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The War Is Sort Of Over
   Next Article → PEACEKEEPING: Generous AFRICOM
May 22, 2009: Twenty-six years after the LTTE (the main Tamil separatist organization) began attacking government forces, the war in Sri Lanka is over. In the 1990s, the LTTE inflicted several major defeats on the army, including driving out an Indian peacekeeping force. LTTE suicide bombers killed a Sri Lankan prime minister, and a former Indian prime minister. By 2002, the LTTE had taken control of 14,000 square kilometers (22 percent of the island nation of Sri Lanka), and signed a ceasefire with the government. Tamils comprised 13 percent of the 20 million people living on the island, and wanted to establish their own nation in the territory the LTTE controlled in the north and along the east coast. Non-Tamils were driven out of that LTTE territory. Negotiations with the government failed because hard line LTTE leaders insisted on partition of the island. The government, and many moderate LTTE leaders were willing to allow greater autonomy, but not a separate state. This led, in 2004,  to a split in the LTTE, with the east coast faction making a deal with the government. Troops moved into the east coast to put down the few hard line LTTE fighters that remained there. Continued negotiations with the LTTE proved fruitless, as the hardliners still insisted on partition. The war resumed in 2006, and in 34 months of fighting, the army  lost 6,200 dead and over 30,000 wounded in what it called the Eelam War IV campaign. The LTTE is believed to have lost over 20,000 fighters during this period. By the end of 2008, the LTTE had been forced into a small area on the northeast coast. The LTTE called on its Tamil supporters in southern India and overseas to demonstrate and persuade foreign governments to force Sri Lanka to stop the offensive, declared a ceasefire, and allow the LTTE to rebuild itself. This effort failed.

Determining how many Tamil civilians were killed during the last few months of fighting is complicated by the fact that many of the LTTE fighters were wearing civilian clothes, and the LTTE was deliberately urging, or coercing, Tamil civilians to accompany the troops and serve as human shields. The LTTE believed in "total war", where everyone, including women and children, had to be ready to risk their lives for the cause.

Total losses for nearly 30 years of violence are about 80,000. The UN, and the NGO (non-governmental organization) aid community are calling for war crimes changes to be brought against Sri Lankan leaders. The NGOs claim that the government did not do enough to avoid hitting the Tamil civilians the LTTE were using as human shields. This is a smoke screen, to help protect the UN and other NGOs from charges that they aided the LTTE and helped prolong the war. This is becoming a growing problem, as the NGO workers seek to make their own lives easier by getting cozy with whatever warlord is in control where the NGOs are employed. These relief operations are careers for many of the NGO personnel, and an adventure for the shorter term workers. But the NGO staff don't want to get killed doing good works, so there is a growing trend to make a discreet deal with the devil, in order to get some protection in a war zone.

The Sri Lankan government would like to expel many of the NGOs, but these organizations control much of the foreign aid coming into the country. The NGOs survive by providing reliable (especially compared to corrupt, or nonexistent, governments in disaster areas) distribution of foreign aid and charity. Since World War II, the NGOs have established themselves as a powerful economic and political force, and a career path for thousands of men and women (mostly from the West). But the early idealism has been corrupted, and NGOs often become part of the problem. The LTTE knew how to play the NGOs, and did so expertly to make the NGOs an integral part of the LTTE governmental machine. Now those NGO are trying to escape culpability for that, and accusing the government of war crimes is one part of that plan.

The LTTE is not gone, and the war is not over. The LTTE as a force that controls Sri Lankan territory, and a chunk of the population, is gone. The LTTE are back to where they were in the 1970s and 80s, just a bunch of angry Tamils with some weapons, and a desire to turn part of Sri Lanka into exclusively Tamil territory. Many of the two million Tamils in Sri Lanka still support the LTTE, as do many Tamils in southern India (the ancient homeland of the Tamils) and overseas. There are about 77 million Tamil speakers worldwide, most (nearly 80 percent) of them living in southern India (Tamil Nadu). Although a part of India, many Tamils believe that part, or all, of Sri Lanka should come under Tamil control. This is an idea that will not go away, and there are still thousands of Tamils, in Sri Lanka, and everywhere, who are still willing to fight and kill for this goal.

May 21, 2009: The government is going to try and resettle, within six months,  the 280,000 Tamil refugees of the recent fighting. This will involve identifying everyone, which is already underway, transport people back to their homes, and help rebuild those houses and businesses that  had been damaged. The government has some experience at this, having gone through a lot of this resettlement effort five years ago when the LTTE was defeated along the east coast.

May 20, 2009:  The final battlefield, a one square kilometer area, was found to contain the bodies of about 400 LTTE fighters, lots of weapons, plus documents, computers and much other equipment. Some LTTE fighters did get out, as army patrols up to 20 kilometers away are encountering armed men who appear to have recently escaped from the fallen enclave. The bodies of the wife and two sons of LTTE leader Vellupillai Prabhakaran were also found near the final enclave, apparently they were shot as they tried to escape army patrols.

May 19, 2009:  The government showed the body of LTTE leader Vellupillai Prabhakaran's body on television. This was to try and counter the stories, particularly in the Tamil community, that Prabhakaran had escaped the final offensive, to carry on LTTE terrorist operations. Prabhakaran was the main force behind the LTTE in general, and the suicide bomber and assassination tactics in particular. The government says Prabhakaran died early on the 18h, when commandos shot up an ambulance and other vehicles that were trying to leave the battle area, and refused to stop when challenged. Prabhakaran died from the gunfire.

May 18, 2009: Troops have found what they believe to be the body of Vellupillai Prabhakaran, the supreme LTTE leader. Pro-government Tamils, who have met Prabhakaran, are being brought in to get a confirmed identification.  Nearly a hundred LTTE members were killed as they tried to escape. The government knows that the LTTE already has "stay behinds" in territory captured over the last three years. In eastern Sri Lanka, a largely Tamil area, there are several armed groups of LTTE operating, still killing and terrorizing people.

May 17, 2009: The LTTE announced that they were beaten, and surrendered. Army troops surrounded a one square kilometer area, which contains burning vehicles and bunkers, along with hundreds of dead bodies, most of them LTTE fighters, but also some civilians. In the last three days, over 70,000 civilians fled the area, escaping involuntary service as human shields for the Tamil rebels. As troops closed in, there were several large explosions, apparently the LTTE blowing up their remaining bunkers and equipment. This included artillery, ammunition and vehicles.

May 16, 2009: The army has captured the entire coast of the remaining LTTE enclave in the northeast. This cuts off the LTTE from any outside assistance, or escape.

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Bob Cortez       5/22/2009 7:57:58 AM
All of the NGOs and whingers in the world believe that there is no possibility of winning wars against insurgence.  They are morally invested in the belief so want Sri Lanka to fail, and will bring all their efforts to bear to make it so.  No mention of the LTTE for war crimes and so forth is the thrum.
 
There will be no progress until people start investigated the enthymeme (unspoken assumptions) of the debate, and demand proof and logic analysis.  Until that happens all we will here is moral equivalence and self-pity.
 
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grichens       5/22/2009 1:19:01 PM
True.  What also is at play is the juvenile tendency with some people to identify with any cause that opposes a dominant power structure, no matter how dubious that cause may be.  Sri Lanka has been littered over the last 1/3 century with evidence of LTTE atrocities against fellow Tamils, not to mention atrocities against the Sinhalese and Muslims.  But no matter how existentially nihilistic the LTTE showed themselves to be, they were still romanticised by many quarters.
 
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Necromancer    Grichens   5/22/2009 3:22:44 PM

True.  What also is at play is the juvenile tendency with some people to identify with any cause that opposes a dominant power structure, no matter how dubious that cause may be.  Sri Lanka has been littered over the last 1/3 century with evidence of LTTE atrocities against fellow Tamils, not to mention atrocities against the Sinhalese and Muslims.  But no matter how existentially nihilistic the LTTE showed themselves to be, they were still romanticised by many quarters.


The LTTE was never romanticized by most. What you kep failing to address is the utter hopelessness in pursuing rights for Tamils due to chauvanistic Buddhist (what an odd phrase) by any other means in the 21st century. What is embarrassing is not LTTE and its atrocities, but the fact that they were fighting Buddhist priests for equal rights. This is a distortion and frankly pi$$ing on Buddha's face. How can u call urselves "Buddhists" and attack and categorize second class citizenship to minorities prop up "Sinhalese only" in an extremely chauvanistic style and call your selves "Buddhists" The joke is for Sinhala Sri Lanka to call themselves "Buddhists".
 
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Necromancer    Grichens   5/22/2009 3:25:14 PM
The Tamils were fighting Apartheid in Sri Lanka. Perhaps we should have the Afrikans rule Sri Lanka and see how ur kin react?
 
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smitty237    What Bulls**t   5/23/2009 1:36:45 AM

The Tamils were fighting Apartheid in Sri Lanka. Perhaps we should have the Afrikans rule Sri Lanka and see how ur kin react?

In should know better than to feed the troll, but I can't let this tripe stand. 
Herc the Merc, aka Necromancer, claims that he isn't an ethnic Tamil, but his adoption of the Tamil cause in this complex struggle certainly seems to tip in the favor of the terrorist LTTE.  No one that has even a passing knowledge of the history of the region can deny that history has dealt the Tamils the short end of the stick, but as history has proven time and time again, not every ethnic group is guaranteed their own state, and not every ethnic group is even guaranteed survival.  Sensibilities of the modern age no longer tolerate genocide (the elimination of an ethnic group), but neither does it necessarily guarantee the success of a minority group over an oppressive majority group. 
 
The problem with the Tamils in Sri Lanka was that their champions in this latest conflict, the LTTE, were a very brutal group that failed to endear themselves to the international community.  The LTTE's administration of the Tamil regions rapidly revealed that they were substituting Sinhalese tyranny for a Tamil one, and in an LTTE controlled Tamil state ethnic minorities could expect the same treatment that the Tamils had experienced under the Sinhalese majority.  India has been deeply concerned with Sinhalese/Tamil affairs for hundreds of years, and even militarily intervened in the Sri Lankan civil war, but the LTTE weren't at all interested in any sort of a solution that didn't result in an LTTE dominated separate Tamil state in Sri Lanka and turned on the Indian military.  Eventually Indian military casualties forced the Indian public to demand that Indian peacekeeping troops be withdrawn from Sri Lanka. 
 
The LTTE then adopted suicide bomber tactics, murdering targets in both Sri Lanka and India.  After 9/11 those tactics lost them whatever remnants of support they had left in the international community.  There is a rather large Tamil community in Canada, the United States, Europe, and southern India, but after the LTTE was declared a terrorist organization a lot of their financial support dried up to a relative trickle.  In Sri Lanka the tide turned against the LTTE militarily and they found themselves retreating in the face of a resurgent Sri Lankan offensive.  However, instead of encouraging a populist revolt and appealing to the international community, the LTTE began using noncombatant ethnic Tamils as human shields.  Eventually the LTTE was pushed into a small enclave in northern Sri Lanka and defeated.
 
The Sri Lankan government decision to declare that the war is over is a clever one, because any LTTE action from now on can be viewed as a criminal act at best, and a terrorist act at worst.  I hope for the sake of the people of Sri Lanka that the government will protect the rights of the Tamil minority, because if they don't another group could emerge that would do a much better job of serving the needs of the Tamil than the LTTE.  Say what you want about the Tamil struggle, but the LTTE were the wrong champions at the wrong time and deserved to be defeated.
 

 
 
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Necromancer    Smitty    5/23/2009 2:45:07 AM
Primarily I have the least nterest in Sri Lankan war beyond what one might call an observer and well wisher. Secondly, I am not Tamil, their language is too confusing. Thirdly I said the LTTE had it coming due to its terror stand and extreme violent approach, it is a terror group and banned - no debate, and oh this has nothing to do with post 9/11 , LTTE was declared a terror organisation after assasination of Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi. Tamils in Canada are even more adamant about
a separate state. So I think I was smart in pointing out the way to peace is equal rights for Tamils.
 
My question remains, what is the Tamil solution? Because until that gets resolved another LTTE is just a matter of time.
 
 If you would please let me know what u know about Tamils? I have lived in that part of the world for 18years. ANd what makes you think that these folks are scared of anyone- ha ur post 9/11 mantra is falling on deaf ears, right across in Canada they are demonstrating openly for separate state, u think they are not sending money ? Just a tip, most of India's nuclear scientists are Tamil- in fact the last President was Tamil, just how many people u want to radicalize Smitty, lets see Iran close to a bomb, Taleban close to a bomb, Kim gone ill has nukes...sooner or later a radical group gets one and then? Another tidbit about Tamils- The British empire hired Tamils for their civil service; their status in Sri Lanka would be like of Jews in Europe -educated hard working and proud. I would have a little respect.
 
You need to understand the new world power structure- I observed this when Soviets were beaten by Afghan Mujahadeen; its awfully easy to get ur rear kicked by these small radical groups, my concern is if it is not dealt with politically or completely crushed militarily the scale of terror will expand.
 
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Necromancer    And Smitty the geo-political implications - Sri Lanka rewards China with a naval base- things are never what they seem   5/23/2009 3:10:59 AM
>>

China's hand

Still, in this post-George W. Bush world, Western government are keenly aware that there is a new power reality surrounding certain events, such as this final, bloody confrontation in Sri Lanka.

Rajapaksa simply didn't have to worry much even if Western displeasure or criticism had surfaced with force because he had two allies that matter to him far more: China and India.

India, the closest neighbour, offered quiet, but critically important support, including using its efficient navy to block arms shipments to the Tamil Tigers (the group behind the assassination of then Indian prime minister Rajiv Gandhi in 1991).

It was China's support, however, that proved decisive. Expanding its clout across Asia at dizzying speed, China has positioned itself as a warm, uncritical friend of Sri Lanka at all international gatherings, including the UN, which is a place where no one wants to offend Beijing.

In return, Sri Lanka has agreed to host a huge, Chinese-built port at Hambantola, currently under construction. It will be the third, large Chinese port being built at strategic locations across the Indian Ocean, including one in Myanmar and another in Pakistan.

Though planned in large part for civilian traffic, the Sri Lanka port will give China's expanding navy an extraordinarily valuable base overlooking South Asian trade routes and make Sri Lanka a firm and well rewarded ally.

Limited influence

In moving forward from here, Western governments will undoubtedly have some say when it comes to Sri Lanka's post-war recovery because they are still large aid donors and trading partners.

But, flush with victory and happily in bed with its new big-power partner in Beijing, Sri Lanka now delights in telling the West that its influence has strict new limits and that these limits apply especially to countries such as Canada that permitted large Tamil protests in recent weeks.

One of the sad ironies of the Tamil protests in Canada is that the more the marchers demanded this country use its influence on their homeland, the less influence Canada was being accorded in any peace effort there.

This new chill in relations with the West is worrisome precisely because Sri Lanka has such a strategic location in the sea lanes of the Indian Ocean. Militaries and strategic think tanks here are strongly telling Western governments that they cannot let Sri Lanka slip into a future, Chinese-power orbit, which is another reason why our leaders were so anxious to avoid a direct clash with Sri Lanka over this war and why they went out of their way to shun Tamil protesters in Canada and Europe.

Tamils around the world were trying to push foreign governments into a showdown with Sri Lanka at the very time that these governments were trying to win back whatever diplomatic footholds they still had there.

This is not meant to defend diplomatic behaviour, simply to explain it and to note why these Tamil protests seemed so especially forlorn given the new power realities reshaping our world.

 
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grichens       5/25/2009 8:37:17 AM

Necromancer, in the thread that you started: ?The sad reality for Tamils in Sri Lanka?,

I wrote: ?So where does the LTTE's killing of Neelan Tiruchelvam fit into your narrative? Do you consider him a traitor for undermining the Eelam cause??

You replied: ?I am not affiliated with Sri Lanka and have no detailed knowledge as such.?

I suspect you know a lot more about Tiruchelvan than you are letting on. Prabhakaran may as well have been the bomber himself.

 
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Necromancer    grichens   5/25/2009 12:47:48 PM
Nope, no clue. Just goto your average American university for 6 years and u meet Palestinians, South Africans, Arabs, Sri Lankans, Pakistanis, Iranians, Iraqis, Ukrainians and so on. You see the Universities in USA are quite the UN. So....I have followed a number os such trouble spots out of passing interest. I would rather be golfing.
 
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Necromancer    But Grichens? What about Tamil rights?   5/25/2009 5:26:22 PM
You still haven't discussed the plans for equal rights for Tamils? I mean is there some mental block here....its obvious the LTTE was losing support and with India cutting support it was a matter of time, most countries have reservations and extra benefits for minorities, you are one of the few countries that strips minorities of several rights enjoyed by the majority- so before we discuss any Tamil resistance issue , tell me your personal beliefs on how you would solve the Tamil issue politically or are you also on the side of the "Buddhist" priest or hardliners or inbetween or you belive inequality. I made my view clear the best chance for Tamils in Sri Lanka to get equal rights is a separate state under UN like East Timor (I think similar issues in that neck of the woods) or Serbia and Bosnia. But lets here your personal desires for the Tamils future macha.
 
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