January24, 2007:
LRA commander Joseph Kony has apparently agreed to continue the peace
negotiating process with the Ugandan government. However, Kony believes that
the International Criminal Court warrants for his arrest (issued in 2005)
restrict his ability to negotiate. The international warrant certainly limits
Kony's ability to go to Kenya, where in all likelihood he would be
arrested.
January
21, 2007: The LRA issued a statement that said it will not continue to
participate in the peace talks in Sudan with Uganda. The statement criticized
Sudan's Riek Machar (the peace talks mediator) and said that Sudan was no
longer a "suitable" venue for the peace talks. The LRA's distrust of the Sudan
government has increased in recent weeks, after Sudan accused LRA fighters of
participating in ambushes in south Sudan. The LRA, however, did indicate that
it would continue the peace process with the Ugandan government but would only
do so outside of Sudan. Needless to say, the LRA position greatly complicates
the peace process because the LRA demobilization sites are located in south
Sudan. Kenya, Rwanda, and even the Congo could serve as venues for continuing
negotiations. On January 12 an LRA spokesman said that the LRA would support
talks in Kenya. It is possible that northern Uganda itself could serve as a demobilization
site, but the LRA distrusts the Ugandan Army. Sudan said that it would
guarantee the LRA fighters safety inside the demobilization sites. Look for
this discussion to continue.
January
19, 2007: The Ugandan government said the majority party had approved the
government's plan to send a peacekeeping battalion to Somalia. The "straw vote"
by members of the National Resistance Movement parliamentary caucus means that
it is all but certain that the Ugandan parliament will approve the deployment.
Ugandan is considering increasing the size of the troop contingent to 1500
troops. The original proposal called for a 1000-man battalion task force.
January
17, 2007: The LRA announced that its deputy commander, Vincent Otti, had left
Sudan and returned to the LRA's base "inside Congo" (ie, the Garamba National
Park area). Ugandan sources in northern Uganda also reported that several
groups of LRA rebels had returned to northern Uganda from Sudan.