September 7,2008:
Israel has been issuing specific
warning to its citizens, to be careful when travelling abroad. The warnings
were prompted by Israeli intelligence discovering a Hezbollah effort to kill or
kidnap Israeli citizens abroad. This murderous plan was apparently the desire
to have revenge for the assassination of Imad Mughniyeh (a senior Hezbollah
leader responsible for attacks that have killed hundreds of Israelis and Americans).
Back in February, shortly after Mughniyeh had been killed in Syria, Hezbollah
began threatening to make attacks against Israeli targets outside of Israel.
This has not been done much in the past because Hezbollah relies on fund
raising and recruiting among Moslems (especially Shia) living outside the
Middle East (especially in the West). But in the past few years, Western
counter-terror efforts have cracked down on both of these activities. So there
is real fear that the furor over Mughniyeh's death will encourage Hezbollah to
branch out into international terrorism. The downside of this is increased international
efforts against Hezbollah. Logic, however, does not always play with Hezbollah
and the Islamic radicals in the Iranian government who provide money and
weapons for them.
At first, it
was believed that Hezbollah had thought better of going international. Months
later, Israeli intelligence began to
detect signs that the Mughniyeh revenge
operation was on again. Since then, Israeli counter-terrorism efforts have
disrupted two Hezbollah murder/kidnap operations overseas. A third operation,
targeting El Al flight crews in Canada (where they often overnight) is being
pursued. Hezbollah has apparently also activated sleeper cells, or sent in
operatives, to Turkey, Europe, West Africa, Uzbekistan, Thailand and Egypt's
Sinai Desert (a popular vacation spot for Israelis.)
Israel
cooperates with local counter-terrorism officials, but will go it alone if they
believe they can get at a Hezbollah terrorist cell. The Israelis believe that
the Hezbollah groups have been ordered to at least murder some Israelis, but to
kidnap and get one or more of them back to Lebanon if possible. Kidnapping is
very difficult, and it is believed that Hezbollah does not really expect any of
its operatives to pull off something like this. Even murder is difficult,
especially now that Israeli travelers, and Israeli counter-terror forces are on
the alert for this sort of thing.