| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | Terrorists will kill more than 20,000 American civilians by April 2013. | Terrorism | 4/15/2013 | 4.78 | 1.26 | 100 CON | 126.45 |
Con
Win | Nuclear device detonated in an American population center. | US | 1/26/2013 | 27.03 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.38 |
Pro
Win | Regardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office. | General | 1/26/2013 | 1.01 | 88.73 | 10 PRO | 10.11 |
Con
Win | Iran exerts dominance over Iraq, before end of Obama 1st term. | Iraq | 1/26/2013 | 8.76 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.29 |
Con
Win | Obama and Congressional leaders announce the US will join with the EU under a common government | US | 1/26/2013 | 18.32 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.58 |
Con
Lose | Accusations that the BP escrow fund money has found its way into Democrat operative hands become public. | US | 1/1/2013 | 3.31 | 1.43 | 10 PRO | 33.06 |
Con
Win | India and Pakistan sign a security and cooperation agreement ending 60+ years of mutual hostility. | World | 1/1/2013 | 5.05 | 1.25 | 10 CON | 12.47 |
Con
Win | Worst gasoline shortages since WWII with prompt calls in Congress to nationalize oil companies. | US | 1/1/2013 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 10 CON | 12.60 |
Con
Win | Man made global warming disaster prophets will reverse direction in the face of record cold. Afterwards, they will warn that "greenhouse gases" cause ice ages. | General | 1/1/2013 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 10 CON | 13.21 |
Con
Lose | By 2012, Moslem scholars will publish evidence that Jesus did not die on the cross. | World | 1/1/2013 | 3.06 | 1.49 | 10 PRO | 30.58 |
Con
Win | US Congress with the President will outlaw ownership of gold by individuals in the US | US | 1/1/2013 | 30.09 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.34 |
Con
Win | Federal government rescues New York Times from bankruptcy. | US | 1/1/2013 | 77.00 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.13 |
Con
Win | US will remove its military from Afghanistan under pressure from the Afghan government. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 64.18 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Con
Win | Afghan government will pressure the US to remove its military presence from Afghan soil. | General | 1/1/2013 | 7.28 | 1.16 | 10 CON | 11.59 |
Con
Lose | A Monthly Average Of US Dollar Inflation Will Exceed A 16% Annualized Rate For Some Month Before Years End 2012. | US | 1/1/2013 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 10 PRO | 26.43 |
Con
Lose | President Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs. | US | 1/1/2013 | 824.00 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 824.00 |
Con
Win | US to experience Weimar style hyperinflation before the end of 2012. | US | 1/1/2013 | 8.36 | 1.14 | 10 CON | 11.36 |
Con
Win | Germany leaves the Euro. | Europe | 1/1/2013 | 5.28 | 1.23 | 10 CON | 12.34 |
Con
Win | Class action lawsuit opens up the NFL to lesbian and transgender players. | US | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Mostly conservative Websites become blocked. Government declares cyber attack emergency. Situation remains unresolved and unclear. | US | 1/1/2013 | 11.33 | 1.10 | 10 PRO | 113.33 |
Con
Win | Eric Holder resigns prior to the end of the 1st term of the Obama administration, due to scandal over refusal to enforce the Motor Voter law, or over the New Black Panther Partys voter intimidation. | US | 1/1/2013 | 263.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.04 |
Con
Win | Real unemployment exceeds 35% under Obama although not reported as such by MSM. | US | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Joint force including participation of Israel, Jordan and Saudi Arabia carry out air strike on Iran. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 34.05 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.30 |
Con
Lose | Iran becomes a military dictatorship under the IRGC. No civilian rule. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 3.86 | 1.35 | 10 PRO | 38.62 |
Con
Win | Greece and Turkey go to war over Cyprus. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Obama will be the last US president elected under the constitution of 1789 (completed 1787). | US | 1/1/2013 | 20.10 | 1.05 | 1 PRO | 20.10 |
Con
Win | Congress passes law mandating purchase of savings bonds through employer witholding above and beyong that for taxes. | US | 1/1/2013 | 5.91 | 1.20 | 10 CON | 12.04 |
Pro
Win | End of World fails to materialize | World | 12/21/2012 | 1.11 | 9.98 | 10 PRO | 11.11 |
Con
Lose | War between Northern & Southern Sudan. Ethiopia will come to the aid of Southern Sudan. | World | 12/13/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | National health Plan causes quality of care to severely drop in the US | US | 12/13/2012 | 3.75 | 1.36 | 10 PRO | 37.50 |
Con
Lose | Republicans gain control of the Senate in the 2012 election. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.31 | 4.27 | 10 PRO | 13.06 |
Con
Lose | Obama will be a one term president. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.79 | 2.26 | 10 PRO | 17.92 |
Con
Win | Democrats regain control of the House of Representatives in the 2012 election. | US | 11/8/2012 | 7.63 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.51 |
Con
Win | Karzai is assassinated in coop. A tacit US complicity come to light after the fact. | Middle East | 11/8/2012 | 8.92 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.26 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans increase their number of seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.07 | 16.00 | 10 PRO | 10.67 |
Con
Win | Prior to the 2012 general election, documents will be provided proving that Pres. Obama is not a natural born citizen of the US. | US | 11/5/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Voters overiding concern in 2012 will be national security. | US | 11/5/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | In the Balkans, there will be at least 1 Terrorist attack or lethal act of violence committed by radical Muslims, targeting Pro-U.S. Muslim communities or individuals. | Terrorism | 11/4/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Obama visits Israel before the 2012 election. | US | 11/4/2012 | 22.50 | 1.05 | 10 PRO | 225.00 |
Con
Lose | Tea Party Sunders, costs GOP next Presidential Election. | US | 11/4/2012 | 8.98 | 1.13 | 10 PRO | 89.75 |
Con
Win | Iran announces that it has detonated an underground nuclear device. | Middle East | 11/4/2012 | 6.77 | 1.17 | 10 CON | 11.73 |
Con
Win | In an effort to shore up his re-election prospects, Obama orders US military action against Iran to take out their nuclear capabilities. | US | 11/4/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Win | GM will still be owned by the Federal Government at the end of the Obama Presidency | US | 11/4/2012 | 1.59 | 2.69 | 10 PRO | 15.92 |
Con
Win | Obama dumps Biden, and chooses someone else as his VP running mate in the 2012 election. | US | 9/30/2012 | 2.31 | 1.77 | 10 CON | 17.66 |
Pro
Win | NASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will successfully land on Mars in operational condition by the end of 2012. | Sci/Tech | 8/7/2012 | 1.24 | 5.10 | 10 PRO | 12.44 |
Con
Win | Hizballah takes over the Lebanese government. | Middle East | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Stephen Chu resigns or gets fired as the head of the DOE as a result of the Solyndra scandal. | US | 6/30/2012 | 216.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.05 |
Con
Win | The Euro ceases to exist as a currency. | General | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | War between Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shia Iran | Middle East | 6/30/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Animal rights or Ecological terrorists kill at least 1 civilian in the continental United States, whether as collateral damage, or as part of deliberately lethal terror attacks. | Terrorism | 6/30/2012 | 11.48 | 1.10 | 10 PRO | 114.78 |
Con
Win | Military action against Iran. The coalition will be led by the US. This will not include an ground forces, unless Iran counterattacks into one of the neighboring countries. | Middle East | 6/5/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich becomes the Republican nominee. | US | 5/31/2012 | 42.71 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.24 |
Pro
Win | Mitt Romney becomes the Republican Candidate for President. | US | 5/31/2012 | 1.20 | 6.00 | 10 PRO | 12.00 |
Con
Win | The Republican partys caucus/primary system fails to produce a clear nominee, and the Republicans have a brokered convention. | US | 5/31/2012 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 10 CON | 20.00 |
Pro
Lose | Obama gets a primary challenge. | US | 5/23/2012 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 10 CON | 19.80 |
Con
Win | The "Arab Spring" comes to Russia, and Putin Falls. | Russia | 4/4/2012 | 18.00 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.59 |
Con
Win | At least one member of the Arab League attacks Syria militarily. | Middle East | 3/31/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Syria unleashes terror attacks, either by itself or through its proxies, against the Arabian countries (Jordan, Saudi Arabia, etc.) in the Arab League that have called for the boycott. | Middle East | 3/31/2012 | 21.55 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.49 |
Con
Win | War between Turkey and Israel. | Middle East | 3/31/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Obama has now said that the SEALs made the decision to kill Bin Laden. Obama throws the SEALs under the bus, and charges are brought against them. | US | 3/31/2012 | 1.28 | 4.57 | 10 CON | 45.71 |
Pro
Win | Civil war in Syria. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The revolution in Syria succeeds in overthrowing Assad and the ruling leadership. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 10 CON | 11.82 |
Con
Win | Terrorists detonate either a nuclear device or a "dirty bomb" in Russia. | Russia | 3/2/2012 | 4.22 | 1.31 | 10 CON | 13.11 |
Con
Win | Obama decides not to run for a second term. | US | 3/2/2012 | 111.25 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.09 |
Con
Win | War on the Korean Peninsula. | China | 3/2/2012 | 14.65 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.73 |
Con
Win | Massive rioting in North Korea leades to civil disorder. | China | 3/2/2012 | 14.55 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.74 |
Con
Win | The Muslim Brotherhood takes over the Egyptian government, and marginalizes the army. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 7.03 | 1.17 | 10 CON | 11.66 |
Con
Win | Egypt and Israel go to war. Either side may be the aggressor. | Middle East | 3/2/2012 | 23.90 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.44 |
Con
Win | Obama is easily re-elected over republican Newt Gingrich and independent Charles Crist in 3-way race. | US | 2/19/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Incursion into Somalia by a country not neighboring. Number of troop or duration irrelevant, as long as it involves deliberate use of conventional forces. | World | 2/19/2012 | 3.57 | 1.39 | 10 CON | 13.89 |
Con
Lose | An act of politically motivated act of terrorism perpetrated by a homegrown lone wolf in the US occurs. | Terrorism | 2/2/2012 | 1.13 | 8.50 | 10 PRO | 11.33 |
Con
Win | Eric Holder resigns as a result of the ATF "gun walker" scandal. | US | 2/2/2012 | 8.40 | 1.14 | 10 CON | 11.35 |
Con
Win | Janet Napolitano resigns for reasons that have nothing to do with gunwalker or any other issue. | US | 2/2/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Khalid Sheik Mohammed does not stand trial or go before a military tribunal during the remainder of Obamas presidency. | US | 1/25/2012 | 1.17 | 6.95 | 10 PRO | 11.68 |
Con
Win | There is an assassination attempt on Sarah Palin. | US | 1/22/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Apocalypse will come. | World | 1/22/2012 | 10.45 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.06 |
Con
Lose | Shots fired near President Obama. | US | 1/20/2012 | 2.54 | 1.65 | 10 PRO | 25.43 |
Con
Win | Rick Perry becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/19/2012 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 10 CON | 12.22 |
Con
Win | Herman Cain becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/9/2012 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 10 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | War Between India and Pakistan | World | 12/31/2011 | 7.38 | 1.16 | 10 CON | 11.57 |
Con
Lose | Sarah Palin will run for president in 2012. | US | 10/5/2011 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 10 PRO | 20.24 |
Con
Lose | Afghan campaign will dramatically improve for ISAF once herion trade disrupted significantly | Middle East | 9/1/2011 | 2.11 | 1.90 | 10 PRO | 21.13 |
Con
Lose | Obama gets impeached.. | US | 6/30/2011 | 9.29 | 1.12 | 10 PRO | 92.90 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns to challenge Obama for the Democratic nomination. | US | 1/31/2011 | 24.77 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.42 |
Pro
Win | There will be a clash on the high seas, and neither the US or Russia will be the aggressor. | World | 1/30/2011 | 1.05 | 21.00 | 10 PRO | 10.50 |
Con
Win | Large battle between two blue water navies. | World | 1/30/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Israel launches an air strike against Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 34.88 | 1.03 | 10 PRO | 348.78 |
Con
Lose | Iraq will become a weak Federal Republic with a strong Kurdish area, a Shi'a area under Iranian domination and a Sunni area that is in chaos. | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 25 PRO | 55.89 |
Con
Win | Queen Elizabeth turns over most of her official duties to her eldest grandson, HRH Prince William. | Europe | 1/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Obama makes diplomatic accomodation with Taliban allowing the US to disengage in Afghanistan without immediate loss of face. | US | 1/1/2011 | 26.97 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.39 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheive a diplomatic brake through before end 2010 | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 7.60 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.52 |
Con
Win | Civil disorder in Russia. | Russia | 1/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella. | China | 1/1/2011 | 1,474.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Lose | The head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists. | China | 12/31/2010 | 4.04 | 1.33 | 5 PRO | 20.18 |
Con
Lose | Obama Will Seek To Organize The National Community Down To the Grass Roots Level | US | 12/31/2010 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 10 PRO | 24.12 |
Con
Win | Unemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010. | US | 12/31/2010 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 10 CON | 12.22 |
Con
Win | Flight of major advertisers takes Rush Limbaugh off the air in all but a few markets. | US | 12/31/2010 | 12.20 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.89 |
Con
Win | Falkland Islands revisited | World | 12/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | A Republican becomes the next Governor of Illinois. | US | 11/17/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Final composition of the US Senate after the mid-terms is 49 Democrats, 49 Republicans, and 2 Independents. | US | 11/5/2010 | 16.00 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.67 |
Pro
Win | Republican gain a majority of Governorships after the mid-term elections, with a minimum of 28 statehouses held by the Republicans. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | Nancy Pelosi loses her 2010 re-election bid. | US | 11/3/2010 | 2.07 | 1.94 | 10 PRO | 20.69 |
Con
Lose | Barbara Boxer is defeated in her re-election bid. | US | 11/3/2010 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 20 PRO | 100.00 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least 4 seats in the Senate in the 2010 mid-term elections. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.27 | 4.70 | 10 PRO | 12.70 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least 30 seats in the House in the 2010 mid-term elections | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.82 | 2.23 | 10 PRO | 18.16 |
Con
Win | Nancy Pelosi will be the Speaker of the House for the 112th Congress. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.09 | 11.61 | 10 CON | 116.11 |
Con
Lose | Deval Patrick is NOT re-elected as the Governor of Massachusetts. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.04 | 25.20 | 10 PRO | 10.41 |
Con
Win | Republicans hold at least 50 seats in the Senate after the 2010 mid-terms. | US | 11/3/2010 | 18.62 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.57 |
Pro
Win | Nikki Haley gets elected as the Governor of South Carolina. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 1.00 |
Con
Lose | Dick Blumenthal loses the CT race for the Senate to the Republican candidate (either McMahon or Simmons). | US | 11/3/2010 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 10 PRO | 25.63 |
Con
Lose | The Republican candidate wins the 2010 NY Gubernatorial Election. | US | 11/3/2010 | 49.10 | 1.02 | 10 PRO | 491.00 |
Pro
Win | The Republicans take back the House of Representatives in the 2010 mid-terms. | US | 11/3/2010 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 10 PRO | 20.70 |
Con
Win | The 2010 mid-term US Elections are cancelled. | US | 11/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Russian Incursion into Eastern Europe | Russia | 10/30/2010 | 64.60 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.16 |
Con
Win | Chavez gets thrown out of office in Venezuela. | World | 9/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Pro
Lose | Sino-Japanese Asian Defense Sphere Incident | China | 9/24/2010 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 25 CON | 43.04 |
Pro
Win | McCain defeats Hayworth in the Republican primary. | US | 8/25/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 PRO | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Israeli-Iranian Airspace Incident | Middle East | 7/31/2010 | 26.07 | 1.04 | 10 CON | 10.40 |
Pro
Lose | Health care reform passed by November 2, 2010 | US | 7/6/2010 | 1.02 | 67.50 | 1 CON | 67.50 |
Con
Win | Civil disorder in North Korea. | China | 6/30/2010 | 10.69 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.03 |
Con
Win | Nancy Pelosi is removed as Speaker of the House. | US | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong-Un (the youngest son) gets formally introduced as the successor to Kim Jong-Il. | China | 6/30/2010 | 9.07 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.24 |
Con
Lose | The Dow Jones Industrials will still be above 10,000 by June 30, 2010. | US | 6/30/2010 | 2.05 | 1.95 | 10 PRO | 20.49 |
Con
Win | Gold price exceeds $1500 per troy ounce by June 30, 2010.
| General | 6/30/2010 | 42.60 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.24 |
Con
Win | North Korea implodes, and there is civil disorder. The Kim family is deposed, and the North is administered by the either the UN, the PRC, or an Asian coalition. | China | 6/30/2010 | 1,937.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Win | Eric Holder resigns as AG. | US | 6/30/2010 | 11.91 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.92 |
Con
Lose | Keith Olbermann loses his job at MSNBC. | General | 6/30/2010 | 28.50 | 1.04 | 10 PRO | 285.00 |
Con
Win | Rahm Emmanuel resigns or gets fired as White House Chief of Staff. | US | 6/30/2010 | 18.14 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.58 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Il dies. | China | 6/30/2010 | 10.24 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.08 |
Con
Win | Russia attacks (with military forces) the Ukraine. | Russia | 6/30/2010 | 566.50 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.02 |
Con
Win | Ground intervention in Somalia | Terrorism | 6/6/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | The Taliban seize control of Pakistan in a coup detat (with inside help). | Middle East | 6/1/2010 | 269.20 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.04 |
Con
Win | United States Airport screening adopts profiling tactics to increase passenger safety. | Terrorism | 6/1/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | A Republican wins the special election for Murthas seat in Pennsylvania. | US | 5/19/2010 | 1.67 | 2.50 | 10 PRO | 16.67 |
Pro
Win | Gordon Brown and Labor get voted out of power, and lose the election to the Tories. | Europe | 5/11/2010 | 2.92 | 1.52 | 10 PRO | 29.23 |
Con
Win | Obama proposes a surtax on natural gas, both in order to taise revenue and to help the green energy industry. | US | 5/2/2010 | 308.50 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.03 |
Con
Win | Syria and Israel go to war with each other. | Middle East | 5/2/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | North Korea will invade South Korea in order to focus the peoples attention on something other than their current problems such as hunger and as a last ditch effort for KIM to hold on to power | China | 5/1/2010 | 10.82 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.02 |
Con
Win | Former Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska files suit against the Public Integrety Division of the Department Justice. | US | 4/1/2010 | 5,000.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Lose | The next US President will launch an investigation of the 43rd presidents handling of the war in Iraq within 1 year of being sworn in. | US | 1/21/2010 | 8.46 | 1.13 | 5 PRO | 42.30 |
Con
Win | Initiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US. | General | 1/1/2010 | 9.71 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.74 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon (A-bomb or H-bomb) will be used in anger somwhere in the world before midnight Dec. 31 2009. Dirty bombs don't count. | World | 1/1/2010 | 8.75 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.23 |
Con
Lose | In the US, the draft will be re-instated before the end of 2009 | US | 1/1/2010 | 46.83 | 1.02 | 25 PRO | 1,170.71 |
Pro
Lose | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 1 CON | 5.36 |
Con
Lose | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 10 PRO | 18.53 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 50 CON | 64.63 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 10 CON | 12.09 |
Con
Win | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 25 CON | 33.98 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 25 CON | 26.05 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 25 CON | 29.00 |
Con
Lose | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 25 PRO | 142.35 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 10 CON | 11.36 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 25 CON | 31.25 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 10 CON | 13.46 |
Con
Win | Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries. | Middle East | 12/15/2008 | 3.03 | 1.49 | 25 CON | 37.33 |
Con
Lose | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 25 PRO | 65.68 |
Con
Lose | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 200 PRO | 275.86 |
Con
Lose | McCain will be elected president of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.79 | 2.27 | 100 PRO | 179.04 |
Pro
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 25 CON | 381.00 |
Con
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state. | US | 11/3/2008 | 10.02 | 1.11 | 25 PRO | 250.59 |
Con
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 100 PRO | 290.93 |
Con
Win | Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement | US | 11/2/2008 | 2.97 | 1.51 | 25 CON | 37.67 |
Con
Win | The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President. | US | 11/1/2008 | 7.66 | 1.15 | 20 CON | 23.00 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 10 PRO | 57.46 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 10 CON | 12.87 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 10 CON | 14.79 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 1 CON | 1.05 |
Con
Lose | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 20 PRO | 183.47 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 110 PRO | 337.22 |
Con
Win | Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the Republican presidental nominee for the 2008 presidential election. | US | 9/9/2008 | 50.19 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.51 |
Con
Win | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.52 |
Con
Win | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 25 CON | 30.33 |
Con
Win | Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. | US | 9/1/2008 | 7.81 | 1.15 | 25 CON | 28.67 |
Con
Win | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Lose | Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination. | US | 8/31/2008 | 11.55 | 1.09 | 20 PRO | 231.03 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 20 CON | 82.85 |
Con
Win | Governor Bill Richardson will be nominated for President by the Democratic party | US | 8/31/2008 | 13.90 | 1.08 | 10 CON | 10.78 |
Pro
Win | Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidate | US | 8/31/2008 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 50 PRO | 99.97 |
Con
Lose | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 1 PRO | 9.78 |
Con
Win | C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008 | US | 8/1/2008 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 10 CON | 14.57 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 25 CON | 34.41 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.31 |
Con
Lose | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 100 PRO | 917.17 |
Con
Lose | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 5.88 | 1.20 | 100 PRO | 588.42 |
Con
Win | Karl Rove will lose his White House job. | US | 2/3/2008 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 50 CON | 91.69 |
Pro
Win | Before the next election in Russia, there will be at least one significant incident of violence or intimidation directed against a prominent person or group opposing Putin & those with him. | Russia | 2/3/2008 | 1.10 | 10.83 | 10 PRO | 11.02 |
Con
Win | Gen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. Nomination | US | 1/24/2008 | 479.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Lose | Donald Rumsfeld will stay in his post at least for the remainder of the Bush Adm. | US | 1/24/2008 | 2.23 | 1.81 | 25 PRO | 55.82 |
Pro
Lose | Gov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse. | US | 1/14/2008 | 1.03 | 30.40 | 20 CON | 608.00 |
Con
Win | Indianapolis Colts play in the 2007 season Super Bowl. | US | 1/14/2008 | 42.70 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Lose | NASA will retire a Space Shuttle Orbiter by the end of 2007. | Sci/Tech | 1/12/2008 | 6.04 | 1.20 | 25 PRO | 150.95 |
Con
Win | Airbus SAS will not sell more than 140 A350 XWB aircraft by December 31, 2007. | General | 1/12/2008 | 2.29 | 1.78 | 25 CON | 44.39 |
Con
Win | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 25 CON | 29.32 |
Pro
Lose | The number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2007 will be higher than 2006 | Iraq | 1/11/2008 | 1.29 | 4.47 | 10 CON | 44.69 |
Pro
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006 | US | 1/11/2008 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 10 PRO | 16.90 |
Pro
Win | Boeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007. | General | 1/11/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 PRO | 25.00 |
Pro
Win | The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | China | 1/11/2008 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 10 PRO | 15.41 |
Con
Lose | Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. | World | 1/8/2008 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 332.00 |
Pro
Win | Windows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating System | Sci/Tech | 1/8/2008 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 25 PRO | 40.95 |
Pro
Lose | Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.10 | 10.89 | 10 CON | 108.86 |
Pro
Win | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 25 PRO | 51.54 |
Con
Lose | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/8/2008 | 14.41 | 1.07 | 10 PRO | 144.14 |
Con
Win | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.22 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch Israel | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.98 | 1.51 | 25 CON | 37.63 |
Con
Win | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.82 |
Pro
Win | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 25 PRO | 29.49 |
Con
Win | Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 13.40 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.02 |
Con
Win | The S&P 500 will be 1350 or lower on December 31, 2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 8.64 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.31 |
Con
Win | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 10 CON | 12.72 |
Con
Win | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.48 |
Con
Win | America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 25 CON | 32.23 |
Con
Lose | Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count. | US | 1/8/2008 | 6.69 | 1.18 | 10 PRO | 66.89 |
Con
Lose | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 100 PRO | 642.84 |
Con
Lose | Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration. | US | 1/8/2008 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 100 PRO | 272.48 |
Con
Lose | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 25 PRO | 85.44 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season. | US | 12/4/2007 | 2.60 | 1.63 | 25 PRO | 64.91 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.08 |
Con
Win | Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees. | US | 11/29/2007 | 9.49 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 27.95 |
Con
Lose | The Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World Series | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 73.77 | 1.01 | 1 PRO | 73.77 |
Con
Lose | Republicans React To Election. Giuliani In and Dobson Out. | US | 11/29/2007 | 1.04 | 23.50 | 25 PRO | 26.11 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.45 |
Con
Lose | Al Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 282.75 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 282.75 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will will the National League Pennant | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 152.50 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will win the National League Central Division. | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 1 CON | 1.26 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish over .500 | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 1.03 | 40.50 | 1 CON | 40.50 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 1 CON | 1.03 |
Con
Lose | Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle East | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 256.00 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 256.00 |
Con
Win | Ford Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 25 CON | 57.85 |
Con
Lose | General Motors will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 25 PRO | 58.37 |
Con
Win | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 25 CON | 27.65 |
Con
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 25 CON | 37.89 |
Con
Lose | expansion of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)by at least 1 additional member | China | 1/18/2007 | 4.71 | 1.27 | 25 PRO | 117.86 |
Con
Win | A civil war will break-out in Serbia over the political status of Kosovo. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 9.57 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 27.92 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 26.92 |
Con
Win | US Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil War | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 9.08 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.09 |
Con
Win | Successful or not, there will be an attempt to carry out an attack on American citizens from Canadian soil. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 5.22 | 1.24 | 23 CON | 28.44 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 9.11 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.08 |
Con
Lose | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 25 PRO | 427.35 |
Con
Win | The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 42.67 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.60 |
Con
Lose | William Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations. | World | 1/18/2007 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 100 PRO | 780.00 |
Con
Win | One or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel. | Sci/Tech | 1/18/2007 | 7.83 | 1.15 | 2 CON | 2.29 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Iraq. | US | 1/18/2007 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.19 |
Con
Lose | The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World Series | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 499.67 | 1.00 | 1 PRO | 499.67 |
Con
Lose | Demotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections. | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.03 | 1.97 | 100 PRO | 202.95 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan. | World | 1/18/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 16 CON | 17.60 |
Con
Win | China liberates North Korea | China | 1/18/2007 | 10.32 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.73 |
Con
Win | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 25 CON | 38.10 |
Con
Lose | A prominent Democratic Party politician (current or former: Senator, Representative, Cabinet Officer, or Governor) will be accused of financially benefiting from the U.N. Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 12.62 | 1.09 | 25 PRO | 315.38 |
Con
Win | Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 22.01 | 1.05 | 25 CON | 26.19 |
Con
Win | United Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 11.81 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.31 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 25 PRO | 62.24 |
Con
Lose | Interting of aircraft fuel tanks will be recognised by JAA/FAA as mandatory before end of 2006. To be installed in a/c capable of such modifications in a phased manner over several years. | Sci/Tech | 12/30/2006 | 2.18 | 1.85 | 25 PRO | 54.48 |
Con
Lose | A major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 2.95 | 1.51 | 25 PRO | 73.80 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 25 PRO | 45.43 |
Con
Win | At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 13.14 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.06 |
Con
Win | A Hurricane hits the Iberian Peninsula during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 14.35 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.87 |
Con
Win | Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed. | US | 12/30/2006 | 8.55 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.31 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.50 |
Con
Lose | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 50 PRO | 299.55 |
Con
Win | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 25 CON | 40.21 |
Con
Lose | I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation. | US | 10/21/2006 | 1.16 | 7.32 | 25 PRO | 28.95 |
Con
Lose | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 100 PRO | 2,548.50 |
Con
Win | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 140 CON | 145.93 |
Con
Lose | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 100 PRO | 1,732.53 |
Con
Lose | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 100 PRO | 2,814.94 |
Con
Lose | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 100 PRO | 1,915.47 |
Con
Lose | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 5 PRO | 147.68 |
Con
Win | Chinese government abandons communism, turns to capitalist economy, but retains government leaders and most aspects of govt and laws stay the same (lack of human rights, etc.) | China | 6/1/2006 | 15.43 | 1.07 | 1 CON | 1.07 |
Con
Lose | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 100 PRO | 1,822.22 |
Con
Win | EU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China. | China | 4/13/2006 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 110.00 |
Con
Win | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 25 CON | 28.40 |
Con
Win | The Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety. | US | 3/12/2006 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.53 |
Con
Win | A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 100.60 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.25 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.00 |
Con
Lose | Fundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006 | 8.78 | 1.13 | 100 PRO | 878.32 |
Con
Lose | [Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s]. | US | 1/24/2006 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 167 PRO | 616.51 |
Con
Win | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 100 CON | 115.46 |
Pro
Win | Karl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.57 | 2.76 | 92 PRO | 144.32 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 100 CON | 125.00 |
Con
Lose | Saddam Hussein is featured in a Cheetos or Doritos commercial. | Iraq | 1/24/2006 | 38.13 | 1.03 | 110 PRO | 4,194.73 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 100 PRO | 109.86 |
Con
Lose | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 100 PRO | 1,287.34 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 1 CON | 1.10 |
Con
Lose | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 100 PRO | 1,010.91 |
Con
Win | A terrorist group files suit against the United States of America or an American defense company. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 8.87 | 1.13 | 1 CON | 1.13 |
Con
Win | Major combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1 CON | 2.25 |
Con
Lose | Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration Objections | US | 1/24/2006 | 8.25 | 1.14 | 100 PRO | 824.58 |
Con
Lose | U.S. invades Baathist Syria from Iraq. | US | 1/24/2006 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 500 PRO | 2,218.44 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.86 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.43 |
Con
Win | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.05 |
Con
Lose | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 100 PRO | 2,100.00 |
Con
Lose | American Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time. | US | 11/10/2005 | 6.13 | 1.20 | 100 PRO | 612.73 |
Con
Win | Renminbi/US4 exchange rate
Exchange rate for the Chinese Renminbi/ Yuan
Vis a vis the US $ will be below 7.800 Renminbi per 1 US $ , On or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005 | 3.18 | 1.46 | 100 CON | 145.82 |
Con
Lose | Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 14.48 | 1.07 | 100 PRO | 1,448.43 |
Pro
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish the 2005 season at or above .500. | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 1.78 | 2.28 | 100 PRO | 178.34 |
Con
Win | The EU will lift the arms embargo against China, despite Administration protests. | Europe | 9/22/2005 | 1.60 | 2.68 | 100 CON | 268.02 |
Con
Lose | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 100 PRO | 445.63 |
Con
Lose | US Marine general makes politically insensitive public remark before any general officer of the other US armed services | US | 9/22/2005 | 8.16 | 1.14 | 100 PRO | 815.81 |
Con
Lose | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 100 PRO | 381.98 |
Con
Lose | Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority Leader | US | 8/10/2005 | 14.23 | 1.08 | 100 PRO | 1,423.25 |
Con
Lose | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 100 PRO | 130.89 |
Con
Lose | North Korea sets off a nuclear weapon | World | 7/6/2005 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 100 PRO | 354.14 |
Con
Lose | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 7/6/2005 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 100 PRO | 241.32 |
Con
Lose | Reunification of Korea by the ROK, defined as ROK boarder guards/troops on the Yalu following the collapse of North Korea. | World | 7/6/2005 | 8.63 | 1.13 | 100 PRO | 862.59 |
Pro
Win | Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. | World | 6/10/2005 | 1.06 | 18.58 | 100 PRO | 105.69 |
Con
Lose | US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 3.11 | 1.47 | 100 PRO | 311.04 |
Con
Lose | France will approve the EU Constitution referendum that will be voted on 5/29. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 2.58 | 1.63 | 100 PRO | 258.24 |
Pro
Lose | Yassir Arafat dies, paving the way for a comprehensive peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 1.63 | 2.60 | 100 CON | 259.72 |
Con
Win | Kurd vs. Sunni vs. Shiite civil war explodes in Iraq. US troops caught in middle. | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 2.84 | 1.54 | 1 CON | 1.54 |
Con
Win | After president Bush wins re-election, there is a massive US build up on Syria's border, and Syria asks for the same deal as Lybia and gives up terrorism. | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 27.80 | 1.04 | 1 CON | 1.04 |
Con
Win | China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent. | China | 4/17/2005 | 11.11 | 1.10 | 1 CON | 1.10 |
Con
Lose | Major al-Qaeda attack in Italy or against a major Italian target abroad. | Terrorism | 4/17/2005 | 2.43 | 1.70 | 1 PRO | 2.43 |
Con
Lose | Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in Europe | Terrorism | 3/15/2005 | 18.40 | 1.06 | 1 PRO | 18.40 |
Con
Win | The UN will declare the Iraqi elections invalid and illegitimate | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 2.74 | 1.58 | 100 CON | 157.60 |
Con
Win | Syrians withdraw 1/2 of troops from Lebanon, emphasis on troops in the northern part of the country but leave significant troop concentrations near Beirut | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 9.43 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.19 |
Con
Win | In the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection. | US | 1/4/2005 | 6.56 | 1.18 | 1 CON | 1.18 |
Con
Win | If George Bush wins the election he will dramatically increase the military presence in Iraq in an effort to bring the war to a conclusion. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 13.80 | 1.08 | 1 CON | 1.08 |
Con
Lose | National elections in Iraq | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 2.76 | 1.57 | 100 PRO | 275.50 |
Con
Win | Revolution in Iran | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 1 CON | 1.77 |
Con
Win | India and Pakistan will make a peace deal over Kashmir by the end of the year | World | 1/4/2005 | 5.98 | 1.20 | 1 CON | 1.20 |
Con
Lose | If President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forces | Iraq | 12/22/2004 | 1.46 | 3.17 | 100 PRO | 146.13 |
Con
Win | French Government publicly apologises to world for pocketing Saddams cash in exchange for votes at UN | Iraq | 12/6/2004 | 104.08 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Pro
Lose | Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary. | US | 11/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.37 | 1 CON | 1.37 |
Con
Lose | Republicans pick up at least 5 seats in the US senate from the November 2nd, 2004 elections. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.66 | 1.21 | 100 PRO | 566.41 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least two seats (For a total of 53+) in the Senate. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.15 | 7.48 | 100 PRO | 115.42 |
Con
Win | John Kerry wins the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004 | 4.45 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 129.01 |
Con
Win | By 8pm EST on Tuesday, November 9th, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.60 | 1.22 | 1 CON | 1.22 |
Con
Win | Osama Bin laden will be caught before the US Presidential Elections. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.66 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.44 |
Pro
Win | Bush reelected in November 2 | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 1 PRO | 1.64 |
Con
Win | Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004 | 17.85 | 1.06 | 1 CON | 1.06 |
Con
Lose | Osama Bin Laden captured | Terrorism | 6/30/2004 | 1.70 | 2.44 | 1 PRO | 1.70 |
