Yemen: The War May Not Be Over

Archives

January 30, 2012: Now that president Saleh has his immunity deal and has left the country to get medical treatment in the United States, his followers are left to make do as best they can. There is unrest in the armed forces. One brigade of the Republican Guard rebelled because its commander was seen as corrupt. This uprising was put down by loyal troops from another Republican Guard unit. Troops at four air force bases demonstrated to have the head of the air force (a half-brother of president Saleh) removed. The issue here was also corruption. The outgoing Saleh government was accused of massive corruption and the amnesty they demanded only seemed to confirm the corruption charges.

It's unclear what deals Saleh made with his closest aides. What is known is that elections are to be held on February 21st, and Saleh's ally and vice president Abd Rabbu Mansour Hadi is expected to be elected president. This would put Saleh's followers back in power. Apparently the opposition, which went along with the immunity law, feels they could ease Hadi out and revoke the immunity law. That sort of thing has happened before (not in Yemen). The opposition apparently believes that with Saleh gone change is much more likely and will be less violent. But Saleh's followers also went along with the deal and apparently feel that they can hang onto power. The war may not be over with the departure of Saleh.

In the north, fighting between Shia and Sunni tribes continues and thousands of civilians are fleeing the violence. There have been over a hundred casualties up there in the last week alone.

January 27, 2012: In the south, several clashes left a police commander, a soldier, and four al Qaeda men dead.

January 25, 2012: Several hundred al Qaeda gunmen left the town of Radda (130 kilometers southeast of the capital) after a tribal coalition threatened to come in and kill all the Islamic radicals. The al Qaeda faction had held the towns for nine days, refusing to leave until some of their leaders were released from jail.

January 21, 2012:  Parliament finally passed the immunity law that will protect president Saleh from prosecution for past offenses. But immunity for Saleh's aides was limited, making them vulnerable to lawsuits in the future. Saleh is expected to go into exile in Oman.

 

Article Archive

Yemen: Current 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 


X

ad
0
20

Help Keep Us Soaring

We need your help! Our subscription base has slowly been dwindling. We need your help in reversing that trend. We would like to add 20 new subscribers this month.

Each month we count on your subscriptions or contributions. You can support us in the following ways:

  1. Make sure you spread the word about us. Two ways to do that are to like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.
  2. Subscribe to our daily newsletter. We’ll send the news to your email box, and you don’t have to come to the site unless you want to read columns or see photos.
  3. You can contribute to the health of StrategyPage. A contribution is not a donation that you can deduct at tax time, but a form of crowdfunding. We store none of your information when you contribute..
Subscribe   Contribute   Close