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May 18, 2013
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wolfie's Past Predictions
Last 30 DaysLast 90 DaysOverall
Wins00168
Losses00107
Winnings0.000.00(3,024.34)
ResultEvent
Category
Settled DatePro ValueCon ValueFutures OwnedValue
Pro
Win
Regardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office.General1/26/20131.0188.7310 PRO10.11
Con
Win
Obama and Congressional leaders announce the US will join with the EU under a common governmentUS1/26/201318.321.0650 CON52.89
Con
Lose
Man made global warming disaster prophets will reverse direction in the face of record cold. Afterwards, they will warn that "greenhouse gases" cause ice ages.General1/1/20134.111.3250 PRO205.56
Con
Lose
A Monthly Average Of US Dollar Inflation Will Exceed A 16% Annualized Rate For Some Month Before Years End 2012. US1/1/20132.641.6150 PRO132.15
Con
Win
President Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs.US1/1/2013824.001.0050 CON50.06
Pro
Lose
Obama re-electedUS11/8/20122.141.88100 CON187.69
Con
Lose
Republicans gain control of the Senate in the 2012 election.US11/8/20121.314.27100 PRO130.56
Con
Lose
Obama will be a one term president.US11/8/20121.792.2650 PRO89.61
Con
Win
Democrats regain control of the House of Representatives in the 2012 election.US11/8/20127.631.15200 CON230.15
Con
Win
Karzai is assassinated in coop. A tacit US complicity come to light after the fact.Middle East11/8/20128.921.13100 CON112.62
Con
Lose
Todd Akin defeats Claire McCaskill for the Missouri senate seat.US11/8/20122.571.6450 PRO128.43
Con
Lose
George Allen defeats Tim Kaine for the VA senate seat.US11/8/20121.0813.2050 PRO54.10
Con
Lose
Allan West wins re-election for his congressional seat.US11/8/20121.0262.0050 PRO50.82
Con
Win
The upcoming elections this November are suspended.US11/8/20121.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
Israel attacks Iran militarily before the US elections.Middle East11/4/20121.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
Iran tries to block Straits of Hormuz; also launches CW/UW effort to destabilize GCC, in response to an imminent US/GCC/NATO campaign against IGRC and Iranian nuclear weapons program.Middle East11/4/20121.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
Khalid Sheik Mohammed does not stand trial or go before a military tribunal during the remainder of Obamas presidency.US1/25/20121.176.9525 CON173.67
Con
Win
War Between India and PakistanWorld12/31/20117.381.1650 CON57.84
Con
Lose
The NFL settles its labor dispute, and the 2011 season gets played as scheduled.Sports7/1/20111.782.2820 PRO35.60
Con
Win
Kim Jong Nam (the eldest son) gets assasinated.China6/30/20111.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Win
Chavez, in an attempt to shore up his Bolivarian revolutionary credentials, invades Curacao.General3/31/20111.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Lose
Palestinian complaints about possible resumption of construction in Jerusalem lead to dissolution of peace talks, irrelevant of whether the construction was actually restarting.Middle East2/23/201111.001.1020 PRO220.00
Con
Win
Iran announces they have the bomb.Middle East1/2/2011266.001.00100 CON100.38
Con
Lose
Obamas policies towards Israel cause the current government to collapse, and a government more to Obamas liking to take its place.Middle East1/1/201110.661.1050 PRO533.00
Con
Win
Obama administration indicts senior elected official for authorizing torture.US1/1/201123.291.0450 CON52.24
Con
Win
Obama makes diplomatic accomodation with Taliban allowing the US to disengage in Afghanistan without immediate loss of face.US1/1/201126.971.0450 CON51.93
Con
Win
War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella.China1/1/20111,474.001.00100 CON100.07
Con
Win
The head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists.China12/31/20104.041.3310 CON13.29
Con
Win
President Hillary Clinton will order U.S. military forces NOT to intervene when Communist China attacks Taiwan in 2010.China12/31/20101.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
Unemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010.US12/31/20105.501.2250 CON61.11
Con
Lose
Flight of major advertisers takes Rush Limbaugh off the air in all but a few markets.US12/31/201012.201.09100 PRO1,220.00
Con
Win
Falkland Islands revisitedWorld12/30/20101.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Lose
President Obamas strategic arms reduction treaty will not be ratified by the SenateUS12/22/20101.562.7850 PRO78.08
Pro
Win
A Federal judge in Virginia is about to rule on the constitutionality of Obamacare. He will rule that the Obama Health Care Legislation is unconstitutional.US12/13/20102.861.54100 PRO286.36
Pro
Win
Republicans gain at least 4 seats in the Senate in the 2010 mid-term elections.US11/3/20101.274.70100 PRO127.01
Con
Lose
Harry Reid loses his re-election bid in 2010.US11/3/20101.652.55100 PRO164.52
Pro
Win
Sino-Japanese Asian Defense Sphere IncidentChina9/24/20102.391.7210 PRO23.86
Con
Win
Arlen Specter will be re-elected to the Senate in 2010.US1/6/20106.031.20100 CON119.87
Con
Lose
Nancy Pelosi is no longer Speaker of the House.US1/2/20104.571.28100 PRO457.00
Con
Win
The Dow closes above 11,000.US1/1/20106.431.18100 CON118.42
Con
Win
The US will threaten to take Cuba to the UN security council, and start a propaganda campaign calling for war against Cuba, before 2010.US1/1/201025.251.0410 CON10.41
Con
Win
Initiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US.General1/1/20109.711.1130 CON33.44
Con
Lose
President elect Obama will propose some kind of permanent floating or fixed tax on fuel to keep gas above $2.25 a gallon to help and promote research into alternative fuels and transportation.US1/1/20101.642.5710 PRO16.36
Con
Win
Obama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees.China1/1/2010100.001.01100 CON101.01
Pro
Win
Price of Gold goes above $1200/ troy ounceGeneral12/1/20092.351.7410 PRO23.49
Con
Lose
Kim Jung Il SuccessionWorld11/11/200912.051.0910 PRO120.50
Pro
Win
The Republican Candidate defeats the Democratic candidate in the Virginia Gubernatorial election.US11/4/20091.001.0010 PRO10.00
Pro
Win
Governor Corzine loses his re-election as NJs governor, and a Republican wins.US11/4/20091.001.0010 PRO10.00
Con
Win
Before the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK. Europe9/22/2009597.001.0040 CON40.07
Con
Win
Israeli-Iranian ConflictMiddle East9/12/200910.851.1020 CON22.03
Pro
Win
The swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people.World8/28/20092.481.6850 PRO124.00
Con
Win
Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom. China8/23/200914.401.0720 CON21.49
Con
Win
The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy.US8/3/20091.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians.General7/30/200920.911.05100 CON105.02
Con
Win
Obama visits Gaza.US7/20/2009439.001.0010 CON10.02
Con
Win
Fidel Castro dies.General6/30/20095.211.24150 CON185.59
Con
Win
The UN commission announces that Hezballah was responsible for killing Hariri, not Syria. This sparks another civil war in Lebanon.Middle East6/24/20091.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
Pakistan Collapses.Middle East5/31/20091.001.00100 CON100.00
Con
Win
George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president.US1/20/20095.461.2210 CON12.24
Con
Lose
USA or Israel will bomb Iran's NukesIraq1/1/20091.852.1710 PRO18.53
Con
Lose
In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces".World1/1/20092.291.7720 PRO45.84
Con
Win
Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU).Middle East1/1/20095.801.2110 CON12.09
Con
Win
Iran will launch a nuclear attack against IsraelMiddle East1/1/200924.871.0410 CON10.42
Con
Win
Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance lawsUS1/1/20095.691.21140 CON169.83
Con
Win
China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008China1/1/2009206.001.0020 CON20.10
Con
Win
Dick Cheney does not finish 2nd term.US1/1/20094.871.2610 CON12.58
Con
Win
Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008Middle East1/1/20095.001.25100 CON125.00
Con
Win
Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. US12/19/2008142.861.0150 CON50.35
Con
Lose
Boeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus. US12/9/20083.771.3610 PRO37.65
Con
Lose
Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count.US11/8/20082.481.6720 PRO49.68
Con
Win
The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 electionsUS11/5/200835.461.0310 CON10.29
Con
Lose
Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election.US11/5/20082.631.6150 PRO131.36
Con
Win
McCain will be elected president of the United StatesUS11/5/20081.792.2720 CON45.30
Pro
Lose
Obama is elected President of the United StatesUS11/5/20081.662.5050 CON125.22
Pro
Win
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator.US11/3/20081.0715.2410 PRO10.70
Con
Lose
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state.US11/3/200810.021.1110 PRO100.23
Con
Lose
The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy.US11/3/20082.911.5220 PRO58.19
Con
Win
The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008US10/31/2008103.501.0110 CON10.10
Con
Win
Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States.US10/15/20084.481.2950 CON64.35
Con
Win
Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States.US10/15/20083.091.4820 CON29.59
Con
Win
Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination).US10/15/200851.751.0210 CON10.20
Pro
Lose
The S & P 500 will be below 1000US10/7/200844.181.0210 CON10.23
Con
Win
Sarah Palin drops out as McCains runnning mate.US10/5/20081.001.0020 CON20.00
Con
Win
Sarah Palin resigns as McCains VP candidate.US10/5/20085.621.2220 CON24.33
Con
Win
Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United StatesUS9/27/200820.741.0550 CON52.53
Con
Lose
Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for PresidentUS9/9/20083.071.4810 PRO30.66
Con
Win
Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for PresidentUS9/9/200877.831.0150 CON50.65
Con
Win
Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidateUS9/5/20081.001.0030 CON30.00
Con
Lose
Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election.US9/5/20085.691.2120 PRO113.76
Con
Win
Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate?US9/5/20082.891.5360 CON91.82
Con
Win
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee.US9/1/20087.811.1520 CON22.94
Con
Lose
Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate.US9/1/200842.931.0210 PRO429.33
Con
Win
Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination.US8/31/200811.551.0910 CON10.95
Con
Win
Governor Bill Richardson will be nominated for President by the Democratic partyUS8/31/200813.901.0820 CON21.55
Con
Lose
Pollution mars Bejing Olympic gamesChina8/31/20081.119.7710 PRO11.14
Con
Win
Democrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race.US8/31/200825.591.0410 CON10.41
Pro
Lose
Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for PresidentUS8/31/20081.334.0020 CON79.97
Con
Win
Obama picks Christine Todd Whitman for his VP slot.US8/31/20081.001.0020 CON20.00
Con
Win
Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. Middle East8/31/200827.371.0420 CON20.76
Con
Win
2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan China8/22/20089.781.1120 CON22.28
Con
Lose
Sen. Obama will hint at, or designate, a woman running mate to secure his nomination by the democratic partyUS8/15/200813.441.0810 PRO134.40
Con
Win
Senator Obama selects Tom Daschle as his VP running mate.US8/1/20081.001.0050 CON50.00
Con
Win
NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate.US8/1/20085.561.2220 CON24.39
Con
Win
There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States.Terrorism7/1/200810.001.1120 CON22.22
Con
Win
Iranian backed Shiites take over IraqIraq6/30/200813.921.0850 CON53.87
Pro
Lose
The Democratic National Committee announces their 2008 candidate for the President of the United States of America before Fathers Day, June 15th.US6/8/20081.522.9310 CON29.29
Con
Win
Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war.Middle East6/5/20083.941.3430 CON40.22
Con
Win
Bear Stearns fails to find a buyer, and ceases to exist as a going business.US4/15/200853.001.0210 CON10.19
Con
Lose
The New England patriots win the Super Bowl and complete a perfect 19-0 season.Sports2/3/20082.571.6420 PRO51.31
Con
Win
Karl Rove will lose his White House job.US2/3/20082.201.8316 CON29.34
Con
Win
Gen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. NominationUS1/24/2008479.001.0050 CON50.10
Con
Lose
Airbus SAS will not sell more than 140 A350 XWB aircraft by December 31, 2007.General1/12/20082.291.7810 PRO22.89
Pro
Lose
The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006.Middle East1/11/20081.532.8720 CON57.50
Con
Win
Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire PrimaryGeneral1/11/200813.651.0820 CON21.58
Pro
Lose
The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006.China1/11/20081.542.8520 CON56.95
Pro
Lose
Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic CaucusUS1/10/20081.324.1010 CON41.03
Con
Lose
A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government.Iraq1/8/20088.771.1350 PRO438.70
Con
Win
Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch IsraelMiddle East1/8/20082.981.5120 CON30.11
Con
Win
Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the USGeneral1/8/200831.621.0320 CON20.65
Con
Lose
Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security.Iraq1/8/200813.401.0810 PRO134.00
Con
Win
The S&P will be over 1600 by the last day of this year.US1/8/2008353.001.0030 CON30.09
Con
Win
The S&P 500 will be 1350 or lower on December 31, 2007US1/8/20088.641.1320 CON22.62
Con
Win
Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year.Middle East1/8/20081,471.501.0050 CON50.03
Con
Win
Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008Middle East1/8/20084.141.3220 CON26.37
Con
Win
A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked.Terrorism1/8/200821.951.0520 CON20.95
Con
Lose
America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq.Middle East1/8/20084.461.2920 PRO89.16
Con
Win
Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count.US1/8/20086.691.1810 CON11.76
Con
Win
Saddam Hussein regains dictatorial power in IraqMiddle East1/8/200831.621.0350 CON51.63
Con
Win
After winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms.US1/8/200823.501.0450 CON52.22
Con
Win
Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008Middle East1/8/20082.701.5950 CON79.38
Con
Lose
Russia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran.Middle East12/16/20079.011.1210 PRO90.14
Con
Lose
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season.US12/4/20072.601.6310 PRO25.96
Con
Lose
US fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUSRussia12/4/20078.041.1410 PRO80.38
Con
Win
The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force.World12/4/2007130.351.0120 CON20.15
Con
Win
Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees.US11/29/20079.491.1210 CON11.18
Con
Win
Bush Will Conduct a White House Makeover. Conservatives Purged. Cheney And At Least Rice Will Be Gone To Purchase Peace With Democrats.US11/29/200761.821.0210 CON10.16
Con
Lose
The Colorado Rockies win the World Series.Sports11/29/20073.711.3710 PRO37.14
Con
Lose
The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran.General11/29/2007250.351.0020 PRO5,007.00
Con
Lose
Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summerMiddle East11/29/200733.761.0320 PRO675.20
Con
Win
Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force.Europe11/29/200717.141.0620 CON21.24
Con
Win
Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle EastMiddle East11/29/2007256.001.0020 CON20.08
Con
Win
John Bolton keeps his post as US Ambassabor to the United Nations.US8/6/200715.951.0710 CON10.67
Pro
Win
The coup led by Fijian military commander Frank Bainimarama will succeed. World8/6/20071.119.7120 PRO22.30
Con
Win
Segolene Royal will be elected President of France.Europe8/6/20074.841.2610 CON12.60
Con
Lose
Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. World8/6/20072.241.8120 PRO44.81
Con
Win
Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007World8/6/20077.111.1610 CON11.64
Con
Lose
Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes.World8/6/20073.261.4414 PRO45.61
Pro
Win
Apple's iphone will be a runaway hit ALL across NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE and will be SOLD OUT IN NO TIME..General8/6/20071.001.0010 PRO10.00
Con
Win
Sectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation.Middle East8/6/2007334.001.0010 CON10.03
Con
Win
Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar.Middle East8/6/200776.241.0120 CON20.27
Con
Win
General Motors will file for bankruptcy.US8/6/20072.331.7550 CON87.46
Con
Win
The 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07.World8/6/20072.391.7220 CON34.43
Con
Win
Syria and Iran invade Iraq and set up insurgent puppet regime. Iraq8/6/200782.071.0120 CON20.25
Con
Win
Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon.Middle East8/6/20079.791.1150 CON55.69
Con
Win
Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize.Iraq8/6/200710.421.1150 CON55.31
Con
Win
Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In ExileIraq8/6/200713.251.0850 CON54.08
Pro
Win
Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn.US1/18/20071.0813.0220 PRO21.66
Con
Lose
Taiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with ChinaChina1/18/20077.131.1620 PRO142.50
Pro
Win
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2006 year above 11,000US1/18/20071.148.3720 PRO22.71
Pro
Lose
Israel's incursion into Gaza will not stop the Qassam rocket attacks Middle East1/18/20073.021.5010 CON14.95
Con
Lose
The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles.Middle East1/18/20075.361.2310 PRO53.55
Con
Lose
US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. Iraq1/18/20073.691.3740 PRO147.66
Pro
Lose
Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006.US1/18/20071.0619.1420 CON382.77
Con
Win
A civil war will break-out in Serbia over the political status of Kosovo.Europe1/18/20079.571.1210 CON11.17
Con
Win
Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006.US1/18/20079.111.1210 CON11.23
Con
Lose
The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule.China1/18/200717.091.065 PRO85.47
Con
Win
William Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations.World1/18/20077.801.1550 CON57.35
Con
Win
The Repubilcans lose the Senate.US1/18/200711.081.1010 CON10.99
Con
Lose
The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006. World1/18/20076.121.2020 PRO122.33
Con
Lose
Demotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections.US1/18/20072.031.9750 PRO101.48
Con
Win
A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan.World1/18/200711.001.1050 CON55.00
Con
Lose
Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate.US12/30/20061.732.3710 PRO17.30
Con
Win
Internal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention.World12/30/20069.191.1220 CON22.44
Con
Win
Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California.US12/30/20062.911.52100 CON152.40
Con
Win
Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq.Iraq12/30/200622.011.0550 CON52.38
Con
Win
United Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program.Europe12/30/200611.811.0920 CON21.85
Con
Lose
The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 electionsUS12/30/20062.491.6720 PRO49.79
Con
Win
At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season.US12/30/200613.141.0810 CON10.82
Con
Win
Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed.US12/30/20068.551.1320 CON22.65
Con
Lose
Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles China12/30/200697.081.0110 PRO970.77
Con
Win
The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing.Middle East12/30/200667.771.0130 CON30.45
Con
Lose
Democrat Bill Nelson will NOT be re-elected to the U.S. Senate representing Florida.US12/30/200614.521.0710 PRO145.18
Con
Lose
Evidence will be discovered that elements of Saddam's WMD program were secreted in the Syria controlled Bekaa Valley.Middle East12/30/20061.762.31100 PRO176.20
Pro
Win
The current cease-fire in Uganda (between Uganda's government and the LRA rebels (Lord's Resistance Army) will be extended by both parties beyond the original September 12, 2006 agreement.World10/21/20061.129.3736 PRO40.30
Con
Win
Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars.World10/21/200634.481.0320 CON20.60
Con
Lose
North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missleChina10/21/20067.181.1620 PRO143.57
Con
Lose
US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000.Iraq10/21/20062.641.61100 PRO264.32
Con
Lose
I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation.US10/21/20061.167.32100 PRO115.82
Con
Win
U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to CypresMiddle East8/30/20064.911.2620 CON25.12
Con
Win
Israel will retake a large portion of the Gaza StripMiddle East8/30/200614.831.0710 CON10.72
Con
Lose
Israel will succeed in detstroying Hezballahs mobile missilesMiddle East8/30/200671.551.0120 PRO1,431.00
Con
Win
Kazahkstan government becomes offical (even if temporary) a pro-communist regime takes power.World7/14/20061.001.0050 CON50.00
Pro
Lose
Crude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months.General7/14/20061.842.19130 CON284.09
Con
Lose
the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. US6/1/200629.541.0420 PRO590.71
Con
Lose
A Shia-dominated Iraqi Defense Force that will crush the insurgency utilizing ruthless tactics. The American electorate will look the other way and accept this as acceptable.Iraq6/1/20061.642.57100 PRO163.70
Con
Win
The United States will attack and destroy Iranian nuclear facilities by the end of April 2006.Middle East6/1/200629.821.0310 CON10.35
Con
Win
Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom.Europe6/1/20069.731.1150 CON55.73
Con
Win
EU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China.China4/13/200611.001.1050 CON55.00
Con
Lose
Muslims somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-muslims or destroy a non-muslim place of worship, between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006.World4/10/20061.592.6810 PRO15.95
Pro
Win
Samuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US3/12/20061.532.89150 PRO229.19
Con
Win
A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court.US3/12/2006100.601.01100 CON101.00
Con
Lose
Independent Palestinian state created.Middle East3/12/200612.761.0950 PRO638.24
Con
Win
Iran stops/restricts oil export and causes significant rise in crude oil prices.Middle East1/24/2006228.671.0020 CON20.09
Con
Lose
Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court.US1/24/20067.471.1530 PRO224.03
Con
Lose
The Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English.Terrorism1/24/20069.741.1110 PRO97.36
Pro
Win
Karl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair.US1/24/20061.572.7620 PRO31.37
Con
Win
Democrats & EU leaders call for Bush to resign over the Katrina tragedy. France renews UN talks on Kyoto. Whitehouse expedites NATO troop recall for redeployment to Katrina-hit disaster areas. US1/24/2006175.801.01100 CON100.57
Con
Win
Islamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope.Terrorism1/24/200616.261.0710 CON10.66
Con
Win
Asian Bird Flu is Red Chinese biowar WMD.China1/24/2006145.901.0110 CON10.07
Pro
Lose
The price of a barrel of oil will top $70 USD.World1/24/20061.952.0620 CON41.12
Con
Lose
The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005.US1/24/20065.001.2550 PRO250.00
Con
Win
A communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself).World1/24/200635.421.0310 CON10.29
Con
Win
The DJIA will close below 8,500 at least once by 12/31/2005.US1/24/2006128.501.01120 CON120.94
Con
Lose
Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation.World1/24/20065.991.20100 PRO598.71
Con
Lose
By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves.US1/24/20069.831.11100 PRO983.33
Con
Lose
Terrorists take the United States to court.Terrorism1/24/20064.351.30150 PRO652.50
Con
Win
United States implements conscription.US1/24/200624.901.04100 CON104.18
Con
Lose
Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration ObjectionsUS1/24/20068.251.1450 PRO412.29
Con
Win
Donald Rumsfeld will not be the US Secretary of Defense at the end of 2005.US1/24/20062.071.9375 CON144.93
Con
Lose
Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan.US1/24/200612.861.08100 PRO1,285.71
Con
Lose
US Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months.US12/10/20051.304.2890 PRO117.41
Pro
Win
Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season.US12/10/20051.972.0325 PRO49.21
Con
Lose
The US begins covert military strikes against Baathist camps and leaders in Syria.Terrorism12/10/20051.493.03107 PRO159.80
Con
Win
Crude oil will be above $70 a barrel on Nov 1, 2005.World11/10/20054.881.2670 CON88.05
Con
Win
President George Bush's disapproval ratings on the war in Iraq will increase to at least 75%.General11/10/20058.771.1330 CON33.86
Pro
Win
There will be a 2005-6 NHL season starting in October.Sports11/10/20051.0522.7850 PRO52.30
Con
Win
Chicago Cubs win the World SeriesSports11/10/200591.511.0120 CON20.22
Con
Win
The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state.Iraq11/10/200526.731.0420 CON20.78
Con
Lose
John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor.US11/10/20052.002.0020 PRO40.07
Con
Lose
Iraq Al Qaeda leader Zarqawi is killed or captured prior to the January election.Iraq11/10/20051.892.12200 PRO378.11
Con
Lose
Iran brought before the UN Security Council by United States/Allies for possible sanctions.World10/7/20053.491.4098 PRO342.49
Con
Win
Regime change in SyriaMiddle East10/7/200517.301.0625 CON26.53
Con
Win
Insurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignationIraq10/7/2005104.821.0130 CON30.29
Pro
Lose
The NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference.Sports10/7/20052.161.8650 CON93.01
Pro
Lose
Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General World10/7/20051.0334.2625 CON856.61
Con
Lose
Self styled head of al-Qaeda in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is captured or killed by coalition-led forces by 1st Sept. 2005. Iraq9/22/20051.732.3725 PRO43.29
Con
Lose
Hardliner Lionel Mtshali takes leadership of the Inkatha Freedom Party after the General conference July 2005.World9/22/20051.552.8225 PRO38.77
Con
Lose
North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border.World9/22/20054.461.2950 PRO222.81
Con
Win
A Category 5 hurricane will make landfall in Florida.US9/22/200516.491.0630 CON31.94
Con
Lose
The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government.US9/22/20054.791.2650 PRO239.31
Pro
Lose
Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. Middle East9/22/20051.274.64100 CON464.08
Pro
Win
The death toll from Katrina will exceed 300 as determined two weeks from now.US9/14/20051.0814.2657 PRO61.30
Con
Lose
Iraqi Constitution will be approved by Aug 22Iraq8/23/20052.801.5530 PRO84.06
Pro
Lose
The Iraqi convention will not meet its deadline of August 15 to finish Iraq's new constitution.Iraq8/23/20051.702.4210 CON24.21
Con
Win
Chief Justice Rehnquist will announce his retire before August 15.US8/23/20053.751.3610 CON13.64
Con
Win
Israel occupies part of LebanonMiddle East8/23/200570.851.0125 CON25.36
Con
Win
US will challenge Venezuela to allow access to its country to investigate disappearance of woman from Aruba.World8/10/2005103.761.0110 CON10.10
Con
Win
Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005.US8/10/20053.821.3550 CON67.73
Con
Win
President Bush will nominate Alex Kozinski (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, appointed by Ronald Reagan) to replace the retiring Justice Sandra O'Connor.US8/10/200516.411.0610 CON10.65
Pro
Win
NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st.Sci/Tech8/10/20051.503.0125 PRO37.46
Con
Win
Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority LeaderUS8/10/200514.231.0850 CON53.78
Con
Lose
John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations.US8/10/20051.314.2450 PRO65.45
Con
Lose
When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court.US8/10/20052.381.7250 PRO119.04
Con
Lose
As a result of the Iraqi Oil-for-Food corruption investigations, Kofi Anan will resign as Sectretary-General of the United Nations.Iraq8/10/20052.441.7054 PRO131.54
Con
Lose
Conservative mullah elected president in IranWorld8/10/20052.041.9620 PRO40.89
Con
Lose
Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks.US7/6/20054.741.2725 PRO118.47
Con
Win
North Korea sets off a nuclear weaponWorld7/6/20053.541.39100 CON139.35
Con
Lose
U.S launches airstrikes on targets in SyriaMiddle East7/6/20053.251.45125 PRO405.67
Pro
Win
Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. World6/10/20051.0618.58100 PRO105.69
Con
Lose
US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities.Middle East5/31/20053.111.4750 PRO155.52
Con
Win
Syrian troops withdraw completely from LebanonMiddle East5/31/20052.211.8350 CON91.29
Con
Lose
France will approve the EU Constitution referendum that will be voted on 5/29.Middle East5/31/20052.581.6325 PRO64.56
Pro
Win
Labour party wins British general electionEurope5/11/20051.0331.0550 PRO51.66
Con
Lose
Another coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year.World5/11/20056.681.1850 PRO333.87
Con
Win
Kurd vs. Sunni vs. Shiite civil war explodes in Iraq. US troops caught in middle.Iraq5/11/20052.841.5475 CON115.76
Con
Lose
The next Pope will NOT be a European.World4/19/20051.542.8450 PRO77.16
Con
Win
US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination.Iraq4/17/200584.331.01150 CON151.80
Con
Lose
Provided he wins the election, Bush promotes a flat tax or other similarly radical reform of the IRS early in his second term.US4/17/20052.961.51100 PRO295.57
Con
Lose
US Army adopts 6.8mm round for its new M-8 assault rifle. Heavier round favored because it is deadlier than 5.56mm round.US4/17/20054.141.3225 PRO103.60
Con
Lose
Major Al Quaeda base discovered in Indonesia. Indonesian military moves in to crush it with the help of US advisors.Terrorism4/17/20059.551.1225 PRO238.86
Con
Win
The interem government due to govern Iraq between July 1 and elections next year does not last until elections, but resigns or is thrown outIraq2/3/200512.321.0951 CON55.51
Pro
Win
Iraqi National Elections will be held by June 30, 2005Iraq2/3/20051.0812.86500 PRO542.17
Pro
Win
There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year.US1/4/20051.157.5850 PRO57.60
Con
Win
Italy will be attacked by Al Masry brigades and will leave Iraq.Terrorism12/30/200498.591.0150 CON50.51
Con
Win
Scott Peterson will be found NOT GUILTY of murdering his wife and unborn child.General11/12/200411.331.1050 CON54.84
 


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