| Result | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date | Pro Value | Con Value | Futures Owned | Value |
Con
Win | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 200 CON | 434.40 |
Con
Win | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 500 CON | 520.95 |
Con
Win | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 500 CON | 672.95 |
Pro
Win | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 100 PRO | 166.47 |
Con
Win | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 700 CON | 777.78 |
Con
Lose | Legal challenge to use of Airbus A380 in US. | Sci/Tech | 1/13/2008 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 400 PRO | 1,023.05 |
Con
Lose | Not a single mile of federally financed hard-fence (not virtual) will be built on the Mexican border in 2007. | US | 1/8/2008 | 1.26 | 4.87 | 200 PRO | 251.72 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/8/2008 | 14.41 | 1.07 | 460 CON | 494.29 |
Con
Win | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 200 CON | 209.54 |
Con
Win | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 500 CON | 592.11 |
Con
Win | Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007 | World | 8/6/2007 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 200 CON | 232.72 |
Con
Win | Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In Exile | Iraq | 8/6/2007 | 13.25 | 1.08 | 100 CON | 108.16 |
Con
Lose | US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. | Iraq | 1/18/2007 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 100 PRO | 369.14 |
Con
Win | One or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel. | Sci/Tech | 1/18/2007 | 7.83 | 1.15 | 400 CON | 458.55 |
Con
Win | 1st Terrorist Nuke Will Be Of Pakistani Origin -designed or built there, or uses Pakistani fissionables. Can be a "dirty" device if it uses a chain reaction, or be captured w/o going off. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007 | 4.28 | 1.30 | 200 CON | 260.99 |
Con
Win | Castro dead. | World | 1/18/2007 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 100 CON | 176.64 |
Con
Win | Jihadis attempt to assassinate Pope Benedict during his upcoming visit to Turkey | Terrorism | 12/30/2006 | 6.18 | 1.19 | 500 CON | 596.59 |
Con
Win | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 50 CON | 111.18 |
Con
Win | Evidence will be discovered that elements of Saddam's WMD program were secreted in the Syria controlled Bekaa Valley. | Middle East | 12/30/2006 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 200 CON | 462.48 |
Con
Win | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 40 CON | 44.58 |
Con
Win | Fundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006 | 8.78 | 1.13 | 50 CON | 56.42 |
Con
Win | [Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s]. | US | 1/24/2006 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 100 CON | 137.15 |
Con
Win | Islamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 16.26 | 1.07 | 300 CON | 319.65 |
Con
Lose | Michael Jackson will not be found guilty of child molestation by January 1, 2006. | US | 1/24/2006 | 1.25 | 5.03 | 150 PRO | 187.26 |
Con
Win | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/24/2006 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 800 CON | 960.41 |
Con
Win | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 450 CON | 495.12 |
Con
Win | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 250 CON | 277.45 |
Con
Win | Next use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle. | Terroism | 1/24/2006 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 300 CON | 347.16 |
Con
Win | American Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time. | US | 11/10/2005 | 6.13 | 1.20 | 100 CON | 119.50 |
Con
Win | Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. | Middle East | 10/7/2005 | 14.48 | 1.07 | 200 CON | 214.83 |
Con
Win | Terrorist group enters the US through either Canada or Mexico, and successfully conduct dirty bomb or nuclear attack on American soil. | Terrorism | 10/7/2005 | 5.27 | 1.23 | 500 CON | 617.10 |
Con
Win | Libya is found to have secretly hidden WMD from inspectors, despite its promises. | Terrorism | 8/10/2005 | 15.17 | 1.07 | 430 CON | 460.34 |
Con
Win | A supertanker (VLCC) is sunk by Islamic terrorists in the Strait of Malacca. | Terrorism | 7/6/2005 | 9.85 | 1.11 | 1400 CON | 1,558.28 |
Con
Win | Successful Al'Qaeda strike in France. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005 | 2.68 | 1.60 | 300 CON | 478.92 |
Con
Win | Major al-Qaeda attack in Italy or against a major Italian target abroad. | Terrorism | 4/17/2005 | 2.43 | 1.70 | 200 CON | 340.35 |
Con
Win | Military aircraft shot down deliberately by US in air to air combat before 1/1/2005 | Sci/Tech | 1/4/2005 | 14.43 | 1.07 | 500 CON | 537.24 |
Con
Win | Saddam is tried and executed before the end of the year. | Iraq | 1/4/2005 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 300 CON | 374.93 |
Con
Win | Islamic Terrorists use a nuclear (including dirty bombs), biological or chemical weapon against the west, on any scale. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005 | 3.90 | 1.34 | 400 CON | 537.84 |
Con
Lose | Mt St Helen's will not have a volcanic eruption this year. | US | 11/9/2004 | 1.24 | 5.09 | 100 PRO | 124.43 |
Con
Win | Iraqi WMD stockpiles located - in Syria/Bekaa Valley | Iraq | 11/3/2004 | 2.77 | 1.56 | 300 CON | 469.27 |
Con
Win | Highly sophisticated trojan virus program unleashed on the internet, more devastating than ever seen, variants plague internet for months. | Sci/Tech | 5/1/2004 | 8.96 | 1.13 | 150 CON | 168.84 |
