January 25, 2008:
Yemen has offered a $75,000 reward for
information about who killed two Belgian tourists on January 11th. Gunmen
opened fire on a bus full of tourists, also killing two Yemenis and wounding
four other Belgians. Counter-terrorism experts have long suspected that al
Qaeda leaders had put a ban on operations in Yemen, in order to keep the local
security forces inactive, because the place is so useful as a terrorist hiding
place and a transit node for movement into other areas. So, who will turn in the terrorists? Some
local anti-extremist or possibly the local al Qaeda franchise? Or, perhaps, if the latter are the ones who
conducted the attack, will al Qaeda Center turn them in or maybe even arranging
to bump off some of their leaders, as may have happened in Iraq?
The last thing al Qaeda wants is lots
of counter-terrorism activity in Yemen. This is where Osama bin Ladens family
originally came from, and he still has kin there. The Yemen government is
willing to go along with the al Qaeda "truce", as this is good for the
lucrative tourist trade. But with this shooting incidents, many tourists have
cancelled trips. Some Yemeni officials would like to run al Qaeda out of the
country. But most officials see this is as impractical. Many Yemenis are quite
conservative in their religious beliefs, and tend to agree with al Qaeda. While
this is a minority of the population, it is a fanatic one, willing to cause
lots of trouble if stirred up.