In the past week, Sunni terrorist attacks against Shia civilians have
become more spectacular, although fewer in number. The terrorists know to go
for the kind of attacks that the media considers "most newsworthy"
(in other words, lots of dead civilians). The Shia responded with more attacks
on Sunni Arabs, including burning down Mosques, and going into the homes of
those Sunni families still living in Sunni neighborhoods, and killing all the
men. What is going on here is a battle between extremists. The Sunni Arab
terrorists (both al Qaeda and Baath Party) continue to be mesmerized with the
idea of a "civil war" that will somehow put Sunni Arabs back in
charge. But the terrorists are split on what their new government would be
like. Al Qaeda, and several other Sunni Arab groups, want a Sunni religious
dictatorship. Most Sunni Arab terrorists favor a secular dictatorship. This,
however, is out of touch with reality. Kurds and Shia Arabs outnumber Sunni
Arabs by nearly nine to one, have more guns, have American troops to back them
up, and want revenge. The Shia Arab radicals, namely the Badr Brigades and
Mahdi Army (the Sadr gang), want a Shia religious dictatorship. The Shia radicals
are a minority in the Shia community, but they run the Shia death squads that
have been terrorizing Sunni Arabs. With each new Sunni Arab terrorist attack,
the Shia population cries for vengeance. The Shia radicals produce dead
Sunni Arab civilians, and that is an increasingly popular thing.
government is obliged to try and protect all its citizens, but the Shia cheer
on the Shia death squads as they commit atrocious attacks on Sunni Arab
civilians. For three years now, Kurds and Shia Arabs have talked about getting
rid of the Sunni Arabs, and this outrageous option is becoming more accepted.
The government, however, cannot get behind expelling its most educated, and
indictable, minority. Not officially, anyway. But many non-Sunni Arab members
of the government wouldn't miss the Sunni Arabs. Everyone reads the papers and
views the TV images of yet another Sunni Arab terror attack. If the Sunni Arabs
were gone, so would be most of the violence.
American media are featuring something else Iraqis have known for a long time,
that the Sunni Arab terrorists are tight with the criminal gangs that worked
for Saddam, and are still in business. Kidnapping, embezzlement, extortion,
drugs, you name it, the gangs do it. Terrorism is just another tool for gangsters,
and the suicide bombers and attacks on civilians keeps the government off
balance. But these guys are crooks, not a rebel movement. Recent attempts to
capture territory have led to high body counts among the terrorists. Two recent
attempts to capture police stations resulted in bloody repulses. More terrorist
safe houses are being given up, for the reward money could enable a Sunni Arab
family to flee the country. Iraq is no longer safe for Sunni Arabs.
22, 2006: The UN and the government are at war over statistics. The UN says
3,709 Iraqis died in civil violence during October, and 7,000 died in the past
two months. The government says the real number is a quarter of that. The UN is
very unhappy with American activities in Iraq. The UN won't say it openly, but,
as an organization, it does not support the overthrow of tyrants and dictators.
That's because many UN member nations are run by such thugs. Moreover, the UN
is on a "war crimes" rampage at the moment, which makes thuggish
rulers even more determined to hang onto their jobs. The UN does, after all,
represent its membership.
21, 2006: After 24 years, Syria and Iraq resumed full diplomatic relations.
Both nations want to halt the terrorist violence in Iraq, and the use of Syria
as a staging area for al Qaeda terrorists going to Iraq. Syria and Iraq split
in the 1980s because, while both countries were ruled by Baath Party dictators,
they could not agree on which wing of the Baath Party was in charge. On top of
that, Iraq had invaded Iran in 1980, and Iran offered Syria money, and other
benefits, to take Iran's side. Syria had very little oil and, at the time, and
it's neighbor to the west, Lebanon, was in the midst of a civil war. So Iranian
aid was helpful. But Syria had other problems. The country was run by a Shia
minority dictatorship. Most Syrians are Sunni Arab, but attempts by them to
take control of the country have been brutally put down by a very efficient
secret police force. But there's also a lot of give and take, and for the past
three years, Syria has let Sunni Arab extremists to freely pass through Syria,
on their way to get killed in Iraq. Several hundred thousand Iraqi Sunni Arabs,
most of them former Saddam supporters, have taken refuge in Syria. The alliance
with Iran is getting ragged, with Syria now looking at the prospect of
Hizbollah (more radical Shia) controlled Lebanon to the west, and Shia run Iraq
to the east. Syria's Sunni Arab minority doesn't want to end up like Iraq's
Sunni Arabs. Friendly gestures must be made, Sunni Arab terrorists must be
arrested or killed. Something must be done, quickly, before everything changes.