The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy. | US | 8/3/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 140 CON | 140.00 |
Con
Win | Obama visits Gaza. | US | 7/20/2009 | 439.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.11 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" Government | China | 7/1/2009 | 28.16 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.37 |
Con
Win | Roland Burris resigns his recently appointed Senate seat. | US | 6/30/2009 | 2.15 | 1.87 | 45 CON | 84.26 |
Con
Win | A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised. | Terrorism | 6/30/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Coup detat in Thailand | World | 6/30/2009 | 10.16 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.09 |
Con
Win | A major terrorist attack on US soil within 180 days of Obama Inauguration | Terrorism | 6/20/2009 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 100 CON | 166.67 |
Con
Win | Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. | Middle East | 6/9/2009 | 6.40 | 1.19 | 45 CON | 53.34 |
Con
Win | Pakistan Collapses. | Middle East | 5/31/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 75 CON | 75.00 |
Pro
Lose | Norks explodes a bigger nuc. | World | 5/25/2009 | 1.35 | 3.86 | 25 CON | 96.43 |
Pro
Lose | Man Utd win 2008-09 Prem | Sports | 5/16/2009 | 1.02 | 48.10 | 3 CON | 144.29 |
Con
Win | A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel. | Terrorism | 4/1/2009 | 31.36 | 1.03 | 110 CON | 113.62 |
Con
Win | US will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009. | US | 3/31/2009 | 49.50 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.03 |
Pro
Win | Israel election Feb. 10.
Likud wins and forms goverment. | Middle East | 3/27/2009 | 1.08 | 13.22 | 5 PRO | 5.41 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 50 CON | 159.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Russia places nuclear tipped missiles in Kaliningrad. The next presidents first crisis will be a move against NATO. | US | 3/21/2009 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 50 CON | 59.12 |
Pro
Lose | The next presidents first crisis will be the flight of investment capital in reaction to an anticipated explosion in taxes and regulation. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.44 | 3.29 | 50 CON | 164.52 |
Con
Lose | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 50 PRO | 276.00 |
Con
Win | Thye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel. | US | 3/21/2009 | 9.26 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.03 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 12.04 | 1.09 | 50 CON | 54.53 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia. | US | 3/21/2009 | 8.50 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.67 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops. | US | 3/21/2009 | 14.42 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.73 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a war between India and Pakistan as a result of the terrorist attacks in Mumbai. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Pro
Win | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 10 PRO | 12.29 |
Con
Win | One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist. | US | 3/1/2009 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 85 CON | 98.91 |
Con
Win | US will attack territories under Pakistans administration before end of Jan 2009 | Terrorism | 2/1/2009 | 4.20 | 1.31 | 50 CON | 65.63 |
Con
Win | It will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died. | China | 2/1/2009 | 16.14 | 1.07 | 59 CON | 62.90 |
Con
Win | The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel. | Middle East | 2/1/2009 | 20.75 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.51 |
Con
Lose | Caroline Kennedy will be appointed to replace Hillary Clinton as senator for New York | US | 1/23/2009 | 1.40 | 3.53 | 50 PRO | 69.77 |
Con
Win | George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president. | US | 1/20/2009 | 5.46 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.60 |
Con
Win | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 50 CON | 108.60 |
Con
Win | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 25 CON | 44.35 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.09 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 25 CON | 29.00 |
Con
Lose | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 10 PRO | 56.94 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 55.82 |
Con
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000 | US | 1/1/2009 | 862.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Win | China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 206.00 | 1.00 | 4 CON | 4.02 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney does not finish 2nd term. | US | 1/1/2009 | 4.87 | 1.26 | 10 CON | 12.58 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 50 CON | 62.50 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 50 CON | 67.29 |
Con
Win | Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. | US | 12/19/2008 | 142.86 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.07 |
Con
Win | The United States and Iraq fail to reach a security agreement that authorizes the US to maintain its troops in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/28/2008 | 4.01 | 1.33 | 50 CON | 66.61 |
Con
Win | The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.85 | 2.18 | 10 CON | 21.77 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.29 |
Con
Lose | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 75 PRO | 197.04 |
Con
Lose | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 100 PRO | 137.93 |
Con
Lose | Rep. John Murtha loses his seat to challenger Bill Russell. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.00 | 430.00 | 10 PRO | 10.02 |
Pro
Lose | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 75 CON | 187.83 |
Con
Win | Barrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate. | US | 11/4/2008 | 31.33 | 1.03 | 89 CON | 91.93 |
Pro
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 10 CON | 152.40 |
Con
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state. | US | 11/3/2008 | 10.02 | 1.11 | 10 PRO | 100.23 |
Con
Win | October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October. | Middle East | 11/2/2008 | 5.81 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.40 |
Con
Lose | Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement | US | 11/2/2008 | 2.97 | 1.51 | 100 PRO | 297.33 |
Con
Win | The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President. | US | 11/1/2008 | 7.66 | 1.15 | 60 CON | 69.01 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 50.79 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 75 CON | 96.53 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 33 CON | 48.82 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination). | US | 10/15/2008 | 51.75 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.17 |
Pro
Win | New England Patriots will NOT go undefeated in the regular season in 2008. | Sports | 9/21/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 PRO | 25.00 |
Con
Win | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.22 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.13 |
Con
Win | Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the Republican presidental nominee for the 2008 presidential election. | US | 9/9/2008 | 50.19 | 1.02 | 20 CON | 20.41 |
Con
Win | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.67 |
Con
Win | Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate? | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.89 | 1.53 | 50 CON | 76.52 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Governor Pawlenty as his VP running mate. | US | 9/5/2008 | 4.93 | 1.25 | 25 CON | 31.36 |
Con
Win | Senator McCain picks Mitt Romney as his VP running mate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 10 CON | 23.31 |
Con
Win | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 5 CON | 5.12 |
Con
Win | Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination. | US | 8/31/2008 | 11.55 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.95 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 50 CON | 207.12 |
Pro
Win | Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidate | US | 8/31/2008 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 25 PRO | 49.98 |
Con
Win | Democrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race. | US | 8/31/2008 | 25.59 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.07 |
Con
Win | The 2008 Democratic Presidential ticket will be either Obama / Clinton or Clinton / Obama | US | 8/31/2008 | 183.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.27 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.38 |
Con
Win | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 22 CON | 24.51 |
Con
Win | Senator Obama selects Tom Daschle as his VP running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5 CON | 5.00 |
Con
Win | NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 5.56 | 1.22 | 50 CON | 60.96 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 10 CON | 13.76 |
Pro
Lose | The Democratic National Committee announces their 2008 candidate for the President of the United States of America before Fathers Day, June 15th. | US | 6/8/2008 | 1.52 | 2.93 | 10 CON | 29.29 |
Con
Win | Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war. | Middle East | 6/5/2008 | 3.94 | 1.34 | 25 CON | 33.52 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.65 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 20 CON | 22.45 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 5.88 | 1.20 | 5 CON | 6.02 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 5 CON | 5.66 |
Con
Lose | Karl Rove will lose his White House job. | US | 2/3/2008 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 35 PRO | 76.98 |
Con
Lose | Donald Rumsfeld will stay in his post at least for the remainder of the Bush Adm. | US | 1/24/2008 | 2.23 | 1.81 | 50 PRO | 111.63 |
Con
Win | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 5 CON | 5.86 |
Pro
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006 | US | 1/11/2008 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 100 PRO | 168.95 |
Con
Win | Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire Primary | General | 1/11/2008 | 13.65 | 1.08 | 10 CON | 10.79 |
Pro
Win | Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.10 | 10.89 | 10 PRO | 11.01 |
Con
Win | An administration official, US House representative or US Senator will publicly advocate restoring Saddam to power in Iraq in order to end what they will call chaos. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 14.31 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.50 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch Israel | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.98 | 1.51 | 50 CON | 75.27 |
Pro
Win | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 45 PRO | 53.09 |
Con
Win | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 50 CON | 63.61 |
Con
Win | Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 25 CON | 32.96 |
Con
Win | Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count. | US | 1/8/2008 | 6.69 | 1.18 | 10 CON | 11.76 |
Con
Win | Saddam Hussein regains dictatorial power in Iraq | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.33 |
Con
Win | After winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms. | US | 1/8/2008 | 23.50 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.44 |
Con
Win | Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.70 | 1.59 | 10 CON | 15.88 |
Con
Win | Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration. | US | 1/8/2008 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 50 CON | 78.99 |
Con
Win | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 50 CON | 70.68 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.08 |
Con
Win | Weapons of mass destruction ie. Chemical bio.
or atomic will be found by end of 2007 in Iraq.
however the Government will try to suppress this Info under NATIONAL SECURITIES ACT. | Iraq | 11/29/2007 | 101.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.10 |
Con
Win | Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle East | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 256.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Lose | Civilian war deaths in Lebanon will exceed civil war deaths in Israel by at least a 10:1 ratio at 2006 year end (BBC news and Red Cross figures to be used in case of dispute). | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 1.18 | 6.55 | 25 PRO | 29.50 |
Con
Win | Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007 | World | 8/6/2007 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 5 CON | 5.82 |
Con
Win | Osama Bin Laden killed, body produced. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 5.20 | 1.24 | 10 CON | 12.38 |
Con
Win | Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 76.24 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.33 |
Con
Win | NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 218.96 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.23 |
Con
Win | year, 2007 NYC, will be attacked again by terrorist! | Terrorism | 8/6/2007 | 38.57 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.33 |
Con
Lose | General Motors will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 200 PRO | 466.94 |
Con
Win | Syria and Iran invade Iraq and set up insurgent puppet regime.
| Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 82.07 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.23 |
Con
Win | Bears win '07 Superbowl. | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 1.16 | 7.38 | 50 CON | 368.79 |
Con
Win | Seahawks will win the 07 Superbowl | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 36.93 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.70 |
Con
Win | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.62 |
Con
Win | Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In Exile | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 13.25 | 1.08 | 75 CON | 81.12 |
Con
Lose | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 200 PRO | 587.96 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.06 |
Pro
Win | Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.08 | 13.02 | 10 PRO | 10.83 |
Con
Win | Walid Jumblat is assasinated in Lebanon, sparking hostilities between pro Syrian and anti Syrian forces in Beirut, Israel uses this to invade Lebanon.
| Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 53.86 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 50.95 |
Con
Win | Malaysia the victim of a large-scale Islamic fundamentalist movement resulting in the overthrow of the current government. | World | 1/18/2007 | 9.54 | 1.12 | 40 CON | 44.68 |
Con
Win | The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 5.36 | 1.23 | 10 CON | 12.30 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack two souther or western or midwestern American Cities simultaneously | China | 1/18/2007 | 263.90 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.19 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will stage an attack in Washington D.C. against the White House Pentagon or Capitol Building before the end of the year | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 285.52 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.18 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.06 | 19.14 | 50 PRO | 52.76 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 5 CON | 5.38 |
Con
Win | US Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil War | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 9.08 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.19 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 9.11 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.08 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro will be out of power by end of 2006. | World | 1/18/2007 | 4.32 | 1.30 | 10 CON | 13.01 |
Con
Win | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 106.21 |
Con
Win | The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 42.67 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Win | William Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations. | World | 1/18/2007 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 25 CON | 28.68 |
Con
Win | The US begins construction of an Isreali style fence along the Mexican-US border. | US | 1/18/2007 | 5.12 | 1.24 | 50 CON | 62.14 |
Con
Win | Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.78 | 2.27 | 10 CON | 22.75 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Iraq. | US | 1/18/2007 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.42 |
Con
Win | Saddam WMD found before 12/31/06 | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 79.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.13 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World Series | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 499.67 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.05 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan. | World | 1/18/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 110.00 |
Con
Win | Iran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from Lebanon | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 121.33 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.04 |
Con
Win | China liberates North Korea | China | 1/18/2007 | 10.32 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.37 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran before the November 7th election as "October Surprise". | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 10 CON | 10.80 |
Con
Win | Internal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention. | World | 12/30/2006 | 9.19 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.21 |
Con
Lose | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 50 PRO | 145.43 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 50 PRO | 124.48 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 25 PRO | 45.43 |
Con
Lose | At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 13.14 | 1.08 | 10 PRO | 131.36 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.50 |
Con
Win | Military conflict erupts between India and Pakistan. | World | 12/30/2006 | 9.21 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.09 |
Con
Win | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 50 CON | 60.02 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will NOT run for a second term in the U.S. Senate representing NY State. | US | 12/30/2006 | 30.18 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.71 |
Con
Win | Tainted MLB Records Will Be Tossed | Sports | 12/30/2006 | 17.19 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.09 |
Con
Win | The UN Security Council will impose new sanctions against the Iranian government in response to Iran's threat to resume its uranium enrichment programme.
| Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 17.95 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.59 |
Con
Win | Assad regime in Syria falls | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 19.39 | 1.05 | 25 CON | 26.36 |
Con
Win | Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles | China | 12/30/2006 | 97.08 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.52 |
Con
Win | The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 67.77 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.07 |
Con
Win | Evidence will be discovered that elements of Saddam's WMD program were secreted in the Syria controlled Bekaa Valley. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 25 CON | 57.81 |
Con
Win | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 50 CON | 104.77 |
Con
Win | Hamid Karzai will be overthrown in a coup or assassinated. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 10.94 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.52 |
Con
Lose | The International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine. | Sci/Tech | 10/21/2006 | 5.93 | 1.20 | 10 PRO | 59.30 |
Con
Win | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 25 CON | 29.05 |
Con
Lose | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 50 PRO | 132.16 |
Con
Win | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.41 |
Con
Win | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.15 |
Con
Win | Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, will be found/discovered in the Iranian embassy in Lebanon. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 468.00 | 1.00 | 24 CON | 24.05 |
Pro
Lose | Crude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months. | General | 7/14/2006 | 1.84 | 2.19 | 10 CON | 21.85 |
Pro
Lose | North Korea will launch its Taepodong-2 missle in defiance of the Inernational community. | World | 7/14/2006 | 2.22 | 1.82 | 50 CON | 90.82 |
Con
Win | Gold Reaches highest value in recorded history. When Iran announces their non-compliance with demands to stop enriching uranium.
| World | 6/1/2006 | 8.17 | 1.14 | 5 CON | 5.70 |
Con
Win | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.35 |
Con
Lose | A Shia-dominated Iraqi Defense Force that will crush the insurgency utilizing ruthless tactics. The American electorate will look the other way and accept this as acceptable. | Iraq | 6/1/2006 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 40 PRO | 65.48 |
Con
Win | The United States will attack and destroy Iranian nuclear facilities by the end of April 2006. | Middle East | 6/1/2006 | 29.82 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.73 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations in an attempt to destroy or delay the Iranian nuclear weapons program. | Middle East | 6/1/2006 | 3.52 | 1.40 | 100 CON | 139.64 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 25 CON | 27.87 |
Con
Win | EU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China. | China | 4/13/2006 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.50 |
Con
Win | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 25 CON | 28.40 |
Con
Win | Bashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region.
| Middle East | 4/10/2006 | 20.93 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.51 |
Con
Win | Colin Powell to become UN Secretry General | World | 4/10/2006 | 142.93 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.18 |
Con
Win | The Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety. | US | 3/12/2006 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.53 |
Pro
Win | Samuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 20 PRO | 30.56 |
Con
Win | Ariel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 15.42 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.94 |
Con
Win | A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 100.60 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.50 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.60 |
Con
Win | Fundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006 | 8.78 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.21 |
Con
Lose | Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East. | US | 3/12/2006 | 4.33 | 1.30 | 25 PRO | 108.15 |
Con
Win | Independent Palestinian state created. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 12.76 | 1.09 | 150 CON | 162.75 |
Con
Win | [Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s]. | US | 1/24/2006 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 10 CON | 13.72 |
Con
Win | Zarqawi will be captured with help from Al-Zwahiri | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 901.50 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.06 |
Con
Lose | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 25 PRO | 186.69 |
Pro
Win | Karl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.57 | 2.76 | 50 PRO | 78.43 |
Con
Win | There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.14 | 1.12 | 5 CON | 5.61 |
Con
Win | Asian Bird Flu is Red Chinese biowar WMD. | China | 1/24/2006 | 145.90 | 1.01 | 8 CON | 8.06 |
Con
Win | A communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself). | World | 1/24/2006 | 35.42 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.29 |
Con
Win | Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. | World | 1/24/2006 | 12.12 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.25 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 75 PRO | 82.39 |
Con
Win | Major vote fraud allegations in the Washington and Wisconsin 2004 elections finally produce effective reforms.
| US | 1/24/2006 | 11.57 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 109.46 |
Con
Win | By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves. | US | 1/24/2006 | 9.83 | 1.11 | 25 CON | 27.83 |
Con
Win | United States implements conscription. | US | 1/24/2006 | 24.90 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.09 |
Con
Win | Major combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 1.80 | 2.25 | 10 CON | 22.48 |
Con
Lose | Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration Objections | US | 1/24/2006 | 8.25 | 1.14 | 10 PRO | 82.46 |
Con
Win | U.S. invades Baathist Syria from Iraq. | US | 1/24/2006 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 129.10 |
Con
Win | Next use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle. | Terroism | 1/24/2006 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 10 CON | 11.57 |
Con
Lose | US Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months. | US | 12/10/2005 | 1.30 | 4.28 | 10 PRO | 13.05 |
Con
Lose | The US begins covert military strikes against Baathist camps and leaders in Syria. | Terrorism | 12/10/2005 | 1.49 | 3.03 | 25 PRO | 37.34 |
Con
Win | Crude oil will be above $70 a barrel on Nov 1, 2005. | World | 11/10/2005 | 4.88 | 1.26 | 50 CON | 62.89 |
Pro
Lose | There will be a 2005-6 NHL season starting in October. | Sports | 11/10/2005 | 1.05 | 22.78 | 10 CON | 227.83 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi constitution, when put to a vote in October, will be rejected by the voters of 3 or more provinces and not go into effect. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 8.43 | 1.13 | 20 CON | 22.69 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 26.73 | 1.04 | 15 CON | 15.58 |
Con
Lose | John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 11/10/2005 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 40 PRO | 80.13 |
Con
Win | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 70 CON | 73.50 |
Con
Lose | Iraq Al Qaeda leader Zarqawi is killed or captured prior to the January election. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 1.89 | 2.12 | 25 PRO | 47.26 |
Con
Win | Insurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignation | Iraq | 10/7/2005 | 104.82 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.10 |
Pro
Lose | Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General | World | 10/7/2005 | 1.03 | 34.26 | 10 CON | 342.64 |
Con
Win | Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 14.48 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 107.42 |
Con
Win | US and non-Iraqi allies have fewer than 100,000 troops in Iraq | Iraq | 10/7/2005 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 10 CON | 13.94 |
Con
Win | US announces plans to privatize Fannie Mae | US | 10/7/2005 | 33.07 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.78 |
Con
Lose | Self styled head of al-Qaeda in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is captured or killed by coalition-led forces by 1st Sept. 2005.
| Iraq | 9/22/2005 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 100 PRO | 173.15 |
Con
Win | Multiple, simultaneous shootdowns of commercial aircraft by terrorists. | Terrorism | 9/22/2005 | 8.91 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.32 |
Con
Lose | The EU will lift the arms embargo against China, despite Administration protests. | Europe | 9/22/2005 | 1.60 | 2.68 | 25 PRO | 39.88 |
Con
Lose | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 10 PRO | 44.56 |
Pro
Lose | Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. | Middle East | 9/22/2005 | 1.27 | 4.64 | 20 CON | 92.82 |
Pro
Win | The death toll from Katrina will exceed 300 as determined two weeks from now. | US | 9/14/2005 | 1.08 | 14.26 | 25 PRO | 26.89 |
Con
Lose | Iraqi Constitution will be approved by Aug 22 | Iraq | 8/23/2005 | 2.80 | 1.55 | 75 PRO | 210.15 |
Pro
Win | The Iraqi convention will not meet its deadline of August 15 to finish Iraq's new constitution. | Iraq | 8/23/2005 | 1.70 | 2.42 | 25 PRO | 42.59 |
Con
Win | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.72 |
Con
Win | US will challenge Venezuela to allow access to its country to investigate disappearance of woman from Aruba. | World | 8/10/2005 | 103.76 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.05 |
Con
Lose | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 10 PRO | 38.20 |
Con
Win | Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority Leader | US | 8/10/2005 | 14.23 | 1.08 | 10 CON | 10.76 |
Con
Lose | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 50 PRO | 65.45 |
Pro
Win | New York City will fail in its bid to win the 2012 Olympics. | World | 7/6/2005 | 1.10 | 10.68 | 10 PRO | 11.03 |
Con
Win | Sharon's government will be toppled and plans to withdraw from Gaza Strip will be scuttled. | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 11.50 | 1.10 | 75 CON | 82.15 |
Con
Win | Osama bin Laden caught or killed | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 35.66 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.44 |
Con
Win | North Korea sets off a nuclear weapon | World | 7/6/2005 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 125 CON | 174.19 |
Con
Win | US invades Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 19.70 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 210.70 |
Con
Win | US invades Iran | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 36.84 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.79 |
Con
Win | U.S launches airstrikes on targets in Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 3.25 | 1.45 | 150 CON | 216.80 |
Con
Win | US forces in Iraq decline to under 60,000. | Middle East | 6/10/2005 | 4.72 | 1.27 | 20 CON | 25.37 |
Con
Win | Donald Rumsfeld resigns or is otherwise removed from his post as US Secretary of Defense. | US | 5/31/2005 | 2.36 | 1.74 | 20 CON | 34.75 |
Con
Win | US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 3.11 | 1.47 | 20 CON | 29.48 |
Pro
Lose | In May 5 British general election anti-war rebel MP George Galloway (Respect Coalition) will defeat Labour candidate Oona King in the Bethnal Green and Bow constituency. | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 2.47 | 1.68 | 10 CON | 16.79 |
Pro
Lose | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 10 CON | 310.47 |
Con
Win | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.97 |
Con
Win | Another coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year. | World | 5/11/2005 | 6.68 | 1.18 | 10 CON | 11.76 |
Pro
Win | The Vatican will have to appoint a new Pope. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.22 | 5.51 | 50 PRO | 61.08 |
Con
Lose | The Next Pope Will Be From Latin America | General | 4/19/2005 | 3.16 | 1.46 | 50 PRO | 158.04 |
Con
Win | The next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union). | General | 4/19/2005 | 13.47 | 1.08 | 20 CON | 21.60 |
Con
Win | The next Pope will NOT be a European. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 10 CON | 28.41 |
Pro
Lose | Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger is chosen to replace John Paul II as Pope | General | 4/19/2005 | 4.05 | 1.33 | 10 CON | 13.28 |
Con
Win | A civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligence | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 14.49 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 107.41 |
Con
Win | US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination. | Iraq | 4/17/2005 | 84.33 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.20 |
Con
Win | US bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons. | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 11.44 | 1.10 | 20 CON | 21.92 |
Con
Win | After president Bush wins re-election, there is a massive US build up on Syria's border, and Syria asks for the same deal as Lybia and gives up terrorism. | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 27.80 | 1.04 | 110 CON | 114.10 |
Con
Win | Provided he wins the election, Bush promotes a flat tax or other similarly radical reform of the IRS early in his second term. | US | 4/17/2005 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 20 CON | 30.23 |
Con
Win | China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent. | China | 4/17/2005 | 11.11 | 1.10 | 75 CON | 82.42 |
Con
Win | The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be un-cancelled. | Sports | 3/15/2005 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Israel-Palestine cease-fire collapses within one month. | Middle East | 3/15/2005 | 2.34 | 1.74 | 50 CON | 87.22 |
Con
Win | Iran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment. | World | 3/15/2005 | 123.93 | 1.01 | 125 CON | 126.02 |
Con
Win | The U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program. | Middle East | 2/20/2005 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 40 CON | 47.57 |
Pro
Win | New England Patriots win the Superbowl | Sports | 2/6/2005 | 1.11 | 10.18 | 40 PRO | 44.36 |
Con
Lose | Iraqi elections occur on January 30, 2005 as scheduled with the majority of eligible Iraqis participating. | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 40 PRO | 55.17 |
Con
Win | The UN will declare the Iraqi elections invalid and illegitimate | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 2.74 | 1.58 | 50 CON | 78.80 |
Con
Win | Ukraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich will use his military and police to violently suppress the Opposition protesters against his re-election. | General | 1/30/2005 | 9.24 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.21 |
Con
Lose | Pittsburgh Steelers win Superbowl. | Sports | 1/23/2005 | 4.10 | 1.32 | 250 PRO | 1,025.19 |
Pro
Win | Death toll from Asia tsunami and related diseases exceeds 200,000. | World | 1/20/2005 | 1.19 | 6.18 | 150 PRO | 178.95 |
Con
Win | The Indianapolis Colts Win Superbowl XXXIX | Sports | 1/16/2005 | 4.28 | 1.31 | 50 CON | 65.26 |
Pro
Win | Mahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005. | Middle East | 1/10/2005 | 1.04 | 26.72 | 20 PRO | 20.78 |
Pro
Win | Death toll from Indian Ocean earthquake/tsunami, including disease induced by the tsunami, reaches 150,000. | World | 1/4/2005 | 1.02 | 53.64 | 50 PRO | 50.95 |
Con
Win | EU launches sanctions on the Ukraine govt over the continuing electoral standoff there. EU refrains from referring the issue to the United Nations. | Europe | 1/4/2005 | 23.42 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.45 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year. | World | 1/4/2005 | 6.86 | 1.17 | 50 CON | 58.53 |
Con
Win | Syrians withdraw 1/2 of troops from Lebanon, emphasis on troops in the northern part of the country but leave significant troop concentrations near Beirut | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 9.43 | 1.12 | 70 CON | 78.30 |
Pro
Win | While the reelection of George W Bush will prompt predictions of liberals and other leftists leaving America, no such exodus (at least not a statistically significant one) will actually take place. | US | 1/4/2005 | 1.03 | 34.95 | 30 PRO | 30.88 |
Con
Win | If George Bush wins the election he will dramatically increase the military presence in Iraq in an effort to bring the war to a conclusion. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 13.80 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 26.95 |
Con
Win | Military aircraft shot down deliberately by US in air to air combat before 1/1/2005 | Sci/Tech | 1/4/2005 | 14.43 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.72 |
Pro
Win | There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year. | US | 1/4/2005 | 1.15 | 7.58 | 20 PRO | 23.04 |
Con
Win | Before December 13, Media Reports of Massive Election Fraud Causes Suspension of December 13 Electoral College Vote or a massive change in electoral vote. | US | 12/22/2004 | 20.42 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.15 |
Con
Win | With final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. | US | 12/22/2004 | 145.06 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.35 |
Con
Win | The AUC demobilization collapses, leading to a tacit alliance between the AUC and the Colombian government against FARC. | World | 12/6/2004 | 14.99 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.71 |
Pro
Win | National elections in Afghanistan. | World | 11/9/2004 | 1.33 | 4.01 | 10 PRO | 13.32 |
Con
Lose | Someone dies because of political violence during the American presidential election campaign. | US | 11/7/2004 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 5 PRO | 29.95 |
Con
Win | Taiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring. | China | 11/3/2004 | 5.02 | 1.25 | 10 CON | 12.49 |
Con
Win | By 8pm EDT on Wednesday, November 3rd, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute. | US | 11/3/2004 | 2.38 | 1.73 | 20 CON | 34.50 |
Con
Lose | Homeland Security (FBI, CIA, Etc.) will announce they successfully foiled a terrorist attempt to disrupt the U.S. Presidential Election within one week of the Election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 3.38 | 1.42 | 5 PRO | 16.91 |
Con
Lose | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004. | US | 11/3/2004 | 8.22 | 1.14 | 20 PRO | 164.40 |
Con
Win | Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/3/2004 | 12.48 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.18 |
