| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Lose | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 100 PRO | 290.93 |
Con
Win | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 300 CON | 363.20 |
Con
Lose | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 553 PRO | 2,479.82 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 1000 PRO | 3,065.60 |
Con
Win | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 1000 CON | 1,152.07 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 740 CON | 897.85 |
Con
Win | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.19 |
Con
Lose | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 1500 PRO | 1,977.34 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies | World | 6/3/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 392 CON | 516.89 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 256 CON | 310.54 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.24 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 247 CON | 279.62 |
Con
Win | Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire Primary | General | 1/11/2008 | 13.65 | 1.08 | 515 CON | 555.73 |
Pro
Win | The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | China | 1/11/2008 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 10 PRO | 15.41 |
Con
Win | Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 13.40 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.06 |
Con
Lose | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 100 PRO | 467.24 |
Con
Win | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 209.54 |
Con
Win | Russia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran. | Middle East | 12/16/2007 | 9.01 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.48 |
Con
Lose | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 100 PRO | 787.36 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will win the National League Central Division. | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 200 CON | 252.76 |
Con
Win | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 106.20 |
Con
Win | UPS will cancel its A380F order leaving Airbus without any customers for the A380. | General | 8/6/2007 | 5.57 | 1.22 | 2000 CON | 2,437.25 |
Con
Win | Seahawks will win the 07 Superbowl | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 36.93 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.78 |
Pro
Win | Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.08 | 13.02 | 11 PRO | 11.91 |
Pro
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2006 year above 11,000 | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.14 | 8.37 | 200 PRO | 227.14 |
Con
Win | The Repubilcans lose the Senate. | US | 1/18/2007 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 200 CON | 219.84 |
Con
Win | Prince Fielder and Russ Branyan become the first two teammates to hit 60 home runs in a season. | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 26.90 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 103.86 |
Con
Win | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 50 CON | 76.20 |
Con
Win | United Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 11.81 | 1.09 | 200 CON | 218.49 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 100 PRO | 248.96 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will NOT run for a second term in the U.S. Senate representing NY State. | US | 12/30/2006 | 30.18 | 1.03 | 14 CON | 14.48 |
Con
Win | Tainted MLB Records Will Be Tossed | Sports | 12/30/2006 | 17.19 | 1.06 | 200 CON | 212.35 |
Pro
Win | At least one house in Congress will change majority party in the Nov. election. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.44 | 3.30 | 489 PRO | 701.90 |
Con
Win | Democrat Bill Nelson will NOT be re-elected to the U.S. Senate representing Florida. | US | 12/30/2006 | 14.52 | 1.07 | 350 CON | 375.89 |
Con
Lose | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 320 PRO | 612.11 |
Con
Win | Republicans gain at least 2 more (For 57+) Senate seats after the 2006 election. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.65 | 1.60 | 2000 CON | 3,209.82 |
Con
Win | Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars. | World | 10/21/2006 | 34.48 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.99 |
Con
Win | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 332 CON | 385.73 |
Con
Lose | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 424 PRO | 1,120.70 |
Con
Lose | U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to Cypres | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 260 PRO | 1,275.39 |
Con
Win | Israel will retake a large portion of the Gaza Strip | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 14.83 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 107.23 |
Con
Win | 22nd of August, Iranian Attack on Isreal | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 8.94 | 1.13 | 200 CON | 225.19 |
Con
Win | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 105.51 |
Con
Win | Gold Reaches highest value in recorded history. When Iran announces their non-compliance with demands to stop enriching uranium.
| World | 6/1/2006 | 8.17 | 1.14 | 500 CON | 569.76 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 456 CON | 508.26 |
Con
Win | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 105.81 |
Con
Win | Morgan Stanley Dean Witter will no longer be an independent entity, either through a merger, acquisition, or sale. | General | 4/13/2006 | 34.00 | 1.03 | 500 CON | 515.15 |
Con
Win | Ariel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 15.42 | 1.07 | 2173 CON | 2,323.71 |
Con
Win | The BCS snubs an undefeated team for the second straight year. | Sports | 1/24/2006 | 15.60 | 1.07 | 1200 CON | 1,282.19 |
Con
Win | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 500 CON | 577.31 |
Con
Win | The Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.74 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 111.45 |
Con
Win | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.32 | 1.16 | 200 CON | 231.64 |
Con
Win | There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.14 | 1.12 | 179 CON | 200.98 |
Con
Lose | Michael Jackson will not be found guilty of child molestation by January 1, 2006. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.25 | 5.03 | 100 PRO | 124.84 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 180 PRO | 197.74 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.42 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 200 CON | 220.06 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 700 CON | 776.85 |
Con
Win | North Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material. | World | 1/24/2006 | 8.60 | 1.13 | 500 CON | 565.82 |
Con
Win | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 110 CON | 118.92 |
Pro
Win | There will be a 2005-6 NHL season starting in October. | Sports | 11/10/2005 | 1.05 | 22.78 | 1000 PRO | 1,045.91 |
Con
Win | John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 11/10/2005 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 300 CON | 599.02 |
Pro
Win | The NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference. | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 2.16 | 1.86 | 400 PRO | 865.04 |
Pro
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish the 2005 season at or above .500. | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 1.78 | 2.28 | 694 PRO | 1,237.68 |
Con
Win | Haliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. | US | 9/22/2005 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 45 CON | 76.80 |
Con
Win | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 1200 CON | 1,516.95 |
Con
Win | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 200 CON | 270.93 |
Con
Win | President Bush will nominate Alex Kozinski (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, appointed by Ronald Reagan) to replace the retiring Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 8/10/2005 | 16.41 | 1.06 | 605 CON | 644.26 |
Con
Win | Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority Leader | US | 8/10/2005 | 14.23 | 1.08 | 455 CON | 489.39 |
Con
Win | Conservative mullah elected president in Iran | World | 8/10/2005 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 10 CON | 19.57 |
Con
Lose | Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks. | US | 7/6/2005 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 108 PRO | 511.79 |
Con
Win | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 7/6/2005 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 354 CON | 604.50 |
Con
Win | England win the Six nations with a Grandslam. | Sports | 5/31/2005 | 12.81 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.47 |
Pro
Win | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 440 PRO | 454.64 |
Con
Lose | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 10 PRO | 347.06 |
Con
Lose | The next Pope will NOT be a European. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 350 PRO | 540.11 |
Con
Win | A civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligence | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 14.49 | 1.07 | 400 CON | 429.65 |
Pro
Lose | The Montreal Expos do NOT move to Washington D.C. in 2005. | Sports | 4/17/2005 | 6.99 | 1.17 | 2089 CON | 2,437.49 |
Con
Win | China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent. | China | 4/17/2005 | 11.11 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 10.99 |
Pro
Win | The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be cancelled. | Sports | 2/20/2005 | 1.05 | 20.28 | 850 PRO | 894.08 |
Con
Lose | Iraqi insurgents will conduct at least three major attacks causing major civilian casualties prior to the elections on 30 January 2005. | Iraq | 2/3/2005 | 1.33 | 4.07 | 500 PRO | 662.77 |
Con
Lose | The Indianapolis Colts Win Superbowl XXXIX | Sports | 1/16/2005 | 4.28 | 1.31 | 100 PRO | 427.65 |
Con
Win | In the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection. | US | 1/4/2005 | 6.56 | 1.18 | 1240 CON | 1,462.99 |
Pro
Win | A Mid Major, either Boise State, Fresno State, Louisville or Utah will rise to #6 and receive a BCS bowl bid. | Sports | 1/4/2005 | 1.10 | 10.53 | 1062 PRO | 1,173.41 |
Con
Win | Saddam is tried and executed before the end of the year. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 20 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | Iraq's Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi will be assassinated before the beginning of next year. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 10 CON | 15.11 |
Con
Win | Terririst attack in Finland. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 20.08 | 1.05 | 154 CON | 162.07 |
Con
Win | Italy will be attacked by Al Masry brigades and will leave Iraq. | Terrorism | 12/30/2004 | 98.59 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.10 |
Con
Win | Before December 13, Media Reports of Massive Election Fraud Causes Suspension of December 13 Electoral College Vote or a massive change in electoral vote. | US | 12/22/2004 | 20.42 | 1.05 | 1000 CON | 1,051.50 |
Con
Lose | Turkey will be accepted into the EU | World | 12/6/2004 | 10.27 | 1.11 | 10 PRO | 102.71 |
Pro
Lose | Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary. | US | 11/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.37 | 31 CON | 42.33 |
Con
Win | National Missile Defense site in Alaska goes operational before the US presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.63 | 2.60 | 67 CON | 173.97 |
Pro
Win | President Bush wins reelection. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 100 PRO | 134.03 |
Con
Win | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004. | US | 11/3/2004 | 8.22 | 1.14 | 18 CON | 20.49 |
Con
Win | Osama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 5.39 | 1.23 | 1112 CON | 1,365.57 |
Con
Win | Yankees sweep the Red Sox | Sports | 10/20/2004 | 3.44 | 1.41 | 13 CON | 18.34 |
Con
Win | The Minnesota Twins win the 2004 American League Championship Series. | Sports | 10/18/2004 | 3.22 | 1.45 | 21 CON | 30.48 |
Con
Win | Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004 | 17.85 | 1.06 | 13 CON | 13.77 |
Con
Win | The U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home.
| Iraq | 10/3/2004 | 30.15 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.69 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers finish above .500. | Sports | 10/1/2004 | 44.02 | 1.02 | 10 CON | 10.23 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair resigns as UK Prime Minister. | Europe | 10/1/2004 | 49.08 | 1.02 | 200 CON | 204.16 |
Con
Win | North Korea attacks South Korea. | World | 10/1/2004 | 148.31 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 503.39 |
Con
Win | Gen. Pervez Musharraf will be overthrown by Islamists in Pakistan. | World | 10/1/2004 | 15.38 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.95 |
Pro
Win | Disclplinary action (of any sort)for the Abu Ghraib incident will be faced by an officer with rank of Brig. General or higher. | US | 9/16/2004 | 1.38 | 3.65 | 10 PRO | 13.77 |
Con
Lose | Dick Cheney announces that he will not seek the Vice-Presidency in 2004. | US | 9/3/2004 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 10 PRO | 31.90 |
Con
Win | oil closes above $50.00 | World | 9/1/2004 | 6.09 | 1.20 | 5 CON | 5.98 |
Con
Win | Terrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games. | Terrorism | 8/30/2004 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 20 CON | 39.15 |
Pro
Win | Iran is found to be actively supporting sabotage and/or terrorism within Iraq. | Iraq | 8/30/2004 | 1.08 | 13.48 | 10 PRO | 10.80 |
Con
Win | President Bush will attend the Olympics in Greece. | US | 8/28/2004 | 19.31 | 1.05 | 10 CON | 10.55 |
Con
Win | Will the italian government be forced to retreat troops from Iraq by the fall of 2004? | Iraq | 8/15/2004 | 8.88 | 1.13 | 20 CON | 22.54 |
