| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 300 CON | 532.18 |
Con
Win | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 129.26 |
Con
Win | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 120.85 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 184 CON | 191.71 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 300 CON | 334.90 |
Con
Win | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 200 CON | 220.91 |
Con
Win | McCain will be elected president of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.79 | 2.27 | 800 CON | 1,812.16 |
Con
Lose | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 200 PRO | 896.86 |
Con
Lose | Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States. | US | 10/15/2008 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 200 PRO | 617.26 |
Con
Win | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 300 CON | 325.01 |
Con
Win | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 150 CON | 182.00 |
Pro
Win | Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for President | US | 8/31/2008 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 650 PRO | 866.79 |
Con
Win | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 100 CON | 112.24 |
Pro
Lose | The number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2007 will be higher than 2006 | Iraq | 1/11/2008 | 1.29 | 4.47 | 200 CON | 893.84 |
Con
Win | Not a single mile of federally financed hard-fence (not virtual) will be built on the Mexican border in 2007. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.26 | 4.87 | 100 CON | 486.67 |
Con
Win | American will station the majority of its troops in the Kurdish North of Iraq and all ow the Shi'a and Sunnis fight it out. | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 172 CON | 204.60 |
Pro
Lose | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 150 CON | 291.32 |
Con
Lose | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 250 PRO | 1,168.11 |
Con
Win | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 220 CON | 260.53 |
Con
Win | Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008 | 2.70 | 1.59 | 200 CON | 317.52 |
Con
Win | The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft. | US | 11/29/2007 | 6.15 | 1.19 | 100 CON | 119.42 |
Con
Win | Weapons of mass destruction ie. Chemical bio.
or atomic will be found by end of 2007 in Iraq.
however the Government will try to suppress this Info under NATIONAL SECURITIES ACT. | Iraq | 11/29/2007 | 101.00 | 1.01 | 100 CON | 101.00 |
Con
Win | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 200 CON | 212.39 |
Con
Win | Segolene Royal will be elected President of France. | Europe | 8/6/2007 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 200 CON | 252.06 |
Con
Win | Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes. | World | 8/6/2007 | 3.26 | 1.44 | 50 CON | 72.14 |
Con
Win | Israel will still be fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon in December, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 92 CON | 267.54 |
Con
Win | Ehud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli
Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007 | 3.45 | 1.41 | 150 CON | 211.33 |
Con
Win | US Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil War | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 9.08 | 1.12 | 200 CON | 224.75 |
Con
Win | One or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel. | Sci/Tech | 1/18/2007 | 7.83 | 1.15 | 200 CON | 229.28 |
Con
Win | Castro dead. | World | 1/18/2007 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 120 CON | 211.97 |
Con
Win | Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 50 CON | 118.52 |
Con
Win | A major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany. | Europe | 12/30/2006 | 2.95 | 1.51 | 100 CON | 151.23 |
Con
Win | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 100 CON | 110.01 |
Con
Win | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 35 CON | 42.01 |
Con
Win | Evidence will be discovered that elements of Saddam's WMD program were secreted in the Syria controlled Bekaa Valley. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 370 CON | 855.58 |
Con
Win | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 100 CON | 160.86 |
Con
Win | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 200 CON | 208.17 |
Con
Win | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 50 CON | 50.73 |
Con
Win | Montenegro declares independence of Serbia by July 13, 2006. | Europe | 7/14/2006 | 3.23 | 1.45 | 161 CON | 233.12 |
Con
Win | The United States conducts avowed military operations in an attempt to destroy or delay the Iranian nuclear weapons program. | Middle East | 6/1/2006 | 3.52 | 1.40 | 200 CON | 279.28 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 139 CON | 154.93 |
Con
Win | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 50 CON | 52.90 |
Con
Win | Bashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region.
| Middle East | 4/10/2006 | 20.93 | 1.05 | 40 CON | 42.01 |
Con
Win | Ariel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister. | Middle East | 3/12/2006 | 15.42 | 1.07 | 250 CON | 267.34 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.01 |
Con
Win | Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East. | US | 3/12/2006 | 4.33 | 1.30 | 100 CON | 130.07 |
Con
Win | Turkey formally accepted into European Union. | Europe | 3/12/2006 | 5.10 | 1.24 | 100 CON | 124.40 |
Con
Win | The Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.74 | 1.11 | 150 CON | 167.17 |
Con
Win | There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 9.14 | 1.12 | 150 CON | 168.42 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 100 CON | 110.98 |
Con
Win | Islamic terrorists will successfully smuggle WMD into the U.S. via Mexico. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 18.43 | 1.06 | 400 CON | 422.94 |
Con
Win | U.S. invades Baathist Syria from Iraq. | US | 1/24/2006 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 260 CON | 335.65 |
Con
Win | USA starts a selective draft. Draft would tap people with desired language, analysis, and tech. skills to fill posts that are not filled by hiring in the US military, CIA, NSA, and/or other US dept | US | 1/24/2006 | 4.41 | 1.29 | 300 CON | 387.93 |
Con
Win | Next use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle. | Terroism | 1/24/2006 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 200 CON | 231.44 |
Con
Win | The US begins covert military strikes against Baathist camps and leaders in Syria. | Terrorism | 12/10/2005 | 1.49 | 3.03 | 370 CON | 1,119.88 |
Con
Win | the north korean goverment will fall this time next year. | World | 12/10/2005 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 500 CON | 754.90 |
Con
Win | The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state. | Iraq | 11/10/2005 | 26.73 | 1.04 | 50 CON | 51.94 |
Con
Win | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 210.00 |
Con
Win | American Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time. | US | 11/10/2005 | 6.13 | 1.20 | 100 CON | 119.50 |
Con
Win | Within one year, hard evidence is found that Osama bin Laden is alive and is running Al Qaeda from Pakistan. Due to "diplomatic" reasons, U.S. Armed Forces will be unable to act on this information. | Terrorism | 10/7/2005 | 5.74 | 1.21 | 100 CON | 121.09 |
Con
Win | Haliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. | US | 9/22/2005 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 92 CON | 157.02 |
Con
Win | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 100 CON | 128.93 |
Con
Win | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 100 CON | 126.41 |
Con
Win | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 40 CON | 40.57 |
Pro
Win | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st. | Sci/Tech | 8/10/2005 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 100 PRO | 149.82 |
Con
Win | US invades Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 19.70 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 210.70 |
Con
Win | US invades Iran | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 36.84 | 1.03 | 200 CON | 205.58 |
Con
Win | U.S launches airstrikes on targets in Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005 | 3.25 | 1.45 | 500 CON | 722.68 |
Con
Win | Airstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. | Middle East | 5/31/2005 | 10.43 | 1.11 | 500 CON | 553.04 |
Con
Win | A civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligence | Middle East | 4/17/2005 | 14.49 | 1.07 | 200 CON | 214.83 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in Europe | Terrorism | 3/15/2005 | 18.40 | 1.06 | 800 CON | 845.97 |
Con
Win | Ukraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich will use his military and police to violently suppress the Opposition protesters against his re-election. | General | 1/30/2005 | 9.24 | 1.12 | 650 CON | 728.90 |
Con
Win | Major Islamic terrorist attack attempted in Australia in the fortnight immediately before the Federal Election. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 7.44 | 1.16 | 500 CON | 577.61 |
Con
Win | Revolution in Iran | Middle East | 1/4/2005 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 100 CON | 176.98 |
Con
Win | India and Pakistan will make a peace deal over Kashmir by the end of the year | World | 1/4/2005 | 5.98 | 1.20 | 50 CON | 60.03 |
Con
Win | Someone dies because of political violence during the American presidential election campaign. | US | 11/7/2004 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 1350 CON | 1,620.58 |
Con
Win | In response to an al Qaeda catastrophic act of terrorism on the US homeland, President George Bush will nuke bin Laden's suspected location (the border of Afghanistan/Pakistan). | US | 11/3/2004 | 5.72 | 1.21 | 500 CON | 605.82 |
Con
Win | Homeland Security (FBI, CIA, Etc.) will announce they successfully foiled a terrorist attempt to disrupt the U.S. Presidential Election within one week of the Election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 3.38 | 1.42 | 300 CON | 425.97 |
Con
Win | AlQaeda will attempt a major attack on US soil within a week of the US elections, in order to influence electoral outcome, as well as to grab headlines | Terrorism | 11/3/2004 | 2.81 | 1.55 | 800 CON | 1,241.86 |
Con
Win | Major al-Qaeda attack in Europe. | Europe | 10/3/2004 | 3.74 | 1.36 | 500 CON | 682.33 |
Con
Win | Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. | Terrorism | 10/1/2004 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 200 CON | 233.51 |
Con
Win | Gen. Pervez Musharraf will be overthrown by Islamists in Pakistan. | World | 10/1/2004 | 15.38 | 1.07 | 100 CON | 106.95 |
Con
Win | Terrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games. | Terrorism | 8/30/2004 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 500 CON | 978.72 |
Con
Win | Will the italian government be forced to retreat troops from Iraq by the fall of 2004? | Iraq | 8/15/2004 | 8.88 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.34 |
Con
Win | A definitive link is made between Al Quaeda and the ETA with regard to the bombings in Madrid | Terrorism | 4/9/2004 | 6.08 | 1.20 | 50 CON | 59.84 |
Pro
Lose | Insurgent fatalities occur in Iraq. | Iraq | 3/30/2004 | 1.01 | 77.30 | 50 CON | 3,864.93 |
