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November 24, 2009
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Mr_Oni's Past Predictions
Last 30 DaysLast 90 DaysOverall
Wins00125
Losses0018
Winnings0.000.0027,298.37
ResultEvent
Category
Settled DatePro ValueCon ValueFutures OwnedValue
Con
Win
Dick Cheney does not finish 2nd term.US1/1/20094.871.261000 CON1,258.49
Con
Win
Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008Middle East1/1/20095.001.251000 CON1,250.00
Con
Win
Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreementUS11/2/20082.971.512000 CON3,013.55
Con
Lose
Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States.US10/15/20083.091.481200 PRO3,703.58
Pro
Lose
Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidateUS8/31/20082.002.001200 CON2,400.84
Con
Win
C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008US8/1/20083.191.461000 CON1,456.67
Con
Win
Legal challenge to use of Airbus A380 in US.Sci/Tech1/13/20082.561.642000 CON3,284.01
Con
Win
An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti.Terrorism1/11/20086.781.17200 CON234.59
Pro
Win
The number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2007 will be higher than 2006Iraq1/11/20081.294.473000 PRO3,864.76
Pro
Win
The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006.Middle East1/11/20081.532.871600 PRO2,453.41
Pro
Lose
The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006.China1/11/20081.542.851000 CON2,847.71
Pro
Lose
Windows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating SystemSci/Tech1/8/20081.642.57300 CON770.23
Con
Win
Not a single mile of federally financed hard-fence (not virtual) will be built on the Mexican border in 2007.US1/8/20081.264.871000 CON4,866.67
Con
Win
American will station the majority of its troops in the Kurdish North of Iraq and all ow the Shi'a and Sunnis fight it out.Middle East1/8/20086.281.19250 CON297.39
Con
Win
Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch IsraelMiddle East1/8/20082.981.512100 CON3,161.21
Con
Win
Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count.US1/8/20086.691.181500 CON1,763.66
Con
Win
Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration.US1/8/20082.721.581400 CON2,211.67
Con
Win
Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August.Iraq12/9/20073.421.412300 CON3,251.37
Con
Win
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season.US12/4/20072.601.632100 CON3,415.55
Con
Win
US fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUSRussia12/4/20078.041.14200 CON228.42
Pro
Win
The coup led by Fijian military commander Frank Bainimarama will succeed. World8/6/20071.119.71800 PRO891.87
Con
Win
U.S. military will deploy Arabic language translation computer.Middle East8/6/200723.061.05400 CON418.13
Con
Win
Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. World8/6/20072.241.81100 CON180.60
Con
Win
Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes.World8/6/20073.261.442700 CON3,895.76
Con
Win
Osama Bin Laden killed, body produced.Middle East8/6/20075.201.241500 CON1,857.40
Con
Win
Israel will withdraw for more settelments after the Gaza disengagment planMiddle East8/6/200711.001.10500 CON550.00
Con
Lose
UPS will cancel its A380F order leaving Airbus without any customers for the A380.General8/6/20075.571.22500 PRO2,787.04
Con
Win
U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005US1/18/20072.941.521500 CON2,273.28
Con
Win
During the next presidential administration, bills will be introduced in the House and Senate that would allow non-natural-born US Citizens to run for President.US1/18/20072.111.901500 CON2,854.71
Con
Win
The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles.Middle East1/18/20075.361.23500 CON614.81
Con
Win
US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. Iraq1/18/20073.691.372000 CON2,743.09
Con
Win
A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office.US1/18/200714.011.08200 CON215.37
Con
Win
Fidel Castro will be out of power by end of 2006.World1/18/20074.321.301500 CON1,951.76
Con
Win
The US begins construction of an Isreali style fence along the Mexican-US border. US1/18/20075.121.241000 CON1,242.83
Con
Win
1st Terrorist Nuke Will Be Of Pakistani Origin -designed or built there, or uses Pakistani fissionables. Can be a "dirty" device if it uses a chain reaction, or be captured w/o going off.Terrorism1/18/20074.281.301570 CON2,048.73
Con
Win
Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California.US12/30/20062.911.521000 CON1,523.95
Con
Win
The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 electionsUS12/30/20062.491.671700 CON2,841.27
Con
Win
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season.US12/30/20061.822.221000 CON2,223.50
Con
Win
At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season.US12/30/200613.141.08300 CON324.72
Con
Win
Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemicWorld12/30/20065.991.201000 CON1,200.36
Pro
Win
At least one house in Congress will change majority party in the Nov. election.US12/30/20061.443.301000 PRO1,435.37
Con
Win
Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y.Middle East12/30/20061.912.101000 CON2,095.48
Con
Lose
I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation.US10/21/20061.167.321200 PRO1,389.84
Pro
Lose
Crude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months.General7/14/20061.842.191000 CON2,185.32
Con
Win
A Shia-dominated Iraqi Defense Force that will crush the insurgency utilizing ruthless tactics. The American electorate will look the other way and accept this as acceptable.Iraq6/1/20061.642.571100 CON2,826.75
Con
Win
Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East.US3/12/20064.331.301000 CON1,300.67
Con
Win
Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US1/24/20067.471.15300 CON346.39
Con
Win
Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation.World1/24/20065.991.202000 CON2,401.03
Con
Win
Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship.Terrorism1/24/200610.971.10600 CON660.17
Con
Win
By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves.US1/24/20069.831.111000 CON1,113.21
Con
Win
A terrorist group files suit against the United States of America or an American defense company.Terrorism1/24/20068.871.131000 CON1,127.12
Con
Win
The House of Representatives will vote to suspend U.S. funding of the United Nations until Kofi Annan resigns.General1/24/20065.031.2550 CON62.41
Con
Win
Iran and Russia actually finalize and sign spent-fuel return and recycling protocol for Bushehr nuclear reactor. Russia actually completes delivery of fuel assemblies to reactor. Middle East1/24/20065.891.201000 CON1,204.44
Con
Win
Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration ObjectionsUS1/24/20068.251.141500 CON1,707.02
Pro
Lose
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season.US12/10/20051.972.031000 CON2,032.54
Con
Win
The US begins covert military strikes against Baathist camps and leaders in Syria.Terrorism12/10/20051.493.03500 CON1,513.35
Con
Win
the north korean goverment will fall this time next year. World12/10/20052.961.51490 CON739.80
Con
Win
Crude oil will be above $70 a barrel on Nov 1, 2005.World11/10/20054.881.262000 CON2,515.59
Con
Win
Runaway Bride marries (anybody)Sports11/10/20054.031.332350 CON3,125.07
Con
Win
Iran brought before the UN Security Council by United States/Allies for possible sanctions.World10/7/20053.491.40350 CON490.29
Con
Win
Terrorist group enters the US through either Canada or Mexico, and successfully conduct dirty bomb or nuclear attack on American soil.Terrorism10/7/20055.271.23220 CON271.53
Con
Win
Self styled head of al-Qaeda in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is captured or killed by coalition-led forces by 1st Sept. 2005. Iraq9/22/20051.732.37250 CON591.75
Con
Win
North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border.World9/22/20054.461.29300 CON386.80
Con
Win
The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government.US9/22/20054.791.2610 CON12.64
Pro
Win
Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. Middle East9/22/20051.274.64200 PRO254.93
Con
Win
Chief Justice Rehnquist will announce his retire before August 15.US8/23/20053.751.362000 CON2,727.27
Con
Win
Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005.US8/10/20053.821.35800 CON1,083.70
Con
Lose
John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations.US8/10/20051.314.24300 PRO392.68
Con
Lose
Conservative mullah elected president in IranWorld8/10/20052.041.96350 PRO715.61
Con
Win
U.S launches airstrikes on targets in SyriaMiddle East7/6/20053.251.451050 CON1,517.63
Con
Lose
When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US7/6/20052.411.71500 PRO1,206.59
Con
Win
House of Saud loses power in Saudi Arabia, overthrown by internal forces.Middle East7/6/200510.961.10150 CON165.06
Con
Win
US forces in Iraq decline to under 60,000.Middle East6/10/20054.721.2750 CON63.43
Con
Win
US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities.Middle East5/31/20053.111.47300 CON442.16
Con
Win
Successful Al'Qaeda strike in France.Terrorism5/31/20052.681.60250 CON399.10
Con
Lose
France will approve the EU Constitution referendum that will be voted on 5/29.Middle East5/31/20052.581.631150 PRO2,969.71
Con
Win
Robert Mugabe is re-elected President of Zimbabwe with 80% of the vote.World5/11/20053.011.50100 CON149.73
Con
Win
US sends large-scale stabilization force to Darfur after presidential election.World5/11/200516.051.0710 CON10.66
Con
Win
Another coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year.World5/11/20056.681.18990 CON1,164.38
Con
Win
The next Pope will NOT be a European.World4/19/20051.542.84325 CON923.35
Con
Win
US bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons.Middle East4/17/200511.441.1010 CON10.96
Con
Win
After president Bush wins re-election, there is a massive US build up on Syria's border, and Syria asks for the same deal as Lybia and gives up terrorism.Middle East4/17/200527.801.041 CON1.04
Con
Win
Provided he wins the election, Bush promotes a flat tax or other similarly radical reform of the IRS early in his second term.US4/17/20052.961.511595 CON2,410.58
Pro
Lose
The Montreal Expos do NOT move to Washington D.C. in 2005.Sports4/17/20056.991.1710 CON11.67
Con
Win
Major Al Quaeda base discovered in Indonesia. Indonesian military moves in to crush it with the help of US advisors.Terrorism4/17/20059.551.12100 CON111.69
Con
Win
Israel evicts/drives out nearly all Palestinians from Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank.World 4/17/2005113.241.011 CON1.01
Con
Win
Israel-Palestine cease-fire collapses within one month.Middle East3/15/20052.341.741030 CON1,796.77
Con
Win
Iran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment.World3/15/2005123.931.011 CON1.01
Con
Win
CBS memos found to be work of pro-Bush agents.US3/15/200528.501.0410 CON10.36
Con
Win
Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in EuropeTerrorism3/15/200518.401.06100 CON105.75
Pro
Win
New England Patriots win the SuperbowlSports2/6/20051.1110.18850 PRO942.59
Con
Win
Iraqi insurgents will conduct at least three major attacks causing major civilian casualties prior to the elections on 30 January 2005.Iraq2/3/20051.334.07420 CON1,710.19
Con
Win
US Cancels F-22 fighter.US1/30/20056.921.17100 CON116.91
Con
Win
Eastern Ukraine Secedes in election dispute.Russia1/30/200516.611.0610 CON10.64
Con
Win
EU ends the Ukraine election dispute.Russia1/30/20051.001.001 CON1.00
Con
Win
Ukraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich will use his military and police to violently suppress the Opposition protesters against his re-election.General1/30/20059.241.12350 CON392.48
Con
Lose
Pittsburgh Steelers win Superbowl.Sports1/23/20054.101.321 PRO4.10
Pro
Win
Death toll from Asia tsunami and related diseases exceeds 200,000.World1/20/20051.196.18100 PRO119.30
Con
Win
The Indianapolis Colts Win Superbowl XXXIX Sports1/16/20054.281.3110 CON13.05
Pro
Win
Mahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005.Middle East1/10/20051.0426.72100 PRO103.89
Con
Win
US - North Korean Military Incident in the Sea of JapanGeneral1/4/20059.231.12332 CON372.34
Pro
Win
A Mid Major, either Boise State, Fresno State, Louisville or Utah will rise to #6 and receive a BCS bowl bid.Sports1/4/20051.1010.53350 PRO386.72
Con
Win
Nuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year.Terrorism1/4/20055.841.21500 CON603.35
Con
Win
Iraq's Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi will be assassinated before the beginning of next year.Iraq1/4/20052.961.51200 CON302.26
Con
Win
National elections in IraqIraq1/4/20052.761.57800 CON1,255.83
Con
Win
Israel launches a pre-emptive airstrike against Iran's nuclear weapons production facilities.Middle East1/4/20052.351.7410 CON17.43
Con
Win
Islamic radicals stage revolution in Pakistan and take over government.World1/4/200515.991.075 CON5.33
Con
Win
Islamic Terrorists use a nuclear (including dirty bombs), biological or chemical weapon against the west, on any scale.Terrorism1/4/20053.901.34200 CON268.92
Con
Lose
If President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forcesIraq12/22/20041.463.175 PRO7.31
Con
Win
Another hurricane (Category 1 or higher) will strike Florida this hurricane season.US12/6/200444.041.025 CON5.12
Con
Win
Turkey will be accepted into the EUWorld12/6/200410.271.115 CON5.54
Con
Win
The AUC demobilization collapses, leading to a tacit alliance between the AUC and the Colombian government against FARC.World12/6/200414.991.075 CON5.36
Con
Win
Zimbabwean financial and civil meltdown causes South African intervention to rectify. Mugabe flees to third country to avoid trail for crimes against humanity.World12/6/200413.901.08200 CON215.50
Con
Win
Scott Peterson will be found NOT GUILTY of murdering his wife and unborn child.General11/12/200411.331.105 CON5.48
Con
Lose
Arafat "officially" declared dead by PLO.Middle East11/9/20042.081.93183 PRO380.49
Con
Win
Dan Rather is found to be the source of the CBS-promoted anti-Bush CYA documents.US11/7/2004628.001.005 CON5.01
Con
Win
Someone dies because of political violence during the American presidential election campaign.US11/7/20045.991.20200 CON240.09
Con
Win
National League Team wins 2004 World Series.Sports11/3/20045.161.245 CON6.20
Con
Lose
National Missile Defense site in Alaska goes operational before the US presidential election.US11/3/20041.632.60118 PRO191.91
Con
Win
Anaheim Angels win World Series!Sports11/3/2004332.001.005 CON5.02
Con
Win
Los Angeles Dodgers win World Series!Sports11/3/2004510.001.005 CON5.01
Pro
Win
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will hit $53 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004.World11/3/20041.0425.175 PRO5.21
Con
Win
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will drop to $47 or less per barrel by November 2, 2004.World11/3/20044.781.2620 CON25.29
Con
Lose
By 8pm EDT on Wednesday, November 3rd, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute.US11/3/20042.381.73100 PRO237.90
Con
Win
John Kerry elected President.US11/3/20042.571.6410 CON16.37
Con
Win
Osama Bin laden will be caught before the US Presidential Elections.US11/3/20045.661.21100 CON121.44
Con
Win
Will Bush win a plurality of votes, but lose in the electoral college (e.g. inverse of 2000)?US11/3/200414.011.085 CON5.38
Con
Win
Homeland Security (FBI, CIA, Etc.) will announce they successfully foiled a terrorist attempt to disrupt the U.S. Presidential Election within one week of the Election.Terrorism11/3/20043.381.42105 CON149.09
Con
Win
George Bush will be assassinated before election.Terrorism11/3/200443.471.025 CON5.12
Con
Win
In a move reminiscent of the 2002 New Jersey senate campaign, the democratic national committee replaces John Kerry with another candidate.US11/3/200452.201.025 CON5.10
Con
Win
Catastrophic seismic event occurs on the West coast by election day.US11/3/200410.431.115 CON5.53
Con
Win
High ranking white house official indicted for revealing id of covert CIA agent Valery Plame before elections.US11/3/200422.771.0510 CON10.46
Con
Win
Kerry gets new campaign manager.US11/3/20042.461.69262 CON441.76
Con
Win
Osama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections.Terrorism11/3/20045.391.23400 CON491.21
Con
Win
Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq.Iraq11/3/200412.481.0910 CON10.87
Con
Win
Al Qaeda will conduct multiple simultaneous attacks using powdered anthrax in Washington D.C. and New York, shortly before the US Presidencial elections.US11/3/200426.551.045 CON5.20
Con
Win
Forged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.)US11/3/20044.071.3340 CON53.01
Con
Win
Responsibility for the Abhu Ghraib incident will be charged to an officer with rank lower than Lt. Colonel.US11/3/20042.351.7410 CON17.40
Pro
Win
Hamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan.World10/28/20041.0336.97300 PRO308.34
Con
Win
The Minnesota Twins win the 2004 American League Championship Series.Sports10/18/20043.221.4510 CON14.51
Con
Win
Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections.Terrorism10/9/200417.851.06370 CON391.96
Con
Win
The U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home. Iraq10/3/200430.151.03500 CON517.15
Con
Win
For his role in the National Guard memo scandal, Dan Rather resigns or is fired as anchor of the CBS Evening News by the 1st of October.US10/1/200424.371.04500 CON521.40
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