:
August
14, 2011: The area between Kabul and the Pakistani border has become a
bloody battleground as Pakistani Taliban and Islamic terrorists cross
the border in larger numbers. These foreign (mainly Pakistani, Arab and
Chechen) gunmen have angered Pakistan with efforts to take control of
the tribal territories, and the many resulting attacks on Pakistani
officials and security forces. While a tiny portion of Pakistan (North
Waziristan) is still a refuge, the place is constantly patrolled by
American UAVs, which use their missiles to kill Islamic terrorists
(especially leaders). Thus Pakistan has become a much more dangerous
place for Islamic radicals.
The
Afghan Taliban has drug money, and a need for some help, so hundreds of
foreign gunmen have crossed in Afghanistan during the past few months.
The fighting has been intense, with the foreigners getting the worst of
it. The new guys don’t know the territory, or how to cope with the
American tactics (lots of UAVs, helicopters and smart bombs). A lucky
RPG hit on an American CH-47 helicopter brought some attention to this
area, and distracted from the fact that this part of the border has
become a graveyard for foreign Islamic radicals. The enemy gets lucky
once in a while, but is otherwise unlucky every day.
While
the Taliban, and other Islamic radicals, make much of their religious
goals (a worldwide religious dictatorship), it’s mostly about power and
money. In the few countries where Islamic radicals have gained power
(Iran, Sudan, 1990s Afghanistan) the pattern was the same. The leaders
used Islamic law to terrorize their opponents, while stealing everything
in sight. It’s a sweet deal, getting rich while doing God’s Work. While
many of the lower ranking fighters are true-believers, not many of the
leaders are. They all either rationalize getting rich, or just go for
the gold. It’s the custom around here, as it is in most other places.
It’s something worth dying for.
Even
being out of power for the last decade has not weakened the Taliban’s
larcenous ways. In any area they control, they run a protection scheme,
where local businesses pay for “protection” (from the Taliban), or else.
This includes foreign aid groups, who must either pay off the Taliban,
or, all too often, the government security forces. Despite these deals,
the Taliban will often steal foreign aid, or rob the foreigners of their
SUVs, pickups and electronic gadgets. If you and your friends have
guns, such things are possible and hard to resist.
But
the foreign troops do offer things that most Afghans want. Law and
order is popular, especially if the tribes are left to deal with
internal crimes or feuds. Afghanistan has always been a violent place,
even when technically at peace. One thing that keeps the region unstable
is the tradition of the warlord. Any talented leader, able to organize a
lot of gunmen to seize control of an area (and then get rich by
“taxing” and exploiting it), is highly respected and admired. Even
though these guys usually do not die in bed, the fact that they can have
a few good years, or even decades, inspires others. While vilified in
the West, becoming a warlord is still a popular career choice in this
region.
Many
of the people elected to run the Afghan government come into office
with the attitudes of a warlord, not an honest civil servant. A senior
job in the government enables you to steal from a lot more people. There
are two large sources of incomes. The foreign aid is possibly the
biggest one, as the main source of operating funds for the government is
foreign aid. But there is a lot of friction between the foreign aid
donors and Afghan officials. That’s because the foreigners are
constantly making it more difficult (but never impossible) to steal. The
most attractive source of income is the drug gangs. It was taxes on the
heroin and opium production that financed the Taliban during the 1990s,
and still does today. But the Taliban prefer to buy protection from
government officials, and do so whenever they can. Often this is not
possible, because of the NATO troops, who cannot be bribed. An
increasing number of Afghan officials, especially police and army
commanders, can’t be bribed either. These must be intimidated or killed,
before their Western “clean government” heresy spreads.
One
reason the security forces are becoming so professional is that you
live longer that way. Learning how to fight like NATO troops, appeals to
the warrior in Afghan men. But it’s learning all the communications and
coordination procedures that are most difficult. Moving and shooting
like NATO troops is useful, but equally important is learning how to
work with NATO air power (warplanes with smart bombs and helicopter
gunships). This is alien stuff for your average Afghan, but they quickly
learn what “friendly fire” means.
This
Summer, NATO forces have become more aggressive with their use of
firepower. Partly that because more of the fighting is in the less
densely populated east. Partly because the new American commander, who
took over last month, is a marine. The number of air strikes has doubled
(to about 20 a day) and there is more use of artillery, especially GPS
guided rockets.
August
6, 2011: A night operation to reinforce some U.S. Army Rangers led to a
lucky Taliban shot with an RPG, which brought down a SOCOM (Special
Operations Command) MH-47 helicopter. All 38 on board were killed. These
included eight Afghans (commandos and an interpreter) and 30 Americans
(17 U.S. Navy SEALs and operators from army and air force SOCOM units.)
In the long run, SOCOM troops take lower casualties than regular combat
units. This type of incident is rare, but will occur if you fly enough
night helicopter missions. This particular mission was more dangerous
because there was only one way into the valley for the helicopter, and
the Taliban had placed some men, armed with machine-guns and RPGs, at
that spot. Sunni Arab terrorists in Iraq used similar tactics, and
brought down several American helicopters (before the Iraqis were hunted
down and killed, the same thing happened to the Taliban responsible for
this incident.)