| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel. | Middle East | 2/1/2009 | 20.75 | 1.05 | 1 CON | 1.05 |
Con
Win | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 30 CON | 53.22 |
Con
Win | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 1 CON | 1.36 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 30 CON | 31.26 |
Con
Win | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 20 CON | 23.20 |
Con
Win | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 20 CON | 24.26 |
Con
Win | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 10 CON | 11.05 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/1/2009 | 1.20 | 5.92 | 1 PRO | 1.20 |
Con
Win | China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 206.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 1 CON | 1.14 |
Con
Win | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 30 CON | 37.50 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 1 CON | 1.35 |
Con
Win | Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. | US | 12/19/2008 | 142.86 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Con
Win | Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries. | Middle East | 12/15/2008 | 3.03 | 1.49 | 30 CON | 44.80 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 20 CON | 20.58 |
Con
Lose | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 10 PRO | 13.79 |
Pro
Lose | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 10 CON | 25.04 |
Con
Win | The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President. | US | 11/1/2008 | 7.66 | 1.15 | 50 CON | 57.51 |
Con
Win | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Win | The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008 | US | 10/31/2008 | 103.50 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Con
Win | Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination). | US | 10/15/2008 | 51.75 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Win | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 1 CON | 1.12 |
Con
Win | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 1 CON | 1.01 |
Con
Win | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate? | US | 9/5/2008 | 2.89 | 1.53 | 1 CON | 1.53 |
Con
Win | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Win | Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination. | US | 8/31/2008 | 11.55 | 1.09 | 1 CON | 1.09 |
Con
Lose | Pollution mars Bejing Olympic games | China | 8/31/2008 | 1.11 | 9.77 | 1 PRO | 1.11 |
Con
Win | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 20 CON | 20.76 |
Con
Win | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 30 CON | 33.42 |
Con
Win | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 20 CON | 27.53 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 20 CON | 22.22 |
Con
Win | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 50 CON | 53.87 |
Con
Win | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 10 CON | 13.92 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 10 CON | 11.22 |
Con
Win | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 10 CON | 11.32 |
Con
Win | Simba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in March | World | 3/30/2008 | 62.10 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Win | Gen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. Nomination | US | 1/24/2008 | 479.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | San Diego Chargers will go to the 2007 Season Super Bowl. | US | 1/24/2008 | 1,044.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Indianapolis Colts play in the 2007 season Super Bowl. | US | 1/14/2008 | 42.70 | 1.02 | 1 CON | 1.02 |
Con
Win | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 20 CON | 23.46 |
Pro
Win | The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | Middle East | 1/11/2008 | 1.53 | 2.87 | 50 PRO | 76.67 |
Pro
Lose | U.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006 | US | 1/11/2008 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 20 CON | 49.01 |
Pro
Win | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/11/2008 | 1.00 | 1,002.00 | 1 PRO | 1.00 |
Pro
Win | The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | China | 1/11/2008 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 30 PRO | 46.24 |
Con
Win | Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. | World | 1/8/2008 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Win | Governor Doyle of Wisconsin will be indicted. | US | 1/8/2008 | 7.51 | 1.15 | 10 CON | 11.54 |
Pro
Win | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 50 PRO | 103.07 |
Con
Win | An administration official, US House representative or US Senator will publicly advocate restoring Saddam to power in Iraq in order to end what they will call chaos. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 14.31 | 1.08 | 1 CON | 1.08 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/8/2008 | 14.41 | 1.07 | 10 CON | 10.75 |
Con
Win | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 10 CON | 10.33 |
Pro
Lose | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 50 CON | 328.24 |
Con
Win | Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security. | Iraq | 1/8/2008 | 13.40 | 1.08 | 30 CON | 32.42 |
Con
Win | Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 1,471.50 | 1.00 | 1 CON | 1.00 |
Con
Lose | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 10 PRO | 46.72 |
Con
Win | Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 1 CON | 1.32 |
Con
Win | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 1 CON | 1.18 |
Con
Win | Saddam Hussein regains dictatorial power in Iraq | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 1 CON | 1.03 |
