December 4, 2007:
Palestinian
opinion surveys indicate that Hamas is very unpopular, with less than 20
percent of the Palestinian population supporting them. This is because Hamas
was unable to maintain the economy in Gaza, and has refused to back down on its
call for war with Israel, and the destruction of Israel. There is a debate
within Hamas over this, but so far the hard-liners are winning. Fatah is trying
to reform itself, since it now has higher (not by much) approval ratings than
Hamas. Fatah is still corrupt and inept, at least compared to Hamas.
Meanwhile, Israel's war with
Hamas continues. Israel has managed to maintain its intelligence network inside
Gaza. That, and the heavy use of UAVs and electronic eavesdropping, has enabled
Israel to regularly fire missiles at key terrorist personnel in Gaza. Several
of these attacks are made each week, making it difficult for Islamic terrorist
groups to organize attacks inside Israel. The best the Palestinians can do is
fire home made Kassam rockets, and mortar shells from Gaza, into sparsely
populated southern Israel. A half a dozen rockets and shells a day cause a few
casualties a month, and some property damage. Far more Palestinians are killed
or wounded as they fire, or attempt to fire, these weapons. Some Palestinians attempt to attack Israeli
soldiers guarding the security fence around Gaza. These guys invariably get
spotted and killed, but they keep coming, with one or more attacks a week.
Meanwhile, the peace talks in
the U.S. (which were mainly concerned about the Iranian threat to the Arab
world) resulted in Fatah agreeing to begin negotiations with Israel on December
12th. The Palestinians hope to get the deal they were offered in the Summer of
2000. That was turned down, and a terror campaign launched against Israel, in
the hope of getting better terms. That war has killed nearly 6,000 people so
far, about 80 percent of them Palestinians. Few Israelis have been killed in
the last few years, since Israel developed tactics that kept the Palestinian
terrorists out of Israel.