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November 22, 2009
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chicagoan's Past Predictions
Last 30 DaysLast 90 DaysOverall
Wins24227
Losses0047
Winnings4.3437.951,201.39
ResultEvent
Category
Settled DatePro ValueCon ValueFutures OwnedValue
Con
Win
Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08.Terrorism11/17/2009164.001.0150 CON50.31
Con
Win
Sino-US Flare-upChina10/30/200917.131.0665 CON69.03
Con
Win
Israeli-Iranian ConflictMiddle East9/12/200910.851.1050 CON55.08
Con
Win
Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country.China9/1/20094.501.29100 CON128.53
Con
Win
The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy.US8/3/20091.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Win
Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians.General7/30/200920.911.0550 CON52.51
Con
Win
Obama visits Gaza.US7/20/2009439.001.0050 CON50.11
Con
Win
Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" GovernmentChina7/1/200928.161.0450 CON51.84
Con
Lose
Roland Burris resigns his recently appointed Senate seat.US6/30/20092.151.871 PRO2.15
Con
Win
A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised.Terrorism6/30/20091.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Win
Coup detat in ThailandWorld6/30/200910.161.1124 CON26.62
Con
Win
Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. Middle East6/9/20096.401.1950 CON59.27
Con
Win
Pakistan Collapses.Middle East5/31/20091.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Win
A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel.Terrorism4/1/200931.361.0325 CON25.82
Con
Win
US will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009.US3/31/200949.501.0250 CON51.03
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China.US3/21/20091.001.0025 CON25.00
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea.US3/21/20091.001.0025 CON25.00
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both.US3/21/20091.463.1850 CON159.00
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine.US3/21/20091.001.0025 CON25.00
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea.US3/21/20095.521.2225 CON30.53
Con
Win
Thye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel.US3/21/20099.261.1250 CON56.05
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine.US3/21/200912.041.0950 CON54.53
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia.US3/21/20098.501.1325 CON28.33
Con
Win
The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops.US3/21/200914.421.0725 CON26.86
Pro
Win
Iran will not use nukes on Israel.Middle East3/20/20091.235.3650 PRO61.46
Con
Win
One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist.US3/1/20097.111.16110 CON128.00
Pro
Win
Benjamin Netanyahu elected next Israeli Prime MinisterMiddle East2/23/20091.353.8450 PRO67.63
Con
Lose
Chavez loses his proposed referendum.World2/16/20091.622.6350 PRO80.77
Con
Win
It will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died.China2/1/200916.141.0750 CON53.30
Con
Win
The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel.Middle East2/1/200920.751.05100 CON105.06
Con
Win
Caroline Kennedy will be selected to fill the balance of Hillary Clintons term in the US Senate.US1/23/200914.471.0710 CON10.74
Con
Win
George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president.US1/20/20095.461.2225 CON30.60
Con
Win
USA or Israel will bomb Iran's NukesIraq1/1/20091.852.1750 CON108.60
Con
Win
Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves.World1/1/20094.421.2950 CON64.63
Con
Win
Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU).Middle East1/1/20095.801.2170 CON84.60
Con
Win
Iran will launch a nuclear attack against IsraelMiddle East1/1/200924.871.04101 CON105.23
Con
Win
The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies.China1/1/20097.251.1650 CON58.00
Con
Win
Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamedWorld1/1/20099.601.1250 CON55.82
Con
Win
The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008China1/1/200910.571.1050 CON55.23
Pro
Win
Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008Europe1/1/20091.205.9225 PRO30.09
Con
Win
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000US1/1/2009862.001.0010 CON10.01
Con
Win
China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008China1/1/2009206.001.0050 CON50.24
Con
Win
The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008.Middle East1/1/20098.371.1425 CON28.39
Con
Win
Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power.General1/1/20093.891.3525 CON33.65
Con
Win
Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count.US11/8/20082.481.675 CON8.37
Con
Win
Republicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives.US11/5/20081.562.791 CON2.79
Con
Lose
Democrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3.US11/5/20081.294.5025 PRO32.14
Con
Win
The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives.US11/5/20081.852.1850 CON108.87
Con
Win
Al Franken defeats Norm Coleman for the MN Senate seat in 2008..US11/5/20081.264.901 CON4.90
Con
Win
The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 electionsUS11/5/200835.461.0350 CON51.45
Con
Lose
Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election.US11/5/20082.631.6125 PRO65.68
Con
Lose
Rep. John Murtha loses his seat to challenger Bill Russell.US11/5/20081.00430.0010 PRO10.02
Con
Lose
McCain will be elected president of the United StatesUS11/5/20081.792.27100 PRO179.04
Pro
Win
Obama is elected President of the United StatesUS11/5/20081.662.5025 PRO41.62
Con
Win
Barrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate.US11/4/200831.331.0350 CON51.65
Pro
Win
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator.US11/3/20081.0715.24100 PRO107.02
Con
Win
October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October.Middle East11/2/20085.811.21100 CON120.80
Con
Lose
Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreementUS11/2/20082.971.5150 PRO148.66
Con
Win
Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq.Middle East10/31/200864.691.02100 CON101.57
Con
Lose
Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States,US10/15/20085.751.2150 PRO287.32
Con
Win
Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States.US10/15/20084.481.2960 CON77.22
Con
Win
Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States.US10/15/20083.091.48100 CON147.93
Con
Win
Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrantsWorld10/15/200813.001.0850 CON54.17
Con
Win
Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United StatesUS9/27/200820.741.05100 CON105.07
Con
Win
New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. US9/14/20089.171.1250 CON56.12
Con
Lose
Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for PresidentUS9/9/20083.071.4850 PRO153.28
Con
Win
Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for PresidentUS9/9/200877.831.0150 CON50.65
Con
Win
Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President US9/9/20087.581.1550 CON57.60
Con
Win
Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election.US9/5/20085.691.21100 CON121.33
Con
Win
Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee.US8/31/20081.324.14100 CON414.24
Pro
Lose
Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidateUS8/31/20082.002.0050 CON100.03
Pro
Win
Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for PresidentUS8/31/20081.334.00100 PRO133.35
Con
Win
Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. Middle East8/31/200827.371.0450 CON51.90
Con
Win
2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan China8/22/20089.781.1150 CON55.69
Con
Lose
Sen. Obama will hint at, or designate, a woman running mate to secure his nomination by the democratic partyUS8/15/200813.441.085 PRO67.20
Con
Win
C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008US8/1/20083.191.4650 CON72.83
Con
Win
NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate.US8/1/20085.561.2250 CON60.96
Con
Win
There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States.Terrorism7/1/200810.001.11100 CON111.11
Con
Win
Iranian backed Shiites take over IraqIraq6/30/200813.921.0850 CON53.87
Con
Win
Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war.Middle East6/5/20083.941.34100 CON134.07
Con
Lose
India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft World6/3/20083.551.3925 PRO88.78
Con
Lose
Fidel Castro diesWorld6/3/20084.141.3210 PRO41.39
Con
Win
China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollarChina6/3/20085.691.2125 CON30.33
Con
Win
The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election.US3/31/20085.881.20100 CON120.47
Con
Win
The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election.US3/31/20088.571.13100 CON113.21
Con
Win
Simba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in MarchWorld3/30/200862.101.0250 CON50.82
Pro
Win
Boeing will have firm orders for at least 650 787 Dreamliners (all models) before the delivery of the first aircraft in May 2008.Sci/Tech3/8/20081.0179.0050 PRO50.64
Con
Win
The New England patriots win the Super Bowl and complete a perfect 19-0 season.Sports2/3/20082.571.6410 CON16.39
Pro
Win
Gov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse.US1/14/20081.0330.4050 PRO51.70
Con
Lose
Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire PrimaryGeneral1/11/200813.651.081 PRO13.65
Pro
Win
Boeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007.General1/11/20081.001.0050 PRO50.00
Pro
Lose
Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic CaucusUS1/10/20081.324.101 CON4.10
Con
Win
Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. World1/8/2008332.001.0010 CON10.03
Pro
Lose
Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred.US1/8/20081.1010.8910 CON108.86
Con
Lose
A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government.Iraq1/8/20088.771.1325 PRO219.35
Con
Win
Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch IsraelMiddle East1/8/20082.981.51100 CON150.53
Con
Win
Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year.Middle East1/8/20081,471.501.0050 CON50.03
Con
Lose
Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008Middle East1/8/20084.141.3250 PRO207.08
Con
Win
Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008Middle East1/8/20082.701.5960 CON95.26
Con
Lose
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season.US12/4/20072.601.6310 PRO25.96
Con
Win
US fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUSRussia12/4/20078.041.1450 CON57.10
Con
Win
The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force.World12/4/2007130.351.01100 CON100.77
Con
Win
Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees.US11/29/20079.491.1225 CON27.95
Con
Win
The Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World SeriesSports11/29/200773.771.0110 CON10.14
Con
Win
The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft.US11/29/20076.151.19112 CON133.75
Con
Win
The Colorado Rockies win the World Series.Sports11/29/20073.711.3750 CON68.42
Con
Lose
Civilian war deaths in Lebanon will exceed civil war deaths in Israel by at least a 10:1 ratio at 2006 year end (BBC news and Red Cross figures to be used in case of dispute).Middle East8/6/20071.186.5520 PRO23.60
Con
Win
Segolene Royal will be elected President of France.Europe8/6/20074.841.2630 CON37.81
Con
Win
Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007World8/6/20077.111.1650 CON58.18
Con
Win
India will attack millitant outfits in pakistan occupied kashmir, thereby beginning the World War 3 by 01-03-07Terrorism8/6/20071.001.0025 CON25.00
Con
Win
Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes.World8/6/20073.261.4450 CON72.14
Con
Win
Sectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation.Middle East8/6/2007334.001.0050 CON50.15
Con
Win
Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar.Middle East8/6/200776.241.0160 CON60.80
Con
Win
NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT.Middle East8/6/2007218.961.00150 CON150.69
Con
Win
General Motors will file for bankruptcy.US8/6/20072.331.7550 CON87.46
Con
Win
Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon.Middle East8/6/20079.791.1150 CON55.69
Con
Win
Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In ExileIraq8/6/200713.251.0825 CON27.04
Con
Win
U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005US1/18/20072.941.5250 CON75.78
Con
Win
America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006.Middle East1/18/200783.601.0150 CON50.61
Pro
Lose
Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn.US1/18/20071.0813.0240 CON520.88
Con
Win
Taiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with ChinaChina1/18/20077.131.1675 CON87.24
Con
Win
Finland applies for NATO membership.Europe1/18/200741.761.0275 CON76.84
Con
Win
Israel will still be fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon in December, 2006.Middle East1/18/20071.522.9125 CON72.70
Con
Win
Malaysia the victim of a large-scale Islamic fundamentalist movement resulting in the overthrow of the current government.World1/18/20079.541.1284 CON93.83
Con
Win
Ehud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006.Middle East1/18/20073.451.4110 CON14.09
Con
Win
Israel will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran, on the Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel will not be hidden it will be open war fare. Iran will counter with direct attacks on Israel.Middle East1/18/20071.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Win
The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles.Middle East1/18/20075.361.23150 CON184.44
Con
Lose
US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. Iraq1/18/20073.691.3750 PRO184.57
Con
Win
A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office.US1/18/200714.011.0831 CON33.38
Con
Win
Al qaeda will stage a major attack against an American City, resulting in at least 500 people killed or injured.Terrorism1/18/20071.752.34100 CON233.63
Con
Win
Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006.US1/18/20079.111.1250 CON56.17
Con
Win
The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule.China1/18/200717.091.0650 CON53.11
Con
Win
The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU.Europe1/18/200742.671.0250 CON51.20
Con
Lose
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006. World1/18/20076.121.2025 PRO152.91
Con
Win
The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World SeriesSports1/18/2007499.671.00100 CON100.20
Con
Win
Prince Fielder and Russ Branyan become the first two teammates to hit 60 home runs in a season.Sports1/18/200726.901.0450 CON51.93
Con
Win
A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan.World1/18/200711.001.1050 CON55.00
Con
Win
Iran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from LebanonMiddle East1/18/2007121.331.0125 CON25.21
Con
Lose
Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate.US12/30/20061.732.3710 PRO17.30
Con
Win
Internal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention.World12/30/20069.191.12100 CON112.21
Con
Lose
Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California.US12/30/20062.911.5225 PRO72.71
Con
Lose
Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq.Iraq12/30/200622.011.0550 PRO1,100.32
Con
Lose
The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 electionsUS12/30/20062.491.6750 PRO124.48
Con
Lose
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season.US12/30/20061.822.2250 PRO90.87
Con
Win
Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed.US12/30/20068.551.1350 CON56.62
Con
Win
Venezuela attacks ColombiaGeneral12/30/200610.991.1050 CON55.01
Con
Win
Military conflict erupts between India and Pakistan.World12/30/20069.211.12100 CON112.18
Con
Win
Tainted MLB Records Will Be TossedSports12/30/200617.191.06100 CON106.18
Con
Win
The UN Security Council will impose new sanctions against the Iranian government in response to Iran's threat to resume its uranium enrichment programme. Middle East12/30/200617.951.0610 CON10.59
Con
Win
Assad regime in Syria fallsMiddle East12/30/200619.391.0525 CON26.36
Con
Win
Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles China12/30/200697.081.01100 CON101.04
Con
Win
The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing.Middle East12/30/200667.771.0150 CON50.75
Con
Win
Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y.Middle East12/30/20061.912.1075 CON157.16
Con
Win
Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars.World10/21/200634.481.0325 CON25.75
Con
Win
UN troop strength in Lebanon will reach 15,000 by the end of September.Middle East10/21/2006150.811.0125 CON25.17
Con
Lose
The International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine.Sci/Tech10/21/20065.931.2075 PRO444.72
Con
Win
North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missleChina10/21/20067.181.16125 CON145.23
Con
Win
US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000.Iraq10/21/20062.641.6150 CON80.43
Con
Win
World War 3 Is Coming In 2006China10/21/200625.491.0425 CON26.02
Con
Win
North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true.World10/21/200669.101.0120 CON20.29
Con
Win
The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile testWorld10/21/200624.611.0450 CON52.12
Con
Win
Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against ChinaChina10/21/200617.331.06100 CON106.13
Con
Win
U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to CypresMiddle East8/30/20064.911.2650 CON62.80
Con
Win
Israel will retake a large portion of the Gaza StripMiddle East8/30/200614.831.07100 CON107.23
Con
Win
22nd of August, Iranian Attack on IsrealMiddle East8/30/20068.941.1350 CON56.30
Pro
Lose
Crude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months.General7/14/20061.842.1950 CON109.27
Con
Win
The United States conducts avowed military operations in an attempt to destroy or delay the Iranian nuclear weapons program.Middle East6/1/20063.521.4050 CON69.82
Con
Win
If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat.World4/10/20068.351.14100 CON113.61
Con
Win
Colin Powell to become UN Secretry GeneralWorld4/10/2006142.931.0150 CON50.35
Pro
Win
Samuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US3/12/20061.532.8925 PRO38.20
Con
Win
A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court.US3/12/2006100.601.0150 CON50.50
Con
Win
Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East.US3/12/20064.331.30200 CON260.13
Con
Win
Independent Palestinian state created.Middle East3/12/200612.761.0950 CON54.25
Con
Lose
Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US1/24/20067.471.15100 PRO746.75
Con
Win
When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US1/24/20067.321.1650 CON57.91
Con
Win
There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend.Terrorism1/24/20069.141.1225 CON28.07
Con
Win
Islamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope.Terrorism1/24/200616.261.0750 CON53.28
Pro
Lose
The price of a barrel of oil will top $70 USD.World1/24/20061.952.0650 CON102.80
Con
Win
The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005.US1/24/20065.001.25150 CON187.50
Con
Win
A communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself).World1/24/200635.421.0350 CON51.45
Con
Win
Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone.World1/24/200612.121.09200 CON217.99
Con
Win
The DJIA will close below 8,500 at least once by 12/31/2005.US1/24/2006128.501.01100 CON100.78
Pro
Win
Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005.US1/24/20061.1011.1475 PRO82.39
Con
Win
Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation.World1/24/20065.991.2050 CON60.03
Con
Lose
Fidel Castro dies in 2005.World1/24/200610.111.115 PRO50.55
Con
Win
By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves.US1/24/20069.831.1150 CON55.66
Con
Win
The House of Representatives will vote to suspend U.S. funding of the United Nations until Kofi Annan resigns.General1/24/20065.031.25100 CON124.83
Con
Win
Irreconcilable impasse on Ukraine elections results in East Ukraine vs West Ukraine split.Europe1/24/200633.391.0350 CON51.54
Con
Win
United States implements conscription.US1/24/200624.901.04150 CON156.28
Con
Win
Major combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. Middle East1/24/20061.802.2525 CON56.19
Con
Win
Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration ObjectionsUS1/24/20068.251.1475 CON85.35
Con
Win
Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan.US1/24/200612.861.0850 CON54.22
Con
Win
North Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material.World1/24/20068.601.1350 CON56.58
Con
Lose
US Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months.US12/10/20051.304.2850 PRO65.23
Pro
Win
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season.US12/10/20051.972.0325 PRO49.21
Con
Lose
the north korean goverment will fall this time next year. World12/10/20052.961.5150 PRO148.08
Con
Win
Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague.Europe12/10/200513.331.0850 CON54.05
Con
Win
John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor.US11/10/20052.002.0050 CON99.84
Con
Win
Iran brought before the UN Security Council by United States/Allies for possible sanctions.World10/7/20053.491.4050 CON70.04
Con
Win
Regime change in SyriaMiddle East10/7/200517.301.0650 CON53.07
Con
Win
Insurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignationIraq10/7/2005104.821.0150 CON50.48
Pro
Lose
The NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference.Sports10/7/20052.161.8650 CON93.01
Pro
Win
Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General World10/7/20051.0334.2650 PRO51.50
Con
Win
Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. Middle East10/7/200514.481.0750 CON53.71
Con
Win
Multiple, simultaneous shootdowns of commercial aircraft by terrorists.Terrorism9/22/20058.911.13100 CON112.63
Con
Win
North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border.World9/22/20054.461.2925 CON32.23
Con
Lose
A Category 5 hurricane will make landfall in Florida.US9/22/200516.491.0625 PRO412.17
Con
Win
The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government.US9/22/20054.791.2625 CON31.60
Pro
Lose
Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. Middle East9/22/20051.274.6450 CON232.04
Con
Win
Israel occupies part of LebanonMiddle East8/23/200570.851.01100 CON101.43
Con
Win
Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005.US8/10/20053.821.3575 CON101.60
Pro
Lose
NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st.Sci/Tech8/10/20051.503.0125 CON75.18
Con
Lose
John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations.US8/10/20051.314.2425 PRO32.72
Con
Lose
When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US8/10/20052.381.7225 PRO59.52
Pro
Win
New York City will fail in its bid to win the 2012 Olympics.World7/6/20051.1010.68100 PRO110.33
Con
Lose
Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks.US7/6/20054.741.2710 PRO47.39
Con
Win
Sharon's government will be toppled and plans to withdraw from Gaza Strip will be scuttled.Middle East7/6/200511.501.1050 CON54.76
Con
Win
NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 4th.Sci/Tech7/6/20051.473.1225 CON78.01
Con
Win
North Korea sets off a nuclear weaponWorld7/6/20053.541.39100 CON139.35
Con
Win
US invades SyriaMiddle East7/6/200519.701.0550 CON52.67
Con
Win
US invades IranMiddle East7/6/200536.841.03100 CON102.79
Con
Win
When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US7/6/20052.411.7150 CON85.38
Con
Win
Major Anthrax attack on the U.S. If delivered through the mail, will shut down the Postal Service for at least weeks, and cripple it for at least months.Terrorism7/6/200511.841.0925 CON27.31
Pro
Win
Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. World6/10/20051.0618.5850 PRO52.84
Con
Win
Airstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. Middle East5/31/200510.431.1110 CON11.06
Con
Win
US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities.Middle East5/31/20053.111.4750 CON73.69
Con
Win
In the first half of 2005, the President will announce plans to pull most or all U.S. troops out of Iraq.Iraq5/31/20057.871.1520 CON22.91
Con
Win
A medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist.Terrorism5/31/200524.891.0450 CON52.09
Con
Win
Syrian troops withdraw completely from LebanonMiddle East5/31/20052.211.8375 CON136.93
Pro
Win
Labour party wins British general electionEurope5/11/20051.0331.0550 PRO51.66
Con
Win
Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three monthsIraq5/11/200534.711.0350 CON51.48
Con
Win
US sends large-scale stabilization force to Darfur after presidential election.World5/11/200516.051.0725 CON26.66
Con
Win
Another coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year.World5/11/20056.681.1825 CON29.40
Con
Win
Will Chile grant Bolivia the access to the Pacific that they are asking for.World4/20/2005110.631.0150 CON50.46
Pro
Win
The Vatican will have to appoint a new Pope.World4/19/20051.225.5150 PRO61.08
Con
Win
The next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union).General4/19/200513.471.0850 CON54.01
Con
Win
The next Pope will NOT be a European.World4/19/20051.542.8425 CON71.03
Con
Win
US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination.Iraq4/17/200584.331.01100 CON101.20
Con
Win
US bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons.Middle East4/17/200511.441.1030 CON32.87
Con
Lose
Israel-Palestine cease-fire collapses within one month.Middle East3/15/20052.341.7450 PRO117.16
Con
Win
Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in EuropeTerrorism3/15/200518.401.0630 CON31.72
Pro
Win
The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be cancelled.Sports2/20/20051.0520.28100 PRO105.19
Con
Win
The U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program.Middle East2/20/20056.281.1950 CON59.46
Pro
Win
Death toll from Indian Ocean earthquake/tsunami, including disease induced by the tsunami, reaches 150,000.World1/4/20051.0253.64100 PRO101.90
Con
Lose
Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year.World1/4/20056.861.1710 PRO68.60
Con
Win
Nuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year.Terrorism1/4/20055.841.2150 CON60.33
Con
Win
Russian Peacekeeping Troops Enter Iraq.Iraq1/4/200513.211.0875 CON81.14
Con
Win
Supreme Court Justice William Rehnquist will resign before Januay 1, 2005.US1/4/20054.151.3225 CON32.94
Pro
Win
There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year.US1/4/20051.157.5850 PRO57.60
Pro
Win
The Federal Reserve will raise the Fed Funds rate at the December 14 meeting.US12/30/20041.0814.1430 PRO32.28
Con
Lose
If President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forcesIraq12/22/20041.463.1710 PRO14.61
Con
Win
With final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. US12/22/2004145.061.0130 CON30.21
Con
Win
Zimbabwean financial and civil meltdown causes South African intervention to rectify. Mugabe flees to third country to avoid trail for crimes against humanity.World12/6/200413.901.0850 CON53.88
Con
Win
Scott Peterson will be found NOT GUILTY of murdering his wife and unborn child.General11/12/200411.331.1025 CON27.42
Con
Lose
Arafat "officially" declared dead by PLO.Middle East11/9/20042.081.9325 PRO51.98
Con
Win
Taiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring.China11/3/20045.021.2520 CON24.98
Pro
Win
Republicans gain at least two seats (For a total of 53+) in the Senate.US11/3/20041.157.4820 PRO23.08
Pro
Win
Whoever wins Florida wins the electionUS11/3/20041.0911.6110 PRO10.94
Con
Win
Kerry revealed before Election Day to been given an Other-than-Honorable or Dishonorable Discharge from the U.S. military during the Vietnam WarUS11/3/20044.751.2720 CON25.33
Pro
Win
President Bush wins reelection.US11/3/20041.343.9425 PRO33.51
Con
Win
John Kerry wins more than 60% of the popular vote for president on November 2.US11/3/20045.001.2525 CON31.24
Con
Win
The investigators of the CBS National Guard memo scandal make their report public before the Presidential election.US11/3/20047.051.1725 CON29.13
Con
Win
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004.US11/3/20048.221.1420 CON22.77
Con
Win
Hostage takers in Iraq will issue a demand to US voters that seek an electoral outcome, vis-a-vis the US Presidential Elections.Terrorism11/3/20044.111.3230 CON39.65
Con
Win
High ranking white house official indicted for revealing id of covert CIA agent Valery Plame before elections.US11/3/200422.771.0525 CON26.15
Con
Win
AlQaeda will attempt a major attack on US soil within a week of the US elections, in order to influence electoral outcome, as well as to grab headlinesTerrorism11/3/20042.811.5550 CON77.62
Con
Lose
Osama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections.Terrorism11/3/20045.391.232 PRO10.77
Con
Win
Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq.Iraq11/3/200412.481.0925 CON27.18
Con
Win
Al-Qaida will attempt several mass casualty attacks in the USA to influence the election.Terrorism11/3/20044.631.2825 CON31.90
Con
Win
Forged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.)US11/3/20044.071.3325 CON33.13
Pro
Win
Hamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan.World10/28/20041.0336.9725 PRO25.70
Con
Win
Major al-Qaeda attack in Europe.Europe10/3/20043.741.3625 CON34.12
Con
Win
Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. Terrorism10/1/20046.971.1725 CON29.19
Con
Win
Bush campaign files lawsuit for collusion between Kerry campaign and MoveOn.org.US9/15/2004207.471.0025 CON25.12
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