December 2, 2008:
Pakistan and India
are now close to war again. The reason is the same one as in 2001, when
Pakistan based Islamic terrorists attacked the Indian capital, and the
parliament building. India mobilized its army on the Pakistan border after that,
where Pakistani troops also massed. Eventually, both sides backed off, and in
2004, both countries began peace talks, determined to end decades of tension.
The main source of conflict is Kashmir,
which Pakistan claims (because of the majority Moslem population), but India
occupies (as per the agreement that created India and Pakistan in 1947). In
both nations, ownership of Indian Kashmir (the northern portion of Kashmir was
occupied by Pakistani troops in 1947) is a very sensitive issue. After the 2001
attacks on the Indian capital, which Lashkar e Toiba participated in, Pakistan
sought to halt its support for Islamic terrorist groups that fought for
possession of Kashmir. But too many Pakistanis, including officials in the
intelligence agencies and the armed forces, still supported the Pakistani based
Islamic terrorism. So the terror groups India wanted destroyed, just changed
their names, or pretended to disband. The Indians saw through this, and has
been protesting the subterfuge ever since. Now Pakistan is being asked to
really shut down these terrorist groups. Actually, Pakistan is trying, because
most of these terror groups have moved to the tribal territories, along the
Afghan border, or dispersed overseas. This war heated up earlier this year, and
over 100,000 soldiers and police have been dismantling Taliban and other Islamic
terror organizations ever since.
The Mumbai attackers had planned to
kill 5,000, and outdo the September 11, 2001 attacks. In that they failed, but Indian
police and counter-terrorism forces also demonstrated poor training, leadership
and coordination. As a result of this the Indian Home Minister (responsible to
domestic counter-terrorism) resigned. Twenty Indian police and soldiers were
killed in the three days of carnage, plus nine terrorists and about 150
civilians. Foreigners, especially Westerners, were to be sought out, but only
22 were killed. Apparently the terrorists spent months planning the attacks
(mainly on the railroad station, two hotels and a Jewish organization
headquarters.) Indian intelligence had picked up information indicating that a
major attacks was planned against Mumbai. But the terrorists maintained a low
profile in Pakistan, and used stolen boats to get from the Pakistani port of
Karachi, to the west coast Indian port of Mumbai.
The fighting and terrorist attacks
continue in the Pakistani tribal territories. In eastern India, police continue
their efforts to round up armed Maoist terrorists. Nearly a hundred have been
killed or arrested in the last few weeks.
December 1, 2008: Tribal leaders along
the Afghan border have asked the government to stop fighting the Taliban and mobilize
a huge tribal militia and send it to the Indian border, along with the 100,000 troops
currently stationed in the tribal areas.. The Pushtun tribes hate the Indian
government a bit worse than the Pakistani one, mainly because India is run by non-Moslems. Pakistan doesn't
want to get into another stand-off with India, much less a nuclear war. Note
that India could "survive" a nuclear war, unstable Pakistan could
not. India, and most of the world, are pushing Pakistan to make a serious
effort to stamp out Islamic terror groups. But that would require something of
a civil war, as more than a third of the population backs Islamic conservatism,
and Islamic conservatives are the most enthusiastic backers of Islamic
terrorism directed at "pagan" India.
Over the weekend, battles between rival
political parties, in Karachi (the largest city in Pakistan), left 13 dead and
over 70 wounded. In Indian Kashmir, three days of voting, which Islamic
terrorists tried to halt, successfully (62 percent of voters voted) ended.
November 26, 2008: Ten Pakistan based
Islamic terrorists began a series of attacks, with firearms and grenades, in
the Indian city of Mumbai (Bombay). Initially, a previously unknown Indian
Islamic outfit, the Deccan Mujahideen took credit for the attack. The emails
announcing this appear to have come from Pakistan. After three days, the last
of the ten terrorists was killed. One was taken alive, and admitted to Pakistan
based terrorist groups having organized the attack. He admitted belonging to Lashkar
e Toiba (LeT), which the U.S. placed financial sanctions on earlier this year,
accusing LeT of being an international terrorist organization. Fifteen years
ago, a series of terrorist bombings in Mumbai left 257 dead.