| Result | Correct | Event |
Category
|
Settled Date |
↑
↓ |
Pro Futures |
↑
↓ |
Con Futures |
↑
↓ |
Pro Value |
↑
↓ |
Con Value |
↑
↓ |
Created Date |
↑
↓ |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorists will kill more than 20,000 American civilians by April 2013. | Terrorism | 4/15/2013
| 1046 | 3954 | 4.78 | 1.26 | 2/15/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Lebanon devolves into civil war as a result of the conflict in Syria. | Middle East | 4/15/2013
| 50 | 930 | 19.60 | 1.05 | 11/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ahmedinajad gets removed from his position in Iran, either voluntarily (he is forced from the position, but lives) or involuntarily (he is assasinated). | Middle East | 4/15/2013
| 150 | 960 | 7.40 | 1.16 | 3/14/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next Pope chosen will be an American. | World | 3/13/2013
| 2 | 60 | 31.00 | 1.03 | 2/11/2013 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next Pope chosen will be from Africa. | World | 3/13/2013
| 75 | 121 | 2.61 | 1.62 | 2/11/2013 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The next Pope chosen will be from Asia. | World | 3/13/2013
| 10 | 0 | 1.00 | 10.00 | 2/11/2013 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The next Pope chosen will be from South America. | World | 3/13/2013
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 2/11/2013 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel and Syria go to war. | Middle East | 3/7/2013
| 0 | 501 | 501.00 | 1.00 | 11/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel launches an attack on Gaza that includes ground forces. | Middle East | 3/7/2013
| 0 | 11 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 11/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Italy leaves the Euro. | Europe | 2/13/2013
| 0 | 511 | 511.00 | 1.00 | 6/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The 49ers beat the Ravens in the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/13/2013
| 15 | 1 | 1.07 | 16.00 | 1/23/2013 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Naval Clash in the South China Seas between China and another country. | China | 2/13/2013
| 0 | 253 | 253.00 | 1.00 | 6/18/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | John Kerry is the next Secretary of State. | US | 1/30/2013
| 16 | 1 | 1.06 | 17.00 | 11/13/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John Kerry becomes Secretary of Defense. | US | 1/30/2013
| 1 | 30 | 31.00 | 1.03 | 11/16/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Netanyahu wins the snap election that was just called, and is asked to form a government. | Middle East | 1/26/2013
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10/9/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nuclear device detonated in an American population center. | US | 1/26/2013
| 185 | 4815 | 27.03 | 1.04 | 12/21/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Regardless of who wins the 2008 elections, there will be no US ratified re-negotiation of NAFTA for that president''s term in office. | General | 1/26/2013
| 2281 | 26 | 1.01 | 88.73 | 2/29/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran exerts dominance over Iraq, before end of Obama 1st term. | Iraq | 1/26/2013
| 468 | 3631 | 8.76 | 1.13 | 1/31/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama and Congressional leaders announce the US will join with the EU under a common government | US | 1/26/2013
| 125 | 2165 | 18.32 | 1.06 | 7/30/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Chuck Hagel gets nominated as Secretary of Defense. | US | 1/13/2013
| 5 | 0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 12/19/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Accusations that the BP escrow fund money has found its way into Democrat operative hands become public. | US | 1/1/2013
| 111 | 256 | 3.31 | 1.43 | 7/10/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | India and Pakistan sign a security and cooperation agreement ending 60+ years of mutual hostility. | World | 1/1/2013
| 500 | 2024 | 5.05 | 1.25 | 5/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Worst gasoline shortages since WWII with prompt calls in Congress to nationalize oil companies. | US | 1/1/2013
| 70 | 269 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 1/17/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Man made global warming disaster prophets will reverse direction in the face of record cold. Afterwards, they will warn that "greenhouse gases" cause ice ages. | General | 1/1/2013
| 171 | 532 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 1/17/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | By 2012, Moslem scholars will publish evidence that Jesus did not die on the cross. | World | 1/1/2013
| 1545 | 3179 | 3.06 | 1.49 | 2/26/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US Congress with the President will outlaw ownership of gold by individuals in the US | US | 1/1/2013
| 11 | 320 | 30.09 | 1.03 | 11/22/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Federal government rescues New York Times from bankruptcy. | US | 1/1/2013
| 5 | 380 | 77.00 | 1.01 | 3/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US will remove its military from Afghanistan under pressure from the Afghan government. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 11 | 695 | 64.18 | 1.02 | 2/14/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Afghan government will pressure the US to remove its military presence from Afghan soil. | General | 1/1/2013
| 321 | 2015 | 7.28 | 1.16 | 2/6/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Monthly Average Of US Dollar Inflation Will Exceed A 16% Annualized Rate For Some Month Before Years End 2012. | US | 1/1/2013
| 1053 | 1730 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 12/31/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Obama sells Alaska to settle debt and to pay for ambitious social programs. | US | 1/1/2013
| 1 | 823 | 824.00 | 1.00 | 9/20/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US to experience Weimar style hyperinflation before the end of 2012. | US | 1/1/2013
| 125 | 920 | 8.36 | 1.14 | 9/3/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Germany leaves the Euro. | Europe | 1/1/2013
| 760 | 3250 | 5.28 | 1.23 | 8/27/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Class action lawsuit opens up the NFL to lesbian and transgender players. | US | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 273 | 273.00 | 1.00 | 11/1/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Mostly conservative Websites become blocked. Government declares cyber attack emergency. Situation remains unresolved and unclear. | US | 1/1/2013
| 15 | 155 | 11.33 | 1.10 | 7/10/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Eric Holder resigns prior to the end of the 1st term of the Obama administration, due to scandal over refusal to enforce the Motor Voter law, or over the New Black Panther Partys voter intimidation. | US | 1/1/2013
| 1 | 262 | 263.00 | 1.00 | 7/7/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Real unemployment exceeds 35% under Obama although not reported as such by MSM. | US | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 161 | 161.00 | 1.00 | 6/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Joint force including participation of Israel, Jordan and Saudi Arabia carry out air strike on Iran. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 105 | 3470 | 34.05 | 1.03 | 6/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran becomes a military dictatorship under the IRGC. No civilian rule. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 210 | 601 | 3.86 | 1.35 | 6/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Fidel Castro dies. | World | 1/1/2013
| 1 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 10/19/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Assad regime falls. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 11 | 500 | 46.45 | 1.02 | 3/8/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | gold will fall below $1400 by 12/31/12 | General | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 61 | 61.00 | 1.00 | 6/23/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gold will fall below $1400 per oz by 12/31/12 | Europe | 1/1/2013
| 5 | 311 | 63.20 | 1.02 | 6/21/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Assad uses his WMDs (chemical, biological, et al) on Israel in an attempt to widen the war to an Arab-Israeli conflict and stay in power. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/23/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Assad uses WMDs (chemical, biological, et al) against his own people in an attempt to stay in power. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/23/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Syria splits along sectarian lines. The country exists in name only, and becomes a tribal confederation. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/23/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Syrian civil war expands to include Iraq. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 111 | 111.00 | 1.00 | 7/20/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Spain exits the Euro. | Europe | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 511 | 511.00 | 1.00 | 6/3/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chen Guangcheng becomes the figurehead for domestic unrest in China, causing massive economic damage by the end of the year.
| China | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 31 | 31.00 | 1.00 | 5/3/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gold hits $2,000 an ounce. | General | 1/1/2013
| 29 | 531 | 19.31 | 1.05 | 1/24/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Greece and Turkey go to war over Cyprus. | Middle East | 1/1/2013
| 0 | 22 | 22.00 | 1.00 | 1/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China attacks India by 2013. | China | 1/1/2013
| 110 | 2915 | 27.50 | 1.04 | 9/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama will be the last US president elected under the constitution of 1789 (completed 1787). | US | 1/1/2013
| 126 | 2406 | 20.10 | 1.05 | 4/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Congress passes law mandating purchase of savings bonds through employer witholding above and beyong that for taxes. | US | 1/1/2013
| 500 | 2455 | 5.91 | 1.20 | 3/22/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | End of World fails to materialize | World | 12/21/2012
| 1617 | 180 | 1.11 | 9.98 | 3/9/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | War between Northern & Southern Sudan. Ethiopia will come to the aid of Southern Sudan. | World | 12/13/2012
| 598 | 0 | 1.00 | 598.00 | 1/8/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Susan Rice gets nominated by Obama as the next Secretary of State. | US | 12/13/2012
| 5 | 0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 11/26/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | National health Plan causes quality of care to severely drop in the US | US | 12/13/2012
| 380 | 1045 | 3.75 | 1.36 | 7/4/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Catalonia votes to secede from Spain. | Europe | 11/29/2012
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9/24/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | SECDEF Panetta remains SECDEF for Romney (al a "Gates"). | US | 11/16/2012
| 141 | 30 | 1.21 | 5.70 | 6/10/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Obama re-elected | US | 11/8/2012
| 591 | 674 | 2.14 | 1.88 | 8/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Republicans gain control of the Senate in the 2012 election. | US | 11/8/2012
| 1440 | 440 | 1.31 | 4.27 | 11/11/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Obama will be a one term president. | US | 11/8/2012
| 2790 | 2210 | 1.79 | 2.26 | 11/11/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Democrats regain control of the House of Representatives in the 2012 election. | US | 11/8/2012
| 98 | 650 | 7.63 | 1.15 | 11/11/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Karzai is assassinated in coop. A tacit US complicity come to light after the fact. | Middle East | 11/8/2012
| 65 | 515 | 8.92 | 1.13 | 8/7/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Todd Akin defeats Claire McCaskill for the Missouri senate seat. | US | 11/8/2012
| 51 | 80 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 9/5/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Tim Kaine defeats George Allen for the Virginia Senate seat that Jim Webb is vacating. | US | 11/8/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9/21/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Elizabeth Warren defeats Scott Brown for the Mass. Senate seat. | US | 11/8/2012
| 200 | 68 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 12/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | George Allen defeats Tim Kaine for the VA senate seat. | US | 11/8/2012
| 61 | 5 | 1.08 | 13.20 | 10/21/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Allan West wins re-election for his congressional seat. | US | 11/8/2012
| 61 | 1 | 1.02 | 62.00 | 10/20/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The US presidential election ends in an electoral vote tie of 269-269 (its actually mathematically possible). | US | 11/8/2012
| 10 | 55 | 6.50 | 1.18 | 8/17/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The upcoming elections this November are suspended. | US | 11/8/2012
| 0 | 117 | 117.00 | 1.00 | 2/2/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Republicans increase their number of seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/8/2012
| 150 | 10 | 1.07 | 16.00 | 6/15/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Prior to the 2012 general election, documents will be provided proving that Pres. Obama is not a natural born citizen of the US. | US | 11/5/2012
| 0 | 91 | 91.00 | 1.00 | 4/19/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Voters overiding concern in 2012 will be national security. | US | 11/5/2012
| 0 | 25 | 25.00 | 1.00 | 11/15/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Detroit Tigers beat the San Francisco Giants in the World Series. | Sports | 11/4/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10/23/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | States will notify 18-26 year-olds on Medicaid, that their medical insurance coverage is at risk and may be means tested before the November 2012 elections. | US | 11/4/2012
| 0 | 201 | 201.00 | 1.00 | 6/21/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel attacks Iran militarily before the US elections. | Middle East | 11/4/2012
| 0 | 700 | 700.00 | 1.00 | 8/10/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | In the Balkans, there will be at least 1 Terrorist attack or lethal act of violence committed by radical Muslims, targeting Pro-U.S. Muslim communities or individuals. | Terrorism | 11/4/2012
| 10 | 0 | 1.00 | 10.00 | 10/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama visits Israel before the 2012 election. | US | 11/4/2012
| 10 | 215 | 22.50 | 1.05 | 5/18/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tea Party Sunders, costs GOP next Presidential Election. | US | 11/4/2012
| 40 | 319 | 8.98 | 1.13 | 6/22/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran announces that it has detonated an underground nuclear device. | Middle East | 11/4/2012
| 164 | 946 | 6.77 | 1.17 | 6/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | October surprise: massive rioting based on either race or unions in support of Obama in an attempt to sway or suspend the elections. | US | 11/4/2012
| 10 | 5 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 3/26/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In an effort to shore up his re-election prospects, Obama orders US military action against Iran to take out their nuclear capabilities. | US | 11/4/2012
| 0 | 220 | 220.00 | 1.00 | 12/22/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran tries to block Straits of Hormuz; also launches CW/UW effort to destabilize GCC, in response to an imminent US/GCC/NATO campaign against IGRC and Iranian nuclear weapons program. | Middle East | 11/4/2012
| 0 | 601 | 601.00 | 1.00 | 5/15/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | GM will still be owned by the Federal Government at the end of the Obama Presidency | US | 11/4/2012
| 380 | 225 | 1.59 | 2.69 | 8/30/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Yankees win the American League Championship. | Sports | 10/18/2012
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10/6/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Turkey invades Syria. | Middle East | 10/16/2012
| 1 | 510 | 511.00 | 1.00 | 4/13/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Nationals win the National League championship. | Sports | 10/13/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10/6/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hugo Chavez dies before the Venezuelan election happens. | World | 10/8/2012
| 9 | 10 | 2.11 | 1.90 | 2/22/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | President Obama orders the release of oil from Americas strategic petroleum reserve | US | 10/1/2012
| 30 | 0 | 1.00 | 30.00 | 2/15/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The UN takes military action in support of Turkey against Syria for the attack on the Turkish jet. | Middle East | 10/1/2012
| 0 | 41 | 41.00 | 1.00 | 6/26/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama dumps Biden, and chooses someone else as his VP running mate in the 2012 election. | US | 9/30/2012
| 180 | 235 | 2.31 | 1.77 | 4/29/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The newly elected government in Greece is unable to hold, and new elections are held in the fall. | Europe | 9/30/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6/18/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The NY Mets make the MLB playoffs. | Sports | 9/21/2012
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7/11/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The Fed launches QE (quantitative easing) round three (QE3) just before the election in an attempt to boost Obamas chances. | US | 9/18/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8/3/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton becomes Obamas VP Candidate, and Joe Biden becomes Secretary of State. | US | 9/9/2012
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2/9/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | There is an assassination attempt on Biden when he goes to Tampa for the Republican Convention. | US | 9/1/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8/22/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Eric Holder is removed from office due to Fast and Furious. | US | 9/1/2012
| 26 | 0 | 1.00 | 26.00 | 2/1/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaida launches a terrorist attack at the London Olympics. | Terrorism | 9/1/2012
| 1 | 5 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 6/26/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Mike Huckabee becomes the Republican VP candidate. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 11 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 5/10/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Paul Ryan is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 25 | 200 | 9.00 | 1.13 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sarah Palin is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 11 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Jeb Bush is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 2 | 11 | 6.50 | 1.18 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Marco Rubio is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 200 | 200.00 | 1.00 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rob Portman (US SEN., OH) becomes the Republican VP candidate. | US | 8/11/2012
| 1 | 10 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 4/15/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | John Kyl becomes the Republican VP candidate. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Kelly Ayotte becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Bobby Jindal is the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/9/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Tim Pawlenty becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6/19/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Allen West becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4/5/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rick Santorum becomes the Republican VP Nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 11 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Virginia Governor McDonnell becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 4 | 21 | 6.25 | 1.19 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rick Perry becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Susannah Martinez becomes the Republican VP nominee. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 201 | 201.00 | 1.00 | 4/4/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chris Christie is the Republican VP candidate. | US | 8/11/2012
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4/4/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | NASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will successfully land on Mars in operational condition by the end of 2012. | Sci/Tech | 8/7/2012
| 435 | 106 | 1.24 | 5.10 | 5/13/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel attacks Iran to destroy the nuclear sites. The attack can be either air, commando, or a combination of the two. | Middle East | 8/2/2012
| 25 | 980 | 40.20 | 1.03 | 2/25/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Prime Minister has sacked the Defense Chief in Pakistan. The military attempts a coup detat to regain control. | Middle East | 8/2/2012
| 2 | 201 | 101.50 | 1.01 | 1/11/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hizballah takes over the Lebanese government. | Middle East | 6/30/2012
| 0 | 16 | 16.00 | 1.00 | 11/23/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Stephen Chu resigns or gets fired as the head of the DOE as a result of the Solyndra scandal. | US | 6/30/2012
| 1 | 215 | 216.00 | 1.00 | 11/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Euro ceases to exist as a currency. | General | 6/30/2012
| 0 | 697 | 697.00 | 1.00 | 6/26/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War between Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shia Iran | Middle East | 6/30/2012
| 0 | 730 | 730.00 | 1.00 | 4/14/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Animal rights or Ecological terrorists kill at least 1 civilian in the continental United States, whether as collateral damage, or as part of deliberately lethal terror attacks. | Terrorism | 6/30/2012
| 115 | 1205 | 11.48 | 1.10 | 7/2/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Detroit files for bankruptcy. | US | 6/30/2012
| 9 | 11 | 2.22 | 1.82 | 1/10/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea has another nuclear test. | China | 6/30/2012
| 1 | 50 | 51.00 | 1.02 | 4/9/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State in order to head the World Bank. | US | 6/30/2012
| 0 | 212 | 212.00 | 1.00 | 1/18/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Greece leaves the Euro, and goes back to the drachma. | Europe | 6/30/2012
| 0 | 121 | 121.00 | 1.00 | 1/12/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Majority of Liberal Supreme Court Justices will vote to completely overturn ObamaCare in an effort to boost federal, state and local Democratic election results November, 2012. | US | 6/28/2012
| 0 | 51 | 51.00 | 1.00 | 6/9/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Miami Heat win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 6/28/2012
| 118 | 0 | 1.00 | 118.00 | 6/11/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Supreme Court severs and overturns the mandate, but keeps the rest of the legislation known as "Obamacare" intact. | US | 6/28/2012
| 110 | 1020 | 10.27 | 1.11 | 3/29/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Supreme Court overturns "Obamacare" in its entirety. | US | 6/28/2012
| 445 | 100 | 1.22 | 5.45 | 3/29/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | NBA referees ratio of fouls for 2012 championship will exceed 55%/45% for Miami Heat/OKC Thunder. | Sports | 6/22/2012
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6/21/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Boston Celtics win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 6/10/2012
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 5/3/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rick Santorum is the Republican nominee. | US | 6/10/2012
| 0 | 7 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 2/8/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Scott Walker wins the recall election as Wisconsins Governor. | US | 6/6/2012
| 111 | 0 | 1.00 | 111.00 | 5/24/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Military action against Iran. The coalition will be led by the US. This will not include an ground forces, unless Iran counterattacks into one of the neighboring countries. | Middle East | 6/5/2012
| 0 | 719 | 719.00 | 1.00 | 12/25/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Newt Gingrich becomes the Republican nominee. | US | 5/31/2012
| 7 | 292 | 42.71 | 1.02 | 11/7/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Mitt Romney becomes the Republican Candidate for President. | US | 5/31/2012
| 55 | 11 | 1.20 | 6.00 | 4/12/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Republican partys caucus/primary system fails to produce a clear nominee, and the Republicans have a brokered convention. | US | 5/31/2012
| 25 | 25 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1/2/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The NY Rangers win the Stanley Cup. | Sports | 5/26/2012
| 0 | 11 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 4/13/2012 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Obama gets a primary challenge. | US | 5/23/2012
| 240 | 245 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 12/6/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The L.A. Lakers win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 5/22/2012
| 0 | 20 | 20.00 | 1.00 | 5/3/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Chicago Blackhawks win the Stanley Cup. | Sports | 4/24/2012
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 4/18/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Newt Gingrich withdraws from the Republican primaries. | US | 4/15/2012
| 25 | 3 | 1.12 | 9.33 | 3/16/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Phil Mickelson wins the Masters. | Sports | 4/13/2012
| 0 | 6 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 3/31/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rory McIlroy wins the Masters. | Sports | 4/8/2012
| 0 | 6 | 6.00 | 1.00 | 3/31/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tiger Woods wins the Masters. | Sports | 4/8/2012
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 3/31/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The "Arab Spring" comes to Russia, and Putin Falls. | Russia | 4/4/2012
| 5 | 85 | 18.00 | 1.06 | 12/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | At least one member of the Arab League attacks Syria militarily. | Middle East | 3/31/2012
| 0 | 18 | 18.00 | 1.00 | 11/13/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Greece defaults. | Europe | 3/31/2012
| 1121 | 560 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1/17/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Syria unleashes terror attacks, either by itself or through its proxies, against the Arabian countries (Jordan, Saudi Arabia, etc.) in the Arab League that have called for the boycott. | Middle East | 3/31/2012
| 11 | 226 | 21.55 | 1.05 | 11/15/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War between Turkey and Israel. | Middle East | 3/31/2012
| 0 | 227 | 227.00 | 1.00 | 9/6/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Obama has now said that the SEALs made the decision to kill Bin Laden. Obama throws the SEALs under the bus, and charges are brought against them. | US | 3/31/2012
| 1132 | 317 | 1.28 | 4.57 | 5/10/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Civil war in Syria. | Middle East | 3/2/2012
| 11 | 0 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 11/21/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The revolution in Syria succeeds in overthrowing Assad and the ruling leadership. | Middle East | 3/2/2012
| 25 | 137 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 9/2/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorists detonate either a nuclear device or a "dirty bomb" in Russia. | Russia | 3/2/2012
| 55 | 177 | 4.22 | 1.31 | 2/19/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama decides not to run for a second term. | US | 3/2/2012
| 4 | 441 | 111.25 | 1.01 | 6/3/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War on the Korean Peninsula. | China | 3/2/2012
| 40 | 546 | 14.65 | 1.07 | 2/25/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Massive rioting in North Korea leades to civil disorder. | China | 3/2/2012
| 20 | 271 | 14.55 | 1.07 | 2/25/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Muslim Brotherhood takes over the Egyptian government, and marginalizes the army. | Middle East | 3/2/2012
| 110 | 663 | 7.03 | 1.17 | 2/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Egypt and Israel go to war. Either side may be the aggressor. | Middle East | 3/2/2012
| 10 | 229 | 23.90 | 1.04 | 2/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama is easily re-elected over republican Newt Gingrich and independent Charles Crist in 3-way race. | US | 2/19/2012
| 0 | 114 | 114.00 | 1.00 | 8/7/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Incursion into Somalia by a country not neighboring. Number of troop or duration irrelevant, as long as it involves deliberate use of conventional forces. | World | 2/19/2012
| 35 | 90 | 3.57 | 1.39 | 8/18/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The Giants beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/6/2012
| 10 | 10 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1/24/2012 |
Con
Lifetime | N | An act of politically motivated act of terrorism perpetrated by a homegrown lone wolf in the US occurs. | Terrorism | 2/2/2012
| 30 | 4 | 1.13 | 8.50 | 8/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Janet Napolitano loses her job as a result of Operation Fast and Furious. | US | 2/2/2012
| 65 | 207 | 4.18 | 1.31 | 7/9/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Eric Holder resigns as a result of the ATF "gun walker" scandal. | US | 2/2/2012
| 10 | 74 | 8.40 | 1.14 | 6/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Janet Napolitano resigns for reasons that have nothing to do with gunwalker or any other issue. | US | 2/2/2012
| 0 | 16 | 16.00 | 1.00 | 8/28/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Khalid Sheik Mohammed does not stand trial or go before a military tribunal during the remainder of Obamas presidency. | US | 1/25/2012
| 446 | 75 | 1.17 | 6.95 | 11/14/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | There is an assassination attempt on Sarah Palin. | US | 1/22/2012
| 0 | 17 | 17.00 | 1.00 | 3/9/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Apocalypse will come. | World | 1/22/2012
| 100 | 945 | 10.45 | 1.11 | 3/10/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Shots fired near President Obama. | US | 1/20/2012
| 265 | 409 | 2.54 | 1.65 | 1/16/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rick Perry becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/19/2012
| 10 | 45 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 4/25/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | EURCHF to go back to 1.50 | Europe | 1/13/2012
| 50 | 71 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 7/1/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Herman Cain becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/9/2012
| 190 | 190 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 5/14/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012
| 0 | 2 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 11/27/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Michelle Bachmann becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 1/4/2012
| 200 | 284 | 2.42 | 1.70 | 6/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Newt Gingrich wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012
| 5 | 46 | 10.20 | 1.11 | 11/27/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rick Perry wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012
| 0 | 2 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 11/27/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Mitt Romney wins the Iowa caucus. | US | 1/4/2012
| 11 | 0 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 11/27/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hugo Chavez dies. | General | 1/2/2012
| 1 | 50 | 51.00 | 1.02 | 6/25/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | NASAs latest rover, Curiosity (Mars Science Laboratory - MSL), will be successfully launched and on its way to Mars by the end of 2011. | Sci/Tech | 1/2/2012
| 220 | 0 | 1.00 | 220.00 | 5/13/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Americans assisting forces opposing the LRA accused of suborning human rights abuses before end of 2011. | World | 1/1/2012
| 0 | 14 | 14.00 | 1.00 | 10/19/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tim Geithner resigns. | US | 1/1/2012
| 60 | 220 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 7/1/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Samantha Powers leaves her post as special adviser to Obama, voluntarily or non-voluntarily. | US | 1/1/2012
| 0 | 11 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 5/8/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The state of California experiences what would be called "sovereign default," but what the rest of us refer to as bankruptcy. | US | 1/1/2012
| 10 | 65 | 7.50 | 1.15 | 2/13/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Kim family gets deposed, and is replaced by a military junta. | China | 1/1/2012
| 50 | 318 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 1/6/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The recently passed legislation, popularly know as "Obamacare," gets repealed. | US | 1/1/2012
| 100 | 391 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 12/20/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States and Iran achieve a diplomatic break-through, and resume relations. | Middle East | 1/1/2012
| 193 | 680 | 4.52 | 1.28 | 12/31/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Obama gets removed from office by Congress invoking the 25th Amendment. | US | 1/1/2012
| 0 | 946 | 946.00 | 1.00 | 11/16/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Vatican calls for a new crusade against extreme Muslim groups | Terrorism | 1/1/2012
| 20 | 651 | 33.55 | 1.03 | 11/5/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fidel Castro dies. | World | 1/1/2012
| 0 | 17 | 17.00 | 1.00 | 4/21/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Open revolt in China. | China | 1/1/2012
| 5 | 388 | 78.60 | 1.01 | 1/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | NPR gets defunded. | General | 1/1/2012
| 15 | 385 | 26.67 | 1.04 | 3/13/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The fued between Ahmedinejad and Khamenei comes to a head, and Khamenei (or his loyalists) have Ahmedinejad removed in one form or another (ousted from his office, killed, exiled). | Middle East | 1/1/2012
| 469 | 1545 | 4.29 | 1.30 | 12/31/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The founder of wikileaks, Julian Assange, gets assassinated. | General | 1/1/2012
| 300 | 1232 | 5.11 | 1.24 | 11/29/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israeli Strike Leads to War | Middle East | 12/31/2011
| 0 | 21 | 21.00 | 1.00 | 9/6/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama voluntarily resigns from office before his term expires. | US | 12/31/2011
| 0 | 731 | 731.00 | 1.00 | 11/16/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War Between India and Pakistan | World | 12/31/2011
| 200 | 1275 | 7.38 | 1.16 | 4/25/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Valerie Jarrett leaves the White House in one way or another (resigns, retires, gets fired). | US | 12/31/2011
| 0 | 36 | 36.00 | 1.00 | 5/4/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | At some point during the year The House of Representatives approval rating will be higher than Obamas. | US | 12/31/2011
| 35 | 583 | 17.66 | 1.06 | 1/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | detroit files for bankruptcy in 2011 | US | 12/31/2011
| 20 | 187 | 10.35 | 1.11 | 12/13/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The S&P 500 Stock Index will close below 1,000 before 31 December 2011. | US | 12/30/2011
| 190 | 234 | 2.23 | 1.81 | 3/26/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Double dip recession becomes new great depression. | US | 12/30/2011
| 65 | 175 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 7/10/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The price of gold will hit or exceed $2,000 an ounce. | General | 12/30/2011
| 486 | 457 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 1/18/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Bill Daley is forced out or resigns as Obamas Chief of Staff. | US | 12/8/2011
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 9/16/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil War in Greece. | Europe | 12/3/2011
| 0 | 236 | 236.00 | 1.00 | 6/26/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Military coup detat in Turkey. | Europe | 11/15/2011
| 0 | 887 | 887.00 | 1.00 | 7/29/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Palestine gets statehood from the UN. | Middle East | 11/1/2011
| 40 | 318 | 8.95 | 1.13 | 9/12/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Texas Rangers beat the St. Louis Cardinals in the World Series. | Sports | 10/29/2011
| 100 | 17 | 1.17 | 6.88 | 10/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Phillies win the NLCS. | Sports | 10/8/2011
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Yankees win the ALCS. | Sports | 10/7/2011
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sarah Palin will run for president in 2012. | US | 10/5/2011
| 700 | 717 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 11/15/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Armed conflict between Turkey and Syria. | Middle East | 10/1/2011
| 0 | 40 | 40.00 | 1.00 | 6/26/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Greece defaults. | General | 10/1/2011
| 5 | 45 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 6/21/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A western power (the US, EU, UN, or anyone else) comes to the aid of the rebels in Syria. | Middle East | 10/1/2011
| 230 | 480 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 4/28/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Italy defaults. | Europe | 10/1/2011
| 0 | 14 | 14.00 | 1.00 | 7/10/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Jordanian government collapses. The Royal family flees the country. | Middle East | 9/1/2011
| 55 | 635 | 12.55 | 1.09 | 2/1/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Saudi Royal family gets overthrown. | Middle East | 9/1/2011
| 0 | 436 | 436.00 | 1.00 | 1/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Assad family gets overthrown in Syria. | Middle East | 9/1/2011
| 240 | 331 | 2.38 | 1.73 | 1/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Afghan campaign will dramatically improve for ISAF once herion trade disrupted significantly | Middle East | 9/1/2011
| 115 | 128 | 2.11 | 1.90 | 8/29/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Libyan conflict results in a stalemate. Neither side can win, so Libya splits into two states; Khaddafi controlled in the west, rebel controlled in the east. | Middle East | 8/22/2011
| 0 | 121 | 121.00 | 1.00 | 4/6/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Libyan rebels (with or without external aid) defeat Khaddafy and his backers. | Middle East | 8/22/2011
| 1519 | 225 | 1.15 | 7.75 | 3/10/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Ghaddafi gets overthrown in Libya. | Middle East | 8/22/2011
| 875 | 240 | 1.27 | 4.65 | 1/30/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Tim Pawlenty becomes the Republican nominee for President. | US | 8/15/2011
| 200 | 20 | 1.10 | 11.00 | 4/13/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | 10% negative Stock Market adjustment. | US | 8/9/2011
| 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5/11/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The President and the Republicans fail to reach a compromise on the debt ceiling, and no deal is made by midnight on 8/2/11. | US | 8/3/2011
| 5 | 30 | 7.00 | 1.17 | 7/14/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The NFL settles its strike, and the 2011 season gets played either in its entirety or with a shortened schedule. | Sports | 7/26/2011
| 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7/22/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The NFL settles its labor dispute, and the 2011 season gets played as scheduled. | Sports | 7/1/2011
| 141 | 110 | 1.78 | 2.28 | 1/2/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State. | US | 7/1/2011
| 10 | 580 | 59.00 | 1.02 | 11/11/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong Nam (the eldest son) gets assasinated. | China | 6/30/2011
| 0 | 436 | 436.00 | 1.00 | 10/26/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The government of Iran gets overthrown. | Middle East | 6/30/2011
| 2 | 2352 | 1,177.00 | 1.00 | 9/26/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama gets impeached.. | US | 6/30/2011
| 511 | 4236 | 9.29 | 1.12 | 11/23/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Anthony Weiner resigns from congress before the next election. | US | 6/16/2011
| 6 | 100 | 17.67 | 1.06 | 6/1/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Turkey leaves, or is kicked out of, NATO. | Middle East | 6/1/2011
| 12 | 1625 | 136.42 | 1.01 | 6/3/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The current leader of Yemen falls. | Middle East | 6/1/2011
| 215 | 10 | 1.05 | 22.50 | 4/4/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Mitch Daniels becomes the Republican nominee for President in the 2012 election. | US | 5/22/2011
| 10 | 10 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 4/14/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Donald Trump becomes the Republican candidate for President. | US | 5/16/2011
| 0 | 20 | 20.00 | 1.00 | 4/18/2011 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Manchester United reclaims the Premier League title. | Sports | 5/14/2011
| 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9/29/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next terror attack in the US after Times Square will be initially blamed on either "right wingers" or tea partiers, by a mayor or higher level politician, long before the facts become clear. | Terrorism | 5/11/2011
| 25 | 2710 | 109.40 | 1.01 | 5/9/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Robert Gates resigns as Secretary of Defense. | US | 4/27/2011
| 5 | 5 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 3/31/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The UN Commission formally accuses HizbAllah of the assasination of Rafik Hariri. | Middle East | 3/31/2011
| 25 | 663 | 27.52 | 1.04 | 12/16/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chavez, in an attempt to shore up his Bolivarian revolutionary credentials, invades Curacao. | General | 3/31/2011
| 0 | 798 | 798.00 | 1.00 | 7/22/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Gas prices hit $5.00 a gallon by Labor Day. | US | 3/5/2011
| 35 | 115 | 4.29 | 1.30 | 2/5/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War in the middle east between Israel and Hizballah, Syria, Lebanon, Iran. Israel may fight one of the listed countries, or some combination of them, including all of them. | Middle East | 3/1/2011
| 3 | 351 | 118.00 | 1.01 | 10/9/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Palestinian complaints about possible resumption of construction in Jerusalem lead to dissolution of peace talks, irrelevant of whether the construction was actually restarting. | Middle East | 2/23/2011
| 40 | 400 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 8/23/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russia will invade former soviet countries | Russia | 2/8/2011
| 0 | 871 | 871.00 | 1.00 | 6/21/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Pittsburgh Steelers win the Super Bowl. | US | 2/7/2011
| 1 | 29 | 30.00 | 1.03 | 1/2/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton resigns to challenge Obama for the Democratic nomination. | US | 1/31/2011
| 31 | 737 | 24.77 | 1.04 | 5/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In Afghanistan, Karzai Attempts to Negotiate a Separate Peace Without the US. | Middle East | 1/31/2011
| 110 | 460 | 5.18 | 1.24 | 5/9/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | There will be a clash on the high seas, and neither the US or Russia will be the aggressor. | World | 1/30/2011
| 120 | 6 | 1.05 | 21.00 | 3/6/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Large battle between two blue water navies. | World | 1/30/2011
| 0 | 486 | 486.00 | 1.00 | 5/5/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nancy Pelosi resigns from the House. | US | 1/25/2011
| 1 | 110 | 111.00 | 1.01 | 10/29/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The NY Jets win the Super Bowl. | Sports | 1/24/2011
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11/26/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Da Bears win the Super Bowl. | Sports | 1/23/2011
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1/17/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Atlanta Falcons win the Super Bowl. | Sports | 1/17/2011
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1/2/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The New England Patriots win the Super Bowl. | Sports | 1/17/2011
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1/2/2011 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War breaks out in Middle East and Israels first attack strategy is Syria. | Middle East | 1/2/2011
| 120 | 755 | 7.29 | 1.16 | 10/13/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil disorder in North Korea. | China | 1/2/2011
| 3 | 806 | 269.67 | 1.00 | 9/9/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran announces they have the bomb. | Middle East | 1/2/2011
| 5 | 1325 | 266.00 | 1.00 | 4/7/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War in Korea. | China | 1/2/2011
| 10 | 891 | 90.10 | 1.01 | 5/25/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel launches an air strike against Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2011
| 49 | 1660 | 34.88 | 1.03 | 2/22/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iraq will become a weak Federal Republic with a strong Kurdish area, a Shi'a area under Iranian domination and a Sunni area that is in chaos. | Middle East | 1/1/2011
| 645 | 797 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 5/10/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gas hits $6.00 per gallon. | US | 1/1/2011
| 5 | 411 | 83.20 | 1.01 | 6/8/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obamas policies towards Israel cause the current government to collapse, and a government more to Obamas liking to take its place. | Middle East | 1/1/2011
| 50 | 483 | 10.66 | 1.10 | 3/21/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Queen Elizabeth turns over most of her official duties to her eldest grandson, HRH Prince William. | Europe | 1/1/2011
| 0 | 440 | 440.00 | 1.00 | 1/3/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama administration indicts senior elected official for authorizing torture. | US | 1/1/2011
| 100 | 2229 | 23.29 | 1.04 | 4/22/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama makes diplomatic accomodation with Taliban allowing the US to disengage in Afghanistan without immediate loss of face. | US | 1/1/2011
| 30 | 779 | 26.97 | 1.04 | 3/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | usa will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike. | Terrorism | 1/1/2011
| 100 | 2159 | 22.59 | 1.05 | 7/7/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheive a diplomatic brake through before end 2010 | Middle East | 1/1/2011
| 100 | 660 | 7.60 | 1.15 | 2/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil disorder in Russia. | Russia | 1/1/2011
| 0 | 856 | 856.00 | 1.00 | 2/6/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War between the North and the South on the Korean peninsula. Chinese intervene to restore peace and unite the Koreas under their security umbrella. | China | 1/1/2011
| 2 | 2946 | 1,474.00 | 1.00 | 6/27/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The head of Pakistan, Musharref will be assassinated by Islamic Fundamentalists. | China | 12/31/2010
| 1239 | 3761 | 4.04 | 1.33 | 1/16/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama Will Seek To Organize The National Community Down To the Grass Roots Level | US | 12/31/2010
| 170 | 240 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 11/29/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | USAF and NASA jointly develop the first ever Fighter jet working on non-gasoline fuels. | US | 12/31/2010
| 111 | 235 | 3.12 | 1.47 | 6/15/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US to experience Weimar-style hyperinflation before end of 2012 | US | 12/31/2010
| 1 | 136 | 137.00 | 1.01 | 8/27/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The FCC classifies broadband networks as common carriers under Title 2 of the Communications Act, giving the government control over pricing and access. | US | 12/31/2010
| 0 | 21 | 21.00 | 1.00 | 4/12/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Hillary Clinton will order U.S. military forces NOT to intervene when Communist China attacks Taiwan in 2010. | China | 12/31/2010
| 0 | 328 | 328.00 | 1.00 | 5/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Unemployment in the US will officially hit 20% or greater at least once in 2010. | US | 12/31/2010
| 540 | 2430 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 6/9/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Flight of major advertisers takes Rush Limbaugh off the air in all but a few markets. | US | 12/31/2010
| 100 | 1120 | 12.20 | 1.09 | 3/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Falkland Islands revisited | World | 12/30/2010
| 0 | 286 | 286.00 | 1.00 | 3/6/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | President Obamas strategic arms reduction treaty will not be ratified by the Senate | US | 12/22/2010
| 365 | 205 | 1.56 | 2.78 | 4/11/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | US casuaties in Afghanistan in 2010 will increase more than 50% from 2009 casualties | US | 12/13/2010
| 5 | 55 | 12.00 | 1.09 | 6/29/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | A Federal judge in Virginia is about to rule on the constitutionality of Obamacare. He will rule that the Obama Health Care Legislation is unconstitutional. | US | 12/13/2010
| 110 | 205 | 2.86 | 1.54 | 10/19/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran military will be disabled by World super powers | Middle East | 12/1/2010
| 100 | 1710 | 18.10 | 1.06 | 9/6/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | A Republican becomes the next Governor of Illinois. | US | 11/17/2010
| 16 | 0 | 1.00 | 16.00 | 7/22/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Final composition of the US Senate after the mid-terms is 49 Democrats, 49 Republicans, and 2 Independents. | US | 11/5/2010
| 2 | 30 | 16.00 | 1.07 | 2/22/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Republican gain a majority of Governorships after the mid-term elections, with a minimum of 28 statehouses held by the Republicans. | US | 11/3/2010
| 45 | 0 | 1.00 | 45.00 | 11/1/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nancy Pelosi loses her 2010 re-election bid. | US | 11/3/2010
| 145 | 155 | 2.07 | 1.94 | 1/19/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Christine ODonnell beats Coons for the Delaware senate seat in a major upset. | US | 11/3/2010
| 0 | 24 | 24.00 | 1.00 | 10/29/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Barbara Boxer is defeated in her re-election bid. | US | 11/3/2010
| 50 | 200 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 7/25/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Republicans gain at least 4 seats in the Senate in the 2010 mid-term elections. | US | 11/3/2010
| 1666 | 450 | 1.27 | 4.70 | 11/5/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Republicans gain at least 30 seats in the House in the 2010 mid-term elections | US | 11/3/2010
| 870 | 710 | 1.82 | 2.23 | 11/5/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Nancy Pelosi will be the Speaker of the House for the 112th Congress. | US | 11/3/2010
| 955 | 90 | 1.09 | 11.61 | 1/12/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Nancy Pelosi will not be the Speaker of the House for the 112th Congress. | US | 11/3/2010
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1/12/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Deval Patrick is NOT re-elected as the Governor of Massachusetts. | US | 11/3/2010
| 121 | 5 | 1.04 | 25.20 | 7/28/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Roland Burris will not run for re-election. A republican wins his seat in 2010. | US | 11/3/2010
| 1 | 65 | 66.00 | 1.02 | 7/14/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Democrats retain majorities in both houses of Congress. | US | 11/3/2010
| 223 | 2055 | 10.22 | 1.11 | 7/30/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Republicans hold at least 50 seats in the Senate after the 2010 mid-terms. | US | 11/3/2010
| 21 | 370 | 18.62 | 1.06 | 12/2/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Nikki Haley gets elected as the Governor of South Carolina. | US | 11/3/2010
| 51 | 0 | 1.00 | 51.00 | 6/23/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Dick Blumenthal loses the CT race for the Senate to the Republican candidate (either McMahon or Simmons). | US | 11/3/2010
| 16 | 25 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 5/24/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Republican wins one of the two NY US Senate seats. | US | 11/3/2010
| 10 | 51 | 6.10 | 1.20 | 9/23/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Meg Whitman wins the 2010 California Gubernatorial election. | US | 11/3/2010
| 210 | 400 | 2.90 | 1.53 | 7/28/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Republican candidate wins the 2010 NY Gubernatorial Election. | US | 11/3/2010
| 10 | 481 | 49.10 | 1.02 | 7/22/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The Republicans take back the House of Representatives in the 2010 mid-terms. | US | 11/3/2010
| 575 | 615 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 7/9/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Harry Reid loses his re-election bid in 2010. | US | 11/3/2010
| 465 | 300 | 1.65 | 2.55 | 5/20/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Texas Rangers win the World Series. | Sports | 11/2/2010
| 1 | 23 | 24.00 | 1.04 | 10/24/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Yields on 10 year Treasuries will be over 5.0% | US | 11/1/2010
| 20 | 570 | 29.50 | 1.04 | 4/11/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The 2010 mid-term US Elections are cancelled. | US | 11/1/2010
| 0 | 483 | 483.00 | 1.00 | 4/18/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russian Incursion into Eastern Europe | Russia | 10/30/2010
| 10 | 636 | 64.60 | 1.02 | 12/21/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Philadelphia Phillies win the World Series. | Sports | 10/24/2010
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9/29/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The New York Yankees win the World Series. | Sports | 10/23/2010
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9/29/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Rahm Emmanuel leaves his position as White House Chief of Staff to run for Mayor of Chicago. | US | 10/1/2010
| 56 | 0 | 1.00 | 56.00 | 9/9/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chavez gets thrown out of office in Venezuela. | World | 9/30/2010
| 0 | 336 | 336.00 | 1.00 | 1/27/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Sino-Japanese Asian Defense Sphere Incident | China | 9/24/2010
| 1135 | 1573 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 1/23/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | One or more civilians will be shot dead by uniformed officers (police/military) of an EU state other than the UK while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2010
| 10 | 258 | 26.80 | 1.04 | 3/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | USA will intercept a stray nuclear missle and bush will become a national hero despite his declining support as president.because of him we will soon be able to defend ourselves from a nuclear strike. | Terrorism | 9/2/2010
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/7/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War in the middle east between Israel and at least one (or more) of the usual suspects (Iran, Syria, Hizballah, etc.). Either side may be the instigator. | Middle East | 9/2/2010
| 42 | 420 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 5/6/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | McCain defeats Hayworth in the Republican primary. | US | 8/25/2010
| 256 | 0 | 1.00 | 256.00 | 4/4/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Roland Burris will not run for re-election. Another Democrate wins his seat in 2010. | US | 8/4/2010
| 670 | 210 | 1.31 | 4.19 | 7/14/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Andrew Cuomo is the Democratic nominee for the NY Gubernatorial election. | US | 8/1/2010
| 20 | 100 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 7/22/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korean nuke test. | China | 8/1/2010
| 1 | 47 | 48.00 | 1.02 | 6/1/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israeli-Iranian Airspace Incident | Middle East | 7/31/2010
| 15 | 376 | 26.07 | 1.04 | 12/21/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Spain defeats the Netherlands on the World Cup. | Sports | 7/11/2010
| 60 | 0 | 1.00 | 60.00 | 7/8/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Health care reform passed by November 2, 2010 | US | 7/6/2010
| 133 | 2 | 1.02 | 67.50 | 9/19/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | After thorough investigation, links between the Times Square bomber and the Pakistani Taliban (TTP), are confirmed. | Terrorism | 7/6/2010
| 41 | 0 | 1.00 | 41.00 | 5/4/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel allows, or fails to physically stop, at least one ISM or related groups ship from running the Gaza blockade before the end of this month, deliberately or not. | Middle East | 7/1/2010
| 3 | 130 | 44.33 | 1.02 | 6/1/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil disorder in North Korea. | China | 6/30/2010
| 125 | 1211 | 10.69 | 1.10 | 2/6/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nancy Pelosi is removed as Speaker of the House. | US | 6/30/2010
| 0 | 161 | 161.00 | 1.00 | 1/20/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rahm Emmanuel resigns as White House Chief of Staff to run for Mayor of Chicago. | US | 6/30/2010
| 0 | 23 | 23.00 | 1.00 | 1/7/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong-Un (the youngest son) gets formally introduced as the successor to Kim Jong-Il. | China | 6/30/2010
| 150 | 1210 | 9.07 | 1.12 | 1/7/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Dow Jones Industrials will still be above 10,000 by June 30, 2010. | US | 6/30/2010
| 701 | 735 | 2.05 | 1.95 | 12/11/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Dow Jones Industrial Average closes below 8000 by June 30,2010. | US | 6/30/2010
| 5 | 787 | 158.40 | 1.01 | 12/11/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gold price exceeds $1500 per troy ounce by June 30, 2010.
| General | 6/30/2010
| 10 | 416 | 42.60 | 1.02 | 12/11/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea implodes, and there is civil disorder. The Kim family is deposed, and the North is administered by the either the UN, the PRC, or an Asian coalition. | China | 6/30/2010
| 1 | 1936 | 1,937.00 | 1.00 | 12/9/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Carole Browner gets fired as a result of Climategate. | US | 6/30/2010
| 0 | 741 | 741.00 | 1.00 | 12/4/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Eric Holder resigns as AG. | US | 6/30/2010
| 33 | 360 | 11.91 | 1.09 | 11/20/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rahm Emmanuel resigns as WH Chief of Staff to run for Burris seat in the US Senate. | US | 6/30/2010
| 0 | 261 | 261.00 | 1.00 | 11/11/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War between Venezuela and Colombia. | World | 6/30/2010
| 20 | 830 | 42.50 | 1.02 | 11/10/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Keith Olbermann loses his job at MSNBC. | General | 6/30/2010
| 10 | 275 | 28.50 | 1.04 | 2/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The trial of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed is moved out of NY. | Terrorism | 6/30/2010
| 109 | 0 | 1.00 | 109.00 | 1/28/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rahm Emmanuel resigns or gets fired as White House Chief of Staff. | US | 6/30/2010
| 21 | 360 | 18.14 | 1.06 | 1/20/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong Il dies. | China | 6/30/2010
| 45 | 416 | 10.24 | 1.11 | 12/27/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russia attacks (with military forces) the Ukraine. | Russia | 6/30/2010
| 2 | 1131 | 566.50 | 1.00 | 10/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Kevin Rudd is voted out of office. A Liberal Party (Australias conservatives) member replaces him. | World | 6/24/2010
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12/7/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | UN intervention necessary in Thailand | World | 6/15/2010
| 0 | 61 | 61.00 | 1.00 | 5/16/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Senator Blanche Lincoln loses her run-off to Lt. Gov. Bill Halter for the Democratic nomination to run for the Senate from Arkansas. | US | 6/9/2010
| 2 | 1 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 5/20/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Carly Fiorina is the Republican candidate for the US Senate. | US | 6/9/2010
| 136 | 1 | 1.01 | 137.00 | 4/24/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ground intervention in Somalia | Terrorism | 6/6/2010
| 0 | 521 | 521.00 | 1.00 | 12/22/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | One or more UK government ministers will invoke the Civil Contingencies Act on or before Thursday 3 June 2010
| Europe | 6/3/2010
| 100 | 1071 | 11.71 | 1.09 | 3/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Taliban seize control of Pakistan in a coup detat (with inside help). | Middle East | 6/1/2010
| 5 | 1341 | 269.20 | 1.00 | 4/10/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | United States Airport screening adopts profiling tactics to increase passenger safety. | Terrorism | 6/1/2010
| 0 | 116 | 116.00 | 1.00 | 1/11/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Foreign Assistance in USA Gulf Oil Spill | US | 5/31/2010
| 0 | 17 | 17.00 | 1.00 | 5/12/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Charles Djou wins the special election for the House or Representatives seat in Hawaii. | US | 5/23/2010
| 6 | 0 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 2/1/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | N | A Republican wins the special election for Murthas seat in Pennsylvania. | US | 5/19/2010
| 300 | 200 | 1.67 | 2.50 | 2/10/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Gordon Brown and Labor get voted out of power, and lose the election to the Tories. | Europe | 5/11/2010
| 52 | 100 | 2.92 | 1.52 | 1/11/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | ManUtd win the Prem 2009-2010 | Sports | 5/10/2010
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5/26/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Times Square Bomber, American quickly captured. | Terrorism | 5/4/2010
| 207 | 0 | 1.00 | 207.00 | 5/3/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama proposes a surtax on natural gas, both in order to taise revenue and to help the green energy industry. | US | 5/2/2010
| 10 | 3075 | 308.50 | 1.00 | 7/10/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Syria and Israel go to war with each other. | Middle East | 5/2/2010
| 0 | 1159 | 1,159.00 | 1.00 | 2/9/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chris Dodd gets indicted for the Countrywide Mortgage Scandal | US | 5/1/2010
| 0 | 5000 | 5,000.00 | 1.00 | 10/24/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea will invade South Korea in order to focus the peoples attention on something other than their current problems such as hunger and as a last ditch effort for KIM to hold on to power | China | 5/1/2010
| 462 | 4538 | 10.82 | 1.10 | 10/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Former Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska files suit against the Public Integrety Division of the Department Justice. | US | 4/1/2010
| 1 | 4999 | 5,000.00 | 1.00 | 4/6/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | David Patterson resigns as Governor of NY. | US | 3/31/2010
| 1 | 1300 | 1,301.00 | 1.00 | 3/4/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Harold Ford runs for, and wins, one of the NY Senate seats. | US | 3/3/2010
| 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1/24/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Mumbai style attack targeting US citizens occurs or is attempted. | Terrorism | 3/1/2010
| 280 | 550 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 2/15/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War Between Israel and Hizballah in Lebanon. | Middle East | 3/1/2010
| 250 | 1480 | 6.92 | 1.17 | 8/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Janet Napolitano resigns or gets fired as a result of the recent terrorism incidents. | US | 3/1/2010
| 1 | 910 | 911.00 | 1.00 | 12/28/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Within the next 6 months, Israel will make a major incursion into the Gaza strip, involving missile attacks and ground troops, that lasts over 72 hours. | Middle East | 2/11/2010
| 301 | 2249 | 8.47 | 1.13 | 8/4/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Who Dat? Who Dat? Who Dat Dere Gonna Beat Dem Saints!?. The New Orleans Saints win the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/7/2010
| 201 | 0 | 1.00 | 201.00 | 1/27/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will have a nuclear weapon that it can launch against Israel by the end of 2010
| Middle East | 2/2/2010
| 274 | 4726 | 18.25 | 1.06 | 5/9/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Palestinian Power Shift. Hezballah is left as the dominant faction due to infighting between Hamas and Fatah, and lack of trust by the Palestinians between the two factions. | Middle East | 1/31/2010
| 0 | 520 | 520.00 | 1.00 | 12/27/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Saints beat the Vikings in the NFC Championship game next Sunday. | Sports | 1/25/2010
| 4 | 0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 1/17/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next US President will launch an investigation of the 43rd presidents handling of the war in Iraq within 1 year of being sworn in. | US | 1/21/2010
| 591 | 4409 | 8.46 | 1.13 | 8/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Caroline Kennedy will run for Hillarys Senate seat the attainment of which being a necessary preliminary to raising money for a presidential campaign. | US | 1/21/2010
| 100 | 1645 | 17.45 | 1.06 | 12/25/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | After one year, President Obama''s appointments will have fewer women and minorities than did President Bush''s at one year of his first term. | US | 1/21/2010
| 1495 | 780 | 1.52 | 2.92 | 4/13/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Scott Brown defeats Martha Coakley in the Massachussetts special election to fill Ted Kennedys seat. | US | 1/20/2010
| 210 | 116 | 1.55 | 2.81 | 1/1/2010 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Dallas Cowboys break their streak, and win a play-off game with Wade Phillips as coach.. | Sports | 1/10/2010
| 501 | 0 | 1.00 | 501.00 | 1/3/2010 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Senator Dodd loses his 2010 re-election bid, and a Republican takes his seat. | US | 1/6/2010
| 2 | 85 | 43.50 | 1.02 | 3/27/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Arlen Specter will be re-elected to the Senate in 2010. | US | 1/6/2010
| 250 | 1258 | 6.03 | 1.20 | 4/29/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Us Treasury Secretary Geithner resigns. | US | 1/2/2010
| 210 | 812 | 4.87 | 1.26 | 3/19/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The NY Times files for bankruptcy under either chapter 11 or chapter 7. | US | 1/2/2010
| 375 | 465 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 12/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Syrian government is unable to maintain control over the various factions. There is a revolt, and the ruling Assad family gets overthrown. | Middle East | 1/2/2010
| 20 | 508 | 26.40 | 1.04 | 11/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China is unable to maintain its rate of economic growth, and slides into recession. This causes massive riots, and a state of civil disorder that results in another "Tianamen Square" massacre. | China | 1/2/2010
| 975 | 4025 | 5.13 | 1.24 | 11/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Formation of a Arab Gulf Treaty Organization. Any two or more of the following Iraq, Kuwate, Barain, Qutar, UAE treaty with the United States to suport each others defence. Formal name may varie. | Middle East | 1/2/2010
| 27 | 432 | 17.00 | 1.06 | 9/24/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2009.
| Middle East | 1/2/2010
| 1230 | 3293 | 3.68 | 1.37 | 12/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Pakistan descends into civil disorder. Their army is deployed to crush the uprising. | World | 1/2/2010
| 50 | 580 | 12.60 | 1.09 | 12/8/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Iranian government is unable to maintin control, and the people revoly and overthrow the mullahs. | Middle East | 1/2/2010
| 110 | 1110 | 11.09 | 1.10 | 11/16/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | As a result of the financial crisis, Russia loses it internally, and descends into civil disorder. | Russia | 1/2/2010
| 235 | 1447 | 7.16 | 1.16 | 11/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | War Between Israel and Iran. | Middle East | 1/2/2010
| 50 | 745 | 15.90 | 1.07 | 8/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | After the State dinner fiasco, Desiree Rogers goes under the bus. | US | 1/2/2010
| 0 | 71 | 71.00 | 1.00 | 12/2/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton resigns as Secretary of State. | US | 1/2/2010
| 10 | 621 | 63.10 | 1.02 | 9/10/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nancy Pelosi is no longer Speaker of the House. | US | 1/2/2010
| 300 | 1071 | 4.57 | 1.28 | 5/14/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gordon Brown is no longer Prime Minister. A Tory becomes the new English PM. | Europe | 1/2/2010
| 1800 | 3200 | 2.78 | 1.56 | 3/30/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Dow closes below 6,000. | US | 1/1/2010
| 1560 | 3440 | 3.21 | 1.45 | 1/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Dow closes above 11,000. | US | 1/1/2010
| 535 | 2905 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 1/7/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama administration indicts former DoJ attornies for providing legal memos justifying torture. | US | 1/1/2010
| 20 | 290 | 15.50 | 1.07 | 4/22/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama administration indicts CIA and/or military interrogators for acts of torture. | US | 1/1/2010
| 20 | 290 | 15.50 | 1.07 | 4/22/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | By the end of 2009, the Large Hadron Collider will have failed to detect neutralinos, gravitons, or the Higgs Boson | Sci/Tech | 1/1/2010
| 2259 | 665 | 1.29 | 4.40 | 9/2/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The US will threaten to take Cuba to the UN security council, and start a propaganda campaign calling for war against Cuba, before 2010. | US | 1/1/2010
| 110 | 2667 | 25.25 | 1.04 | 7/31/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Initiated in South America: An alliance modeled on the EU, opposed to capitalist free market policies and adversarial to the US. | General | 1/1/2010
| 515 | 4485 | 9.71 | 1.11 | 12/26/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A nuclear weapon (A-bomb or H-bomb) will be used in anger somwhere in the world before midnight Dec. 31 2009. Dirty bombs don't count. | World | 1/1/2010
| 540 | 4186 | 8.75 | 1.13 | 8/25/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Barak Obama will launch a peacekeeping operation into Somalia | World | 1/1/2010
| 290 | 1731 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 12/9/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Before the end of the year, one or more UK government ministers will invoke the Civil Contingencies Act. (Ends Dec 31 2009)
| Europe | 1/1/2010
| 110 | 860 | 8.82 | 1.13 | 3/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Afghan government collapses. | World | 1/1/2010
| 50 | 340 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 1/25/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | President elect Obama will propose some kind of permanent floating or fixed tax on fuel to keep gas above $2.25 a gallon to help and promote research into alternative fuels and transportation. | US | 1/1/2010
| 110 | 70 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 12/26/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In the US, the draft will be re-instated before the end of 2009 | US | 1/1/2010
| 99 | 4537 | 46.83 | 1.02 | 7/26/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama administration DoJ indicts Bush administration Cabinet-level official for involvement in torture of GWOT detainees. | China | 1/1/2010
| 50 | 4950 | 100.00 | 1.01 | 4/23/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Indianapolis Colts go undefeated in the regular season. | Sports | 12/27/2009
| 200 | 60 | 1.30 | 4.33 | 12/14/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | There will be an al qaeda-style terrorist attack within the first 18 months of the new presidents term. | Terrorism | 12/26/2009
| 2556 | 1190 | 1.47 | 3.15 | 9/16/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | New Orleans Saints go undefeated. | Sports | 12/20/2009
| 0 | 10 | 10.00 | 1.00 | 12/1/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Price of Gold goes above $1200/ troy ounce | General | 12/1/2009
| 756 | 1020 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 2/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong Il dies. | China | 12/1/2009
| 40 | 2331 | 59.28 | 1.02 | 7/13/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | More US soldiers for Afghanistan | US | 11/29/2009
| 158 | 205 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 10/16/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama administration is successful in closing GTMO detention facility and transfereing all detainees off island within one year per exeutive order signed 16 NOV 08. | Terrorism | 11/17/2009
| 10 | 1630 | 164.00 | 1.01 | 4/24/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jung Il Succession | World | 11/11/2009
| 120 | 1326 | 12.05 | 1.09 | 3/8/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Spot price of gold will exceed $1100.00 per ounce. | General | 11/6/2009
| 360 | 0 | 1.00 | 360.00 | 3/8/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Yankees win the World Series. | Sports | 11/5/2009
| 419 | 50 | 1.12 | 9.38 | 10/26/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Republican Candidate defeats the Democratic candidate in the Virginia Gubernatorial election. | US | 11/4/2009
| 31 | 0 | 1.00 | 31.00 | 7/16/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Governor Corzine loses his re-election as NJs governor, and a Republican wins. | US | 11/4/2009
| 11 | 0 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 3/27/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Hoffman defeats Scozzafava in the NY 23 race. | US | 11/4/2009
| 30 | 0 | 1.00 | 30.00 | 10/20/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The Republican candidate (Harmer) defeats the Democratic candidate (the Lieutenant Governor) for Ellen Tauschers seat in the California District 10 special election. | US | 11/4/2009
| 0 | 101 | 101.00 | 1.00 | 10/28/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A party to the Democratic partys nomination process files a law suit seeking to modifie or block the modification of the rules. | US | 11/1/2009
| 615 | 639 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 3/7/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Leon Panetta resigns as the head of the CIA. | US | 11/1/2009
| 115 | 1280 | 12.13 | 1.09 | 8/24/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sino-US Flare-up | China | 10/30/2009
| 120 | 1936 | 17.13 | 1.06 | 3/9/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Yankees win the AL Pennant. | Sports | 10/26/2009
| 51 | 1 | 1.02 | 52.00 | 9/28/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The LA Dodgers win the NL Pennant, and represent the NL in the World Series. | Sports | 10/22/2009
| 0 | 7 | 7.00 | 1.00 | 10/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong Un is designated the heir apparent, and Kim Jong Il moves out of the seat of power. The transfer of power proceeds smoothly, and without any internal strife or external pressure. | China | 10/21/2009
| 139 | 1401 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 5/26/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Before the end of summer, at least one civilian will be killed by uniformed officers not displaying police or military insignia while participating in protests or demonstrations within the UK.
| Europe | 9/22/2009
| 1 | 596 | 597.00 | 1.00 | 3/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by soldiers of the British Army while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| Europe | 9/22/2009
| 100 | 926 | 10.26 | 1.11 | 3/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israeli-Iranian Conflict | Middle East | 9/12/2009
| 200 | 1969 | 10.85 | 1.10 | 3/8/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | $4.00/gal or above gas prices in US by labor day, 2009. | US | 9/3/2009
| 10 | 1756 | 176.60 | 1.01 | 4/20/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Korea loses it internally, and a civil war breaks out to determine who controls the country. | China | 9/1/2009
| 1110 | 3890 | 4.50 | 1.29 | 12/17/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | An unclaimed firebombing of an ACORN office within the next three months will be vehemently blamed on "right wing extremsism" withoutsuppritng evidence...to incite violence against the right. | US | 9/1/2009
| 270 | 1366 | 6.06 | 1.20 | 6/17/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The swine flu pandemic kills more than 2,500 people. | World | 8/28/2009
| 100 | 148 | 2.48 | 1.68 | 4/29/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Before the end of the summer, one or more civilians will be shot dead by police officers while participating in protests or demonstrations within the United Kingdom.
| China | 8/23/2009
| 110 | 1474 | 14.40 | 1.07 | 3/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The US suffers a major terrorist event. The new Pres Civilian D Force gains sweeping powers. State of Emergency declared. Fed rules by issuing executive orders, creating a state sponsored autocracy. | US | 8/3/2009
| 0 | 2047 | 2,047.00 | 1.00 | 11/17/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sri Lanka will break into another civil war between the Sinhalese and the Tamilians. | General | 7/30/2009
| 100 | 1991 | 20.91 | 1.05 | 5/20/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama visits Gaza. | US | 7/20/2009
| 1 | 438 | 439.00 | 1.00 | 1/19/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A major provocation by North Korea against South Korea. This may be an attack at sea at the northern limit line, an attack at the dmz, or another type of attack that stops short of an all out war. | China | 7/7/2009
| 110 | 1328 | 13.07 | 1.08 | 6/5/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The OAS expels Honduras as a result of the "coup." | World | 7/4/2009
| 300 | 110 | 1.37 | 3.73 | 7/1/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong Il will be replaced by a Pro- Chinese "North Korean" Government | China | 7/1/2009
| 25 | 679 | 28.16 | 1.04 | 9/30/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Roland Burris resigns his recently appointed Senate seat. | US | 6/30/2009
| 123 | 141 | 2.15 | 1.87 | 2/21/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fidel Castro dies. | General | 6/30/2009
| 452 | 1905 | 5.21 | 1.24 | 1/12/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A free floating anti-ship navel mine is encountered in waters off Somalia. The mine may be improvised. | Terrorism | 6/30/2009
| 0 | 942 | 942.00 | 1.00 | 12/1/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Coup detat in Thailand | World | 6/30/2009
| 50 | 458 | 10.16 | 1.11 | 4/14/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The UN commission announces that Hezballah was responsible for killing Hariri, not Syria. This sparks another civil war in Lebanon. | Middle East | 6/24/2009
| 0 | 111 | 111.00 | 1.00 | 5/28/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | After six months, President Obama still will not have filled his Cabinet (Dept Secretaries, NSA, WH CoS). | US | 6/21/2009
| 650 | 740 | 2.14 | 1.88 | 4/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A major terrorist attack on US soil within 180 days of Obama Inauguration | Terrorism | 6/20/2009
| 2000 | 3000 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 11/20/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ahmedinejad fails to win the upcoming election in Iran. Mousavi (the principal opponent) gets enough votes to win, or at least force a run-off. | Middle East | 6/15/2009
| 1 | 114 | 115.00 | 1.01 | 6/1/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s. | Middle East | 6/9/2009
| 200 | 1079 | 6.40 | 1.19 | 12/21/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | US cuts DDG-1000 in new budget | US | 6/2/2009
| 14 | 0 | 1.00 | 14.00 | 2/26/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | US cuts FCS in new budget | US | 6/2/2009
| 23 | 0 | 1.00 | 23.00 | 2/26/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | US cuts F-35 in new budget | US | 5/31/2009
| 0 | 2061 | 2,061.00 | 1.00 | 2/26/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | US cuts F-22 Raptor in new budget | US | 5/31/2009
| 311 | 25 | 1.08 | 13.44 | 2/26/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Pakistan Collapses. | Middle East | 5/31/2009
| 0 | 425 | 425.00 | 1.00 | 4/30/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama nominates Granholm to fill Souters vacant seat. | US | 5/26/2009
| 1 | 10 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 5/18/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama appoints Deval Patrick to the Supreme Court replacing Souter. | US | 5/26/2009
| 0 | 21 | 21.00 | 1.00 | 5/17/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama nominates Hillary Clinton to fill the Souter vacancy. | US | 5/26/2009
| 0 | 171 | 171.00 | 1.00 | 5/3/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Norks explodes a bigger nuc. | World | 5/25/2009
| 100 | 35 | 1.35 | 3.86 | 4/23/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Man Utd win 2008-09 Prem | Sports | 5/16/2009
| 3438 | 73 | 1.02 | 48.10 | 10/9/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | EFV will be declared vital to national security and remain a viable program | US | 5/4/2009
| 20 | 205 | 11.25 | 1.10 | 3/1/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Obama normalizes relations with Cuba. | US | 5/2/2009
| 845 | 2764 | 4.27 | 1.31 | 5/24/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Japan shoots down the North Korean missile launch. | China | 4/5/2009
| 20 | 198 | 10.90 | 1.10 | 3/16/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A nuclear attack will be carried out by the Islamic Republic of Iran against the State of Israel. | Terrorism | 4/1/2009
| 55 | 1670 | 31.36 | 1.03 | 9/16/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US will attack area under the soverign control of Pakistan, in an attempt to flush out Al-Qeadas bases and to hopefully find Osama Bin Laden by the end of January 2009. | US | 3/31/2009
| 10 | 485 | 49.50 | 1.02 | 11/24/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Israel election Feb. 10.
Likud wins and forms goverment. | Middle East | 3/27/2009
| 220 | 18 | 1.08 | 13.22 | 11/12/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be an invasion of Taiwan by China. | US | 3/21/2009
| 0 | 462 | 462.00 | 1.00 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a conflict between North and South Korea. | US | 3/21/2009
| 0 | 451 | 451.00 | 1.00 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The next presidents first crisis will be a resumption of the war on Israels northern border. The assailants can be either Hezbollah, Syria, or both. | US | 3/21/2009
| 763 | 350 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009
| 0 | 201 | 201.00 | 1.00 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russia places nuclear tipped missiles in Kaliningrad. The next presidents first crisis will be a move against NATO. | US | 3/21/2009
| 60 | 329 | 6.48 | 1.18 | 11/7/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be the flight of investment capital in reaction to an anticipated explosion in taxes and regulation. | US | 3/21/2009
| 1420 | 620 | 1.44 | 3.29 | 10/24/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash between The Peoples Republic of China and North Korea. | US | 3/21/2009
| 50 | 226 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Thye next presidents first crisis will be a war between Iran and Israel. | US | 3/21/2009
| 80 | 661 | 9.26 | 1.12 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion into a former Soviet Union State other than Georgia or Ukraine. | US | 3/21/2009
| 25 | 276 | 12.04 | 1.09 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a Russian incursion back into Georgia. | US | 3/21/2009
| 20 | 150 | 8.50 | 1.13 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a border clash in Afghanistan with Pakistani troops. | US | 3/21/2009
| 12 | 161 | 14.42 | 1.07 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next presidents first crisis will be a war between India and Pakistan as a result of the terrorist attacks in Mumbai. | US | 3/21/2009
| 0 | 136 | 136.00 | 1.00 | 11/28/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Iran will not use nukes on Israel. | Middle East | 3/20/2009
| 1383 | 317 | 1.23 | 5.36 | 5/18/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | One of the Big three automakers will cease to exist. | US | 3/1/2009
| 606 | 3703 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 12/18/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Benjamin Netanyahu elected next Israeli Prime Minister | Middle East | 2/23/2009
| 570 | 201 | 1.35 | 3.84 | 2/9/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Chavez loses his proposed referendum. | World | 2/16/2009
| 260 | 160 | 1.62 | 2.63 | 1/14/2009 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | AFC team wins the Super Bowl. | Sports | 2/1/2009
| 110 | 501 | 5.55 | 1.22 | 1/13/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US will attack territories under Pakistans administration before end of Jan 2009 | Terrorism | 2/1/2009
| 100 | 320 | 4.20 | 1.31 | 11/24/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | It will be announced that Kim Jong Il has died. | China | 2/1/2009
| 160 | 2423 | 16.14 | 1.07 | 10/27/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States or Israel will destroy Iran''s nuclear facilities before 2/1/09 driving oil on the spot market over $200. a barrel. | Middle East | 2/1/2009
| 241 | 4759 | 20.75 | 1.05 | 5/20/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Caroline Kennedy will be selected to fill the balance of Hillary Clintons term in the US Senate. | US | 1/23/2009
| 30 | 404 | 14.47 | 1.07 | 1/19/2009 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Caroline Kennedy will be appointed to replace Hillary Clinton as senator for New York | US | 1/23/2009
| 885 | 350 | 1.40 | 3.53 | 12/18/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | George W. Bush succeeded by his vice-president. | US | 1/20/2009
| 920 | 4106 | 5.46 | 1.22 | 11/19/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | USA or Israel will bomb Iran's Nukes | Iraq | 1/1/2009
| 2698 | 2302 | 1.85 | 2.17 | 1/26/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In about 2 years Chavez will begin border skirmishes with one of Venezuela's neighbours (Guyana, Colombia or Brazil) as a way of exercising his "bolivarian forces". | World | 1/1/2009
| 1917 | 2477 | 2.29 | 1.77 | 8/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Cuba's offshore oil fields will prove to be a lot larger than previously thought. Putting it in the worlds top ten reserves. | World | 1/1/2009
| 692 | 2365 | 4.42 | 1.29 | 11/16/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Arab nations will initiate mutual discussion on the subject of the eventual formation of an Arab federal union(perhaps AU). | Middle East | 1/1/2009
| 225 | 1079 | 5.80 | 1.21 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Dow Jones average will close below 6000` | US | 1/1/2009
| 610 | 1698 | 3.78 | 1.36 | 1/18/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will launch a nuclear attack against Israel | Middle East | 1/1/2009
| 131 | 3127 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 1/16/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Iranian government dominates Iraq since it will be a nuclear power and Iranian agents or sympathizers are elected to public office and institute pro -Iranian policies. | China | 1/1/2009
| 320 | 2000 | 7.25 | 1.16 | 1/2/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tom Delay is convicted of consipracy to violate Texas state campaign finance laws | US | 1/1/2009
| 565 | 2652 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 9/28/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Osama bin Laden will be killed by the end of 2008 | Terrorism | 1/1/2009
| 5 | 781 | 157.20 | 1.01 | 9/16/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Raul Castro overthrown in coup d''etat U.S. blamed | World | 1/1/2009
| 250 | 2149 | 9.60 | 1.12 | 2/19/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Chinese Navy will lose a warship or submarine due to a major accident by 12/31/2008 | China | 1/1/2009
| 270 | 2583 | 10.57 | 1.10 | 1/25/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/1/2009
| 1288 | 262 | 1.20 | 5.92 | 9/13/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2008 year above 11,000 | US | 1/1/2009
| 1 | 861 | 862.00 | 1.00 | 10/7/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Venezuelan and/or Ecuadorian troops will engage in direct combat with Colombian forces. | World | 1/1/2009
| 295 | 1515 | 6.14 | 1.19 | 3/3/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China will have a fixed-wing aircraft carrier operational by the end of 2008 | China | 1/1/2009
| 15 | 3075 | 206.00 | 1.00 | 12/23/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States of America and Islamic republic of Iran acheave a diplomatic brake through in 2008. | Middle East | 1/1/2009
| 288 | 2122 | 8.37 | 1.14 | 12/19/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Dick Cheney does not finish 2nd term. | US | 1/1/2009
| 1027 | 3973 | 4.87 | 1.26 | 11/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil unrest will cause the pullout of US forces from Qatar by 2008 | Middle East | 1/1/2009
| 1000 | 4000 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 9/19/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Japan will gain a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, although it won't necessarily have veto power. | General | 1/1/2009
| 1285 | 3715 | 3.89 | 1.35 | 11/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bush suspends Presidential elections / Martial law declared. | US | 12/19/2008
| 35 | 4965 | 142.86 | 1.01 | 1/7/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Radical Islamists bent on exporting revolution attempt overthrow of government of major Arab country or countries. | Middle East | 12/15/2008
| 1091 | 2212 | 3.03 | 1.49 | 7/2/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Boeing will successfully challenge the KC-X contract awarded to Northrop-Grumman/Airbus. | US | 12/9/2008
| 315 | 871 | 3.77 | 1.36 | 3/7/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States and Iraq fail to reach a security agreement that authorizes the US to maintain its troops in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/28/2008
| 200 | 602 | 4.01 | 1.33 | 10/28/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sen. Ted Stevens(R) AK loses his bid for reelection. | US | 11/8/2008
| 0 | 20 | 20.00 | 1.00 | 11/3/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Srnator Clinton will cry in public, on-camera, at least once, before the 2008 elections are over. Crying prior to super-Tuesday 2008 does not count. | US | 11/8/2008
| 219 | 325 | 2.48 | 1.67 | 2/9/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | California will pass Prop 8 defining marriage as being between a man and a woman. | US | 11/5/2008
| 210 | 155 | 1.74 | 2.35 | 10/31/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Republicans lose at least 25 seats in the House of Representatives. | US | 11/5/2008
| 225 | 126 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 10/24/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | In a re-match of the 2004 governors race in Washington State, this time Rossi defeats Gregoire. | US | 11/5/2008
| 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10/24/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Democrats increase their number of seats in the US Senate by 3. | US | 11/5/2008
| 1506 | 430 | 1.29 | 4.50 | 4/20/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Perfect Storm 2008 - Obama elected President; Democrats increase to 60 Senate seats (filibuster proof) and Democrats increase their control in House of Representives. | US | 11/5/2008
| 830 | 705 | 1.85 | 2.18 | 9/11/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Al Franken defeats Norm Coleman for the MN Senate seat in 2008.. | US | 11/5/2008
| 160 | 41 | 1.26 | 4.90 | 10/25/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Democrats will vote to re-instate a military draft before the 2008 elections | US | 11/5/2008
| 100 | 3446 | 35.46 | 1.03 | 11/19/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Republican candidate wins the white House/Presidency in 2008 election. | US | 11/5/2008
| 1725 | 2807 | 2.63 | 1.61 | 7/8/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Republican nominee Senator John McCain handily defeats Democrat nominee Senator Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential Election. | US | 11/5/2008
| 3625 | 1375 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 4/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Rep. John Murtha loses his seat to challenger Bill Russell. | US | 11/5/2008
| 429 | 1 | 1.00 | 430.00 | 10/23/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | McCain will be elected president of the United States | US | 11/5/2008
| 2810 | 2221 | 1.79 | 2.27 | 12/29/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Obama is elected President of the United States | US | 11/5/2008
| 2926 | 1945 | 1.66 | 2.50 | 4/8/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Barrack Obama is found to have more than $10 million in illegal campaign donations and does not win the election (either resigns or loses) due to the worst political scandal since Watergate. | US | 11/4/2008
| 30 | 910 | 31.33 | 1.03 | 10/2/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been a US Senator. | US | 11/3/2008
| 3204 | 225 | 1.07 | 15.24 | 10/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be or will have been governor of a state. | US | 11/3/2008
| 256 | 2310 | 10.02 | 1.11 | 10/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The person elected President of the US in 2008 will be a resident of a state of the former Confederacy. | US | 11/3/2008
| 529 | 1010 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 10/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | October Surprise: A US surveillance flight is shot down over Iran and the pilot taken captive during the month of October. | Middle East | 11/2/2008
| 800 | 3847 | 5.81 | 1.21 | 10/4/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Strategic Military Alliance between USA and India. Other participants such as Japan and Australia may be part of agreement | US | 11/2/2008
| 1721 | 3396 | 2.97 | 1.51 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Constitution of the United States is amended to permit naturalized citizens to be President. | US | 11/1/2008
| 656 | 4367 | 7.66 | 1.15 | 11/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will attack Iraq, during the same time as America is drawing down troops from Iraq. | Middle East | 10/31/2008
| 35 | 2229 | 64.69 | 1.02 | 6/28/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The city of Atlanta, Georgia will run out of drinking water in 2008 | US | 10/31/2008
| 20 | 2050 | 103.50 | 1.01 | 12/16/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tampa Bay beats Philadelphia in the World Series | Sports | 10/29/2008
| 1 | 15 | 16.00 | 1.07 | 10/20/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rudolf Guilianni will be elected president of the United States, | US | 10/15/2008
| 710 | 3370 | 5.75 | 1.21 | 10/24/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clilnton will be elected president of the united States. | US | 10/15/2008
| 1115 | 3885 | 4.48 | 1.29 | 10/21/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton will be elected president of the United States. | US | 10/15/2008
| 1703 | 3553 | 3.09 | 1.48 | 8/4/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton will stay in the race no matter who the democratic nominee is (e.g. she will run as an Independent if Obama wins the nomination). | US | 10/15/2008
| 20 | 1015 | 51.75 | 1.02 | 5/7/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Raul Castro captured in Cuba and brought to the U.S. on outstanding drug smuggling warrants | World | 10/15/2008
| 208 | 2495 | 13.00 | 1.08 | 2/19/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The S & P 500 will be below 1000 | US | 10/7/2008
| 11 | 475 | 44.18 | 1.02 | 3/16/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sarah Palin drops out as McCains runnning mate. | US | 10/5/2008
| 0 | 1329 | 1,329.00 | 1.00 | 9/2/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | This is the year! After last winning the World Series in 1908, the Chicago Cubs win the world Series in 2008 | Sports | 10/5/2008
| 1 | 110 | 111.00 | 1.01 | 9/17/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sarah Palin resigns as McCains VP candidate. | US | 10/5/2008
| 400 | 1846 | 5.62 | 1.22 | 9/3/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Will history repeat itself? Last year, the NY Mets had a 7 game lead with 17 left to play. This year, they lead by 3 1/2 games with 17 left to play. Will the Mets choke again? | Sports | 9/27/2008
| 1 | 120 | 121.00 | 1.01 | 9/11/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Chicago Cubs winn 100 or more games during the regular season. | Sports | 9/27/2008
| 0 | 116 | 116.00 | 1.00 | 9/3/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Mike Huckabee will be elected President of the United States | US | 9/27/2008
| 104 | 2053 | 20.74 | 1.05 | 11/27/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Joe Biden withdraws as Obamas running mate | US | 9/27/2008
| 10 | 386 | 39.60 | 1.03 | 9/10/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | New England Patriots will NOT go undefeated in the regular season in 2008. | Sports | 9/21/2008
| 322 | 0 | 1.00 | 322.00 | 2/4/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | New center/right reform populist party fields a presidential ticket for the '08 election. | US | 9/14/2008
| 144 | 1177 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 2/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rudolf Giuliani will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President | US | 9/9/2008
| 1631 | 3369 | 3.07 | 1.48 | 8/4/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination for President | US | 9/9/2008
| 30 | 2305 | 77.83 | 1.01 | 1/26/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee will be the Republican presidental nominee for the 2008 presidential election. | US | 9/9/2008
| 31 | 1525 | 50.19 | 1.02 | 11/20/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Mitt Romney will be nominated as the Repeblican candidate for President
| US | 9/9/2008
| 660 | 4340 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 8/9/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Senator McCain picks Governor Sanford as his VP running mate. | US | 9/5/2008
| 0 | 18 | 18.00 | 1.00 | 3/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Senator Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate | US | 9/5/2008
| 0 | 944 | 944.00 | 1.00 | 12/30/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fred Dalton Thompson will be the Republican nominee for the 2008 Presidential election. | US | 9/5/2008
| 885 | 4149 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 3/29/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Charlie Crist will be the republican VP nominee. | US | 9/5/2008
| 0 | 371 | 371.00 | 1.00 | 5/22/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bobby Jindal will be the Republican VP nominee. | US | 9/5/2008
| 55 | 75 | 2.36 | 1.73 | 5/22/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Will Senator McCain choose Senator Joe Lieberman as his running mate? | US | 9/5/2008
| 410 | 773 | 2.89 | 1.53 | 4/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | McCain picks Lindsey Graham as his VP. | US | 9/5/2008
| 0 | 120 | 120.00 | 1.00 | 4/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Senator McCain picks Governor Pawlenty as his VP running mate. | US | 9/5/2008
| 15 | 59 | 4.93 | 1.25 | 3/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Senator McCain picks Mitt Romney as his VP running mate | US | 9/5/2008
| 2051 | 1541 | 1.75 | 2.33 | 3/16/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Riots break out at the 2008 Democratic Convention | US | 9/2/2008
| 280 | 560 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 5/2/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney will be the 2008 Republican presidential nominee. | US | 9/1/2008
| 185 | 1259 | 7.81 | 1.15 | 7/27/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Senator George Allen will be the 2008 Republican presidential candidate. | US | 9/1/2008
| 45 | 1887 | 42.93 | 1.02 | 7/2/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Republicans will delay their convention because of Hurricane Gustav. | US | 9/1/2008
| 136 | 50 | 1.37 | 3.72 | 8/31/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Joe Biden will makes at least one verbal gaff during the DNCC in Denver. | US | 9/1/2008
| 1000 | 60 | 1.06 | 17.67 | 8/26/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Former governer of the Commonwealth of Virginia, Mark Warner clinches the Democratic presidential nomination. | US | 8/31/2008
| 145 | 1530 | 11.55 | 1.09 | 2/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. | US | 8/31/2008
| 3840 | 1222 | 1.32 | 4.14 | 2/11/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Governor Bill Richardson will be nominated for President by the Democratic party | US | 8/31/2008
| 10 | 129 | 13.90 | 1.08 | 2/4/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton in 2008 primaries to be Dem Presidential candidate but loses out to another Dem candidate | US | 8/31/2008
| 1436 | 1435 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 7/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Pollution mars Bejing Olympic games | China | 8/31/2008
| 1307 | 149 | 1.11 | 9.77 | 2/6/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Democrats will convince Senator Joe Lieberman they need him to be the Democratic presidential standard bearer for the 2008 presidential race. | US | 8/31/2008
| 150 | 3688 | 25.59 | 1.04 | 4/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama will choose Al Gore as his running mate. | US | 8/31/2008
| 157 | 4843 | 31.85 | 1.03 | 5/20/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The 2008 Democratic Presidential ticket will be either Obama / Clinton or Clinton / Obama | US | 8/31/2008
| 5 | 910 | 183.00 | 1.01 | 3/5/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Obama is nominated as the Democratic candidate for President | US | 8/31/2008
| 3478 | 1160 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 1/6/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Obama picks Christine Todd Whitman for his VP slot. | US | 8/31/2008
| 0 | 190 | 190.00 | 1.00 | 4/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Senator Obama selects Bill Richardson as his VP running mate. | US | 8/31/2008
| 671 | 125 | 1.19 | 6.37 | 3/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Baharain King His Majesty Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be attacked and badly hurt in veciuos attack, forcing him to move into exille. | Middle East | 8/31/2008
| 71 | 1872 | 27.37 | 1.04 | 4/13/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | 2008 Olympics in Beijing canceled after China invades Taiwan | China | 8/22/2008
| 518 | 4549 | 9.78 | 1.11 | 7/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sen. Obama will hint at, or designate, a woman running mate to secure his nomination by the democratic party | US | 8/15/2008
| 50 | 622 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 2/9/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | USA defeats China in Basketball. | China | 8/10/2008
| 501 | 5 | 1.01 | 101.20 | 8/7/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | C. RICE will be nominated as V.P. for Republican Party August 2008 | US | 8/1/2008
| 1660 | 3635 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 2/21/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Senator Obama selects Tom Daschle as his VP running mate. | US | 8/1/2008
| 0 | 113 | 113.00 | 1.00 | 3/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | NYC Mayor Michael Bloomburg becomes Obama''s running mate. | US | 8/1/2008
| 200 | 912 | 5.56 | 1.22 | 2/12/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The City of Detroit, Michigan will file for bankruptcy. | US | 7/31/2008
| 575 | 1528 | 3.66 | 1.38 | 12/8/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The US Congress will either overturn the USAF tanker in its entirely or they will force the USAF to split the award between Northrop and Boeing. | US | 7/17/2008
| 221 | 47 | 1.21 | 5.70 | 3/5/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | There will be another major terrorist attack successfully carried out in the United States. | Terrorism | 7/1/2008
| 500 | 4500 | 10.00 | 1.11 | 7/6/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iranian backed Shiites take over Iraq | Iraq | 6/30/2008
| 211 | 2727 | 13.92 | 1.08 | 8/26/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Democratic National Committee announces their 2008 candidate for the President of the United States of America before Fathers Day, June 15th. | US | 6/8/2008
| 405 | 210 | 1.52 | 2.93 | 3/21/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel will declare its intention to withdraw from, at least, 80% of territories it occupied in 1967 six day war. | Middle East | 6/5/2008
| 1310 | 3845 | 3.94 | 1.34 | 1/13/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | India will select either the F-16 or F/A-18 as its new combat aircraft | World | 6/3/2008
| 2121 | 5411 | 3.55 | 1.39 | 9/13/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fidel Castro dies | World | 6/3/2008
| 735 | 2307 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 2/19/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China puts US economy in spin by demanding payment in Euros abandoning the US dollar | China | 6/3/2008
| 901 | 4229 | 5.69 | 1.21 | 3/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China military in Cuba. Announce defense and trade (subsidy) pact. | China | 5/1/2008
| 501 | 4094 | 9.17 | 1.12 | 3/3/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bear Stearns fails to find a buyer, and ceases to exist as a going business. | US | 4/15/2008
| 1 | 52 | 53.00 | 1.02 | 3/16/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008
| 855 | 4176 | 5.88 | 1.20 | 11/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama as the presidential ticket for the 2008 election. | US | 3/31/2008
| 311 | 2355 | 8.57 | 1.13 | 11/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Simba Makoni, ex-Zimbabwean Finance minister, will be assassinated before the General Elections in March | World | 3/30/2008
| 20 | 1222 | 62.10 | 1.02 | 2/15/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | City of Vallejo CA. will avoid filing bankruptcy. | US | 3/15/2008
| 429 | 5 | 1.01 | 86.80 | 3/1/2008 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Boeing will have firm orders for at least 650 787 Dreamliners (all models) before the delivery of the first aircraft in May 2008. | Sci/Tech | 3/8/2008
| 780 | 10 | 1.01 | 79.00 | 8/24/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The New England patriots win the Super Bowl and complete a perfect 19-0 season. | Sports | 2/3/2008
| 695 | 1088 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 1/22/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Karl Rove will lose his White House job. | US | 2/3/2008
| 1410 | 1691 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 7/3/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Before the next election in Russia, there will be at least one significant incident of violence or intimidation directed against a prominent person or group opposing Putin & those with him. | Russia | 2/3/2008
| 1081 | 110 | 1.10 | 10.83 | 4/26/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gen. John Abizaid Announces Intent To Retire and Run For Democratic Pres. Nomination | US | 1/24/2008
| 2 | 956 | 479.00 | 1.00 | 3/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Donald Rumsfeld will stay in his post at least for the remainder of the Bush Adm. | US | 1/24/2008
| 1496 | 1844 | 2.23 | 1.81 | 12/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | San Diego Chargers will go to the 2007 Season Super Bowl. | US | 1/24/2008
| 1 | 1043 | 1,044.00 | 1.00 | 1/27/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Gov. Mike Huckabee wins Iowa Republican Presedencail caucuse. | US | 1/14/2008
| 735 | 25 | 1.03 | 30.40 | 11/18/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Indianapolis Colts play in the 2007 season Super Bowl. | US | 1/14/2008
| 10 | 417 | 42.70 | 1.02 | 1/27/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Legal challenge to use of Airbus A380 in US. | Sci/Tech | 1/13/2008
| 1987 | 3095 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 1/18/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Georgian election disputes result in violence that either jails or injures more than 100 protestors. | World | 1/13/2008
| 0 | 110 | 110.00 | 1.00 | 1/6/2008 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | NASA will retire a Space Shuttle Orbiter by the end of 2007. | Sci/Tech | 1/12/2008
| 655 | 3300 | 6.04 | 1.20 | 7/14/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Airbus SAS will not sell more than 140 A350 XWB aircraft by December 31, 2007. | General | 1/12/2008
| 159 | 205 | 2.29 | 1.78 | 6/12/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | An Al Qaeda operation will be found to be operating out of Haiti. | Terrorism | 1/11/2008
| 371 | 2145 | 6.78 | 1.17 | 10/23/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2007 will be higher than 2006 | Iraq | 1/11/2008
| 3941 | 1136 | 1.29 | 4.47 | 1/23/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The number of US military personel killed in the Middle East will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | Middle East | 1/11/2008
| 2756 | 1470 | 1.53 | 2.87 | 7/16/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | U.S. housing market decline - 2007 median home price lower than 2006 | US | 1/11/2008
| 1182 | 815 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 3/27/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ron Paul stuns Republican opponents by winning New Hampshire Primary | General | 1/11/2008
| 367 | 4641 | 13.65 | 1.08 | 8/9/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Rafale fighter will have secured no foreign purchase contract(s) prior 01-Jan-2008 | Europe | 1/11/2008
| 1001 | 1 | 1.00 | 1,002.00 | 9/13/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Boeing will sell at least 60 B787 aircraft [firm orders only] between 1/1/2007 and 12/31/2007. | General | 1/11/2008
| 1392 | 0 | 1.00 | 1,392.00 | 2/4/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The number of Western military personel killed in the Afghanistan will be higher in 2007 than in 2006. | China | 1/11/2008
| 3021 | 1635 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 7/17/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic Caucus | US | 1/10/2008
| 1871 | 603 | 1.32 | 4.10 | 12/3/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe or his followers publicly state that they have killed a catholic priest or other member of a catholic religious order. | World | 1/8/2008
| 4 | 1324 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 5/18/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Governor Doyle of Wisconsin will be indicted. | US | 1/8/2008
| 65 | 423 | 7.51 | 1.15 | 11/8/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Windows Vista DRM will be hacked, raising concerns about the security of the Vista Operating System | Sci/Tech | 1/8/2008
| 953 | 608 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 1/10/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Mike Nifong, the prosecutor in the Duke rape case, will be disbarred. | US | 1/8/2008
| 1305 | 132 | 1.10 | 10.89 | 1/10/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Not a single mile of federally financed hard-fence (not virtual) will be built on the Mexican border in 2007. | US | 1/8/2008
| 5046 | 1305 | 1.26 | 4.87 | 12/11/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | American will station the majority of its troops in the Kurdish North of Iraq and all ow the Shi'a and Sunnis fight it out. | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 805 | 4247 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 12/3/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Iran’s nuke program is never attacked; Iran builds a bomb in-secret | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 977 | 1037 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 11/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | An administration official, US House representative or US Senator will publicly advocate restoring Saddam to power in Iraq in order to end what they will call chaos. | Iraq | 1/8/2008
| 100 | 1331 | 14.31 | 1.08 | 10/24/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/8/2008
| 152 | 2039 | 14.41 | 1.07 | 10/20/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Najif type battle occurs in Basra when Muqata Al-Sadar again defies the iraqi government. | Iraq | 1/8/2008
| 575 | 4470 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 4/3/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will have a nuclear tipped missle that could reqch Israel | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 1704 | 3372 | 2.98 | 1.51 | 1/16/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Cuba Will Become a Satellite of a Major Power Which Is Not the US | General | 1/8/2008
| 66 | 2021 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 1/20/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | American nuclear power is back! | US | 1/8/2008
| 729 | 131 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 7/26/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iraq assumes responsibility for its own security. | Iraq | 1/8/2008
| 110 | 1364 | 13.40 | 1.08 | 1/27/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The S&P will be over 1600 by the last day of this year. | US | 1/8/2008
| 1 | 352 | 353.00 | 1.00 | 11/2/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The S&P 500 will be 1350 or lower on December 31, 2007 | US | 1/8/2008
| 550 | 4200 | 8.64 | 1.13 | 8/4/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will use a nuclear weapon against Israel within the next year. | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 2 | 2941 | 1,471.50 | 1.00 | 4/12/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The national median home value will rise from 1/1/2007 to 12/31/2007 | US | 1/8/2008
| 925 | 3397 | 4.67 | 1.27 | 2/24/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil war in Lebanon (triggered by the Israeli attack) will continue until 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 325 | 1021 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 7/23/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A passenger aircraft flying out of an American airport will be hijacked. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008
| 236 | 4945 | 21.95 | 1.05 | 7/19/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | America will succeed in creating a stable democratic Iraq. | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 321 | 1110 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 7/10/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bird flu threat leads to a cull of poultry in the continental U.S., exceeding 1,000 count. | US | 1/8/2008
| 772 | 4392 | 6.69 | 1.18 | 4/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorists will strike on Canadian soil before January 1. 2008. | Terrorism | 1/8/2008
| 684 | 3713 | 6.43 | 1.18 | 11/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Saddam Hussein regains dictatorial power in Iraq | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 161 | 4930 | 31.62 | 1.03 | 9/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | After winning re-election for a second term, the Bush administration will successfully lobby Congress to repeal the 22nd Amendment restricting a President to two terms. | US | 1/8/2008
| 215 | 4838 | 23.50 | 1.04 | 8/24/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will test a nuclear weapon, either openly or without acknowledging it, before 2008 | Middle East | 1/8/2008
| 1851 | 3150 | 2.70 | 1.59 | 9/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Domestic left-wing groups/individuals will attempt to assassinate a major national conservative political figure during the 2nd Bush administration. | US | 1/8/2008
| 1868 | 3222 | 2.72 | 1.58 | 11/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russia will announce a sale of advanced long-range Sukhoi-30 fighter jets to Iran. | Middle East | 12/16/2007
| 70 | 561 | 9.01 | 1.12 | 7/31/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Turkey will carry out a major offensive against the PKK, and cross the border into Iraq by end of August. | Iraq | 12/9/2007
| 1480 | 3578 | 3.42 | 1.41 | 5/30/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2007 hurricane season. | US | 12/4/2007
| 1942 | 3100 | 2.60 | 1.63 | 1/27/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US fighters scramble to intercept Russian bombers approaching CONUS | Russia | 12/4/2007
| 650 | 4575 | 8.04 | 1.14 | 9/15/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States will deploy American soldiers to the Darfur region of Sudan, as part of a UN approved peacekeeping force. | World | 12/4/2007
| 20 | 2587 | 130.35 | 1.01 | 7/31/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Democrats In Congress Propose Federally Mandated Licensing Of the Possession Of All Handguns Together With Mandated Fees. | US | 11/29/2007
| 385 | 3268 | 9.49 | 1.12 | 11/10/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Chicago Cubs will win the 2007 Major League BaseBall World Series | Sports | 11/29/2007
| 26 | 1892 | 73.77 | 1.01 | 11/10/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The New Congress Will Debate A Proposal For Bringing Back the Draft. | US | 11/29/2007
| 450 | 2317 | 6.15 | 1.19 | 11/9/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Republicans React To Election. Giuliani In and Dobson Out. | US | 11/29/2007
| 135 | 6 | 1.04 | 23.50 | 11/9/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bush Will Select A Successor And Replace Cheney With That Successor. | US | 11/29/2007
| 0 | 1606 | 1,606.00 | 1.00 | 11/8/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bush Will Conduct a White House Makeover. Conservatives Purged. Cheney And At Least Rice Will Be Gone To Purchase Peace With Democrats. | US | 11/29/2007
| 50 | 3041 | 61.82 | 1.02 | 11/8/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 11/29/2007
| 356 | 2447 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 8/28/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Jazeera station in Doha will be bombed flat. | Middle East | 11/29/2007
| 4 | 1127 | 282.75 | 1.00 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Weapons of mass destruction ie. Chemical bio.
or atomic will be found by end of 2007 in Iraq.
however the Government will try to suppress this Info under NATIONAL SECURITIES ACT. | Iraq | 11/29/2007
| 10 | 1000 | 101.00 | 1.01 | 2/21/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Milwaukee Brewers will will the National League Pennant | Sports | 11/29/2007
| 2 | 303 | 152.50 | 1.01 | 7/2/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Milwaukee Brewers will win the National League Central Division. | Sports | 11/29/2007
| 110 | 417 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 7/2/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Colorado Rockies win the World Series. | Sports | 11/29/2007
| 210 | 570 | 3.71 | 1.37 | 10/16/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Al Qaeda style Islamist will throw Pakistans Prime minister, Musharef, out of office. | Middle East | 11/29/2007
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9/4/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish over .500 | Sports | 11/29/2007
| 237 | 6 | 1.03 | 40.50 | 7/2/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States conducts avowed military operations against Iran. | General | 11/29/2007
| 20 | 4987 | 250.35 | 1.00 | 6/21/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel and Syria will go to war by the end of the summer | Middle East | 11/29/2007
| 150 | 4914 | 33.76 | 1.03 | 6/9/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Turkish F16 will be shot down by Greek Air Force. | Europe | 11/29/2007
| 300 | 4842 | 17.14 | 1.06 | 4/14/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorists Blow Up Euro Disney. Kill hundreds of children. Muslim Group claims responsibility. France makes massive political shift towards America and Europe on War in Middle East | Middle East | 11/29/2007
| 6 | 1530 | 256.00 | 1.00 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Civilian war deaths in Lebanon will exceed civil war deaths in Israel by at least a 10:1 ratio at 2006 year end (BBC news and Red Cross figures to be used in case of dispute). | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 555 | 100 | 1.18 | 6.55 | 8/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John Bolton keeps his post as US Ambassabor to the United Nations. | US | 8/6/2007
| 100 | 1495 | 15.95 | 1.07 | 11/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Dallas Mavericks will win the NBA Championship. | Sports | 8/6/2007
| 225 | 1521 | 7.76 | 1.15 | 1/25/2007 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The coup led by Fijian military commander Frank Bainimarama will succeed. | World | 8/6/2007
| 4528 | 520 | 1.11 | 9.71 | 12/5/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Segolene Royal will be elected President of France. | Europe | 8/6/2007
| 310 | 1191 | 4.84 | 1.26 | 4/14/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | U.S. military will deploy Arabic language translation computer. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 440 | 9708 | 23.06 | 1.05 | 9/21/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | WTI Crude Oil will be trading at or between $55.00-$60.00 (USD) a barrel by 01/31/07. | World | 8/6/2007
| 991 | 2453 | 3.48 | 1.40 | 9/16/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone.
| World | 8/6/2007
| 270 | 335 | 2.24 | 1.81 | 3/17/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Pope Benedict XVI will die before March 1, 2007 | World | 8/6/2007
| 717 | 4383 | 7.11 | 1.16 | 4/19/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | India will attack millitant outfits in pakistan occupied kashmir, thereby beginning the World War 3 by 01-03-07 | Terrorism | 8/6/2007
| 0 | 1998 | 1,998.00 | 1.00 | 8/11/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Japan will approve a change in it's Constitution to allow for pre-emptive strikes. | World | 8/6/2007
| 1566 | 3536 | 3.26 | 1.44 | 7/26/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Apple's iphone will be a runaway hit ALL across NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE and will be SOLD OUT IN NO TIME.. | General | 8/6/2007
| 321 | 0 | 1.00 | 321.00 | 7/2/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sectarian clashes in Lebanon end in civil war. Syria enters the country and install an Iran-backed military occupation. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 5 | 1665 | 334.00 | 1.00 | 11/23/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Osama Bin Laden killed, body produced. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 1005 | 4218 | 5.20 | 1.24 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iranian retaliation for attacks in its boarders will be attacks in Israel. Up risings in Bahrain and terrorist attacks through Iranian funded militants in Kuwait and Qatar. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 21 | 1580 | 76.24 | 1.01 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | NATO Seizes Iranian Oil Fields Preliminary to Using Economic Pressure On Iran To Comply With NPT. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 25 | 5449 | 218.96 | 1.00 | 3/24/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | year, 2007 NYC, will be attacked again by terrorist! | Terrorism | 8/6/2007
| 142 | 5335 | 38.57 | 1.03 | 2/5/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Ford Motor Co. will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007
| 4606 | 3505 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 12/2/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | General Motors will file for bankruptcy. | US | 8/6/2007
| 2187 | 2919 | 2.33 | 1.75 | 11/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The 15 UK servicemen siezed by Iran in the Shatt al-Arab waterway, will still be held as of 4/10/07. | World | 8/6/2007
| 1310 | 1816 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 3/27/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Syria and Iran invade Iraq and set up insurgent puppet regime.
| Iraq | 8/6/2007
| 61 | 4945 | 82.07 | 1.01 | 2/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hezbollah will be strengthened by the Israeli invasion of Lebanon. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 275 | 2417 | 9.79 | 1.11 | 7/16/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel will withdraw for more settelments after the Gaza disengagment plan | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 900 | 9000 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 12/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | UPS will cancel its A380F order leaving Airbus without any customers for the A380. | General | 8/6/2007
| 540 | 2470 | 5.57 | 1.22 | 1/21/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Bears win '07 Superbowl. | Sports | 8/6/2007
| 3953 | 620 | 1.16 | 7.38 | 2/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Seahawks will win the 07 Superbowl | Sports | 8/6/2007
| 100 | 3593 | 36.93 | 1.03 | 2/7/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Colts win '07 Superbowl. | US | 8/6/2007
| 1510 | 3735 | 3.47 | 1.40 | 2/3/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Before all US troops have pulled out of Iraq, the country will collapse into civil war and effectively Balkanize. | Iraq | 8/6/2007
| 335 | 3155 | 10.42 | 1.11 | 12/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iraq Reconciliation Deal Package - Saddam Leaves Iraq To Live In Exile | Iraq | 8/6/2007
| 385 | 4717 | 13.25 | 1.08 | 5/9/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | There will be a war between America and Iran by the end of the year. | Middle East | 8/6/2007
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3/18/2007 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | U.S. housing market decline - 2006 median home price lower than 2005 | US | 1/18/2007
| 1312 | 2545 | 2.94 | 1.52 | 7/26/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Hugo Chavez will be re-elected president of Venezuela on December 3rd | World | 1/18/2007
| 121 | 40 | 1.33 | 4.03 | 11/27/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | America will take aggressive military action against Iran by theend of December 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 20 | 1652 | 83.60 | 1.01 | 10/1/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Former Sandinista leader Daniel Ortega will win the November presidential election in Nicaragua. | World | 1/18/2007
| 2031 | 1 | 1.00 | 2,032.00 | 9/12/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Sen. Joe Lieberman wins his Senate seat as an Independent candidate from Conn. | US | 1/18/2007
| 2176 | 181 | 1.08 | 13.02 | 8/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Taiwan test fires there Hsiung Feng III missle creating further tension with China | China | 1/18/2007
| 120 | 735 | 7.13 | 1.16 | 7/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | expansion of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)by at least 1 additional member | China | 1/18/2007
| 70 | 260 | 4.71 | 1.27 | 7/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Walid Jumblat is assasinated in Lebanon, sparking hostilities between pro Syrian and anti Syrian forces in Beirut, Israel uses this to invade Lebanon.
| Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 21 | 1110 | 53.86 | 1.02 | 3/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Finland applies for NATO membership. | Europe | 1/18/2007
| 95 | 3872 | 41.76 | 1.02 | 2/12/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Israel will still be fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon in December, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 1141 | 598 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 7/26/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Dow Jones Industrial Average will close the 2006 year above 11,000 | US | 1/18/2007
| 1481 | 201 | 1.14 | 8.37 | 7/24/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Israel's incursion into Gaza will not stop the Qassam rocket attacks | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 270 | 545 | 3.02 | 1.50 | 7/8/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | During the next presidential administration, bills will be introduced in the House and Senate that would allow non-natural-born US Citizens to run for President. | US | 1/18/2007
| 2816 | 3118 | 2.11 | 1.90 | 8/24/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Illinois will approve public funding for stem cell research. | US | 1/18/2007
| 894 | 721 | 1.81 | 2.24 | 12/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Malaysia the victim of a large-scale Islamic fundamentalist movement resulting in the overthrow of the current government. | World | 1/18/2007
| 247 | 2110 | 9.54 | 1.12 | 3/19/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ehud Olmert will lose his position as Israeli
Prime Minister not later than December 31, 2006. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 350 | 856 | 3.45 | 1.41 | 8/11/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran on the Iranian nuclear facilities.Iran will counter with terrorist attacks and open attacks on Israel and the Gulf States. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 0 | 505 | 505.00 | 1.00 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel will wage terrorist attacks with in Iran, on the Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel will not be hidden it will be open war fare. Iran will counter with direct attacks on Israel. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 0 | 104 | 104.00 | 1.00 | 4/11/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States will conduct a massive air campaign that will bomb every Iranian nuclear facility and every Iranian air base that has missles. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 980 | 4268 | 5.36 | 1.23 | 4/9/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US and/or Iraqi Forces engage in large scale operations against the Muqtada Al Sadr's Mehdi miltia anywhere within Iraq. | Iraq | 1/18/2007
| 1076 | 2896 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 4/8/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda will attack two souther or western or midwestern American Cities simultaneously | China | 1/18/2007
| 10 | 2629 | 263.90 | 1.00 | 3/10/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda will stage an attack in Washington D.C. against the White House Pentagon or Capitol Building before the end of the year | Terrorism | 1/18/2007
| 21 | 5975 | 285.52 | 1.00 | 2/14/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2006. | US | 1/18/2007
| 2358 | 130 | 1.06 | 19.14 | 2/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A civil war will break-out in Serbia over the political status of Kosovo. | Europe | 1/18/2007
| 100 | 857 | 9.57 | 1.12 | 1/3/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | After Bush leaves office, Blair will follow him, and amid Democratic backlash to indict Bush appointees, another US terror attack will take place on the scale of 9-11 or the UK train attacks. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007
| 10 | 755 | 76.50 | 1.01 | 12/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A civil insurrection requiring regular armed forces troops will occur in a US city before Bush leaves office. | US | 1/18/2007
| 364 | 4736 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 10/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US Withdraws from Iraq, Which Quickly Degenerates into Civil War | Iraq | 1/18/2007
| 345 | 2788 | 9.08 | 1.12 | 7/24/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Successful or not, there will be an attempt to carry out an attack on American citizens from Canadian soil. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007
| 241 | 1018 | 5.22 | 1.24 | 2/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Al qaeda will stage a major attack against an American City, resulting in at least 500 people killed or injured. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007
| 2873 | 2150 | 1.75 | 2.34 | 1/29/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Dick Cheney will not be the Vice President of the US at the end of 2006. | US | 1/18/2007
| 385 | 3122 | 9.11 | 1.12 | 1/4/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fidel Castro will be out of power by end of 2006. | World | 1/18/2007
| 746 | 2477 | 4.32 | 1.30 | 1/3/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The chain of public relations disasters for the Chinese govt, will build into a wider, self-sustaining uprising that threatens Beijing's rule. | China | 1/18/2007
| 170 | 2736 | 17.09 | 1.06 | 12/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Eurabian Civil War which started in Paris will become the new Sarajevo "shot heard round the world," as it generates farther-reaching ripple effects, including sinking Turkey's bid to enter EU. | Europe | 1/18/2007
| 12 | 500 | 42.67 | 1.02 | 11/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | William Jefferson Clinton becomes the next Secretary General of the United Nations. | World | 1/18/2007
| 320 | 2176 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 1/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Repubilcans lose the Senate. | US | 1/18/2007
| 75 | 756 | 11.08 | 1.10 | 7/4/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The US begins construction of an Isreali style fence along the Mexican-US border. | US | 1/18/2007
| 720 | 2965 | 5.12 | 1.24 | 1/5/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Israel will destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 2912 | 2284 | 1.78 | 2.27 | 9/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | One or more space tourists will be killed in a flight accident in the first year of private commercial space travel. | Sci/Tech | 1/18/2007
| 410 | 2801 | 7.83 | 1.15 | 11/10/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | 1st Terrorist Nuke Will Be Of Pakistani Origin -designed or built there, or uses Pakistani fissionables. Can be a "dirty" device if it uses a chain reaction, or be captured w/o going off. | Terrorism | 1/18/2007
| 1238 | 4060 | 4.28 | 1.30 | 4/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Last US combat troop removed from Iraq. | US | 1/18/2007
| 85 | 2029 | 24.87 | 1.04 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Saddam WMD found before 12/31/06 | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 2 | 156 | 79.00 | 1.01 | 9/4/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will top $85 or more per barrel by November 30, 2006.
| World | 1/18/2007
| 825 | 4221 | 6.12 | 1.20 | 7/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Chicago Cubs will Win the 2006 World Series | Sports | 1/18/2007
| 3 | 1496 | 499.67 | 1.00 | 1/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Prince Fielder and Russ Branyan become the first two teammates to hit 60 home runs in a season. | Sports | 1/18/2007
| 50 | 1295 | 26.90 | 1.04 | 3/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Demotcrats will loose at least one (1) net seat in the US Senate in the 2006 mid-term elections. | US | 1/18/2007
| 2472 | 2545 | 2.03 | 1.97 | 3/19/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A nuclear weapon is used in anger in either India or Pakistan. | World | 1/18/2007
| 503 | 5031 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 5/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran will successfully hit Tel Aviv with a missile fired from Lebanon | Middle East | 1/18/2007
| 3 | 361 | 121.33 | 1.01 | 8/15/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Castro dead. | World | 1/18/2007
| 876 | 1143 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 8/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China liberates North Korea | China | 1/18/2007
| 500 | 4658 | 10.32 | 1.11 | 10/31/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | EU Constitution not ratified by the 25 member states. | Europe | 1/18/2007
| 4440 | 657 | 1.15 | 7.76 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | America will take aggressive military action against Iran before the November 7th election as "October Surprise". | Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 250 | 3111 | 13.44 | 1.08 | 11/3/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Results of 2006 mid-term elections - Republicans take losses but still retain control of both House and Senate. | US | 12/30/2006
| 1495 | 1091 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 10/24/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rove's October Surprise - Scenario 1: Permanent tax cuts. | US | 12/30/2006
| 0 | 570 | 570.00 | 1.00 | 9/27/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Jihadis attempt to assassinate Pope Benedict during his upcoming visit to Turkey | Terrorism | 12/30/2006
| 391 | 2024 | 6.18 | 1.19 | 9/23/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda assasinates President
Bush.
| Terrorism | 12/30/2006
| 20 | 1376 | 69.80 | 1.01 | 6/3/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Internal corruption and violence in Nigeria causes a U.S. intervention. | World | 12/30/2006
| 375 | 3071 | 9.19 | 1.12 | 3/26/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Arnold Schwarzenegger will NOT be re-elected Governor of California. | US | 12/30/2006
| 1750 | 3340 | 2.91 | 1.52 | 12/5/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A prominent Democratic Party politician (current or former: Senator, Representative, Cabinet Officer, or Governor) will be accused of financially benefiting from the U.N. Iraqi Oil-For-Food Program. | Iraq | 12/30/2006
| 330 | 3833 | 12.62 | 1.09 | 11/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Anbar province will declare its independence from Iraq. | Iraq | 12/30/2006
| 154 | 3235 | 22.01 | 1.05 | 8/28/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | United Kingdom will withdraw from the F35 JSF program. | Europe | 12/30/2006
| 425 | 4596 | 11.81 | 1.09 | 1/25/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2006 elections | US | 12/30/2006
| 2014 | 3000 | 2.49 | 1.67 | 1/24/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Interting of aircraft fuel tanks will be recognised by JAA/FAA as mandatory before end of 2006. To be installed in a/c capable of such modifications in a phased manner over several years. | Sci/Tech | 12/30/2006
| 530 | 625 | 2.18 | 1.85 | 12/15/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A major official of the EU or any European country will lose his or her job for publicly denying the Holocaust or praising Nazi Germany. | Europe | 12/30/2006
| 625 | 1220 | 2.95 | 1.51 | 12/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2006 hurricane season. | US | 12/30/2006
| 2759 | 2255 | 1.82 | 2.22 | 12/5/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | At least one Levee is breached in New Orleans, East New Orleans or Jefferson Parrish before the end of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | US | 12/30/2006
| 228 | 2767 | 13.14 | 1.08 | 12/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Hurricane hits the Iberian Peninsula during the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season. | Europe | 12/30/2006
| 37 | 494 | 14.35 | 1.07 | 12/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and Venezuela will be severed. | US | 12/30/2006
| 186 | 1405 | 8.55 | 1.13 | 11/2/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Venezuela attacks Colombia | General | 12/30/2006
| 275 | 2747 | 10.99 | 1.10 | 10/24/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Military conflict erupts between India and Pakistan. | World | 12/30/2006
| 264 | 2167 | 9.21 | 1.12 | 5/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Asian bird flu epidemic turns into human pandemic | World | 12/30/2006
| 1117 | 5575 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 4/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | NY Attorney General Elliot Spitzer elected governor of New York state | US | 12/30/2006
| 720 | 100 | 1.14 | 8.20 | 4/20/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton will NOT run for a second term in the U.S. Senate representing NY State. | US | 12/30/2006
| 136 | 3969 | 30.18 | 1.03 | 3/20/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | XM8 uses caseless ammo | US | 12/30/2006
| 11 | 1682 | 153.91 | 1.01 | 4/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tainted MLB Records Will Be Tossed | Sports | 12/30/2006
| 110 | 1781 | 17.19 | 1.06 | 3/20/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The UN Security Council will impose new sanctions against the Iranian government in response to Iran's threat to resume its uranium enrichment programme.
| Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 100 | 1695 | 17.95 | 1.06 | 8/24/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Assad regime in Syria falls | Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 100 | 1839 | 19.39 | 1.05 | 8/9/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | At least one house in Congress will change majority party in the Nov. election. | US | 12/30/2006
| 3636 | 1583 | 1.44 | 3.30 | 8/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Japan launches missle strikes against North Korea effectively taking out their capabilities to launch additional long range Taepodong II missles | China | 12/30/2006
| 26 | 2498 | 97.08 | 1.01 | 7/13/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The three U.S. soldiers charged with murder will be convicted and handed over to an Iraqi courts for sentencing. | Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 30 | 2003 | 67.77 | 1.01 | 6/20/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Democrat Bill Nelson will NOT be re-elected to the U.S. Senate representing Florida. | US | 12/30/2006
| 170 | 2298 | 14.52 | 1.07 | 4/20/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Evidence will be discovered that elements of Saddam's WMD program were secreted in the Syria controlled Bekaa Valley. | Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 2861 | 2180 | 1.76 | 2.31 | 2/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Israel Will Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilit[ies]y. | Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 3052 | 2786 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 1/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Republicans gain at least 2 more (For 57+) Senate seats after the 2006 election. | US | 12/30/2006
| 2217 | 3665 | 2.65 | 1.60 | 11/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hamid Karzai will be overthrown in a coup or assassinated. | Middle East | 12/30/2006
| 462 | 4591 | 10.94 | 1.10 | 11/19/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Coup attempt in Thailand will fail | World | 10/21/2006
| 20 | 1542 | 78.10 | 1.01 | 9/19/2006 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The current cease-fire in Uganda (between Uganda's government and the LRA rebels (Lord's Resistance Army) will be extended by both parties beyond the original September 12, 2006 agreement. | World | 10/21/2006
| 251 | 30 | 1.12 | 9.37 | 8/30/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Venezuela will price its oil exports in euros rather than US Dollars. | World | 10/21/2006
| 46 | 1540 | 34.48 | 1.03 | 7/19/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Chen in Taiwan will be overthrown by the people and force to resign | China | 10/21/2006
| 0 | 650 | 650.00 | 1.00 | 9/19/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | UN troop strength in Lebanon will reach 15,000 by the end of September. | Middle East | 10/21/2006
| 16 | 2397 | 150.81 | 1.01 | 8/25/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The International Astronomical Union publishes a definition of "planet" that includes at least Pluto and 2003UB313 ("Xena"), causing the number of recognized planets to increase above nine. | Sci/Tech | 10/21/2006
| 355 | 1750 | 5.93 | 1.20 | 8/10/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea defies the International community once more with another test launch of their Taepodong II missle | China | 10/21/2006
| 705 | 4356 | 7.18 | 1.16 | 7/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US troop strength in Iraq falls below 115,000. | Iraq | 10/21/2006
| 2766 | 4545 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 12/22/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby will NOT be convicted of any Federal crime associated with the Valerie Plame affair or subsequent Federal investigation. | US | 10/21/2006
| 4488 | 710 | 1.16 | 7.32 | 11/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | World War 3 Is Coming In 2006 | China | 10/21/2006
| 200 | 4897 | 25.49 | 1.04 | 4/5/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea will launch a nuclear weapon test, proving current rumors of the test, true. | World | 10/21/2006
| 40 | 2724 | 69.10 | 1.01 | 8/22/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, will be found/discovered in the Iranian embassy in Lebanon. | Middle East | 10/21/2006
| 2 | 934 | 468.00 | 1.00 | 7/28/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Condoleeza Rice will defeat Hillary Clinton to become the first female President of the United States. | China | 10/21/2006
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/26/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States will attempt to intercept and shoot down North Korea's missile test | World | 10/21/2006
| 160 | 3778 | 24.61 | 1.04 | 6/27/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Japan & Tiawan sign mutual defence agreements against China | China | 10/21/2006
| 289 | 4718 | 17.33 | 1.06 | 9/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Japan & Tiawan, in defence against the perceived growing threat from China, sign a mutual defence agreement by 2006. | China | 10/21/2006
| 154 | 4181 | 28.15 | 1.04 | 9/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | U.S. Marines enter Beirut to evacuate Americans trapped by current hostilities to Cypres | Middle East | 8/30/2006
| 560 | 2187 | 4.91 | 1.26 | 7/14/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel will retake a large portion of the Gaza Strip | Middle East | 8/30/2006
| 110 | 1521 | 14.83 | 1.07 | 6/27/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | 22nd of August, Iranian Attack on Isreal | Middle East | 8/30/2006
| 364 | 2890 | 8.94 | 1.13 | 8/5/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel will succeed in detstroying Hezballahs mobile missiles | Middle East | 8/30/2006
| 20 | 1411 | 71.55 | 1.01 | 7/19/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kazahkstan government becomes offical (even if temporary) a pro-communist regime takes power. | World | 7/14/2006
| 0 | 3558 | 3,558.00 | 1.00 | 3/26/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Wal-Mart Announces Plan To Open First Store In Iraq | Iraq | 7/14/2006
| 265 | 4811 | 19.15 | 1.06 | 3/10/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Crude oil remains above $60.00 a barrel for the next 12 months. | General | 7/14/2006
| 2827 | 2385 | 1.84 | 2.19 | 6/26/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | North Korea will launch its Taepodong-2 missle in defiance of the Inernational community. | World | 7/14/2006
| 1770 | 2168 | 2.22 | 1.82 | 6/20/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Montenegro declares independence of Serbia by July 13, 2006. | Europe | 7/14/2006
| 1617 | 3610 | 3.23 | 1.45 | 11/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gold Reaches highest value in recorded history. When Iran announces their non-compliance with demands to stop enriching uranium.
| World | 6/1/2006
| 340 | 2437 | 8.17 | 1.14 | 4/12/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | the US Congress will vote funding to study the reactivation of the USS Iowa BB61 and the USS Wisconsin BB64. | US | 6/1/2006
| 170 | 4851 | 29.54 | 1.04 | 9/13/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | A Shia-dominated Iraqi Defense Force that will crush the insurgency utilizing ruthless tactics. The American electorate will look the other way and accept this as acceptable. | Iraq | 6/1/2006
| 3116 | 1985 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 12/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chinese government abandons communism, turns to capitalist economy, but retains government leaders and most aspects of govt and laws stay the same (lack of human rights, etc.) | China | 6/1/2006
| 334 | 4818 | 15.43 | 1.07 | 5/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States will attack and destroy Iranian nuclear facilities by the end of April 2006. | Middle East | 6/1/2006
| 170 | 4900 | 29.82 | 1.03 | 2/22/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The United States conducts avowed military operations in an attempt to destroy or delay the Iranian nuclear weapons program. | Middle East | 6/1/2006
| 1540 | 3885 | 3.52 | 1.40 | 1/6/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tony Blair no longer Prime Minister of The United Kingdom. | Europe | 6/1/2006
| 520 | 4537 | 9.73 | 1.11 | 5/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | If convicted on molestation charges, Michael Jackson chooses to commit suicide rather than going to prison. | US | 4/13/2006
| 162 | 2790 | 18.22 | 1.06 | 4/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Morgan Stanley Dean Witter will no longer be an independent entity, either through a merger, acquisition, or sale. | General | 4/13/2006
| 75 | 2475 | 34.00 | 1.03 | 3/30/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The falling dollar/euro exchange rate will drive the German economy formally into recession by the end of 2005 | Europe | 4/13/2006
| 1521 | 3488 | 3.29 | 1.44 | 12/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | EU drops arms embargo of the People's Republic of China. | China | 4/13/2006
| 830 | 8300 | 11.00 | 1.10 | 4/22/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Muslims somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-muslims or destroy a non-muslim place of worship, between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006. | World | 4/10/2006
| 185 | 110 | 1.59 | 2.68 | 3/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next Space Shuttle launch will occur in March 2006. | Sci/Tech | 4/10/2006
| 80 | 5105 | 64.81 | 1.02 | 8/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | If Robert Mugabe refuses to step down as urged by the International Crisis Group, he will be overthrown in a coup d etat. | World | 4/10/2006
| 601 | 4416 | 8.35 | 1.14 | 6/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bashir Assad is assasinated in Syria causing an Islamic fundamentilist revolution within its borders. US forces debate moving into Syria to stabilize region.
| Middle East | 4/10/2006
| 241 | 4802 | 20.93 | 1.05 | 3/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Colin Powell to become UN Secretry General | World | 4/10/2006
| 45 | 6387 | 142.93 | 1.01 | 1/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Al qaeda will attack simultaneously oil and liquified natural gas facilites in several cities within the next year. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3/7/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Christians somewhere in the world will riot and kill non-christians or destroy a non-christian place of worship between March 2, 2006 and March 12, 2006. | World | 3/12/2006
| 0 | 1985 | 1,985.00 | 1.00 | 3/1/2006 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Alaskan "Bridge to Nowhere" FY 1996 Federal funding will be rescinded in entirety. | US | 3/12/2006
| 270 | 1220 | 5.52 | 1.22 | 11/16/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Samuel "Scalito" Alito will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006
| 3315 | 1750 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 11/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ariel Sharon loses in a no confidence vote Binyamin Natanyahu becomes Israel's new Prime Minister. | Middle East | 3/12/2006
| 375 | 5407 | 15.42 | 1.07 | 8/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Democrat filibuster will succeed in forcing the withdrawal of Samuel "Scalito" Alito's nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 3/12/2006
| 50 | 4980 | 100.60 | 1.01 | 11/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda major attack against Italy during 2006 winter olympic games in february. | Europe | 3/12/2006
| 376 | 4695 | 13.49 | 1.08 | 9/28/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fundamentalist Islamic supporters kidnap a local prominent citizien of the USA in the USA and behead him in the USA when their demands are not met. | Terrorism | 3/12/2006
| 572 | 4452 | 8.78 | 1.13 | 11/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Formal decision reached to relocate at least half of all American troops based in Western Europe to Eastern Europe or Middle East. | US | 3/12/2006
| 1384 | 4603 | 4.33 | 1.30 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Turkey formally accepted into European Union. | Europe | 3/12/2006
| 1070 | 4386 | 5.10 | 1.24 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Independent Palestinian state created. | Middle East | 3/12/2006
| 510 | 6000 | 12.76 | 1.09 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | [Mind You This Is Only A Prediction] There Will Be An Assassination Attempt Made On President George W. Bush. Not By Arab Terrorists But By American Liberal[s]. | US | 1/24/2006
| 1758 | 4732 | 3.69 | 1.37 | 1/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Zarqawi will be captured with help from Al-Zwahiri | Middle East | 1/24/2006
| 4 | 3602 | 901.50 | 1.00 | 11/12/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The BCS snubs an undefeated team for the second straight year. | Sports | 1/24/2006
| 100 | 1460 | 15.60 | 1.07 | 10/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran stops/restricts oil export and causes significant rise in crude oil prices. | Middle East | 1/24/2006
| 15 | 3415 | 228.67 | 1.00 | 10/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Harriet Miers will be confirmed by the Senate to the U.S. Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006
| 770 | 4980 | 7.47 | 1.15 | 10/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Netherlands will experience the types of Islamic suicide bombings now afflicting the English. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 546 | 4770 | 9.74 | 1.11 | 7/22/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Karl Rove will NOT be indicted in the Valerie Plume affair. | US | 1/24/2006
| 4625 | 2630 | 1.57 | 2.76 | 10/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 1/24/2006
| 512 | 3236 | 7.32 | 1.16 | 7/27/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Democrats & EU leaders call for Bush to resign over the Katrina tragedy. France renews UN talks on Kyoto. Whitehouse expedites NATO troop recall for redeployment to Katrina-hit disaster areas. | US | 1/24/2006
| 10 | 1748 | 175.80 | 1.01 | 9/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | There will be another AlQaeda suicide bombing attack in Britain before yearend. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 550 | 4479 | 9.14 | 1.12 | 7/23/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Islamic terrorist attack the Vatican and/or Pope. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 310 | 4732 | 16.26 | 1.07 | 7/14/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Asian Bird Flu is Red Chinese biowar WMD. | China | 1/24/2006
| 10 | 1449 | 145.90 | 1.01 | 7/7/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The price of a barrel of oil will top $70 USD. | World | 1/24/2006
| 2582 | 2445 | 1.95 | 2.06 | 4/19/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The DJIA will close at least once above 11,500 by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006
| 1060 | 4240 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 4/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Saddam Hussein is featured in a Cheetos or Doritos commercial. | Iraq | 1/24/2006
| 112 | 4159 | 38.13 | 1.03 | 6/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A communist country goes to war with a US ally (or America itself). | World | 1/24/2006
| 156 | 5370 | 35.42 | 1.03 | 5/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nigeria capitulates and deports Charles Ghankay Taylor of Liberia to stand trial for war crimes in Sierra Leone. | World | 1/24/2006
| 135 | 1501 | 12.12 | 1.09 | 5/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The DJIA will close below 8,500 at least once by 12/31/2005. | US | 1/24/2006
| 40 | 5100 | 128.50 | 1.01 | 4/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Michael Jackson will not be found guilty of child molestation by January 1, 2006. | US | 1/24/2006
| 2190 | 544 | 1.25 | 5.03 | 4/7/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Social Security reform, of any kind, will be NOT be passed by Congress in 2005. | US | 1/24/2006
| 4565 | 450 | 1.10 | 11.14 | 3/9/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by any other nation. | World | 1/24/2006
| 856 | 4269 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 1/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Any military aircraft of any nation shot down deliberately in air-to-air combat by the US. | US | 1/24/2006
| 316 | 3752 | 12.87 | 1.08 | 1/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al-Qaeda carries out a suicide attack against a cruise ship. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 328 | 3271 | 10.97 | 1.10 | 1/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fidel Castro dies in 2005. | World | 1/24/2006
| 495 | 4509 | 10.11 | 1.11 | 2/2/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major vote fraud allegations in the Washington and Wisconsin 2004 elections finally produce effective reforms.
| US | 1/24/2006
| 150 | 1585 | 11.57 | 1.09 | 1/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | JPMorgan/Chase will acquire Merrill Lynch in a Stock Swap to create the United States largest financial services firm | US | 1/24/2006
| 130 | 4000 | 31.77 | 1.03 | 1/15/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | By 2006 the Feds begin a nationwide crackdown of illegal immigration except they ONLY target the employers of the illegals and not the illegals themselves. | US | 1/24/2006
| 390 | 3445 | 9.83 | 1.11 | 1/12/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A terrorist group files suit against the United States of America or an American defense company. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 337 | 2651 | 8.87 | 1.13 | 11/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorists take the United States to court. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 220 | 737 | 4.35 | 1.30 | 11/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The House of Representatives will vote to suspend U.S. funding of the United Nations until Kofi Annan resigns. | General | 1/24/2006
| 1010 | 4068 | 5.03 | 1.25 | 12/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Irreconcilable impasse on Ukraine elections results in East Ukraine vs West Ukraine split. | Europe | 1/24/2006
| 90 | 2915 | 33.39 | 1.03 | 11/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran and Russia actually finalize and sign spent-fuel return and recycling protocol for Bushehr nuclear reactor. Russia actually completes delivery of fuel assemblies to reactor. | Middle East | 1/24/2006
| 451 | 2206 | 5.89 | 1.20 | 10/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | United States implements conscription. | US | 1/24/2006
| 202 | 4828 | 24.90 | 1.04 | 10/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Islamic terrorists will successfully smuggle WMD into the U.S. via Mexico. | Terrorism | 1/24/2006
| 272 | 4742 | 18.43 | 1.06 | 11/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Major combat operations begin in Iran in 2005 after evidence suggests development of nuclear weapons, and plans to use them against Israeli and/or American interests in Mid-East. | Middle East | 1/24/2006
| 2851 | 2285 | 1.80 | 2.25 | 9/24/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea and Iran will form an alliance and try to nuke Israel. | World | 1/24/2006
| 26 | 4526 | 175.08 | 1.01 | 9/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Congress expands U.S. Army by two light Infantry Divisions over Bush Administration Objections | US | 1/24/2006
| 655 | 4746 | 8.25 | 1.14 | 4/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | U.S. invades Baathist Syria from Iraq. | US | 1/24/2006
| 1291 | 4437 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Donald Rumsfeld will not be the US Secretary of Defense at the end of 2005. | US | 1/24/2006
| 2840 | 3046 | 2.07 | 1.93 | 11/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | USA starts a selective draft. Draft would tap people with desired language, analysis, and tech. skills to fill posts that are not filled by hiring in the US military, CIA, NSA, and/or other US dept | US | 1/24/2006
| 1171 | 3995 | 4.41 | 1.29 | 3/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Saddam escapes imprisonment, bargains his way out, is released, or is busted out by sympathizers. | Iraq | 1/24/2006
| 300 | 4754 | 16.85 | 1.06 | 5/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Chinese taikonaut (astronaut) is lost in a fatal accident during a space mission. | China | 1/24/2006
| 225 | 1285 | 6.71 | 1.18 | 11/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Last US combat troop removed from Afghanistan. | US | 1/24/2006
| 196 | 2324 | 12.86 | 1.08 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea agrees to end its nuclear program and destroy all of its nuclear material. | World | 1/24/2006
| 391 | 2970 | 8.60 | 1.13 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Next use of nuclear weapons in anger. Can be a terorist device provided it produces a true detonation and not merely a messy fizzle. | Terroism | 1/24/2006
| 716 | 4555 | 7.36 | 1.16 | 3/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | US Army will fail to meet its recruiting quotas for the next six months. | US | 12/10/2005
| 3858 | 1175 | 1.30 | 4.28 | 6/1/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Target Florida: Florida will experience at least one Category 3+ hurricane (i.e., sustained 1 minute surface winds of 111+ mph) somewhere over the state's landmass during the 2005 hurricane season. | US | 12/10/2005
| 2602 | 2520 | 1.97 | 2.03 | 1/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The US begins covert military strikes against Baathist camps and leaders in Syria. | Terrorism | 12/10/2005
| 3567 | 1760 | 1.49 | 3.03 | 1/20/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | the north korean goverment will fall this time next year. | World | 12/10/2005
| 1690 | 3315 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 12/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bosnian Serbs Ratko Mladic and Radovan Karadzic are turned over to the International War Crimes court in The Hague. | Europe | 12/10/2005
| 175 | 2158 | 13.33 | 1.08 | 11/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Crude oil will be above $70 a barrel on Nov 1, 2005. | World | 11/10/2005
| 1050 | 4073 | 4.88 | 1.26 | 9/29/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President George Bush's disapproval ratings on the war in Iraq will increase to at least 75%. | General | 11/10/2005
| 570 | 4431 | 8.77 | 1.13 | 8/22/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | There will be a 2005-6 NHL season starting in October. | Sports | 11/10/2005
| 2505 | 115 | 1.05 | 22.78 | 7/5/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Iraqi constitution, when put to a vote in October, will be rejected by the voters of 3 or more provinces and not go into effect. | Iraq | 11/10/2005
| 910 | 6765 | 8.43 | 1.13 | 8/30/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chicago Cubs win the World Series | Sports | 11/10/2005
| 55 | 4978 | 91.51 | 1.01 | 4/13/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Iraqi Constitution, when delivered, will implement Sharia and make Islam the religion of the state. | Iraq | 11/10/2005
| 110 | 2830 | 26.73 | 1.04 | 8/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate to replace the retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 11/10/2005
| 2446 | 2454 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 7/20/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Runaway Bride marries (anybody) | Sports | 11/10/2005
| 1250 | 3790 | 4.03 | 1.33 | 5/3/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Minutemen patroling border will suffer casualties from an attack by Mexican border patrol or MS-13 | US | 11/10/2005
| 332 | 6640 | 21.00 | 1.05 | 4/6/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Iraq Al Qaeda leader Zarqawi is killed or captured prior to the January election. | Iraq | 11/10/2005
| 2805 | 2498 | 1.89 | 2.12 | 10/1/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | American Invasion of Iran Officially Commences. Defined as the first embed entering Iran w/o Iranian govt. permission, because our SOF will have already been operating there for some time. | US | 11/10/2005
| 817 | 4189 | 6.13 | 1.20 | 3/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Renminbi/US4 exchange rate
Exchange rate for the Chinese Renminbi/ Yuan
Vis a vis the US $ will be below 7.800 Renminbi per 1 US $ , On or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005
| 620 | 1353 | 3.18 | 1.46 | 10/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Exchange rate will fall below 7.80 Chinese Renminbi (Yuan) per dollar on or before 30 September 2005
| China | 10/7/2005
| 300 | 1755 | 6.85 | 1.17 | 10/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran brought before the UN Security Council by United States/Allies for possible sanctions. | World | 10/7/2005
| 1439 | 3590 | 3.49 | 1.40 | 2/14/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nationals Collapse | Sports | 10/7/2005
| 20 | 143 | 8.15 | 1.14 | 8/9/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Regime change in Syria | Middle East | 10/7/2005
| 316 | 5152 | 17.30 | 1.06 | 3/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Insurgency in Iraq will increase causing British withdrawal and Tony Blair's resignation | Iraq | 10/7/2005
| 60 | 6229 | 104.82 | 1.01 | 6/16/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The NY Yankees will finish the 2005 MLB season in first place in their conference. | Sports | 10/7/2005
| 2091 | 2431 | 2.16 | 1.86 | 5/3/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Kofi Annan is still U.N. Secretary General | World | 10/7/2005
| 6919 | 208 | 1.03 | 34.26 | 3/29/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Syria-Iran war vs. US and Israel, on two fronts: Iraq and Lebanon/Golan. | Middle East | 10/7/2005
| 351 | 4733 | 14.48 | 1.07 | 2/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US and non-Iraqi allies have fewer than 100,000 troops in Iraq | Iraq | 10/7/2005
| 1600 | 4060 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 2/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US announces plans to privatize Fannie Mae | US | 10/7/2005
| 92 | 2950 | 33.07 | 1.03 | 2/10/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Milwaukee Brewers will finish the 2005 season at or above .500. | Sports | 10/7/2005
| 1579 | 1237 | 1.78 | 2.28 | 12/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorist group enters the US through either Canada or Mexico, and successfully conduct dirty bomb or nuclear attack on American soil. | Terrorism | 10/7/2005
| 949 | 4052 | 5.27 | 1.23 | 11/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Within one year, hard evidence is found that Osama bin Laden is alive and is running Al Qaeda from Pakistan. Due to "diplomatic" reasons, U.S. Armed Forces will be unable to act on this information. | Terrorism | 10/7/2005
| 880 | 4172 | 5.74 | 1.21 | 10/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Russel Crowe settles out of court with Estrada with a payment over $5 million dollars | General | 9/22/2005
| 70 | 22 | 1.31 | 4.18 | 8/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Haliburton will be found to have commited overcharging and fraud by Army accountants on no bid contracts for US troop support through subsidiary Brown & Root. | US | 9/22/2005
| 1265 | 1790 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 9/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Malaysian Central Bank will break the US Dollar / Malaysian Ringgett peg (currently at 3.80) before China devalues the Yuan or by June 1st, 2005 | World | 9/22/2005
| 310 | 5170 | 17.68 | 1.06 | 1/14/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Self styled head of al-Qaeda in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is captured or killed by coalition-led forces by 1st Sept. 2005.
| Iraq | 9/22/2005
| 2898 | 2120 | 1.73 | 2.37 | 5/3/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Hardliner Lionel Mtshali takes leadership of the Inkatha Freedom Party after the General conference July 2005. | World | 9/22/2005
| 138 | 76 | 1.55 | 2.82 | 5/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Multiple, simultaneous shootdowns of commercial aircraft by terrorists. | Terrorism | 9/22/2005
| 562 | 4448 | 8.91 | 1.13 | 1/1/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Brewers sign Ben Sheets to a contract extension. | Sports | 9/22/2005
| 32 | 131 | 5.09 | 1.24 | 3/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The EU will lift the arms embargo against China, despite Administration protests. | Europe | 9/22/2005
| 3520 | 2095 | 1.60 | 2.68 | 11/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North and South Korea will engage in a naval skirmish with casualties along their costal border. | World | 9/22/2005
| 1155 | 3992 | 4.46 | 1.29 | 2/13/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Category 5 hurricane will make landfall in Florida. | US | 9/22/2005
| 300 | 4646 | 16.49 | 1.06 | 8/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Republicans in the US Senate will use the "nuclear" option on judicial nominees. The Democrats will make good on their threat of closing down the government. | US | 9/22/2005
| 1108 | 4195 | 4.79 | 1.26 | 3/19/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US Marine general makes politically insensitive public remark before any general officer of the other US armed services | US | 9/22/2005
| 310 | 2219 | 8.16 | 1.14 | 2/10/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Israel completes withdrawal from Gaza Strip, including removal of all settlements therein. | Middle East | 9/22/2005
| 6062 | 1665 | 1.27 | 4.64 | 10/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Popular American documentary film maker murdered | US | 9/22/2005
| 80 | 4924 | 62.55 | 1.02 | 9/19/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The death toll from Katrina will exceed 300 as determined two weeks from now. | US | 9/14/2005
| 2651 | 200 | 1.08 | 14.26 | 8/31/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Space Shuttle Discovery, currently on mission STS-114 MCC, will land safely in August. | Sci/Tech | 8/23/2005
| 2161 | 10 | 1.00 | 217.10 | 8/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iraqi Constitution will be approved by Aug 22 | Iraq | 8/23/2005
| 505 | 910 | 2.80 | 1.55 | 8/17/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | A Russian military mini-sub and its 7 member crew stuck about 200 meters down in Russia's Pacific waters on 8/5/05 after the vessel's propeller got entangled in fishing nets will all be rescued alive. | Russia | 8/23/2005
| 1345 | 50 | 1.04 | 27.90 | 8/5/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Iraqi convention will not meet its deadline of August 15 to finish Iraq's new constitution. | Iraq | 8/23/2005
| 739 | 520 | 1.70 | 2.42 | 7/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chief Justice Rehnquist will announce his retire before August 15. | US | 8/23/2005
| 1340 | 3685 | 3.75 | 1.36 | 7/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel occupies part of Lebanon | Middle East | 8/23/2005
| 60 | 4191 | 70.85 | 1.01 | 5/14/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | President Bush selects a woman judge to replace Sandra Day O'Conner. | US | 8/10/2005
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/3/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US will challenge Venezuela to allow access to its country to investigate disappearance of woman from Aruba. | World | 8/10/2005
| 25 | 2569 | 103.76 | 1.01 | 6/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gasoline prices average above $3.00 per gallon by July 4th, 2005. | US | 8/10/2005
| 1310 | 3694 | 3.82 | 1.35 | 3/22/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Bush will nominate Alex Kozinski (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, appointed by Ronald Reagan) to replace the retiring Justice Sandra O'Connor. | US | 8/10/2005
| 85 | 1310 | 16.41 | 1.06 | 7/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The US will suffer 50+ deaths in a terrorist attack. | Terrorism | 8/10/2005
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7/7/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 31st. | Sci/Tech | 8/10/2005
| 3416 | 1702 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 4/29/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tom DeLay resigns as House Majority Leader | US | 8/10/2005
| 357 | 4724 | 14.23 | 1.08 | 4/11/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | John Bolton will be confirmed as the next Ambassador to the United Nations. | US | 8/10/2005
| 3852 | 1190 | 1.31 | 4.24 | 3/19/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Antonin Scalia to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 8/10/2005
| 2151 | 2970 | 2.38 | 1.72 | 11/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | As a result of the Iraqi Oil-for-Food corruption investigations, Kofi Anan will resign as Sectretary-General of the United Nations. | Iraq | 8/10/2005
| 2104 | 3021 | 2.44 | 1.70 | 10/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Conservative mullah elected president in Iran | World | 8/10/2005
| 1682 | 1757 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 6/10/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Libya is found to have secretly hidden WMD from inspectors, despite its promises. | Terrorism | 8/10/2005
| 355 | 5032 | 15.17 | 1.07 | 3/30/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | New York City will fail in its bid to win the 2012 Olympics. | World | 7/6/2005
| 2421 | 250 | 1.10 | 10.68 | 6/24/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chief Justice Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks. | US | 7/6/2005
| 758 | 2834 | 4.74 | 1.27 | 6/3/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Sharon's government will be toppled and plans to withdraw from Gaza Strip will be scuttled. | Middle East | 7/6/2005
| 435 | 4566 | 11.50 | 1.10 | 2/25/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Osama bin Laden caught or killed | Terrorism | 7/6/2005
| 143 | 4957 | 35.66 | 1.03 | 5/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The U.S. will conduct aerial eradication of Afghan poppy fields during the 2005 growing season. | World | 7/6/2005
| 516 | 4627 | 9.97 | 1.11 | 1/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | NASA will launch Space Shuttle Discovery by July 4th. | Sci/Tech | 7/6/2005
| 3923 | 1850 | 1.47 | 3.12 | 2/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea sets off a nuclear weapon | World | 7/6/2005
| 1487 | 3779 | 3.54 | 1.39 | 2/10/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US invades Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005
| 255 | 4768 | 19.70 | 1.05 | 2/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US invades Iran | Middle East | 7/6/2005
| 138 | 4946 | 36.84 | 1.03 | 2/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | U.S launches airstrikes on targets in Syria | Middle East | 7/6/2005
| 1561 | 3505 | 3.25 | 1.45 | 1/3/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | When William Rehnquist retires, President Bush will nominate Clarence Thomas to be the next Chief Justice of the Supreme Court. | US | 7/6/2005
| 2108 | 2979 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 11/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | House of Saud loses power in Saudi Arabia, overthrown by internal forces. | Middle East | 7/6/2005
| 470 | 4680 | 10.96 | 1.10 | 4/10/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major Anthrax attack on the U.S. If delivered through the mail, will shut down the Postal Service for at least weeks, and cripple it for at least months. | Terrorism | 7/6/2005
| 426 | 4616 | 11.84 | 1.09 | 4/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A supertanker (VLCC) is sunk by Islamic terrorists in the Strait of Malacca. | Terrorism | 7/6/2005
| 510 | 4511 | 9.85 | 1.11 | 3/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Reunification of Korea by the ROK, defined as ROK boarder guards/troops on the Yalu following the collapse of North Korea. | World | 7/6/2005
| 580 | 4423 | 8.63 | 1.13 | 3/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Pentagon announces that XSS-11 microsat will be explicitly tested to fill ASAT role | Sci/Tech | 6/10/2005
| 153 | 4981 | 33.56 | 1.03 | 10/15/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Bush nominee Paul Wolfowitz gets approved by World Bank Board as next Bank President. | World | 6/10/2005
| 7470 | 425 | 1.06 | 18.58 | 3/17/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US forces in Iraq decline to under 60,000. | Middle East | 6/10/2005
| 1080 | 4022 | 4.72 | 1.27 | 10/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Donald Rumsfeld resigns or is otherwise removed from his post as US Secretary of Defense. | US | 5/31/2005
| 2139 | 2900 | 2.36 | 1.74 | 12/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Airstrikes by US forces against Iranian targets - excluding cross-border raids aimed at stemming Ansar or 'hot pursuit' scenarios. | Middle East | 5/31/2005
| 480 | 4525 | 10.43 | 1.11 | 10/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US Naval blockaid of Iran enforcing UN resolution that Iran must halt nuclear weapons development activities. | Middle East | 5/31/2005
| 1649 | 3480 | 3.11 | 1.47 | 9/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In the first half of 2005, the President will announce plans to pull most or all U.S. troops out of Iraq. | Iraq | 5/31/2005
| 720 | 4946 | 7.87 | 1.15 | 9/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A medical researcher will be assasinated by an animal rights activist. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005
| 210 | 5017 | 24.89 | 1.04 | 9/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Successful Al'Qaeda strike in France. | Terrorism | 5/31/2005
| 1915 | 3211 | 2.68 | 1.60 | 4/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Syrian troops withdraw completely from Lebanon | Middle East | 5/31/2005
| 2280 | 2761 | 2.21 | 1.83 | 3/16/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | France will approve the EU Constitution referendum that will be voted on 5/29. | Middle East | 5/31/2005
| 1961 | 3103 | 2.58 | 1.63 | 4/9/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | England win the Six nations with a Grandslam. | Sports | 5/31/2005
| 400 | 4725 | 12.81 | 1.08 | 1/18/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Aerial Chemical or Biological attack on Israel via Syria / Lebanon | Middle East | 5/31/2005
| 195 | 5048 | 26.89 | 1.04 | 11/8/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Yassir Arafat dies, paving the way for a comprehensive peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians. | Middle East | 5/31/2005
| 3378 | 2115 | 1.63 | 2.60 | 2/3/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | In May 5 British general election anti-war rebel MP George Galloway (Respect Coalition) will defeat Labour candidate Oona King in the Bethnal Green and Bow constituency. | Europe | 5/11/2005
| 505 | 744 | 2.47 | 1.68 | 4/18/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Labour party wins British general election | Europe | 5/11/2005
| 4507 | 150 | 1.03 | 31.05 | 4/13/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Robert Mugabe is re-elected President of Zimbabwe with 80% of the vote. | World | 5/11/2005
| 455 | 915 | 3.01 | 1.50 | 3/30/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Australian troops will be specifically targeted within the next three months | Iraq | 5/11/2005
| 180 | 6067 | 34.71 | 1.03 | 2/1/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US sends large-scale stabilization force to Darfur after presidential election. | World | 5/11/2005
| 314 | 4726 | 16.05 | 1.07 | 10/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Another coup will occur in Venezuela against President Hugo Chavez within the next year. | World | 5/11/2005
| 750 | 4258 | 6.68 | 1.18 | 4/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kurd vs. Sunni vs. Shiite civil war explodes in Iraq. US troops caught in middle. | Iraq | 5/11/2005
| 1853 | 3410 | 2.84 | 1.54 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Will Chile grant Bolivia the access to the Pacific that they are asking for. | World | 4/20/2005
| 41 | 4495 | 110.63 | 1.01 | 3/21/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Vatican will have to appoint a new Pope. | World | 4/19/2005
| 3655 | 810 | 1.22 | 5.51 | 2/5/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next Pope will be from Portugal, Spain or a western European country south of the Alps. | General | 4/19/2005
| 350 | 1075 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 4/15/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Next Pope Will Be From Latin America | General | 4/19/2005
| 684 | 1478 | 3.16 | 1.46 | 4/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The next Pope will be from a country of the former East Block(inc. old Soviet Union). | General | 4/19/2005
| 75 | 935 | 13.47 | 1.08 | 4/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The next Pope will NOT be a European. | World | 4/19/2005
| 3325 | 1806 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 4/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Next Pope will take the name Pius XIII. | General | 4/19/2005
| 20 | 210 | 11.50 | 1.10 | 4/10/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger is chosen to replace John Paul II as Pope | General | 4/19/2005
| 760 | 2316 | 4.05 | 1.33 | 3/27/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The price of oil will exceed $65 US dollars. | US | 4/17/2005
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | The price of oil will exceed $70/bbl. | World | 4/17/2005
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A civil war breaks out in Lebanon with Sunni-Druze-Maronites fighting a Hizbullah-Palestinian alliance. Syria will not interfere, but will provide Hizbulla/PLO with arms and intelligence | Middle East | 4/17/2005
| 350 | 4721 | 14.49 | 1.07 | 2/25/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US troops in Iraq are proven to have targeted journalists for assassination. | Iraq | 4/17/2005
| 60 | 5000 | 84.33 | 1.01 | 2/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US bombs the Iranian nuclear facilities to stop work on nuclear weapons. | Middle East | 4/17/2005
| 539 | 5629 | 11.44 | 1.10 | 10/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | After president Bush wins re-election, there is a massive US build up on Syria's border, and Syria asks for the same deal as Lybia and gives up terrorism. | Middle East | 4/17/2005
| 182 | 4878 | 27.80 | 1.04 | 9/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Provided he wins the election, Bush promotes a flat tax or other similarly radical reform of the IRS early in his second term. | US | 4/17/2005
| 1692 | 3309 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 9/12/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The Montreal Expos do NOT move to Washington D.C. in 2005. | Sports | 4/17/2005
| 715 | 4286 | 6.99 | 1.17 | 11/19/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | China invades Taiwan by Spring of 2005 to prevent it from becoming independent. | China | 4/17/2005
| 455 | 4598 | 11.11 | 1.10 | 7/12/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major al-Qaeda attack in Italy or against a major Italian target abroad. | Terrorism | 4/17/2005
| 2247 | 3202 | 2.43 | 1.70 | 3/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US Army adopts 6.8mm round for its new M-8 assault rifle. Heavier round favored because it is deadlier than 5.56mm round. | US | 4/17/2005
| 1207 | 3795 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 4/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major Al Quaeda base discovered in Indonesia. Indonesian military moves in to crush it with the help of US advisors. | Terrorism | 4/17/2005
| 660 | 5646 | 9.55 | 1.12 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel evicts/drives out nearly all Palestinians from Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank. | World | 4/17/2005
| 45 | 5051 | 113.24 | 1.01 | 3/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be un-cancelled. | Sports | 3/15/2005
| 0 | 1454 | 1,454.00 | 1.00 | 2/21/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel-Palestine cease-fire collapses within one month. | Middle East | 3/15/2005
| 2141 | 2876 | 2.34 | 1.74 | 2/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iran agrees to permanatly stop uranium enrichment. | World | 3/15/2005
| 61 | 7499 | 123.93 | 1.01 | 12/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Carlos Beltran will be signed by the New York Yankees before March 1, 2005. | Sports | 3/15/2005
| 1000 | 4001 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 11/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | CBS memos found to be work of pro-Bush agents. | US | 3/15/2005
| 200 | 5499 | 28.50 | 1.04 | 10/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda attempts repeat of Beslan massacre in Europe | Terrorism | 3/15/2005
| 351 | 6108 | 18.40 | 1.06 | 9/19/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The 2004-2005 NHL Season will be cancelled. | Sports | 2/20/2005
| 5206 | 270 | 1.05 | 20.28 | 1/26/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The U.S. (with E.U. acquiescence) bombs targets relating to the Iranian nuclear program. | Middle East | 2/20/2005
| 796 | 4205 | 6.28 | 1.19 | 9/9/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | New England Patriots win the Superbowl | Sports | 2/6/2005
| 4590 | 500 | 1.11 | 10.18 | 2/4/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | the eagles will win the Superbowl
| Sports | 2/6/2005
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2/6/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The interem government due to govern Iraq between July 1 and elections next year does not last until elections, but resigns or is thrown out | Iraq | 2/3/2005
| 406 | 4595 | 12.32 | 1.09 | 5/15/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Iraqi National Elections will be held by June 30, 2005 | Iraq | 2/3/2005
| 4612 | 389 | 1.08 | 12.86 | 5/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Red sox free agents Jason Varitek and Orlando Cabrera will both stay with the red sox for 2005. | Sports | 2/3/2005
| 155 | 1186 | 8.65 | 1.13 | 11/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Iraqi insurgents will conduct at least three major attacks causing major civilian casualties prior to the elections on 30 January 2005. | Iraq | 2/3/2005
| 6838 | 2226 | 1.33 | 4.07 | 1/8/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Iraqi elections occur on January 30, 2005 as scheduled with the majority of eligible Iraqis participating. | Iraq | 2/3/2005
| 3665 | 1390 | 1.38 | 3.64 | 12/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The UN will declare the Iraqi elections invalid and illegitimate | Iraq | 2/3/2005
| 1853 | 3217 | 2.74 | 1.58 | 9/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Leader of the main al-Qaeda cell in North America is caught and found to be an American (born) citizen. | Terrorism | 1/30/2005
| 1235 | 4282 | 4.47 | 1.29 | 5/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | December 2004 COMEX gold settles at/above $436.50. | World | 1/30/2005
| 2268 | 215 | 1.09 | 11.55 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US Cancels F-22 fighter. | US | 1/30/2005
| 730 | 4318 | 6.92 | 1.17 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Eastern Ukraine Secedes in election dispute. | Russia | 1/30/2005
| 301 | 4700 | 16.61 | 1.06 | 11/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | EU ends the Ukraine election dispute. | Russia | 1/30/2005
| 0 | 3424 | 3,424.00 | 1.00 | 11/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Ukraine's Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich will use his military and police to violently suppress the Opposition protesters against his re-election. | General | 1/30/2005
| 545 | 4490 | 9.24 | 1.12 | 11/25/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Pittsburgh Steelers win Superbowl. | Sports | 1/23/2005
| 1578 | 4893 | 4.10 | 1.32 | 1/14/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Death toll from Asia tsunami and related diseases exceeds 200,000. | World | 1/20/2005
| 4772 | 921 | 1.19 | 6.18 | 1/9/2005 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Indianapolis Colts Win Superbowl XXXIX | Sports | 1/16/2005
| 1197 | 3922 | 4.28 | 1.31 | 1/9/2005 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Mahmoud Abbas (aka Abu Mazen) will win the Palestinian presidential election held on January 9th, 2005. | Middle East | 1/10/2005
| 7715 | 300 | 1.04 | 26.72 | 12/29/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Death toll from Indian Ocean earthquake/tsunami, including disease induced by the tsunami, reaches 150,000. | World | 1/4/2005
| 5264 | 100 | 1.02 | 53.64 | 12/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year. | World | 1/4/2005
| 301 | 2138 | 8.10 | 1.14 | 11/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | EU launches sanctions on the Ukraine govt over the continuing electoral standoff there. EU refrains from referring the issue to the United Nations. | Europe | 1/4/2005
| 50 | 1121 | 23.42 | 1.04 | 11/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kim Jong-il dead or out of power by end of year. | World | 1/4/2005
| 800 | 4688 | 6.86 | 1.17 | 11/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US - North Korean Military Incident in the Sea of Japan | General | 1/4/2005
| 400 | 3292 | 9.23 | 1.12 | 11/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Syrians withdraw 1/2 of troops from Lebanon, emphasis on troops in the northern part of the country but leave significant troop concentrations near Beirut | Middle East | 1/4/2005
| 315 | 2657 | 9.43 | 1.12 | 10/12/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The BCS (Bowl Championship Series) system will snub at least one undefeated team. | Sports | 1/4/2005
| 2511 | 170 | 1.07 | 15.77 | 9/30/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | While the reelection of George W Bush will prompt predictions of liberals and other leftists leaving America, no such exodus (at least not a statistically significant one) will actually take place. | US | 1/4/2005
| 3734 | 110 | 1.03 | 34.95 | 10/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In the 2004 American presidentail election, if the result is a close or a disputed Bush victory, the UN election inspectors will refuse to certify Bush's reelection. | US | 1/4/2005
| 865 | 4810 | 6.56 | 1.18 | 9/22/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | A Mid Major, either Boise State, Fresno State, Louisville or Utah will rise to #6 and receive a BCS bowl bid. | Sports | 1/4/2005
| 4528 | 475 | 1.10 | 10.53 | 9/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | If George Bush wins the election he will dramatically increase the military presence in Iraq in an effort to bring the war to a conclusion. | Iraq | 1/4/2005
| 174 | 2227 | 13.80 | 1.08 | 9/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Military aircraft shot down deliberately by US in air to air combat before 1/1/2005 | Sci/Tech | 1/4/2005
| 517 | 6942 | 14.43 | 1.07 | 9/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Nuclear, biological or chemical weapons will be used in a terrorist attack in Aisa, Europe or North America before the new year. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005
| 865 | 4185 | 5.84 | 1.21 | 9/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Saddam is tried and executed before the end of the year. | Iraq | 1/4/2005
| 1005 | 4024 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 6/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russian Peacekeeping Troops Enter Iraq. | Iraq | 1/4/2005
| 379 | 4628 | 13.21 | 1.08 | 8/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Supreme Court Justice William Rehnquist will resign before Januay 1, 2005. | US | 1/4/2005
| 1315 | 4138 | 4.15 | 1.32 | 11/8/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | There will still be no resignations or firings from CBS over the National Guard memo scandal by the end of the year. | US | 1/4/2005
| 4343 | 660 | 1.15 | 7.58 | 11/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iraq's Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi will be assassinated before the beginning of next year. | Iraq | 1/4/2005
| 1786 | 3493 | 2.96 | 1.51 | 6/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hijacking of oil supertanker ship, then sailed into major US port and blown up causing environmental disaster. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005
| 100 | 3440 | 35.40 | 1.03 | 4/13/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | National elections in Iraq | Iraq | 1/4/2005
| 1841 | 3231 | 2.76 | 1.57 | 3/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Breakaway republic from Indonesia | World | 1/4/2005
| 89 | 3995 | 45.89 | 1.02 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | U.S. combat troops sent to Columbia to fight narco-terrorists. | US | 1/4/2005
| 150 | 4164 | 28.76 | 1.04 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major Islamic terrorist attack attempted in Australia in the fortnight immediately before the Federal Election. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005
| 683 | 4400 | 7.44 | 1.16 | 3/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Revolution in Iran | Middle East | 1/4/2005
| 2180 | 2832 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 3/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | UN imposes trade sanctions on Iran for failure to cooperate with IAE Comission. | Middle East | 1/4/2005
| 739 | 4351 | 6.89 | 1.17 | 3/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | India and Pakistan will make a peace deal over Kashmir by the end of the year | World | 1/4/2005
| 881 | 4390 | 5.98 | 1.20 | 1/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel launches a pre-emptive airstrike against Iran's nuclear weapons production facilities. | Middle East | 1/4/2005
| 2136 | 2874 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 3/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Islamic radicals stage revolution in Pakistan and take over government. | World | 1/4/2005
| 330 | 4946 | 15.99 | 1.07 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terririst attack in Finland. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005
| 170 | 3243 | 20.08 | 1.05 | 3/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chechnya granted independence by Russia. | Russia | 1/4/2005
| 32 | 5946 | 186.81 | 1.01 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Islamic Terrorists use a nuclear (including dirty bombs), biological or chemical weapon against the west, on any scale. | Terrorism | 1/4/2005
| 1325 | 3845 | 3.90 | 1.34 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Fidel Castro dies, prompting a revolution in Cuba. | World | 1/4/2005
| 541 | 4555 | 9.42 | 1.12 | 3/16/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The Federal Reserve will raise the Fed Funds rate at the December 14 meeting. | US | 12/30/2004
| 4663 | 355 | 1.08 | 14.14 | 10/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Italy will be attacked by Al Masry brigades and will leave Iraq. | Terrorism | 12/30/2004
| 61 | 5953 | 98.59 | 1.01 | 8/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Before December 13, Media Reports of Massive Election Fraud Causes Suspension of December 13 Electoral College Vote or a massive change in electoral vote. | US | 12/22/2004
| 245 | 4757 | 20.42 | 1.05 | 11/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | If President Bush is re-elected, the United States will launch a major offensive to take control of Fallujah in December with combined US and Iraqi government forces | Iraq | 12/22/2004
| 3755 | 1732 | 1.46 | 3.17 | 9/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | With final vote count yet to be certified, world shocked to learn when final certified count at Ohio tips in favor of Kerry. | US | 12/22/2004
| 35 | 5042 | 145.06 | 1.01 | 11/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Scott Peterson will NOT receive the death penalty for murdering his wife and unborn child. | US | 12/22/2004
| 550 | 4587 | 9.34 | 1.12 | 12/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Another hurricane (Category 1 or higher) will strike Florida this hurricane season. | US | 12/6/2004
| 115 | 4950 | 44.04 | 1.02 | 10/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Turkey will be accepted into the EU | World | 12/6/2004
| 490 | 4543 | 10.27 | 1.11 | 7/7/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | US and Iraqi government forces will claim victory in Fallujah without capturing/killing Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. | Iraq | 12/6/2004
| 5083 | 70 | 1.01 | 73.61 | 11/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | French Government publicly apologises to world for pocketing Saddams cash in exchange for votes at UN | Iraq | 12/6/2004
| 49 | 5051 | 104.08 | 1.01 | 2/1/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The AUC demobilization collapses, leading to a tacit alliance between the AUC and the Colombian government against FARC. | World | 12/6/2004
| 349 | 4882 | 14.99 | 1.07 | 3/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Zimbabwean financial and civil meltdown causes South African intervention to rectify. Mugabe flees to third country to avoid trail for crimes against humanity. | World | 12/6/2004
| 426 | 5496 | 13.90 | 1.08 | 3/17/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Condi Rice next SecState | US | 11/15/2004
| 100 | 0 | 1.00 | 100.00 | 11/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Scott Peterson will be found NOT GUILTY of murdering his wife and unborn child. | General | 11/12/2004
| 660 | 6818 | 11.33 | 1.10 | 10/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bush names brother and Florida governor Jeb Bush to replace John Ashcroft as U.S. Attorney General. | US | 11/11/2004
| 0 | 467 | 467.00 | 1.00 | 11/9/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | National elections in Afghanistan. | World | 11/9/2004
| 331 | 110 | 1.33 | 4.01 | 3/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Mt St Helen's will not have a volcanic eruption this year. | US | 11/9/2004
| 1310 | 320 | 1.24 | 5.09 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Arafat "officially" declared dead by PLO. | Middle East | 11/9/2004
| 2412 | 2603 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 11/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Dan Rather is found to be the source of the CBS-promoted anti-Bush CYA documents. | US | 11/7/2004
| 10 | 6270 | 628.00 | 1.00 | 9/10/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Someone dies because of political violence during the American presidential election campaign. | US | 11/7/2004
| 835 | 4166 | 5.99 | 1.20 | 9/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Israel Will Pre-Emptively Nuke Iran This Year If Kerry Is Elected President, i.e., Before His Inaugeration. See http://windsofchange.net/archives/004885.php | Middle East | 11/7/2004
| 466 | 4982 | 11.69 | 1.09 | 4/20/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Sinclair Broadcasting Group, caving in to pressure, will NOT air anti-Kerry documentary. | US | 11/3/2004
| 1270 | 3475 | 3.74 | 1.37 | 10/14/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | National League Team wins 2004 World Series. | Sports | 11/3/2004
| 410 | 1704 | 5.16 | 1.24 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Taiwan acquires the Ticonderoga-class CGs the U.S. Navy is retiring. | China | 11/3/2004
| 460 | 1849 | 5.02 | 1.25 | 7/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | National Missile Defense site in Alaska goes operational before the US presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004
| 3123 | 1956 | 1.63 | 2.60 | 4/14/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | 2004 Election Results: Bush wins second term, Republicans lose majority in Senate but pick up at least one more vote in House of Representatives | US | 11/3/2004
| 645 | 4389 | 7.80 | 1.15 | 10/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Anaheim Angels win World Series! | Sports | 11/3/2004
| 3 | 993 | 332.00 | 1.00 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Los Angeles Dodgers win World Series! | Sports | 11/3/2004
| 1 | 509 | 510.00 | 1.00 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Republicans pick up at least 5 seats in the US senate from the November 2nd, 2004 elections. | US | 11/3/2004
| 515 | 2402 | 5.66 | 1.21 | 10/25/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Republicans gain at least two seats (For a total of 53+) in the Senate. | US | 11/3/2004
| 4344 | 670 | 1.15 | 7.48 | 10/19/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | U.S. presidential election: The difference in the electoral vote totals of the Republican and Democratic candidates will be within 40 (for example, 289 to 249). | US | 11/3/2004
| 2613 | 2711 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 8/29/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will hit $53 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004. | World | 11/3/2004
| 3191 | 132 | 1.04 | 25.17 | 10/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will drop to $47 or less per barrel by November 2, 2004. | World | 11/3/2004
| 475 | 1797 | 4.78 | 1.26 | 10/5/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | George W. Bush is re-elected. | US | 11/3/2004
| 3750 | 1410 | 1.38 | 3.66 | 10/31/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Whoever wins Florida wins the election | US | 11/3/2004
| 4933 | 465 | 1.09 | 11.61 | 11/1/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kerry revealed before Election Day to been given an Other-than-Honorable or Dishonorable Discharge from the U.S. military during the Vietnam War | US | 11/3/2004
| 535 | 2006 | 4.75 | 1.27 | 10/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | By 8pm EDT on Wednesday, November 3rd, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute. | US | 11/3/2004
| 1446 | 1994 | 2.38 | 1.73 | 10/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In response to an al Qaeda catastrophic act of terrorism on the US homeland, President George Bush will nuke bin Laden's suspected location (the border of Afghanistan/Pakistan). | US | 11/3/2004
| 905 | 4276 | 5.72 | 1.21 | 10/14/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John Kerry wins the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004
| 1125 | 3878 | 4.45 | 1.29 | 10/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The percentage difference between Bush and Kerry in the Florida vote count will be less than 1%. | US | 11/3/2004
| 931 | 3138 | 4.37 | 1.30 | 10/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | By 8pm EST on Tuesday, November 9th, the winner of the US Presidential election will still be unknown or in dispute. | US | 11/3/2004
| 657 | 3025 | 5.60 | 1.22 | 10/15/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | George W. Bush wins the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004
| 2958 | 2080 | 1.70 | 2.42 | 10/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John Kerry elected President. | US | 11/3/2004
| 1972 | 3094 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 10/7/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | President Bush wins reelection. | US | 11/3/2004
| 3820 | 1300 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 9/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Osama Bin laden will be caught before the US Presidential Elections. | US | 11/3/2004
| 909 | 4239 | 5.66 | 1.21 | 9/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Will Bush win a plurality of votes, but lose in the electoral college (e.g. inverse of 2000)? | US | 11/3/2004
| 150 | 1952 | 14.01 | 1.08 | 8/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John Kerry wins more than 60% of the popular vote for president on November 2. | US | 11/3/2004
| 1035 | 4144 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 8/30/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Bush reelected in November 2 | US | 11/3/2004
| 3217 | 2055 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 3/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Democrats demand recounts of 2004 Presidential election ballots in several states. | US | 11/3/2004
| 3205 | 1802 | 1.56 | 2.78 | 1/31/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | President Bush is reelected and receives more than 50% of the Popular vote. | US | 11/3/2004
| 3063 | 2119 | 1.69 | 2.45 | 3/30/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Republicans maintain control of Senate. | US | 11/3/2004
| 4470 | 495 | 1.11 | 10.03 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The investigators of the CBS National Guard memo scandal make their report public before the Presidential election. | US | 11/3/2004
| 75 | 454 | 7.05 | 1.17 | 10/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Homeland Security (FBI, CIA, Etc.) will announce they successfully foiled a terrorist attempt to disrupt the U.S. Presidential Election within one week of the Election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 755 | 1798 | 3.38 | 1.42 | 10/6/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The price of NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) Light Sweet Crude will reach $60 or more per barrel by November 2, 2004. | US | 11/3/2004
| 332 | 2397 | 8.22 | 1.14 | 10/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | George Bush will be assassinated before election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 100 | 4247 | 43.47 | 1.02 | 10/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | In a move reminiscent of the 2002 New Jersey senate campaign, the democratic national committee replaces John Kerry with another candidate. | US | 11/3/2004
| 50 | 2560 | 52.20 | 1.02 | 9/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Catastrophic seismic event occurs on the West coast by election day. | US | 11/3/2004
| 275 | 2593 | 10.43 | 1.11 | 9/29/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hostage takers in Iraq will issue a demand to US voters that seek an electoral outcome, vis-a-vis the US Presidential Elections. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 444 | 1381 | 4.11 | 1.32 | 9/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | High ranking white house official indicted for revealing id of covert CIA agent Valery Plame before elections. | US | 11/3/2004
| 43 | 936 | 22.77 | 1.05 | 9/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Kerry gets new campaign manager. | US | 11/3/2004
| 2037 | 2969 | 2.46 | 1.69 | 9/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | AlQaeda will attempt a major attack on US soil within a week of the US elections, in order to influence electoral outcome, as well as to grab headlines | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 1821 | 3297 | 2.81 | 1.55 | 9/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Osama Bin Laden is proven captured or killed before the November elections. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 1077 | 4723 | 5.39 | 1.23 | 8/21/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A major Terrorist attack somewhere in the Midwest in October results in mass casualties and leads Bush to indefinately postpone the 2004 Presidential Election and declares Martial Law | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 1215 | 3812 | 4.14 | 1.32 | 8/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russia offers to commit 5,000+ troops to peacekeeping operations in Iraq. | Iraq | 11/3/2004
| 382 | 4385 | 12.48 | 1.09 | 7/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | PLO and PA Chairman Yassir Arafat dies. | Middle East | 11/3/2004
| 35 | 506 | 15.46 | 1.07 | 10/27/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda will conduct multiple simultaneous attacks using powdered anthrax in Washington D.C. and New York, shortly before the US Presidencial elections. | US | 11/3/2004
| 105 | 2683 | 26.55 | 1.04 | 10/14/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al-Qaida will attempt several mass casualty attacks in the USA to influence the election. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 1122 | 4068 | 4.63 | 1.28 | 10/11/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Forged Dan Rather Memos will be shown to have emerged either directly from the Kerry campaign or from a pro-Democrat 527 organization (such as moveon etc.) | US | 11/3/2004
| 1231 | 3785 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 9/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Iraqi WMD stockpiles located - in Syria/Bekaa Valley | Iraq | 11/3/2004
| 1805 | 3199 | 2.77 | 1.56 | 2/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Yasser Arafat killed in an IDF attack. | Middle East | 11/3/2004
| 798 | 4227 | 6.30 | 1.19 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Major al-Qaeda attack in the United States or against a major American target abroad. | Terrorism | 11/3/2004
| 3560 | 1521 | 1.43 | 3.34 | 1/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Responsibility for the Abhu Ghraib incident will be charged to an officer with rank lower than Lt. Colonel. | US | 11/3/2004
| 2131 | 2879 | 2.35 | 1.74 | 5/5/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | Boston Red Sox win the World Series | Sports | 10/28/2004
| 1570 | 3463 | 3.21 | 1.45 | 9/18/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Hamid Karzai elected president of Afghanistan. | World | 10/28/2004
| 5215 | 145 | 1.03 | 36.97 | 8/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Yankees sweep the Red Sox | Sports | 10/20/2004
| 1101 | 2682 | 3.44 | 1.41 | 10/13/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Minnesota Twins win the 2004 American League Championship Series. | Sports | 10/18/2004
| 1572 | 3483 | 3.22 | 1.45 | 9/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Osama Bin Laden killed or captured right in time for US elections. | US | 10/16/2004
| 2271 | 2735 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 4/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hamid Karzai is assassinated before the Afghan elections. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004
| 295 | 4971 | 17.85 | 1.06 | 9/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rash of wildfires throughout the Rocky Mountain region is connected to an Al'Qaeda or subsidiary; includes discovery/nullification of unexploded incendiary devices. | Terrorism | 10/9/2004
| 496 | 4668 | 10.41 | 1.11 | 4/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A Canadian Team Wins the X-Prize. | Sci/Tech | 10/6/2004
| 100 | 2412 | 25.12 | 1.04 | 9/21/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | The X-Prize is won, an attempt to privately launch a shuttle twice within 14 days. | Sci/Tech | 10/4/2004
| 3591 | 1533 | 1.43 | 3.34 | 6/13/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The U.S. will be forced to pull out of Iraq due to popular uprisings abroad and widespread sentiments at home.
| Iraq | 10/3/2004
| 170 | 4956 | 30.15 | 1.03 | 5/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea is caught proliferating nuclear materials. | World | 10/3/2004
| 564 | 5203 | 10.23 | 1.11 | 3/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major al-Qaeda attack in Europe. | Europe | 10/3/2004
| 1525 | 4182 | 3.74 | 1.36 | 3/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | For his role in the National Guard memo scandal, Dan Rather resigns or is fired as anchor of the CBS Evening News by the 1st of October. | US | 10/1/2004
| 115 | 2687 | 24.37 | 1.04 | 9/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | The Milwaukee Brewers finish above .500. | Sports | 10/1/2004
| 55 | 2366 | 44.02 | 1.02 | 6/26/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tony Blair resigns as UK Prime Minister. | Europe | 10/1/2004
| 110 | 5289 | 49.08 | 1.02 | 5/9/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Al Qaeda will attack several oil and gas refineries across the US this summer, hoping to drastically raise fuel prices and thereby damage the US economy. | Terrorism | 10/1/2004
| 725 | 4327 | 6.97 | 1.17 | 4/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Congress overrides the Army's decision to cancel the Comanche. | US | 10/1/2004
| 90 | 2127 | 24.63 | 1.04 | 3/28/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | North Korea attacks South Korea. | World | 10/1/2004
| 32 | 4714 | 148.31 | 1.01 | 3/16/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Gen. Pervez Musharraf will be overthrown by Islamists in Pakistan. | World | 10/1/2004
| 376 | 5408 | 15.38 | 1.07 | 3/17/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Disclplinary action (of any sort)for the Abu Ghraib incident will be faced by an officer with rank of Brig. General or higher. | US | 9/16/2004
| 4101 | 1547 | 1.38 | 3.65 | 5/5/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Rather admits two documents forged and apologizes on TV. | US | 9/16/2004
| 597 | 3502 | 6.87 | 1.17 | 9/11/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bush campaign files lawsuit for collusion between Kerry campaign and MoveOn.org. | US | 9/15/2004
| 15 | 3097 | 207.47 | 1.00 | 8/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Imam Ali shrine complex is raided succesfully, but major damage occurs to the shrine; thus, sparking a mass Shia upraising. | Iraq | 9/15/2004
| 22 | 1988 | 91.36 | 1.01 | 8/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Transport Bomb Attack Occurs--"The US Department of Homeland Security has warned that bombs hidden in luggage could be used to attack buses and railways in big US cities this summer." (BBC) | Terrorism | 9/15/2004
| 579 | 4879 | 9.43 | 1.12 | 4/3/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | WMD attack against London. | Terrorism | 9/7/2004
| 710 | 5249 | 8.39 | 1.14 | 3/29/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Bush's approval rating 50+% after RNC. | US | 9/4/2004
| 3894 | 1145 | 1.29 | 4.40 | 8/25/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | 300 people arrested during Republican National Convention. | US | 9/4/2004
| 2248 | 290 | 1.13 | 8.75 | 8/24/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Russian authorities diffuse "school hostage crisis" without civlian casualties | Terrorism | 9/3/2004
| 148 | 2257 | 16.25 | 1.07 | 9/1/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Dick Cheney announces that he will not seek the Vice-Presidency in 2004. | US | 9/3/2004
| 1591 | 3485 | 3.19 | 1.46 | 3/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorist attack somewhere in the United States on September 2nd the day President Bush gives his speech at the RNC. | Terrorism | 9/2/2004
| 728 | 3382 | 5.65 | 1.22 | 8/4/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | oil closes above $50.00 | World | 9/1/2004
| 436 | 2218 | 6.09 | 1.20 | 8/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Peace efforts in Najaf fail and the Imam Ali shrine complex is raided to evict Muqtada al Sadr and his army. | Iraq | 9/1/2004
| 803 | 2466 | 4.07 | 1.33 | 8/17/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Iran is found to be actively supporting sabotage and/or terrorism within Iraq. | Iraq | 8/30/2004
| 1435 | 115 | 1.08 | 13.48 | 6/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorist attack in Greece by outside (non-Greek) group(s) during the Olympic Games. | Terrorism | 8/30/2004
| 2474 | 2584 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | American fatalities in Iraq pass 1000.
(For purposes of arbitration, CNN's special report on Coalition Casualties will be used; at this writing that number is 646) | Iraq | 8/29/2004
| 2797 | 2216 | 1.79 | 2.26 | 4/15/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | President Bush will attend the Olympics in Greece. | US | 8/28/2004
| 121 | 2215 | 19.31 | 1.05 | 8/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | An explosion severely damages the Imam Ali shrine.
| Iraq | 8/27/2004
| 160 | 1552 | 10.70 | 1.10 | 8/20/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Will the italian government be forced to retreat troops from Iraq by the fall of 2004? | Iraq | 8/15/2004
| 510 | 4020 | 8.88 | 1.13 | 4/21/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Major Chenchen attack in Russia | Russia | 8/1/2004
| 990 | 761 | 1.77 | 2.30 | 3/28/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | N | The Supreme Court Rules that detainees at Guantanamo have the right to appeal to the Federal courts | US | 8/1/2004
| 1673 | 2438 | 2.46 | 1.69 | 4/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bob Graham will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 60 | 237 | 4.95 | 1.25 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary Clinton will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 230 | 1021 | 5.44 | 1.23 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Tom Vilsack will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 280 | 527 | 2.88 | 1.53 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Bill Richardson will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 25 | 396 | 16.84 | 1.06 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Wesley Clark will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 55 | 246 | 5.47 | 1.22 | 6/17/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | John Edwards will be the Kerry's vice presidential nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 2349 | 1220 | 1.52 | 2.93 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | John McCain will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 0 | 976 | 976.00 | 1.00 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Evan Bayh will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 20 | 332 | 17.60 | 1.06 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Richard Gephardt will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 1168 | 1679 | 2.44 | 1.70 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Chuck Hagel will be Kerry's vice presidental nominee. | US | 7/25/2004
| 2 | 211 | 106.50 | 1.01 | 6/17/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | 9/11 commission explicitly blames Bush | US | 7/23/2004
| 183 | 2515 | 14.74 | 1.07 | 3/28/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Successful Al'Qaeda strike in France. | Terrorism | 7/14/2004
| 862 | 4356 | 6.05 | 1.20 | 4/8/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | As a result of the Abu Ghraib scandal, Defense Secretary Rumsfeld resigns. | US | 6/30/2004
| 150 | 3834 | 26.56 | 1.04 | 5/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | N | Osama Bin Laden captured | Terrorism | 6/30/2004
| 3595 | 2505 | 1.70 | 2.44 | 1/22/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major terrorist attack on Montreal public rail system prior to 06/28/04 Canadian General elections. | Terrorism | 6/29/2004
| 83 | 4852 | 59.46 | 1.02 | 6/1/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hillary announced as a Vice-Presidential running mate in 2004 election. | US | 6/1/2004
| 440 | 4611 | 11.48 | 1.10 | 1/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Civil war erupts in Iraq. Shiites, Sunnites, Kurds attack Coalitian Forces and increasingly also each other. | Iraq | 6/1/2004
| 975 | 5220 | 6.35 | 1.19 | 4/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Spain decides not to appear like they are intimidated by al Qaeda and keep their troops in Iraq. | Terrorism | 6/1/2004
| 785 | 4222 | 6.38 | 1.19 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Terrorist attack in Finland. | Terrorism | 6/1/2004
| 43 | 3758 | 88.40 | 1.01 | 3/20/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Oil price rises above $44 | US | 6/1/2004
| 2404 | 1310 | 1.54 | 2.84 | 4/2/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | US opens the strategic oil reserves to ease fuel prices. | US | 6/1/2004
| 670 | 4476 | 7.68 | 1.15 | 3/30/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Highly sophisticated trojan virus program unleashed on the internet, more devastating than ever seen, variants plague internet for months. | Sci/Tech | 5/1/2004
| 559 | 4451 | 8.96 | 1.13 | 1/31/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | USA led troops attacks the city of Najaf in Iraq and kill or arrest Al-Sadr. | Iraq | 4/24/2004
| 100 | 6000 | 61.00 | 1.02 | 4/18/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Hamas stages a terror attack against Americans in revenge for their leaders being killed by the Israelis. | Terrorism | 4/22/2004
| 229 | 5515 | 25.08 | 1.04 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Major Hamas attack against Israeli civilians, killing at least a hundred people. | Terrorism | 4/22/2004
| 480 | 6504 | 14.55 | 1.07 | 3/23/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | Falluja, Iraq declared pacified by April 15. | Middle East | 4/15/2004
| 380 | 3716 | 10.78 | 1.10 | 4/7/2004 |
Con
Lifetime | Y | A definitive link is made between Al Quaeda and the ETA with regard to the bombings in Madrid | Terrorism | 4/9/2004
| 837 | 4251 | 6.08 | 1.20 | 3/17/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Insurgent fatalities occur in Iraq. | Iraq | 3/30/2004
| 5112 | 67 | 1.01 | 77.30 | 3/15/2004 |
Pro
Lifetime | Y | Patriots win the 2004 Super Bowl. | Sports | 1/31/2004
| 600 | 200 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 1/24/2004 |
