| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Lose | President elect Obama will propose some kind of permanent floating or fixed tax on fuel to keep gas above $2.25 a gallon to help and promote research into alternative fuels and transportation. | US | 1/1/2010 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 50 PRO | 81.82 |
Con
Win | George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president. | US | 1/20/2009 | 5.46 | 1.22 | 50 CON | 61.20 |
Con
Win | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 25 CON | 33.98 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 20 CON | 20.84 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 50 CON | 62.50 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.29 |
Con
Win | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 5 CON | 8.07 |
Con
Win | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 150 CON | 545.45 |
Pro
Win | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 50 PRO | 83.24 |
Con
Win | October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October. | Middle East | 11/2/2008 | 5.81 | 1.21 | 150 CON | 181.19 |
Con
Win | The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008 | US | 10/31/2008 | 103.50 | 1.01 | 25 CON | 25.24 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 25 CON | 27.08 |
Con
Win | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 50 CON | 52.53 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.65 |
Con
Lose | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 50 PRO | 378.79 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 20 CON | 82.85 |
Con
Win | Democrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race. | US | 8/31/2008 | 25.59 | 1.04 | 30 CON | 31.22 |
Con
Lose | Obama will choose Al Gore as his running mate. | US | 8/31/2008 | 31.85 | 1.03 | 147 PRO | 4,681.53 |
Pro
Win | Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for President | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 50 PRO | 66.68 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 51.90 |
Con
Win | C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008 | US | 8/1/2008 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 20 CON | 29.13 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 50 CON | 68.82 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.56 |
Pro
Lose | Windows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating System | Sci/Tech | 1/8/2008 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 68 CON | 174.59 |
Con
Win | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.63 |
Pro
Win | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 20 PRO | 23.59 |
Con
Win | Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 1,471.50 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.07 |
Con
Win | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 100 CON | 127.23 |
Con
Win | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 50 CON | 70.68 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season. | US | 12/4/2007 | 2.60 | 1.63 | 100 PRO | 259.63 |
Con
Win | The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft. | US | 11/29/2007 | 6.15 | 1.19 | 50 CON | 59.71 |
Con
Win | Bush Will Conduct a White House Makeover. Conservatives Purged. Cheney And At Least Rice Will Be Gone To Purchase Peace With Democrats. | US | 11/29/2007 | 61.82 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 50.82 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 50 CON | 57.27 |
Con
Win | Al Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 282.75 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.18 |
Con
Win | The Milwaukee Brewers will will the National League Pennant | Sports | 11/29/2007 | 152.50 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.33 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.20 |
Con
Win | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 50 CON | 51.53 |
Con
Win | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.10 |
Con
Win | Sectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 334.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.30 |
Con
Win | Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 76.24 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.66 |
Con
Win | NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 218.96 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.09 |
Con
Win | Ford Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 100 CON | 231.41 |
Con
Lose | Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. | Middle East | 8/6/2007 | 9.79 | 1.11 | 50 PRO | 489.45 |
Con
Win | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 20 CON | 30.31 |
Con
Win | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.61 |
Con
Win | Taiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with China | China | 1/18/2007 | 7.13 | 1.16 | 5 CON | 5.82 |
Pro
Win | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2006 year above 11,000 | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.14 | 8.37 | 50 PRO | 56.79 |
Pro
Win | Israel's incursion into Gaza will not stop the Qassam rocket attacks | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 3.02 | 1.50 | 10 PRO | 30.19 |
Pro
Win | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.06 | 19.14 | 50 PRO | 52.76 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro will be out of power by end of 2006. | World | 1/18/2007 | 4.32 | 1.30 | 50 CON | 65.06 |
Con
Win | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 30 CON | 31.86 |
Con
Lose | The Repubilcans lose the Senate. | US | 1/18/2007 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 5 PRO | 55.40 |
Con
Lose | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006.
| World | 1/18/2007 | 6.12 | 1.20 | 50 PRO | 305.82 |
Con
Lose | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 100 PRO | 181.73 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 20 CON | 22.00 |
Con
Win | Assad regime in Syria falls | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 19.39 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.44 |
Con
Win | Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles | China | 12/30/2006 | 97.08 | 1.01 | 5 CON | 5.05 |
Con
Lose | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 10 PRO | 71.79 |
Con
Win | Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, will be found/discovered in the Iranian embassy in Lebanon. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 468.00 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.11 |
Con
Win | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 5 CON | 5.21 |
