| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | usa will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike. | Terrorism | 1/1/2011 | 22.59 | 1.05 | 311 CON | 325.40 |
Con
Win | War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella. | China | 1/1/2011 | 1,474.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.07 |
Con
Win | The head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists. | China | 12/31/2010 | 4.04 | 1.33 | 150 CON | 199.42 |
Con
Win | North Korea implodes, and there is civil disorder. The Kim family is deposed, and the North is administered by the either the UN, the PRC, or an Asian coalition. | China | 6/30/2010 | 1,937.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.05 |
Con
Win | Carole Browner gets fired as a result of Climategate. | US | 6/30/2010 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 660 CON | 660.00 |
Con
Lose | Kim Jong Il dies. | China | 6/30/2010 | 10.24 | 1.11 | 5 PRO | 51.22 |
Con
Win | Afghan government collapses. | World | 1/1/2010 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 200 CON | 229.41 |
Con
Win | Obama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees. | China | 1/1/2010 | 100.00 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.51 |
Pro
Lose | There will be an al qaeda-style terrorist attack within the first 18 months of the new presidents term. | Terrorism | 12/26/2009 | 1.47 | 3.15 | 250 CON | 786.97 |
Pro
Win | Price of Gold goes above $1200/ troy ounce | General | 12/1/2009 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 256 PRO | 601.40 |
Con
Win | Kim Jong Il dies. | China | 12/1/2009 | 59.28 | 1.02 | 156 CON | 158.68 |
Con
Win | Sino-US Flare-up | China | 10/30/2009 | 17.13 | 1.06 | 36 CON | 38.23 |
Pro
Lose | The swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people. | World | 8/28/2009 | 2.48 | 1.68 | 10 CON | 16.76 |
Con
Win | Obama visits Gaza. | US | 7/20/2009 | 439.00 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.23 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies. | General | 6/30/2009 | 5.21 | 1.24 | 100 CON | 123.73 |
Con
Win | President Obama normalizes relations with Cuba. | US | 5/2/2009 | 4.27 | 1.31 | 150 CON | 195.86 |
Con
Win | The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel. | Middle East | 2/1/2009 | 20.75 | 1.05 | 150 CON | 157.60 |
Con
Lose | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 200 PRO | 1,919.20 |
Con
Lose | Boeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus. | US | 12/9/2008 | 3.77 | 1.36 | 200 PRO | 753.02 |
Con
Lose | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 25 PRO | 1,617.14 |
Con
Win | The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008 | US | 10/31/2008 | 103.50 | 1.01 | 116 CON | 117.13 |
Con
Lose | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 25 PRO | 76.64 |
Con
Win | Riots break out at the 2008 Democratic Convention | US | 9/2/2008 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 150 CON | 225.00 |
Con
Lose | Pollution mars Bejing Olympic games | China | 8/31/2008 | 1.11 | 9.77 | 150 PRO | 167.10 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 50 CON | 55.56 |
Con
Win | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 400 CON | 556.79 |
Con
Win | Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire Primary | General | 1/11/2008 | 13.65 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 53.95 |
Pro
Lose | Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic Caucus | US | 1/10/2008 | 1.32 | 4.10 | 6 CON | 24.62 |
Con
Win | After winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms. | US | 1/8/2008 | 23.50 | 1.04 | 1000 CON | 1,044.44 |
Con
Win | Russia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran. | Middle East | 12/16/2007 | 9.01 | 1.12 | 25 CON | 28.12 |
Con
Win | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 62 CON | 87.65 |
Con
Win | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.39 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 250 CON | 251.00 |
Con
Win | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 150 CON | 154.58 |
Pro
Lose | The coup led by Fijian military commander Frank Bainimarama will succeed. | World | 8/6/2007 | 1.11 | 9.71 | 400 CON | 3,883.08 |
Pro
Lose | WTI Crude Oil will be trading at or between $55.00-$60.00 (USD) a barrel by 01/31/07. | World | 8/6/2007 | 3.48 | 1.40 | 250 CON | 351.00 |
Con
Win | Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone.
| World | 8/6/2007 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 200 CON | 361.19 |
Con
Lose | Bears win '07 Superbowl. | Sports | 8/6/2007 | 1.16 | 7.38 | 3353 PRO | 3,878.89 |
Con
Win | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 250 CON | 276.55 |
Pro
Win | Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.08 | 13.02 | 500 PRO | 541.59 |
Con
Win | Illinois will approve public funding for stem cell research. | US | 1/18/2007 | 1.81 | 2.24 | 100 CON | 223.99 |
Con
Win | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 250 CON | 269.21 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Iraq. | US | 1/18/2007 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.19 |
Pro
Win | EU Constitution not ratified by the 25 member states. | Europe | 1/18/2007 | 1.15 | 7.76 | 400 PRO | 459.19 |
Con
Win | Rove's October Surprise - Scenario 1: Permanent tax cuts. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 500 CON | 500.00 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will NOT run for a second term in the U.S. Senate representing NY State. | US | 12/30/2006 | 30.18 | 1.03 | 500 CON | 517.13 |
Con
Win | The Coup attempt in Thailand will fail | World | 10/21/2006 | 78.10 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 506.49 |
Pro
Win | The current cease-fire in Uganda (between Uganda's government and the LRA rebels (Lord's Resistance Army) will be extended by both parties beyond the original September 12, 2006 agreement. | World | 10/21/2006 | 1.12 | 9.37 | 100 PRO | 111.95 |
Con
Win | Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars. | World | 10/21/2006 | 34.48 | 1.03 | 500 CON | 514.94 |
Con
Win | President Chen in Taiwan will be overthrown by the people and force to resign | China | 10/21/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 250 CON | 250.00 |
Con
Win | UN troop strength in Lebanon will reach 15,000 by the end of September. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 150.81 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 503.34 |
Con
Lose | The International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine. | Sci/Tech | 10/21/2006 | 5.93 | 1.20 | 100 PRO | 592.96 |
Con
Lose | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 250 PRO | 1,794.68 |
Con
Win | I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation. | US | 10/21/2006 | 1.16 | 7.32 | 100 CON | 732.11 |
Con
Win | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 250 CON | 253.67 |
Con
Win | Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, will be found/discovered in the Iranian embassy in Lebanon. | Middle East | 10/21/2006 | 468.00 | 1.00 | 250 CON | 250.54 |
Con
Win | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 250 CON | 260.59 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 199 CON | 211.19 |
Con
Win | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 250 CON | 259.21 |
Con
Win | U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to Cypres | Middle East | 8/30/2006 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 500 CON | 628.03 |
Con
Win | Kazahkstan government becomes offical (even if temporary) a pro-communist regime takes power. | World | 7/14/2006 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2221 CON | 2,221.00 |
Con
Win | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 250 CON | 263.77 |
Con
Win | Montenegro declares independence of Serbia by July 13, 2006. | Europe | 7/14/2006 | 3.23 | 1.45 | 250 CON | 361.98 |
Con
Win | Gold Reaches highest value in recorded history. When Iran announces their non-compliance with demands to stop enriching uranium.
| World | 6/1/2006 | 8.17 | 1.14 | 294 CON | 335.02 |
Con
Win | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 1000 CON | 1,035.04 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 250 CON | 278.65 |
Con
Win | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 127 CON | 134.37 |
Con
Win | Morgan Stanley Dean Witter will no longer be an independent entity, either through a merger, acquisition, or sale. | General | 4/13/2006 | 34.00 | 1.03 | 300 CON | 309.09 |
Con
Win | The next Space Shuttle launch will occur in March 2006. | Sci/Tech | 4/10/2006 | 64.81 | 1.02 | 1000 CON | 1,015.67 |
Con
Win | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 300 CON | 340.83 |
Con
Win | Bashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region.
| Middle East | 4/10/2006 | 20.93 | 1.05 | 300 CON | 315.06 |
Con
Lose | The Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety. | US | 3/12/2006 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 150 PRO | 827.78 |
Con
Win | Ariel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 15.42 | 1.07 | 500 CON | 534.68 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 250 CON | 270.02 |
Con
Win | Zarqawi will be captured with help from Al-Zwahiri | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 901.50 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.11 |
Con
Win | The BCS snubs an undefeated team for the second straight year. | Sports | 1/24/2006 | 15.60 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.85 |
Con
Win | Iran stops/restricts oil export and causes significant rise in crude oil prices. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 228.67 | 1.00 | 100 CON | 100.44 |
Con
Win | The Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.74 | 1.11 | 150 CON | 167.17 |
Con
Lose | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006 | 7.32 | 1.16 | 500 PRO | 3,660.16 |
Con
Win | Democrats & EU leaders call for Bush to resign over the Katrina tragedy. France renews UN talks on Kyoto. Whitehouse expedites NATO troop recall for redeployment to Katrina-hit disaster areas. | US | 1/24/2006 | 175.80 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.57 |
Con
Win | Asian Bird Flu is Red Chinese biowar WMD. | China | 1/24/2006 | 145.90 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.69 |
Con
Win | Saddam Hussein is featured in a Cheetos or Doritos commercial. | Iraq | 1/24/2006 | 38.13 | 1.03 | 500 CON | 513.46 |
Con
Win | Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. | World | 1/24/2006 | 12.12 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 108.99 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.42 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 110.03 |
Con
Win | Major vote fraud allegations in the Washington and Wisconsin 2004 elections finally produce effective reforms.
| US | 1/24/2006 | 11.57 | 1.09 | 100 CON | 109.46 |
Con
Win | JPMorgan/Chase will acquire Merrill Lynch in a Stock Swap to create the United States largest financial services firm | US | 1/24/2006 | 31.77 | 1.03 | 500 CON | 516.25 |
Con
Win | By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves. | US | 1/24/2006 | 9.83 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 111.32 |
Con
Win | Terrorists take the United States to court. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 4.35 | 1.30 | 132 CON | 171.40 |
Con
Win | Irreconcilable impasse on Ukraine elections results in East Ukraine vs West Ukraine split. | Europe | 1/24/2006 | 33.39 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 103.09 |
Con
Win | Iran and Russia actually finalize and sign spent-fuel return and recycling protocol for Bushehr nuclear reactor. Russia actually completes delivery of fuel assemblies to reactor. | Middle East | 1/24/2006 | 5.89 | 1.20 | 100 CON | 120.44 |
Con
Win | North Korea and Iran will form an alliance and try to nuke Israel. | World | 1/24/2006 | 175.08 | 1.01 | 500 CON | 502.87 |
Con
Win | Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan. | US | 1/24/2006 | 12.86 | 1.08 | 70 CON | 75.90 |
Con
Win | North Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material. | World | 1/24/2006 | 8.60 | 1.13 | 500 CON | 565.82 |
Con
Win | Next use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle. | Terroism | 1/24/2006 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 500 CON | 578.59 |
Con
Win | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 499 CON | 539.47 |
Con
Win | President George Bush's disapproval ratings on the war in Iraq will increase to at least 75%. | General | 11/10/2005 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 1000 CON | 1,128.64 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi constitution, when put to a vote in October, will be rejected by the voters of 3 or more provinces and not go into effect. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 8.43 | 1.13 | 150 CON | 170.18 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 26.73 | 1.04 | 1000 CON | 1,038.87 |
Con
Lose | John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 11/10/2005 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 126 PRO | 252.41 |
Con
Win | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 100 CON | 105.00 |
Con
Win | Exchange rate will fall below 7.80 Chinese Renminbi (Yuan) per dollar on or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005 | 6.85 | 1.17 | 200 CON | 234.19 |
Con
Win | US announces plans to privatize Fannie Mae | US | 10/7/2005 | 33.07 | 1.03 | 500 CON | 515.59 |
Con
Win | Haliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. | US | 9/22/2005 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 500 CON | 853.35 |
Con
Win | Malaysian Central Bank will break the US Dollar / Malaysian Ringgett peg (currently at 3.80) before China devalues the Yuan or by June 1st, 2005 | World | 9/22/2005 | 17.68 | 1.06 | 500 CON | 529.98 |
Con
Win | Hardliner Lionel Mtshali takes leadership of the Inkatha Freedom Party after the General conference July 2005. | World | 9/22/2005 | 1.55 | 2.82 | 50 CON | 140.79 |
Pro
Lose | Brewers sign Ben Sheets to a contract extension. | Sports | 9/22/2005 | 5.09 | 1.24 | 30 CON | 37.33 |
Con
Win | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 100 CON | 126.41 |
Con
Win | US Marine general makes politically insensitive public remark before any general officer of the other US armed services | US | 9/22/2005 | 8.16 | 1.14 | 593 CON | 675.84 |
Pro
Win | Space Shuttle Discovery, currently on mission STS-114 MCC, will land safely in August. | Sci/Tech | 8/23/2005 | 1.00 | 217.10 | 400 PRO | 401.85 |
Con
Win | Iraqi Constitution will be approved by Aug 22 | Iraq | 8/23/2005 | 2.80 | 1.55 | 300 CON | 466.48 |
Con
Win | Chief Justice Rehnquist will announce his retire before August 15. | US | 8/23/2005 | 3.75 | 1.36 | 50 CON | 68.18 |
Con
Win | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.72 |
Con
Win | US will challenge Venezuela to allow access to its country to investigate disappearance of woman from Aruba. | World | 8/10/2005 | 103.76 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 100.97 |
Con
Win | President Bush will nominate Alex Kozinski (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, appointed by Ronald Reagan) to replace the retiring Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 8/10/2005 | 16.41 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 53.24 |
Pro
Win | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st. | Sci/Tech | 8/10/2005 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 100 PRO | 149.82 |
Con
Win | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 8/10/2005 | 2.38 | 1.72 | 50 CON | 86.21 |
Con
Lose | Conservative mullah elected president in Iran | World | 8/10/2005 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 1000 PRO | 2,044.59 |
Pro
Lose | New York City will fail in its bid to win the 2012 Olympics. | World | 7/6/2005 | 1.10 | 10.68 | 50 CON | 534.20 |
Con
Win | Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks. | US | 7/6/2005 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 54 CON | 68.44 |
Con
Win | The U.S. will conduct aerial eradication of Afghan poppy fields during the 2005 growing season. | World | 7/6/2005 | 9.97 | 1.11 | 500 CON | 555.76 |
Con
Win | Reunification of Korea by the ROK, defined as ROK boarder guards/troops on the Yalu following the collapse of North Korea. | World | 7/6/2005 | 8.63 | 1.13 | 100 CON | 113.11 |
Pro
Win | Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. | World | 6/10/2005 | 1.06 | 18.58 | 500 PRO | 528.45 |
Con
Win | Airstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 10.43 | 1.11 | 125 CON | 138.26 |
Con
Win | A medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005 | 24.89 | 1.04 | 500 CON | 520.93 |
Con
Lose | Syrian troops withdraw completely from Lebanon | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 2.21 | 1.83 | 500 PRO | 1,105.48 |
Pro
Lose | In May 5 British general election anti-war rebel MP George Galloway (Respect Coalition) will defeat Labour candidate Oona King in the Bethnal Green and Bow constituency. | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 2.47 | 1.68 | 200 CON | 335.75 |
Pro
Win | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 500 PRO | 516.64 |
Con
Win | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 150 CON | 154.45 |
Con
Win | Will Chile grant Bolivia the access to the Pacific that they are asking for. | World | 4/20/2005 | 110.63 | 1.01 | 250 CON | 252.28 |
Con
Win | A civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligence | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 14.49 | 1.07 | 250 CON | 268.53 |
Con
Win | US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination. | Iraq | 4/17/2005 | 84.33 | 1.01 | 250 CON | 253.00 |
Con
Win | Iran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment. | World | 3/15/2005 | 123.93 | 1.01 | 250 CON | 252.03 |
Con
Win | Eastern Ukraine Secedes in election dispute. | Russia | 1/30/2005 | 16.61 | 1.06 | 250 CON | 266.01 |
Con
Win | EU ends the Ukraine election dispute. | Russia | 1/30/2005 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 150 CON | 150.00 |
Pro
Win | Death toll from Asia tsunami and related diseases exceeds 200,000. | World | 1/20/2005 | 1.19 | 6.18 | 250 PRO | 298.25 |
Con
Win | The Indianapolis Colts Win Superbowl XXXIX | Sports | 1/16/2005 | 4.28 | 1.31 | 250 CON | 326.30 |
Pro
Win | Mahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005. | Middle East | 1/10/2005 | 1.04 | 26.72 | 40 PRO | 41.56 |
Pro
Win | Death toll from Indian Ocean earthquake/tsunami, including disease induced by the tsunami, reaches 150,000. | World | 1/4/2005 | 1.02 | 53.64 | 100 PRO | 101.90 |
Pro
Win | There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year. | US | 1/4/2005 | 1.15 | 7.58 | 100 PRO | 115.20 |
Con
Win | Hijacking of oil supertanker ship, then sailed into major US port and blown up causing environmental disaster. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 35.40 | 1.03 | 250 CON | 257.27 |
Con
Win | Breakaway republic from Indonesia | World | 1/4/2005 | 45.89 | 1.02 | 250 CON | 255.57 |
Con
Win | U.S. combat troops sent to Columbia to fight narco-terrorists. | US | 1/4/2005 | 28.76 | 1.04 | 250 CON | 259.01 |
Con
Win | UN imposes trade sanctions on Iran for failure to cooperate with IAE Comission. | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 6.89 | 1.17 | 250 CON | 292.46 |
Con
Win | Israel launches a pre-emptive airstrike against Iran's nuclear weapons production facilities. | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 10 CON | 17.43 |
Con
Win | Islamic radicals stage revolution in Pakistan and take over government. | World | 1/4/2005 | 15.99 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.67 |
Con
Win | Terririst attack in Finland. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 20.08 | 1.05 | 250 CON | 263.11 |
Con
Lose | Fidel Castro dies, prompting a revolution in Cuba. | World | 1/4/2005 | 9.42 | 1.12 | 100 PRO | 941.96 |
Con
Win | Turkey will be accepted into the EU | World | 12/6/2004 | 10.27 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.79 |
Pro
Win | US and Iraqi government forces will claim victory in Fallujah without capturing/killing Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. | Iraq | 12/6/2004 | 1.01 | 73.61 | 100 PRO | 101.38 |
Pro
Lose | Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary. | US | 11/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.37 | 100 CON | 136.55 |
Con
Win | Taiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring. | China | 11/3/2004 | 5.02 | 1.25 | 150 CON | 187.32 |
Pro
Lose | President Bush is reelected and receives more than 50% of the Popular vote. | US | 11/3/2004 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 100 CON | 244.55 |
Con
Win | Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/3/2004 | 12.48 | 1.09 | 150 CON | 163.07 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will conduct multiple simultaneous attacks using powdered anthrax in Washington D.C. and New York, shortly before the US Presidencial elections. | US | 11/3/2004 | 26.55 | 1.04 | 250 CON | 259.78 |
Con
Lose | Al-Qaida will attempt several mass casualty attacks in the USA to influence the election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 4.63 | 1.28 | 100 PRO | 462.57 |
Con
Win | Forged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.) | US | 11/3/2004 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 100 CON | 132.52 |
Con
Win | Responsibility for the Abhu Ghraib incident will be charged to an officer with rank lower than Lt. Colonel. | US | 11/3/2004 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 100 CON | 174.02 |
Pro
Lose | Hamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan. | World | 10/28/2004 | 1.03 | 36.97 | 100 CON | 3,696.55 |
Con
Win | The Minnesota Twins win the 2004 American League Championship Series. | Sports | 10/18/2004 | 3.22 | 1.45 | 100 CON | 145.13 |
Con
Win | Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004 | 17.85 | 1.06 | 100 CON | 105.93 |
Con
Win | Rash of wildfires throughout the Rocky Mountain region is connected to an Al'Qaeda or subsidiary; includes discovery/nullification of unexploded incendiary devices. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004 | 10.41 | 1.11 | 115 CON | 127.22 |
Con
Win | The U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home.
| Iraq | 10/3/2004 | 30.15 | 1.03 | 100 CON | 103.43 |
Con
Win | North Korea is caught proliferating nuclear materials. | World | 10/3/2004 | 10.23 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.84 |
Con
Win | For his role in the National Guard memo scandal, Dan Rather resigns or is fired as anchor of the CBS Evening News by the 1st of October. | US | 10/1/2004 | 24.37 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 104.28 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair resigns as UK Prime Minister. | Europe | 10/1/2004 | 49.08 | 1.02 | 25 CON | 25.52 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. | Terrorism | 10/1/2004 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 100 CON | 116.76 |
Con
Win | Congress overrides the Army's decision to cancel the Comanche. | US | 10/1/2004 | 24.63 | 1.04 | 210 CON | 218.89 |
Con
Win | North Korea attacks South Korea. | World | 10/1/2004 | 148.31 | 1.01 | 150 CON | 151.02 |
Pro
Lose | Disclplinary action (of any sort)for the Abu Ghraib incident will be faced by an officer with rank of Brig. General or higher. | US | 9/16/2004 | 1.38 | 3.65 | 100 CON | 365.09 |
Con
Win | Rather admits two documents forged and apologizes on TV. | US | 9/16/2004 | 6.87 | 1.17 | 150 CON | 175.57 |
Con
Win | Bush campaign files lawsuit for collusion between Kerry campaign and MoveOn.org. | US | 9/15/2004 | 207.47 | 1.00 | 50 CON | 50.24 |
Con
Win | Imam Ali shrine complex is raided succesfully, but major damage occurs to the shrine; thus, sparking a mass Shia upraising. | Iraq | 9/15/2004 | 91.36 | 1.01 | 150 CON | 151.66 |
Con
Win | Transport Bomb Attack Occurs--"The US Department of Homeland Security has warned that bombs hidden in luggage could be used to attack buses and railways in big US cities this summer." (BBC) | Terrorism | 9/15/2004 | 9.43 | 1.12 | 6 CON | 6.71 |
Con
Lose | WMD attack against London. | Terrorism | 9/7/2004 | 8.39 | 1.14 | 129 PRO | 1,082.69 |
Pro
Lose | Bush's approval rating 50+% after RNC. | US | 9/4/2004 | 1.29 | 4.40 | 50 CON | 220.04 |
Con
Win | Russian authorities diffuse "school hostage crisis" without civlian casualties | Terrorism | 9/3/2004 | 16.25 | 1.07 | 25 CON | 26.64 |
Con
Win | Dick Cheney announces that he will not seek the Vice-Presidency in 2004. | US | 9/3/2004 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 211 CON | 307.33 |
Con
Lose | Terrorist attack somewhere in the United States on September 2nd the day President Bush gives his speech at the RNC. | Terrorism | 9/2/2004 | 5.65 | 1.22 | 100 PRO | 564.56 |
Con
Win | Peace efforts in Najaf fail and the Imam Ali shrine complex is raided to evict Muqtada al Sadr and his army. | Iraq | 9/1/2004 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 25 CON | 33.14 |
Con
Lose | Terrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games. | Terrorism | 8/30/2004 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 100 PRO | 204.45 |
Con
Win | President Bush will attend the Olympics in Greece. | US | 8/28/2004 | 19.31 | 1.05 | 6 CON | 6.33 |
Con
Win | An explosion severely damages the Imam Ali shrine.
| Iraq | 8/27/2004 | 10.70 | 1.10 | 25 CON | 27.58 |
Con
Win | Will the italian government be forced to retreat troops from Iraq by the fall of 2004? | Iraq | 8/15/2004 | 8.88 | 1.13 | 200 CON | 225.37 |
Con
Lose | Bob Graham will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee. | US | 7/25/2004 | 4.95 | 1.25 | 50 PRO | 247.50 |
Con
Win | Wesley Clark will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004 | 5.47 | 1.22 | 20 CON | 24.47 |
Con
Win | John McCain will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20 CON | 20.00 |
Con
Win | 9/11 commission explicitly blames Bush | US | 7/23/2004 | 14.74 | 1.07 | 210 CON | 225.28 |
Con
Win | Successful Al'Qaeda strike in France. | Terrorism | 7/14/2004 | 6.05 | 1.20 | 202 CON | 241.97 |
Con
Win | As a result of the Abu Ghraib scandal, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld resigns. | US | 6/30/2004 | 26.56 | 1.04 | 100 CON | 103.91 |
Con
Win | Major terrorist attack on Montreal public rail system prior to 06/28/04 Canadian General elections. | Terrorism | 6/29/2004 | 59.46 | 1.02 | 50 CON | 50.86 |
Con
Win | US opens the strategic oil reserves to ease fuel prices. | US | 6/1/2004 | 7.68 | 1.15 | 30 CON | 34.49 |
Con
Win | Terrorist attack in Finland. | Terrorism | 6/1/2004 | 88.40 | 1.01 | 250 CON | 252.86 |
Con
Win | Spain decides not to appear like they are intimidated by al Qaeda and keep their troops in Iraq. | Terrorism | 6/1/2004 | 6.38 | 1.19 | 125 CON | 148.24 |
Con
Win | Highly sophisticated trojan virus program unleashed on the internet, more devastating than ever seen, variants plague internet for months. | Sci/Tech | 5/1/2004 | 8.96 | 1.13 | 200 CON | 225.12 |
Con
Lose | Hamas stages a terror attack against Americans in revenge for their leaders being killed by the Israelis. | Terrorism | 4/22/2004 | 25.08 | 1.04 | 10 PRO | 250.83 |
Con
Win | Major Hamas attack against Israeli civilians, killing at least a hundred people. | Terrorism | 4/22/2004 | 14.55 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.74 |
