| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Pro
Lose | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 1 CON | 5.36 |
Con
Lose | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 10 PRO | 18.53 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 50 CON | 64.63 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 10 CON | 12.09 |
Con
Win | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 25 CON | 33.98 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 25 CON | 26.05 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 25 CON | 29.00 |
Con
Lose | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 25 PRO | 142.35 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 10 CON | 11.36 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 25 CON | 31.25 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 10 CON | 13.46 |
Con
Win | Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries. | Middle East | 12/15/2008 | 3.03 | 1.49 | 25 CON | 37.33 |
Con
Lose | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 25 PRO | 65.68 |
Con
Lose | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 200 PRO | 275.86 |
Con
Lose | McCain will be elected president of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.79 | 2.27 | 100 PRO | 179.04 |
Pro
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 25 CON | 381.00 |
Con
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state. | US | 11/3/2008 | 10.02 | 1.11 | 25 PRO | 250.59 |
Con
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 100 PRO | 290.93 |
Con
Win | Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement | US | 11/2/2008 | 2.97 | 1.51 | 25 CON | 37.67 |
Con
Win | The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President. | US | 11/1/2008 | 7.66 | 1.15 | 20 CON | 23.00 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 10 PRO | 57.46 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 10 CON | 12.87 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 10 CON | 14.79 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 1 CON | 1.05 |
Con
Lose | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 20 PRO | 183.47 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 110 PRO | 337.22 |
Con
Win | Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the Republican presidental nominee for the 2008 presidential election. | US | 9/9/2008 | 50.19 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.51 |
Con
Win | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.52 |
Con
Win | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 25 CON | 30.33 |
Con
Win | Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. | US | 9/1/2008 | 7.81 | 1.15 | 25 CON | 28.67 |
Con
Win | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Lose | Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination. | US | 8/31/2008 | 11.55 | 1.09 | 20 PRO | 231.03 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 20 CON | 82.85 |
Con
Win | Governor Bill Richardson will be nominated for President by the Democratic party | US | 8/31/2008 | 13.90 | 1.08 | 10 CON | 10.78 |
Pro
Win | Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidate | US | 8/31/2008 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 50 PRO | 99.97 |
Con
Lose | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 1 PRO | 9.78 |
Con
Win | C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008 | US | 8/1/2008 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 10 CON | 14.57 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 25 CON | 34.41 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.31 |
Con
Lose | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 100 PRO | 917.17 |
Con
Lose | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 5.88 | 1.20 | 100 PRO | 588.42 |
Con
Win | Karl Rove will lose his White House job. | US | 2/3/2008 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 50 CON | 91.69 |
Pro
Win | Before the next election in Russia, there will be at least one significant incident of violence or intimidation directed against a prominent person or group opposing Putin & those with him. | Russia | 2/3/2008 | 1.10 | 10.83 | 10 PRO | 11.02 |
Con
Win | Gen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. Nomination | US | 1/24/2008 | 479.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Lose | Donald Rumsfeld will stay in his post at least for the remainder of the Bush Adm. | US | 1/24/2008 | 2.23 | 1.81 | 25 PRO | 55.82 |
Pro
Lose | Gov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse. | US | 1/14/2008 | 1.03 | 30.40 | 20 CON | 608.00 |
Con
Win | Indianapolis Colts play in the 2007 season Super Bowl. | US | 1/14/2008 | 42.70 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Lose | NASA will retire a Space Shuttle Orbiter by the end of 2007. | Sci/Tech | 1/12/2008 | 6.04 | 1.20 | 25 PRO | 150.95 |
Con
Win | Airbus SAS will not sell more than 140 A350 XWB aircraft by December 31, 2007. | General | 1/12/2008 | 2.29 | 1.78 | 25 CON | 44.39 |
Con
Win | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 25 CON | 29.32 |
Pro
Lose | The number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2007 will be higher than 2006 | Iraq | 1/11/2008 | 1.29 | 4.47 | 10 CON | 44.69 |
Pro
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006 | US | 1/11/2008 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 10 PRO | 16.90 |
Pro
Win | Boeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007. | General | 1/11/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 PRO | 25.00 |
Pro
Win | The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | China | 1/11/2008 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 10 PRO | 15.41 |
Con
Lose | Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. | World | 1/8/2008 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 332.00 |
Pro
Win | Windows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating System | Sci/Tech | 1/8/2008 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 25 PRO | 40.95 |
Pro
Lose | Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.10 | 10.89 | 10 CON | 108.86 |
Pro
Win | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 25 PRO | 51.54 |
Con
Lose | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/8/2008 | 14.41 | 1.07 | 10 PRO | 144.14 |
Con
Win | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.22 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch Israel | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.98 | 1.51 | 25 CON | 37.63 |
Con
Win | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.82 |
Pro
Win | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 25 PRO | 29.49 |
Con
Win | Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 13.40 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.02 |
Con
Win | The S&P 500 will be 1350 or lower on December 31, 2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 8.64 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.31 |
Con
Win | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 10 CON | 12.72 |
Con
Win | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.48 |
Con
Win | America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 25 CON | 32.23 |
Con
Lose | Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count. | US | 1/8/2008 | 6.69 | 1.18 | 10 PRO | 66.89 |
Con
Lose | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 100 PRO | 642.84 |
Con
Lose | Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration. | US | 1/8/2008 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 100 PRO | 272.48 |
Con
Lose | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 25 PRO | 85.44 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season. | US | 12/4/2007 | 2.60 | 1.63 | 25 PRO | 64.91 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.08 |
Con
Win | Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees. | US | 11/29/2007 | 9.49 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 27.95 |
Con
Lose | The Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World Series | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 73.77 | 1.01 | 1 PRO | 73.77 |
Con
Lose | Republicans React To Election. Giuliani In and Dobson Out. | US | 11/29/2007 | 1.04 | 23.50 | 25 PRO | 26.11 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.45 |
Con
Lose | Al Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 282.75 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 282.75 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will will the National League Pennant | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 152.50 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will win the National League Central Division. | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 1 CON | 1.26 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish over .500 | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 1.03 | 40.50 | 1 CON | 40.50 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 1 CON | 1.03 |
Con
Lose | Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle East | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 256.00 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 256.00 |
Con
Win | Ford Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 25 CON | 57.85 |
Con
Lose | General Motors will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 25 PRO | 58.37 |
Con
Win | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 25 CON | 27.65 |
Con
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 25 CON | 37.89 |
Con
Lose | expansion of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)by at least 1 additional member | China | 1/18/2007 | 4.71 | 1.27 | 25 PRO | 117.86 |
Con
Win | A civil war will break-out in Serbia over the political status of Kosovo. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 9.57 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 27.92 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 26.92 |
Con
Win | US Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil War | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 9.08 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.09 |
Con
Win | Successful or not, there will be an attempt to carry out an attack on American citizens from Canadian soil. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 5.22 | 1.24 | 23 CON | 28.44 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 9.11 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.08 |
Con
Lose | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 25 PRO | 427.35 |
Con
Win | The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 42.67 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Lose | William Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations. | World | 1/18/2007 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 100 PRO | 780.00 |
Con
Win | One or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel. | Sci/Tech | 1/18/2007 | 7.83 | 1.15 | 2 CON | 2.29 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Iraq. | US | 1/18/2007 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.19 |
Con
Lose | The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World Series | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 499.67 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 499.67 |
Con
Lose | Demotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections. | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.03 | 1.97 | 100 PRO | 202.95 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan. | World | 1/18/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 16 CON | 17.60 |
Con
Win | China liberates North Korea | China | 1/18/2007 | 10.32 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.73 |
Con
Win | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 25 CON | 38.10 |
Con
Lose | A prominent Democratic Party politician (current or former: Senator, Representative, Cabinet Officer, or Governor) will be accused of financially benefiting from the U.N. Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 12.62 | 1.09 | 25 PRO | 315.38 |
Con
Win | Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 22.01 | 1.05 | 25 CON | 26.19 |
Con
Win | United Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 11.81 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.31 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 25 PRO | 62.24 |
Con
Lose | Interting of aircraft fuel tanks will be recognised by JAA/FAA as mandatory before end of 2006. To be installed in a/c capable of such modifications in a phased manner over several years. | Sci/Tech | 12/30/2006 | 2.18 | 1.85 | 25 PRO | 54.48 |
Con
Lose | A major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 2.95 | 1.51 | 25 PRO | 73.80 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 25 PRO | 45.43 |
Con
Win | At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 13.14 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.06 |
Con
Win | A Hurricane hits the Iberian Peninsula during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 14.35 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.87 |
Con
Win | Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed. | US | 12/30/2006 | 8.55 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.31 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.50 |
Con
Lose | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 50 PRO | 299.55 |
Con
Win | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 25 CON | 40.21 |
Con
Lose | I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation. | US | 10/21/2006 | 1.16 | 7.32 | 25 PRO | 28.95 |
Con
Lose | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 100 PRO | 2,548.50 |
Con
Win | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 140 CON | 145.93 |
Con
Lose | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 100 PRO | 1,732.53 |
Con
Lose | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 100 PRO | 2,814.94 |
Con
Lose | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 100 PRO | 1,915.47 |
Con
Lose | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 5 PRO | 147.68 |
Con
Win | Chinese government abandons communism, turns to capitalist economy, but retains government leaders and most aspects of govt and laws stay the same (lack of human rights, etc.) | China | 6/1/2006 | 15.43 | 1.07 | 1 CON | 1.07 |
Con
Lose | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 100 PRO | 1,822.22 |
Con
Win | EU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China. | China | 4/13/2006 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 110.00 |
Con
Win | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 25 CON | 28.40 |
Con
Win | The Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety. | US | 3/12/2006 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.53 |
Con
Win | A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 100.60 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.25 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.00 |
Con
Lose | Fundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006 | 8.78 | 1.13 | 100 PRO | 878.32 |
Con
Lose | [Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s]. | US | 1/24/2006 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 167 PRO | 616.51 |
Con
Win | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 100 CON | 115.46 |
Pro
Win | Karl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.57 | 2.76 | 92 PRO | 144.32 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 100 CON | 125.00 |
Con
Lose | Saddam Hussein is featured in a Cheetos or Doritos commercial. | Iraq | 1/24/2006 | 38.13 | 1.03 | 110 PRO | 4,194.73 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 100 PRO | 109.86 |
Con
Lose | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 100 PRO | 1,287.34 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 1 CON | 1.10 |
Con
Lose | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 100 PRO | 1,010.91 |
Con
Win | A terrorist group files suit against the United States of America or an American defense company. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 8.87 | 1.13 | 1 CON | 1.13 |
Con
Win | Major combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1 CON | 2.25 |
Con
Lose | Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration Objections | US | 1/24/2006 | 8.25 | 1.14 | 100 PRO | 824.58 |
Con
Lose | U.S. invades Baathist Syria from Iraq. | US | 1/24/2006 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 500 PRO | 2,218.44 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.86 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.43 |
Con
Win | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.05 |
Con
Lose | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 100 PRO | 2,100.00 |
Con
Lose | American Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time. | US | 11/10/2005 | 6.13 | 1.20 | 100 PRO | 612.73 |
Con
Win | Renminbi/US4 exchange rate
Exchange rate for the Chinese Renminbi/ Yuan
Vis a vis the US $ will be below 7.800 Renminbi per 1 US $ , On or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005 | 3.18 | 1.46 | 100 CON | 145.82 |
Con
Lose | Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 14.48 | 1.07 | 100 PRO | 1,448.43 |
Pro
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish the 2005 season at or above .500. | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 1.78 | 2.28 | 100 PRO | 178.34 |
Con
Win | The EU will lift the arms embargo against China, despite Administration protests. | Europe | 9/22/2005 | 1.60 | 2.68 | 100 CON | 268.02 |
Con
Lose | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 100 PRO | 445.63 |
Con
Lose | US Marine general makes politically insensitive public remark before any general officer of the other US armed services | US | 9/22/2005 | 8.16 | 1.14 | 100 PRO | 815.81 |
Con
Lose | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 100 PRO | 381.98 |
Con
Lose | Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority Leader | US | 8/10/2005 | 14.23 | 1.08 | 100 PRO | 1,423.25 |
Con
Lose | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 100 PRO | 130.89 |
Con
Lose | North Korea sets off a nuclear weapon | World | 7/6/2005 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 100 PRO | 354.14 |
Con
Lose | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 7/6/2005 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 100 PRO | 241.32 |
Con
Lose | Reunification of Korea by the ROK, defined as ROK boarder guards/troops on the Yalu following the collapse of North Korea. | World | 7/6/2005 | 8.63 | 1.13 | 100 PRO | 862.59 |
Pro
Win | Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. | World | 6/10/2005 | 1.06 | 18.58 | 100 PRO | 105.69 |
Con
Lose | US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 3.11 | 1.47 | 100 PRO | 311.04 |
Con
Lose | France will approve the EU Constitution referendum that will be voted on 5/29. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 2.58 | 1.63 | 100 PRO | 258.24 |
Pro
Lose | Yassir Arafat dies, paving the way for a comprehensive peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 1.63 | 2.60 | 100 CON | 259.72 |
Con
Win | Kurd vs. Sunni vs. Shiite civil war explodes in Iraq. US troops caught in middle. | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 2.84 | 1.54 | 1 CON | 1.54 |
Con
Win | After president Bush wins re-election, there is a massive US build up on Syria's border, and Syria asks for the same deal as Lybia and gives up terrorism. | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 27.80 | 1.04 | 1 CON | 1.04 |
Con
Win | China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent. | China | 4/17/2005 | 11.11 | 1.10 | 1 CON | 1.10 |
Con
Lose | Major al-Qaeda attack in Italy or against a major Italian target abroad. | Terrorism | 4/17/2005 | 2.43 | 1.70 | 1 PRO | 2.43 |
Con
Lose | Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in Europe | Terrorism | 3/15/2005 | 18.40 | 1.06 | 1 PRO | 18.40 |
Con
Win | The UN will declare the Iraqi elections invalid and illegitimate | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 2.74 | 1.58 | 100 CON | 157.60 |
Con
Win | Syrians withdraw 1/2 of troops from Lebanon, emphasis on troops in the northern part of the country but leave significant troop concentrations near Beirut | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 9.43 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.19 |
Con
Win | In the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection. | US | 1/4/2005 | 6.56 | 1.18 | 1 CON | 1.18 |
Con
Win | If George Bush wins the election he will dramatically increase the military presence in Iraq in an effort to bring the war to a conclusion. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 13.80 | 1.08 | 1 CON | 1.08 |
Con
Lose | National elections in Iraq | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 2.76 | 1.57 | 100 PRO | 275.50 |
Con
Win | Revolution in Iran | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 1 CON | 1.77 |
Con
Win | India and Pakistan will make a peace deal over Kashmir by the end of the year | World | 1/4/2005 | 5.98 | 1.20 | 1 CON | 1.20 |
Con
Lose | If President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forces | Iraq | 12/22/2004 | 1.46 | 3.17 | 100 PRO | 146.13 |
Con
Win | French Government publicly apologises to world for pocketing Saddams cash in exchange for votes at UN | Iraq | 12/6/2004 | 104.08 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Pro
Lose | Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary. | US | 11/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.37 | 1 CON | 1.37 |
Con
Lose | Republicans pick up at least 5 seats in the US senate from the November 2nd, 2004 elections. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.66 | 1.21 | 100 PRO | 566.41 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least two seats (For a total of 53+) in the Senate. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.15 | 7.48 | 100 PRO | 115.42 |
Con
Win | John Kerry wins the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004 | 4.45 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 129.01 |
Con
Win | By 8pm EST on Tuesday, November 9th, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.60 | 1.22 | 1 CON | 1.22 |
Con
Win | Osama Bin laden will be caught before the US Presidential Elections. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.66 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.44 |
Pro
Win | Bush reelected in November 2 | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 1 PRO | 1.64 |
Con
Win | Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004 | 17.85 | 1.06 | 1 CON | 1.06 |
Con
Lose | Osama Bin Laden captured | Terrorism | 6/30/2004 | 1.70 | 2.44 | 1 PRO | 1.70 |
