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Event: Prior to Iranian election, low-budget Straight of Hormuz incident created by Iranian RG elements to prop oil prices, help Ahmadinejads poll #s.

Predicted Correctly: Y

Result: Con

Precentage of Days Correct 68.75%

Day Pro TotalCon Total Correct
11000 
210040 
310070 
410080 
5100180*
6200180 
7200224*
8200269*
9200279*
10200479*
11200629*
12200829*
13200839*
14200929*
15200979*
162001079*

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