April 18, 2007:
In western Iraq, only about twenty percent of the Sunni Arab tribes
continue to support terrorism and resistance to the government. Until about a
year ago, most of the Sunni Arabs, who dominate this area, believed that they
could keep the government and Americans out. No more. What scared the western
tribes the most has been the Shia terror campaign against the Sunni Arabs in
Baghdad. Many of the Sunni Baghdadis have fled to find refuge with kin in
western Iraq. The refugees tell tales of entire Sunni Arab neighborhoods being
emptied, the inhabitants being confronted by heavily armed, hooded men, and
told to flee or die. This sort of "cleansing" has stopped, for the
moment, while the surge seeks terrorist hideouts. While the Islamic terrorist
groups are able to keep setting off car bombs, to keep the media busy, the
street level Islamic terrorism effort has been crippled. There are far fewer
Islamic terrorists threatening government employees, or people that work for
the Americans. These thugs are either dead, fled to the suburbs, or have sought
a less dangerous career.
Meanwhile, the main battle with the terrorists has
moved to the Baghdad suburbs, and that's where most of the terrorism, and
fighting is taking place. Being forced,
by the "surge" campaign, to flee Baghdad, the terrorists have gotten
sloppy and left more evidence of their
presence, and this has led to more terrorists getting captured. This, in turn has
led to more bomb factories and weapons caches being found. American military
commanders believe another six months of this hammering, along with an Iraqi
government making deals with Sunni Arab groups, to bring them into the
government, will leave the terrorists with no place to hide, or just some very
small places, that can be isolated from the rest of the country.
The bombing of the Iraqi parliament cafeteria last
week was apparently the result of a spat between two Sunni Arab factions, and
the bodyguards of one faction agreeing to work for the terrorists. Bribed
bodyguards and security guards have always been a major risk. But the
increasing disorder within the Sunni Arab community is playing a role as
well. Sunni Arabs are losing hope of
ever regaining power, because they seem to suffer one defeat after another. The
rest of the Sunni Arab world, especially Saudi Arabia, has told the Iraqis
Sunnis to make the best peace they can, because the Sunni Arab world will not
come to their rescue.
Meanwhile, the Sunni Arab countries are trying to
get the UN to persuade Western countries to take a lot of the Sunni Arabs
fleeing Iraq. Many of these refugees are former killers for Saddam, or Islamic
radicals. The Sunni Arab countries don't want to take them, and hope to shame
some Western nations into doing so. Syria already has a huge community of Iraqi
war criminals, and is trying to keep out anymore (unless they have a lot of
money.) Jordan has tried to keep the Islamic terrorists out, but has been less
strict about former Saddam supporters with shady pasts. The Sunni Arab world
has been successful in getting the Western media to play down the Saddam
connections of many of the Iraqi refugees, but the terrorism links may prove
harder to hide.