| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Pro
Win | Regardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office. | General | 1/26/2013 | 1.01 | 88.73 | 60 PRO | 60.68 |
Con
Win | President Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs. | US | 1/1/2013 | 824.00 | 1.00 | 36 CON | 36.04 |
Con
Win | Eric Holder resigns prior to the end of the 1st term of the Obama administration, due to scandal over refusal to enforce the Motor Voter law, or over the New Black Panther Partys voter intimidation. | US | 1/1/2013 | 263.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.10 |
Con
Win | Joint force including participation of Israel, Jordan and Saudi Arabia carry out air strike on Iran. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 34.05 | 1.03 | 40 CON | 41.21 |
Con
Win | Iran becomes a military dictatorship under the IRGC. No civilian rule. | Middle East | 1/1/2013 | 3.86 | 1.35 | 50 CON | 67.47 |
Con
Win | Obama will be a one term president. | US | 11/8/2012 | 1.79 | 2.26 | 50 CON | 113.12 |
Con
Win | Iran announces that it has detonated an underground nuclear device. | Middle East | 11/4/2012 | 6.77 | 1.17 | 50 CON | 58.67 |
Pro
Win | Obama gets a primary challenge. | US | 5/23/2012 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 10 PRO | 20.21 |
Con
Win | Obama decides not to run for a second term. | US | 3/2/2012 | 111.25 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.23 |
Con
Lose | Khalid Sheik Mohammed does not stand trial or go before a military tribunal during the remainder of Obamas presidency. | US | 1/25/2012 | 1.17 | 6.95 | 50 PRO | 58.41 |
Con
Win | President Obama gets removed from office by Congress invoking the 25th Amendment. | US | 1/1/2012 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 15 CON | 15.00 |
Con
Win | Vatican calls for a new crusade against extreme Muslim groups | Terrorism | 1/1/2012 | 33.55 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.54 |
Con
Win | The founder of wikileaks, Julian Assange, gets assassinated. | General | 1/1/2012 | 5.11 | 1.24 | 25 CON | 31.09 |
Con
Win | Obama voluntarily resigns from office before his term expires. | US | 12/31/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Lose | Sarah Palin will run for president in 2012. | US | 10/5/2011 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 25 PRO | 50.61 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State. | US | 7/1/2011 | 59.00 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 50.86 |
Con
Win | The government of Iran gets overthrown. | Middle East | 6/30/2011 | 1,177.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.04 |
Con
Win | Obama gets impeached.. | US | 6/30/2011 | 9.29 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.03 |
Con
Win | Turkey leaves, or is kicked out of, NATO. | Middle East | 6/1/2011 | 136.42 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.37 |
Con
Win | The next terror attack in the US after Times Square will be initially blamed on either "right wingers" or tea partiers, by a mayor or higher level politician, long before the facts become clear. | Terrorism | 5/11/2011 | 109.40 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.23 |
Con
Win | Chavez, in an attempt to shore up his Bolivarian revolutionary credentials, invades Curacao. | General | 3/31/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40 CON | 40.00 |
Con
Win | War in the middle east between Israel and Hizballah, Syria, Lebanon, Iran. Israel may fight one of the listed countries, or some combination of them, including all of them. | Middle East | 3/1/2011 | 118.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.43 |
Con
Win | Russia will invade former soviet countries | Russia | 2/8/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton resigns to challenge Obama for the Democratic nomination. | US | 1/31/2011 | 24.77 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.10 |
Con
Win | In Afghanistan, Karzai Attempts to Negotiate a Separate Peace Without the US. | Middle East | 1/31/2011 | 5.18 | 1.24 | 50 CON | 61.96 |
Con
Win | Large battle between two blue water navies. | World | 1/30/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Lose | War breaks out in Middle East and Israels first attack strategy is Syria. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 7.29 | 1.16 | 10 PRO | 72.92 |
Con
Win | Civil disorder in North Korea. | China | 1/2/2011 | 269.67 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.09 |
Con
Win | Iran announces they have the bomb. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 266.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.19 |
Con
Win | War in Korea. | China | 1/2/2011 | 90.10 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.56 |
Con
Win | Israel launches an air strike against Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2011 | 34.88 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.48 |
Con
Win | Gas hits $6.00 per gallon. | US | 1/1/2011 | 83.20 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.30 |
Con
Win | Obamas policies towards Israel cause the current government to collapse, and a government more to Obamas liking to take its place. | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 10.66 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.18 |
Con
Win | Queen Elizabeth turns over most of her official duties to her eldest grandson, HRH Prince William. | Europe | 1/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40 CON | 40.00 |
Con
Win | Obama administration indicts senior elected official for authorizing torture. | US | 1/1/2011 | 23.29 | 1.04 | 25 CON | 26.12 |
Con
Win | usa will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike. | Terrorism | 1/1/2011 | 22.59 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.32 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheive a diplomatic brake through before end 2010 | Middle East | 1/1/2011 | 7.60 | 1.15 | 40 CON | 46.06 |
Con
Win | Civil disorder in Russia. | Russia | 1/1/2011 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella. | China | 1/1/2011 | 1,474.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.03 |
Con
Win | President Hillary Clinton will order U.S. military forces NOT to intervene when Communist China attacks Taiwan in 2010. | China | 12/31/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.00 |
Con
Win | Unemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010. | US | 12/31/2010 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.56 |
Con
Win | Falkland Islands revisited | World | 12/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Lose | President Obamas strategic arms reduction treaty will not be ratified by the Senate | US | 12/22/2010 | 1.56 | 2.78 | 50 PRO | 78.08 |
Pro
Lose | US casuaties in Afghanistan in 2010 will increase more than 50% from 2009 casualties | US | 12/13/2010 | 12.00 | 1.09 | 10 CON | 10.91 |
Pro
Lose | A Federal judge in Virginia is about to rule on the constitutionality of Obamacare. He will rule that the Obama Health Care Legislation is unconstitutional. | US | 12/13/2010 | 2.86 | 1.54 | 40 CON | 61.46 |
Pro
Win | Republican gain a majority of Governorships after the mid-term elections, with a minimum of 28 statehouses held by the Republicans. | US | 11/3/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 PRO | 25.00 |
Pro
Lose | Roland Burris will not run for re-election. A republican wins his seat in 2010. | US | 11/3/2010 | 66.00 | 1.02 | 5 CON | 5.08 |
Con
Lose | Roland Burris will not run for re-election. Another Democrate wins his seat in 2010. | US | 8/4/2010 | 1.31 | 4.19 | 10 PRO | 13.13 |
Con
Lose | The Dow Jones Industrials will still be above 10,000 by June 30, 2010. | US | 6/30/2010 | 2.05 | 1.95 | 1 PRO | 2.05 |
Con
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average closes below 8000 by June 30,2010. | US | 6/30/2010 | 158.40 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Con
Win | North Korea implodes, and there is civil disorder. The Kim family is deposed, and the North is administered by the either the UN, the PRC, or an Asian coalition. | China | 6/30/2010 | 1,937.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.05 |
Con
Win | Carole Browner gets fired as a result of Climategate. | US | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Lose | Eric Holder resigns as AG. | US | 6/30/2010 | 11.91 | 1.09 | 10 PRO | 119.09 |
Con
Win | Russia attacks (with military forces) the Ukraine. | Russia | 6/30/2010 | 566.50 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.18 |
Con
Win | The Taliban seize control of Pakistan in a coup detat (with inside help). | Middle East | 6/1/2010 | 269.20 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.19 |
Con
Win | North Korea will invade South Korea in order to focus the peoples attention on something other than their current problems such as hunger and as a last ditch effort for KIM to hold on to power | China | 5/1/2010 | 10.82 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.55 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear weapon that it can launch against Israel by the end of 2010
| Middle East | 2/2/2010 | 18.25 | 1.06 | 25 CON | 26.45 |
Con
Win | The next US President will launch an investigation of the 43rd presidents handling of the war in Iraq within 1 year of being sworn in. | US | 1/21/2010 | 8.46 | 1.13 | 75 CON | 85.05 |
Con
Win | Caroline Kennedy will run for Hillarys Senate seat the attainment of which being a necessary preliminary to raising money for a presidential campaign. | US | 1/21/2010 | 17.45 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 106.08 |
Con
Win | Us Treasury Secretary Geithner resigns. | US | 1/2/2010 | 4.87 | 1.26 | 25 CON | 31.47 |
Con
Win | The Syrian government is unable to maintain control over the various factions. There is a revolt, and the ruling Assad family gets overthrown. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 26.40 | 1.04 | 38 CON | 39.50 |
Con
Win | China is unable to maintain its rate of economic growth, and slides into recession. This causes massive riots, and a state of civil disorder that results in another "Tianamen Square" massacre. | China | 1/2/2010 | 5.13 | 1.24 | 200 CON | 248.45 |
Con
Win | Formation of a Arab Gulf Treaty Organization. Any two or more of the following Iraq, Kuwate, Barain, Qutar, UAE treaty with the United States to suport each others defence. Formal name may varie. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 17.00 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.13 |
Con
Lose | Pakistan descends into civil disorder. Their army is deployed to crush the uprising. | World | 1/2/2010 | 12.60 | 1.09 | 25 PRO | 315.00 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government is unable to maintin control, and the people revoly and overthrow the mullahs. | Middle East | 1/2/2010 | 11.09 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 54.95 |
Con
Win | As a result of the financial crisis, Russia loses it internally, and descends into civil disorder. | Russia | 1/2/2010 | 7.16 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 58.12 |
Con
Win | After the State dinner fiasco, Desiree Rogers goes under the bus. | US | 1/2/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Nancy Pelosi is no longer Speaker of the House. | US | 1/2/2010 | 4.57 | 1.28 | 25 CON | 32.00 |
Con
Win | Gordon Brown is no longer Prime Minister. A Tory becomes the new English PM. | Europe | 1/2/2010 | 2.78 | 1.56 | 50 CON | 78.13 |
Con
Win | The Dow closes below 6,000. | US | 1/1/2010 | 3.21 | 1.45 | 25 CON | 36.34 |
Con
Win | The Dow closes above 11,000. | US | 1/1/2010 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 10 CON | 11.84 |
Con
Win | Obama administration indicts former DoJ attornies for providing legal memos justifying torture. | US | 1/1/2010 | 15.50 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.72 |
Con
Win | Obama administration indicts CIA and/or military interrogators for acts of torture. | US | 1/1/2010 | 15.50 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.72 |
Con
Lose | By the end of 2009, the Large Hadron Collider will have failed to detect neutralinos, gravitons, or the Higgs Boson | Sci/Tech | 1/1/2010 | 1.29 | 4.40 | 100 PRO | 129.44 |
Con
Win | The US will threaten to take Cuba to the UN security council, and start a propaganda campaign calling for war against Cuba, before 2010. | US | 1/1/2010 | 25.25 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.06 |
Con
Win | Initiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US. | General | 1/1/2010 | 9.71 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.74 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon (A-bomb or H-bomb) will be used in anger somwhere in the world before midnight Dec. 31 2009. Dirty bombs don't count. | World | 1/1/2010 | 8.75 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.45 |
Con
Win | President Barak Obama will launch a peacekeeping operation into Somalia | World | 1/1/2010 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 250 CON | 291.88 |
Con
Win | In the US, the draft will be re-instated before the end of 2009 | US | 1/1/2010 | 46.83 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.09 |
Con
Win | Obama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees. | China | 1/1/2010 | 100.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.51 |
Con
Win | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.31 |
Con
Win | Sino-US Flare-up | China | 10/30/2009 | 17.13 | 1.06 | 65 CON | 69.03 |
Con
Win | Israeli-Iranian Conflict | Middle East | 9/12/2009 | 10.85 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.08 |
Con
Win | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 128.53 |
Con
Win | The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy. | US | 8/3/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians. | General | 7/30/2009 | 20.91 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.51 |
Con
Win | Obama visits Gaza. | US | 7/20/2009 | 439.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.11 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" Government | China | 7/1/2009 | 28.16 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 51.84 |
Con
Lose | Roland Burris resigns his recently appointed Senate seat. | US | 6/30/2009 | 2.15 | 1.87 | 1 PRO | 2.15 |
Con
Win | A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised. | Terrorism | 6/30/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | Coup detat in Thailand | World | 6/30/2009 | 10.16 | 1.11 | 24 CON | 26.62 |
Con
Win | Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. | Middle East | 6/9/2009 | 6.40 | 1.19 | 50 CON | 59.27 |
Con
Win | Pakistan Collapses. | Middle East | 5/31/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel. | Terrorism | 4/1/2009 | 31.36 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.82 |
Con
Win | US will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009. | US | 3/31/2009 | 49.50 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.03 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 50 CON | 159.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea. | US | 3/21/2009 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.53 |
Con
Win | Thye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel. | US | 3/21/2009 | 9.26 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.05 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009 | 12.04 | 1.09 | 50 CON | 54.53 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia. | US | 3/21/2009 | 8.50 | 1.13 | 25 CON | 28.33 |
Con
Win | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops. | US | 3/21/2009 | 14.42 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.86 |
Pro
Win | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 50 PRO | 61.46 |
Con
Win | One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist. | US | 3/1/2009 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 110 CON | 128.00 |
Pro
Win | Benjamin Netanyahu elected next Israeli Prime Minister | Middle East | 2/23/2009 | 1.35 | 3.84 | 50 PRO | 67.63 |
Con
Lose | Chavez loses his proposed referendum. | World | 2/16/2009 | 1.62 | 2.63 | 50 PRO | 80.77 |
Con
Win | It will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died. | China | 2/1/2009 | 16.14 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.30 |
Con
Win | The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel. | Middle East | 2/1/2009 | 20.75 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.06 |
Con
Win | Caroline Kennedy will be selected to fill the balance of Hillary Clintons term in the US Senate. | US | 1/23/2009 | 14.47 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.74 |
Con
Win | George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president. | US | 1/20/2009 | 5.46 | 1.22 | 25 CON | 30.60 |
Con
Win | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 50 CON | 108.60 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 50 CON | 64.63 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 70 CON | 84.60 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 101 CON | 105.23 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 58.00 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 55.82 |
Con
Win | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.23 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/1/2009 | 1.20 | 5.92 | 25 PRO | 30.09 |
Con
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000 | US | 1/1/2009 | 862.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.01 |
Con
Win | China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 206.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.24 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 25 CON | 28.39 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 25 CON | 33.65 |
Con
Win | Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count. | US | 11/8/2008 | 2.48 | 1.67 | 5 CON | 8.37 |
Con
Win | Republicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 1 CON | 2.79 |
Con
Lose | Democrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.29 | 4.50 | 25 PRO | 32.14 |
Con
Win | The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.85 | 2.18 | 50 CON | 108.87 |
Con
Win | Al Franken defeats Norm Coleman for the MN Senate seat in 2008.. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.26 | 4.90 | 1 CON | 4.90 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.45 |
Con
Lose | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 25 PRO | 65.68 |
Con
Lose | Rep. John Murtha loses his seat to challenger Bill Russell. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.00 | 430.00 | 10 PRO | 10.02 |
Con
Lose | McCain will be elected president of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.79 | 2.27 | 100 PRO | 179.04 |
Pro
Win | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 25 PRO | 41.62 |
Con
Win | Barrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate. | US | 11/4/2008 | 31.33 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.65 |
Pro
Win | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 100 PRO | 107.02 |
Con
Win | October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October. | Middle East | 11/2/2008 | 5.81 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 120.80 |
Con
Lose | Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement | US | 11/2/2008 | 2.97 | 1.51 | 50 PRO | 148.66 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 100 CON | 101.57 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 50 PRO | 287.32 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 60 CON | 77.22 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 100 CON | 147.93 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.17 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.07 |
Con
Win | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.12 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 50 PRO | 153.28 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.65 |
Con
Win | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 50 CON | 57.60 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.33 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 100 CON | 414.24 |
Pro
Lose | Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidate | US | 8/31/2008 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 50 CON | 100.03 |
Pro
Win | Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for President | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 100 PRO | 133.35 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 51.90 |
Con
Win | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.69 |
Con
Lose | Sen. Obama will hint at, or designate, a woman running mate to secure his nomination by the democratic party | US | 8/15/2008 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 5 PRO | 67.20 |
Con
Win | C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008 | US | 8/1/2008 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 50 CON | 72.83 |
Con
Win | NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate. | US | 8/1/2008 | 5.56 | 1.22 | 50 CON | 60.96 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 111.11 |
Con
Win | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 53.87 |
Con
Win | Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war. | Middle East | 6/5/2008 | 3.94 | 1.34 | 100 CON | 134.07 |
Con
Lose | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 25 PRO | 88.78 |
Con
Lose | Fidel Castro dies | World | 6/3/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 10 PRO | 41.39 |
Con
Win | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 25 CON | 30.33 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 5.88 | 1.20 | 100 CON | 120.47 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 113.21 |
Con
Win | Simba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in March | World | 3/30/2008 | 62.10 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 50.82 |
Pro
Win | Boeing will have firm orders for at least 650 787 Dreamliners (all models) before the delivery of the first aircraft in May 2008. | Sci/Tech | 3/8/2008 | 1.01 | 79.00 | 50 PRO | 50.64 |
Con
Win | The New England patriots win the Super Bowl and complete a perfect 19-0 season. | Sports | 2/3/2008 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 10 CON | 16.39 |
Pro
Win | Gov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse. | US | 1/14/2008 | 1.03 | 30.40 | 50 PRO | 51.70 |
Con
Lose | Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire Primary | General | 1/11/2008 | 13.65 | 1.08 | 1 PRO | 13.65 |
Pro
Win | Boeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007. | General | 1/11/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 PRO | 50.00 |
Pro
Lose | Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic Caucus | US | 1/10/2008 | 1.32 | 4.10 | 1 CON | 4.10 |
Con
Win | Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. | World | 1/8/2008 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 10 CON | 10.03 |
Pro
Lose | Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.10 | 10.89 | 10 CON | 108.86 |
Con
Lose | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 25 PRO | 219.35 |
Con
Win | Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch Israel | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.98 | 1.51 | 100 CON | 150.53 |
Con
Win | Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 1,471.50 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.03 |
Con
Lose | Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 50 PRO | 207.08 |
Con
Win | Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.70 | 1.59 | 60 CON | 95.26 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season. | US | 12/4/2007 | 2.60 | 1.63 | 10 PRO | 25.96 |
Con
Win | US fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUS | Russia | 12/4/2007 | 8.04 | 1.14 | 50 CON | 57.10 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.77 |
Con
Win | Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees. | US | 11/29/2007 | 9.49 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 27.95 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World Series | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 73.77 | 1.01 | 10 CON | 10.14 |
Con
Win | The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft. | US | 11/29/2007 | 6.15 | 1.19 | 112 CON | 133.75 |
Con
Win | The Colorado Rockies win the World Series. | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 3.71 | 1.37 | 50 CON | 68.42 |
Con
Lose | Civilian war deaths in Lebanon will exceed civil war deaths in Israel by at least a 10:1 ratio at 2006 year end (BBC news and Red Cross figures to be used in case of dispute). | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 1.18 | 6.55 | 20 PRO | 23.60 |
Con
Win | Segolene Royal will be elected President of France. | Europe | 8/6/2007 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 30 CON | 37.81 |
Con
Win | Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007 | World | 8/6/2007 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 58.18 |
Con
Win | India will attack millitant outfits in pakistan occupied kashmir, thereby beginning the World War 3 by 01-03-07 | Terrorism | 8/6/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.00 |
Con
Win | Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes. | World | 8/6/2007 | 3.26 | 1.44 | 50 CON | 72.14 |
Con
Win | Sectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 334.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.15 |
Con
Win | Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 76.24 | 1.01 | 60 CON | 60.80 |
Con
Win | NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 218.96 | 1.00 | 150 CON | 150.69 |
Con
Win | General Motors will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 50 CON | 87.46 |
Con
Win | Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 9.79 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.69 |
Con
Win | Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In Exile | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 13.25 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.04 |
Con
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 50 CON | 75.78 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.61 |
Pro
Lose | Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.08 | 13.02 | 40 CON | 520.88 |
Con
Win | Taiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with China | China | 1/18/2007 | 7.13 | 1.16 | 75 CON | 87.24 |
Con
Win | Finland applies for NATO membership. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 41.76 | 1.02 | 75 CON | 76.84 |
Con
Win | Israel will still be fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon in December, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 25 CON | 72.70 |
Con
Win | Malaysia the victim of a large-scale Islamic fundamentalist movement resulting in the overthrow of the current government. | World | 1/18/2007 | 9.54 | 1.12 | 84 CON | 93.83 |
Con
Win | Ehud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli
Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 3.45 | 1.41 | 10 CON | 14.09 |
Con
Win | Israel will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran, on the Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel will not be hidden it will be open war fare. Iran will counter with direct attacks on Israel. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.00 |
Con
Win | The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 5.36 | 1.23 | 150 CON | 184.44 |
Con
Lose | US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 50 PRO | 184.57 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 31 CON | 33.38 |
Con
Win | Al qaeda will stage a major attack against an American City, resulting in at least 500 people killed or injured. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 100 CON | 233.63 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 9.11 | 1.12 | 50 CON | 56.17 |
Con
Win | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.11 |
Con
Win | The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 42.67 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 51.20 |
Con
Lose | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006.
| World | 1/18/2007 | 6.12 | 1.20 | 25 PRO | 152.91 |
Con
Win | The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World Series | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 499.67 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.20 |
Con
Win | Prince Fielder and Russ Branyan become the first two teammates to hit 60 home runs in a season. | Sports | 1/18/2007 | 26.90 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 51.93 |
Con
Win | A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan. | World | 1/18/2007 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.00 |
Con
Win | Iran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from Lebanon | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 121.33 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.21 |
Con
Lose | Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 10 PRO | 17.30 |
Con
Win | Internal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention. | World | 12/30/2006 | 9.19 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.21 |
Con
Lose | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 25 PRO | 72.71 |
Con
Lose | Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq. | Iraq | 12/30/2006 | 22.01 | 1.05 | 50 PRO | 1,100.32 |
Con
Lose | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 50 PRO | 124.48 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 50 PRO | 90.87 |
Con
Win | Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed. | US | 12/30/2006 | 8.55 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.62 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 55.01 |
Con
Win | Military conflict erupts between India and Pakistan. | World | 12/30/2006 | 9.21 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.18 |
Con
Win | Tainted MLB Records Will Be Tossed | Sports | 12/30/2006 | 17.19 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 106.18 |
Con
Win | The UN Security Council will impose new sanctions against the Iranian government in response to Iran's threat to resume its uranium enrichment programme.
| Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 17.95 | 1.06 | 10 CON | 10.59 |
Con
Win | Assad regime in Syria falls | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 19.39 | 1.05 | 25 CON | 26.36 |
Con
Win | Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles | China | 12/30/2006 | 97.08 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.04 |
Con
Win | The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 67.77 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.75 |
Con
Win | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 75 CON | 157.16 |
Con
Win | Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars. | World | 10/21/2006 | 34.48 | 1.03 | 25 CON | 25.75 |
Con
Win | UN troop strength in Lebanon will reach 15,000 by the end of September. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 150.81 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.17 |
Con
Lose | The International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine. | Sci/Tech | 10/21/2006 | 5.93 | 1.20 | 75 PRO | 444.72 |
Con
Win | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 125 CON | 145.23 |
Con
Win | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 50 CON | 80.43 |
Con
Win | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 25 CON | 26.02 |
Con
Win | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 20 CON | 20.29 |
Con
Win | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.12 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 106.13 |
Con
Win | U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to Cypres | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 50 CON | 62.80 |
Con
Win | Israel will retake a large portion of the Gaza Strip | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 14.83 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 107.23 |
Con
Win | 22nd of August, Iranian Attack on Isreal | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 8.94 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.30 |
Pro
Lose | Crude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months. | General | 7/14/2006 | 1.84 | 2.19 | 50 CON | 109.27 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations in an attempt to destroy or delay the Iranian nuclear weapons program. | Middle East | 6/1/2006 | 3.52 | 1.40 | 50 CON | 69.82 |
Con
Win | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 100 CON | 113.61 |
Con
Win | Colin Powell to become UN Secretry General | World | 4/10/2006 | 142.93 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.35 |
Pro
Win | Samuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 25 PRO | 38.20 |
Con
Win | A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006 | 100.60 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.50 |
Con
Win | Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East. | US | 3/12/2006 | 4.33 | 1.30 | 200 CON | 260.13 |
Con
Win | Independent Palestinian state created. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 12.76 | 1.09 | 50 CON | 54.25 |
Con
Lose | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 100 PRO | 746.75 |
Con
Win | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.32 | 1.16 | 50 CON | 57.91 |
Con
Win | There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.14 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.07 |
Con
Win | Islamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 16.26 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.28 |
Pro
Lose | The price of a barrel of oil will top $70 USD. | World | 1/24/2006 | 1.95 | 2.06 | 50 CON | 102.80 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 150 CON | 187.50 |
Con
Win | A communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself). | World | 1/24/2006 | 35.42 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.45 |
Con
Win | Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. | World | 1/24/2006 | 12.12 | 1.09 | 200 CON | 217.99 |
Con
Win | The DJIA will close below 8,500 at least once by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 128.50 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.78 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 75 PRO | 82.39 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/24/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 50 CON | 60.03 |
Con
Lose | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 5 PRO | 50.55 |
Con
Win | By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves. | US | 1/24/2006 | 9.83 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.66 |
Con
Win | The House of Representatives will vote to suspend U.S. funding of the United Nations until Kofi Annan resigns. | General | 1/24/2006 | 5.03 | 1.25 | 100 CON | 124.83 |
Con
Win | Irreconcilable impasse on Ukraine elections results in East Ukraine vs West Ukraine split. | Europe | 1/24/2006 | 33.39 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.54 |
Con
Win | United States implements conscription. | US | 1/24/2006 | 24.90 | 1.04 | 150 CON | 156.28 |
Con
Win | Major combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 1.80 | 2.25 | 25 CON | 56.19 |
Con
Win | Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration Objections | US | 1/24/2006 | 8.25 | 1.14 | 75 CON | 85.35 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.86 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.22 |
Con
Win | North Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material. | World | 1/24/2006 | 8.60 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.58 |
Con
Lose | US Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months. | US | 12/10/2005 | 1.30 | 4.28 | 50 PRO | 65.23 |
Pro
Win | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season. | US | 12/10/2005 | 1.97 | 2.03 | 25 PRO | 49.21 |
Con
Lose | the north korean goverment will fall this time next year. | World | 12/10/2005 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 50 PRO | 148.08 |
Con
Win | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.05 |
Con
Win | John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 11/10/2005 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 50 CON | 99.84 |
Con
Win | Iran brought before the UN Security Council by United States/Allies for possible sanctions. | World | 10/7/2005 | 3.49 | 1.40 | 50 CON | 70.04 |
Con
Win | Regime change in Syria | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 17.30 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.07 |
Con
Win | Insurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignation | Iraq | 10/7/2005 | 104.82 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.48 |
Pro
Lose | The NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference. | Sports | 10/7/2005 | 2.16 | 1.86 | 50 CON | 93.01 |
Pro
Win | Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General | World | 10/7/2005 | 1.03 | 34.26 | 50 PRO | 51.50 |
Con
Win | Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 14.48 | 1.07 | 50 CON | 53.71 |
Con
Win | Multiple, simultaneous shootdowns of commercial aircraft by terrorists. | Terrorism | 9/22/2005 | 8.91 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 112.63 |
Con
Win | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 25 CON | 32.23 |
Con
Lose | A Category 5 hurricane will make landfall in Florida. | US | 9/22/2005 | 16.49 | 1.06 | 25 PRO | 412.17 |
Con
Win | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 25 CON | 31.60 |
Pro
Lose | Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. | Middle East | 9/22/2005 | 1.27 | 4.64 | 50 CON | 232.04 |
Con
Win | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.43 |
Con
Win | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 75 CON | 101.60 |
Pro
Lose | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st. | Sci/Tech | 8/10/2005 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 25 CON | 75.18 |
Con
Lose | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 25 PRO | 32.72 |
Con
Lose | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 8/10/2005 | 2.38 | 1.72 | 25 PRO | 59.52 |
Pro
Win | New York City will fail in its bid to win the 2012 Olympics. | World | 7/6/2005 | 1.10 | 10.68 | 100 PRO | 110.33 |
Con
Lose | Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks. | US | 7/6/2005 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 10 PRO | 47.39 |
Con
Win | Sharon's government will be toppled and plans to withdraw from Gaza Strip will be scuttled. | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 11.50 | 1.10 | 50 CON | 54.76 |
Con
Win | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 4th. | Sci/Tech | 7/6/2005 | 1.47 | 3.12 | 25 CON | 78.01 |
Con
Win | North Korea sets off a nuclear weapon | World | 7/6/2005 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 100 CON | 139.35 |
Con
Win | US invades Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 19.70 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.67 |
Con
Win | US invades Iran | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 36.84 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 102.79 |
Con
Win | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 7/6/2005 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 50 CON | 85.38 |
Con
Win | Major Anthrax attack on the U.S. If delivered through the mail, will shut down the Postal Service for at least weeks, and cripple it for at least months. | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 11.84 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.31 |
Pro
Win | Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. | World | 6/10/2005 | 1.06 | 18.58 | 50 PRO | 52.84 |
Con
Win | Airstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 10.43 | 1.11 | 10 CON | 11.06 |
Con
Win | US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 3.11 | 1.47 | 50 CON | 73.69 |
Con
Win | In the first half of 2005, the President will announce plans to pull most or all U.S. troops out of Iraq. | Iraq | 5/31/2005 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 20 CON | 22.91 |
Con
Win | A medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005 | 24.89 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 52.09 |
Con
Win | Syrian troops withdraw completely from Lebanon | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 2.21 | 1.83 | 75 CON | 136.93 |
Pro
Win | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 50 PRO | 51.66 |
Con
Win | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.48 |
Con
Win | US sends large-scale stabilization force to Darfur after presidential election. | World | 5/11/2005 | 16.05 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.66 |
Con
Win | Another coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year. | World | 5/11/2005 | 6.68 | 1.18 | 25 CON | 29.40 |
Con
Win | Will Chile grant Bolivia the access to the Pacific that they are asking for. | World | 4/20/2005 | 110.63 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.46 |
Pro
Win | The Vatican will have to appoint a new Pope. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.22 | 5.51 | 50 PRO | 61.08 |
Con
Win | The next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union). | General | 4/19/2005 | 13.47 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 54.01 |
Con
Win | The next Pope will NOT be a European. | World | 4/19/2005 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 25 CON | 71.03 |
Con
Win | US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination. | Iraq | 4/17/2005 | 84.33 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.20 |
Con
Win | US bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons. | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 11.44 | 1.10 | 30 CON | 32.87 |
Con
Lose | Israel-Palestine cease-fire collapses within one month. | Middle East | 3/15/2005 | 2.34 | 1.74 | 50 PRO | 117.16 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in Europe | Terrorism | 3/15/2005 | 18.40 | 1.06 | 30 CON | 31.72 |
Pro
Win | The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be cancelled. | Sports | 2/20/2005 | 1.05 | 20.28 | 100 PRO | 105.19 |
Con
Win | The U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program. | Middle East | 2/20/2005 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 50 CON | 59.46 |
Pro
Win | Death toll from Indian Ocean earthquake/tsunami, including disease induced by the tsunami, reaches 150,000. | World | 1/4/2005 | 1.02 | 53.64 | 100 PRO | 101.90 |
Con
Lose | Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year. | World | 1/4/2005 | 6.86 | 1.17 | 10 PRO | 68.60 |
Con
Win | Nuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 5.84 | 1.21 | 50 CON | 60.33 |
Con
Win | Russian Peacekeeping Troops Enter Iraq. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 13.21 | 1.08 | 75 CON | 81.14 |
Con
Win | Supreme Court Justice William Rehnquist will resign before Januay 1, 2005. | US | 1/4/2005 | 4.15 | 1.32 | 25 CON | 32.94 |
Pro
Win | There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year. | US | 1/4/2005 | 1.15 | 7.58 | 50 PRO | 57.60 |
Pro
Win | The Federal Reserve will raise the Fed Funds rate at the December 14 meeting. | US | 12/30/2004 | 1.08 | 14.14 | 30 PRO | 32.28 |
Con
Lose | If President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forces | Iraq | 12/22/2004 | 1.46 | 3.17 | 10 PRO | 14.61 |
Con
Win | With final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. | US | 12/22/2004 | 145.06 | 1.01 | 30 CON | 30.21 |
Con
Win | Zimbabwean financial and civil meltdown causes South African intervention to rectify. Mugabe flees to third country to avoid trail for crimes against humanity. | World | 12/6/2004 | 13.90 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 53.88 |
Con
Win | Scott Peterson will be found NOT GUILTY of murdering his wife and unborn child. | General | 11/12/2004 | 11.33 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.42 |
Con
Lose | Arafat "officially" declared dead by PLO. | Middle East | 11/9/2004 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 25 PRO | 51.98 |
Con
Win | Taiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring. | China | 11/3/2004 | 5.02 | 1.25 | 20 CON | 24.98 |
Pro
Win | Republicans gain at least two seats (For a total of 53+) in the Senate. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.15 | 7.48 | 20 PRO | 23.08 |
Pro
Win | Whoever wins Florida wins the election | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.09 | 11.61 | 10 PRO | 10.94 |
Con
Win | Kerry revealed before Election Day to been given an Other-than-Honorable or Dishonorable Discharge from the U.S. military during the Vietnam War | US | 11/3/2004 | 4.75 | 1.27 | 20 CON | 25.33 |
Pro
Win | President Bush wins reelection. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 25 PRO | 33.51 |
Con
Win | John Kerry wins more than 60% of the popular vote for president on November 2. | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 25 CON | 31.24 |
Con
Win | The investigators of the CBS National Guard memo scandal make their report public before the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004 | 7.05 | 1.17 | 25 CON | 29.13 |
Con
Win | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004. | US | 11/3/2004 | 8.22 | 1.14 | 20 CON | 22.77 |
Con
Win | Hostage takers in Iraq will issue a demand to US voters that seek an electoral outcome, vis-a-vis the US Presidential Elections. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 30 CON | 39.65 |
Con
Win | High ranking white house official indicted for revealing id of covert CIA agent Valery Plame before elections. | US | 11/3/2004 | 22.77 | 1.05 | 25 CON | 26.15 |
Con
Win | AlQaeda will attempt a major attack on US soil within a week of the US elections, in order to influence electoral outcome, as well as to grab headlines | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 2.81 | 1.55 | 50 CON | 77.62 |
Con
Lose | Osama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 5.39 | 1.23 | 2 PRO | 10.77 |
Con
Win | Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/3/2004 | 12.48 | 1.09 | 25 CON | 27.18 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaida will attempt several mass casualty attacks in the USA to influence the election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 4.63 | 1.28 | 25 CON | 31.90 |
Con
Win | Forged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.) | US | 11/3/2004 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 25 CON | 33.13 |
Pro
Win | Hamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan. | World | 10/28/2004 | 1.03 | 36.97 | 25 PRO | 25.70 |
Con
Win | Major al-Qaeda attack in Europe. | Europe | 10/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.36 | 25 CON | 34.12 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. | Terrorism | 10/1/2004 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 25 CON | 29.19 |
Con
Win | Bush campaign files lawsuit for collusion between Kerry campaign and MoveOn.org. | US | 9/15/2004 | 207.47 | 1.00 | 25 CON | 25.12 |
