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Subject: Iraq - The Right Place, With the Right People, at the Right Time.
Galrahn    10/26/2005 11:37:40 PM
When the United States and the United Kingdom went to war with Iraq in 2003, the reasons were obvious, or were they? As time always does, information has surfaced that discounts much of the information regarding the reasons for an Iraq war presented to the United Nations. While the true reason for initial conflict in Iraq may never be known, what is known is today, Ramadan 2005, Iraq is without question one of the most suitable, appropriate locations for a Global War on Terrorism. Following the events of September 11, 2001, within a week it became obvious to Western counter-terrism experts that the 4 countries responsible for creating the capability of Al Qaeda was Saudi Arabia for financial support, Iran and Syria for arms and equipment availability and religious justification, and Afghanistan for locations that could be utilized for training and infrastructure to support the Al Qaeda network. While the war in Afghanistan has effectively destroyed the training and infrastructure of Al Qaeda, it did not address the problems that still exist in Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Syria. From a strategic perspective, when accounting for political possibilities, anyone looking at the map trying to best determine how to address that problem in the fight in the Global War on Terror would see Iraq as the perfect solution. Was that the idea at the time? Again, we will never really know the true reasons for the Iraq war, but strategically it was a clear best option. In 2003 and 2004 it was very difficult to gauge how effective the Iraq conflict was in the Global War on Terrorism. The military victory over the Saddam Hussein military was almost guaranteed before it started, the coalition commanders probably knew better than the Iraqi commanders where the Iraq military units were deployed, and the relative ease in which the coalition won the combat portion of the Iraq war is fair proof regarding the success of that aspect of the conflict. Throughout the rest of 2003 and 2004 the major problems including unable to find any relevant Al Qaeda connection and lack of any large scale evidence of NBC weapons highlighted the potential failure of the Iraq War. However, in 2005, all of this has changed. How we got to this point in time could be anything from strategical brilliance to incredibly dumb luck, but either way Iraq has become the centerpiece in the Global War on Terrorism. Whether by design, effort in counterinsurgency or random chance Al Qaeda has become focused on Iraq, and in 2005 Mesopotamia has become the centerpiece of the Global War on Terrorism. From a military and strategic perspective, today in Iraq is a best case scenario in almost every way for the United States of America. Regardless of how we got to this point, there will never be a better opportunity than right now in the Global War on Terror for the United States than what exists in Ramadan 2005 in Iraq. While the western press is completely distracted by statistics, like 2000+ dead American serviceman, 13000+ wounded American serviceman, reduction in poll numbers from the American population in support of the war, reduction in approval rating for President George Bush, and the number of operational Iraqi Brigades able to operate independent of Coalition armed forces support, they are missing the most important statistics and facts. There has been a grand number of 0 follow up attacks on the United States of America, and I believe if we do not see an attack by around November 5th, we won't see a terrorist strike in the United States in 2005. What about 13.4 million? 13.4 is a number that will be remembered in history, but most people don't know what the number means due to inadequate press coverage. The Iraq constitution passed 13.4 million for, 2.1 million against, with an enormous 78% of the Iraq eligible population voting. Earlier this year during a Pentagon briefing, United States commanders on the ground estimated that 5000 Al Qaeda have either been killed or captured in Iraq, and they made it clear that number did not include Iraqi nations involved in the insurgency. And while all of that is nice and good for the Iraq War and the current Global War on Terror, the best situation for the coalition fighting the Global War on Terrorism is that Iraq has put the United States in the right place, with the right people, at exactly the right time. The United States is in the right place, Iraq, with the right people, the United States Military, at exactly the right time, which is right now. The US Military in Iraq provides influence that can only increase and improve building upon the momentum gained in 2005 over Syria, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. If you could of provided the military commanders faced with the Global War on Terror on September 12, 2001, the current US military infrastructure in Iraq, they would have thanked you for providing a strategically brilliant location to take on Syria, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. Syria has basi
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S-2    RE:Iraq - The Right Place, With the Right People, at the Right Time.Galrhan Reply   10/26/2005 11:51:28 PM
Excellent, well-written analysis. Please allow me some time to put some thoughts forth, though your choice of a day in which to make comment is certainly interesting. Galloway in trouble with the U.S. Senate, five dead in Israel, Assad's house of allawai cards tottering, and most of all-Ahmadinejad incredibly direct shot across the bow of Israel. What a day. Geostrategically, we may indeed be beautifully positioned. I'd love a big airbase up by Kirkuk. That would be perfect.
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Galrahn    More evidence the time is now   10/27/2005 10:50:29 AM
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Thomas    RE:More evidence the time is now   10/28/2005 9:26:14 AM
Well the proof of the pudding is in the eating. The sunnies are facing the unpleasant facts of democracy: You may choose not to be a part of it; but that will only result in your exclusion from influence. I pretty much liked the parable: "Politics is like a dead dog and should be shunned by everyone; but in case of necessety of survival you can eat even that." That bearded fellow is beginning to understand democracy: I think few of us love and respect our political leaders; but we need them to get on with our everyday lives. I'm always sceptical about enthusiasm for political leaders, I find deeprooted disgusted mistrust better. I'm no admirer of Richard Nixon as a person; but just consider the consequences of a President McGovern .......... President Carter was probably one of the better persons in the White House - ever - but he was a pathetically inept president. An other point: I understand the voting turnout was 78%. I would have said anything over 50% to be acceptable, anything over 75% outstanding and anything over 90% suspect. We could not have hoped for a better result. Finally I agree very much with Galrahn's analisys; we might have come to the date via the sewers due to holding the map upside down, but we have kept our appointment with destiny - and comparatively speaking: Did we expect to solve the problem of Al Qaida without getting our coiffure in disarray?????
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