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Subject: Discussion: the folly of the naval missile age?
thruster    11/22/2010 11:54:43 PM
gday. im by no means an expert, but still a self appointed armchair admiral. back in the vietnam war the USAF thought air-air gunnery was a thing of the past. they deployed early model F4s without guns, only to retrofit and add them to later models when they realised that a missile just couldnt guarantee a kill or wasnt even appropriate for the engagement. i think that contemporary naval thinking has fallen into the same trap. i doubt they even practice ship-ship gunnery anymore? as i see it, the naval missile system is a system where its effectiveness is utterly reliant on the adversary. the only thing the missile manufacturer can actually guarantee is that the thing will fly as programed and the warhead will act as advertised. you can never actually guarantee an actual hit, even if your targeting is spot on. to my mind if your ship has been hit by a missile, youve either: 1] been asleep at the wheel 2] been cheap with your countermeasures 3] picked a fight with an enemy with the very latest kit and countermeasures havnt caught up yet 4] youve been overwhelmed by large numbers of simultaneously arriving missiles. considering a typical missile magazine on a frigate, cost of rounds, availability and numbers of strike aircraft for the task and simultaneous fire capability im uncertain the ability to overwhelm any opponent, especially after the first barrage? its a challenging task. as tempting as it is to want to hit a target over the horizon, dedicating your doctrine on a system where your adversary has so much influence on countering it, to my mind isnt too wise? now, gunnery is a different matter. able to carry a very large magazine and fire large volumes of rounds onto a target, even a single gun can easily land multiple hits to devastating effect. and the enemy cannot interfere with a or all round[s] inflight. so, should we get HMAS Vampire outa darling harbour, load it full of latest missile countermeasures, under that umbrella sail up into range and decimate anything that gets in the way? - what do you reckon? cheers.
 
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YelliChink       11/23/2010 12:05:58 AM
Naval guns today are guided by radar and automatic, computerized fire control system. Some guns are directed by electro-optic systems and usually those shoots fast at closer range.
 
I mean really fast, try 200-6000rpm.

Even cannon fuzes can be programmable and computer controlled.
 
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thruster       11/23/2010 1:49:28 AM
sorry about the multiple posts. i keep getting error messages when i send, but it obviously still goes thru?
 if the moderators would like to kill the repeats thatd be tops. cheers.
 
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thruster       12/10/2010 2:20:56 AM
barely a bite!? im surprised. considering that missile focused doctrine [over the horizon] is the biggest leap since black powder made the flaming arrow redundant.
im not expecting any OPSEC sensitive revelations, but surely theres scope for some comment.
- i can accept the value of missile technology against a smaller less equipped vessel [yes, the enemy elected to put it to sea in that configuration, so your expensive weapons system is accordingly effective]. but what about say... frigate v frigate engagements? just how presumptuous is it to assume that your missile round will actually strike the target? if you know it has good countermeasures is it even worth wasting missile round[s] on it, especially when magazine capacities are comparatively small? IF your missile barrage has a minimal effect and the enemy is still capable, what then?
 
 
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Slim Pickinz       12/10/2010 6:35:38 PM

barely a bite!? im surprised. considering that missile focused doctrine [over the horizon] is the biggest leap since black powder made the flaming arrow redundant.

im not expecting any OPSEC sensitive revelations, but surely theres scope for some comment.


- i can accept the value of missile technology against a smaller less equipped vessel [yes, the enemy elected to put it to sea in that configuration, so your expensive weapons system is accordingly effective]. but what about say... frigate v frigate engagements? just how presumptuous is it to assume that your missile round will actually strike the target? if you know it has good countermeasures is it even worth wasting missile round[s] on it, especially when magazine capacities are comparatively small? IF your missile barrage has a minimal effect and the enemy is still capable, what then?


 


You call to other assets in the area (frigates usually don't plod along by themselves) to finish off your target using the range of their anti-ship missiles. Development and testing of missile technology isn't done by wasting rusting hulks in a firing exercise, the guidance and seeker systems are tested against the latest countermeasures known to exist. You can reduce the RCS of your ship, deploy the latest jamming and chaff systems, arm it with anti-missile missiles and cannons, and there's still a good chance your ship will be hit. The main theme in modern naval combat is saturation. You salvo enough missiles towards the target so one of your shots will leak through.
 
By the time the ships close to gun range, other friendly naval or air assets would be in range to support you. Worst case scenario is that your frigate is alone and help is a ways off. You still have your 5" gun that is certainly capable of inflicting serious damage on a similar sized enemy to incapacitate, or at least cause the enemy to disengage and head home.
 
 
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Slim Pickinz       12/10/2010 7:34:24 PM
Although missiles may be replaced somewhat when rail guns become economical enough to put on warships.
 
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gf0012-aust       12/10/2010 9:57:38 PM

Although missiles may be replaced somewhat when rail guns become economical enough to put on warships.

LOS weapons are fine and dandy - until the target moves - then you're going to be relying on yield effects to do the job and hope that the CEP is fat enough to still impact the target before it moves out of range

rail guns to all intents and purposes they are unguided weapons.  if you can't steer the weapon to target then you immediately start to limit its utility in complex space.
 
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locutus    Rail Gun   12/11/2010 12:07:25 AM
   Did see an article on Fox News where the USN set a new record for rail gun shot.  The latest one was 33 mega joules, over three times more powerful than their previous record.
 
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WarNerd       12/11/2010 4:43:19 AM

so, should we get HMAS Vampire outa darling harbour, load it full of latest missile countermeasures, under that umbrella sail up into range and decimate anything that gets in the way? - what do you reckon? cheers.

You need more than ECM, flares, and chaff.  These systems do not stop missiles, just confuse them enough that they have guess where the target is.  Sometimes they guess right, sometimes they guess wrong but stumble into you anyway.  It's a crap shoot.
 
You need to be able to defend against aircraft using laser and optically guided bombs and missiles, subsonic surface skimming missiles, low, medium, and high altititude supersonic missiles, and IRBMs like the Chinese are supposed to be working on.  And do not forget about submarines.
 
This means lots of missiles to keep the aircraft out of launch range, thin out the missiles, and shoot down the IRBM's.  And a lot of point defense to take out the survivors that the ECM does not confuse.  And add several helicopters to keep the subs from getting to close.  So you end up with something close to the [canceled] CG(X) concept, which would have been about 10x bigger than the HMAS Vampire. 
 
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heraldabc    torpedoes.   12/12/2010 1:08:57 AM
H.
 
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