January 29, 2008:
Venezuela continues to press for Colombia to
ease up on military and police attacks on FARC. At the same time, Venezuelan
diplomats press European nations, especially France, to consider removing FARC
from the list of international terrorists, and giving it the status of a
legitimate rebel organization. Back in the 1970, European nations did that for
Latin American leftists. This enabled the rebels to get passports and enjoy
diplomatic immunity while traveling abroad. Colombia feels that all this is
leading to Venezuela itself granting FARC official recognition, and allowing
the rebels to move freely in Venezuela. FARC is already doing that, just
unofficially. Some of FARCs drug smuggling operations have moved to Venezuela.
Many European leftists still support
FARC, ignoring any contrary evidence, even the testimony of Colombian victims of
FARC crimes are brushed aside, and accused of being part of a U.S. plot to
discredit FARC. Moreover, there is much popular support for helping FARC in
France, because one of the hostages (a woman kidnapped while running for
president of Colombia) also has a French passport. The French media plays this
up, and French politicians are under pressure to do whatever they can to get
FARC hostages freed. The Colombians have been burned by FARC negotiations
before and are having none of it. For example, one of the pro-FARC proposals is
to have FARC release all its 700 hostages and promise to kidnap no more. Colombian
security officials believe this would not work, even if it was agreed to by all
the big shots. That's because FARC has broken up into several factions that
cooperate with each other, but do not all submit to one supreme command. Several
of these factions have made it clear, they are not going to give up hostages
without the proper ransom (which in some cases, is the freedom for convicted
criminals).
Over a thousand additional Venezuelan
troops have been sent to the Colombian border, not to control FARC gangs, but
to stop food and fuel from going to Colombia. Normally, twice as much stuff
(over $3 billion worth) come from Colombia, than goes in the other direction.
But Venezuela is suffering from inflation and food shortages, and president
Hugo Chavez addressed the problem by putting price controls on food. But he did
not put controls on the items farmers have to buy to produce the food. Thus farmers
are being forced to sell food at a loss and go bankrupt. To avoid that, farmers
are smuggling their products to adjacent countries, where it can be sold at
market rates.
Chavez has begun a propaganda campaign
to convince Venezuelans, and as many foreigners as possible, that Colombia and
the United States are plotting to invade and overthrow him. Meanwhile, FARC is
trying to gets its troops to switch from portable radios to iPods. That's
because government radio ads for its amnesty program are causing hundreds of
FARC rebels a month to turn themselves in. A portable radio is one of the few luxuries
a FARC warrior has access to when in the bush, and getting those radios out of
circulation is not easy.
FARC has more serious concerns. Army
and police intelligence efforts have identified the general area where most of
the kidnap victims are being held, and the army is setting up a blockade of the
area. FARC has announced that the army must back off, or the already harsh
conditions the hostages endure will get worse, and it will all the be army's
fault. This worked, because French diplomats asked Colombia to back off from
this operations, to avoid hurting any of the hostages that are French citizens.
The war on FARC is a diffuse operation,
with few photo-ops showing large numbers of guys with guns. It's small patrols,
teams of police investigators, and checkpoints that do most of the work. Whenever
FARC does concentrate a lot of armed men, the air force comes in and bombs
them. It's a war of small details, and the bad guys are losing.