Wargames
at War
Wargaming Abroad
The US Army's abandonment of wargaming had enormous impact on foreign armies. As the
most powerful ground force in the West, all of Americas allies tended to follow the US
Armys lead in, or rather away from, wargaming. Before World War II, Germany was the leader
in wargaming developments, but after World War II, Germany no longer played a leading role
in any aspect of military affairs. Thus Americas superpower status and rejection of
warmaking after World War II put most wargamimg out of action for thirty years.
Britain was quick to go over to the Operations Research approach, although the British
armed forces did maintain a keen interest in historical studies. Britain had been one of
the pioneers in Operations Research, so that between the efforts of US and British OR
experts, the purely OR approach to wargaming took firm hold in Western military thinking.
Most other nations also maintained a respect for historical military studies, but this
counted for little as the US generally led way in new military developments.
Russian Wargaming
Russia still maintained a wargaming tradition, but one that was not exactly wargaming
and, oddly enough, similar to the US inspired Operations Research approach. As with much
of their science and technology, the Russians took wargaming ideas from the West and
turned it into something uniquely their own. Put simply, the Russians took the systematic
German historical approach to the study of military affairs and the US Operations Research
techniques. What resulted was massive studies of past military actions and the
application of Operations Research techniques to these studies to produce predictions of
what could be expected in future battles. The Russian work is quite impressive. Their
historical research is first rate and they have a firm grasp of Operations Research
techniques. Two other Russian habits have hobbled their work. First there is the mania for
secrecy. Few Russian researchers have access to the historical military research, or even
the source data in the closely guarded archives. Like any other "theoretical"
military work, the results had to conform in some way to Marxist-Leninist dogma. This
forced the Russian wargamers to recast their results into sometimes erroneous and
misleading forms. The result was that, like most Russian science and technology, the
theoretical basis of Russian wargaming was excellent, but secrecy and politics prevent
doing much useful with it. Russian wargames are quite similar to the spreadsheet based
wargames discussed elsewhere in this book. They use operational and operational-strategic
models (especially since the mid 70s). They make extensive use of carefully verified and
intensively analyzed historical models. The battles of Kalkhin Gol (1939) and Kursk (1943)
are favorite campaigns used for study. Russian wargamers who have come up with conclusions
that did not reflect "correct thinking" found their careers in danger and their
work ignored. Ongoing reforms in Russia have changed this and once Russia does manage to
reform its military on a wide scale, their wargaming will emerge from the shadows and make
a substantial contribution to our understanding of how warfare works, in the past as well
as the future. There are already many changes occurring in Russian wargaming as a result
of the fall of communism in 1989. US and Russian wargamers have been meeting and comparing
notes since 1990 and we can expect some interesting developments out of that.
The Payoff, and Warnings
Wargames and
the 1991 Iraq War
Table of Contents
Chapter 9 Contents